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Risk!!!

Risks of Defi platforms?You have to transfer your assets to their system to lend or staking to get attractive rewards. Problem: you lose all control of your assets and they can use your assets for illegal purposes or when their system is hacked you will lose all your assets or they can prevent you from pulling your assets out of their system. You should stay away from such forms of defi. Do not hand over all assets to someone else to manage, no matter who that person is or any organization. The recent collapse of some defi platforms can be a very sophisticated form of fraud, stealing customers' assets and blaming the market and no one has to be punished by law.
by aromB
EXIT STRATEGIES: Money ManagementHey traders, Today I wanted to dive into exit strategies. A lot of you will already have a very clear understanding of what an exit strategy is and how you usually go about it. Most of you are probably automatically thinking of stop losses and take profits, which is fair enough. Today however, I wanted to dive into some more advanced techniques. I want to have a look at what you need to be thinking about prior to entering a trade, during the trade, and then finally when it's time to get out. Yes, we use stop losses. Yes, we use take profits. But I know from my experience personally, it's very rare that I actually get my full stop loss hit. I'm usually out of the position prior to those levels. This all falls under money management, which is by far the most important aspect of your trading ability that you need to understand. We are money managers as traders. When we are risk on, we have money live in the markets. It is our job to manage it accordingly. Win or lose, the success comes down to if we are managing position and risk correctly. Now, this blog is a little bit more directed to our day traders or people who are constantly having positions with the whole idea of set stop losses and take profits. For investors, it does differ a little bit and I'll touch on that now. When it comes to buying a stuck or an asset, it is very easy come up with a trade idea. You find the idea, you buy, simple. What makes it really difficult is actually finding the appropriate time to sell. That's what actually makes the good investors. Because equity, yes, it is still extra cash in your pocket, but you don't get that cash actually in your pocket until you have hit that sold button and realized your profits. My biggest outlay to anyone in any type of investing is have an exit plan prior to entry. Have a minimum requirement, have a maximum requirement, and what to do in those scenarios. I've seen it many many times before, especially with the recent cryptocurrency boom that people just get in expecting it to go up with no exit strategy, so they never exit because it's constantly moving up. Then, Unsurprisingly, the market pulls it back in and they lose all of their equity profit. They find themselves trying to close out of their position before it's a big loss. Always have an exit plan. Now lets dive back into more of the day trading market. When it comes down to exits of the market. Most people use stop loss orders or take profit orders. These are orders you can set on your brokerage platform, which essentially, when that asset reaches a certain price, the server will read that and automatically pull your position at your requested price. These are the most common ways to manage risk. It's a very beginner friendly. It's very easy to find an area where to put your stop loss, put your stop loss, put your take profit, walk away and let the trade unfold. However, today, let's get a little bit more advanced. There are a few questions you need to ask yourself prior to entering a position. Regardless of looking at the profit potential (which is the biggest pull). Start associating yourself with the risk you are taking in order to open this position. The first question I want you to ask yourself is, how much are you willing to risk on this trade? Risk is an important factor when investing right to determine your risk level. You need to understand what is not going to affect or hurt you, but still generate enough profits to make it worthwhile in your eyes. Finding that medium balance of what you can handle when you go and drawdowns is going to be highly beneficial to risk the right amount and not go emotionally insane every time you're in a position. Once you understand what dollar value you're willing to risk, then you just position size accordingly and have a stop loss on your chart and there you will know your maximum risk. That is what you are going to lose if all goes against you on this position. Once you have the basic understanding of how much you're risking per position, you want to try and avoid hitting that stop loss at all costs. So while you're managing your position (this is something I like to do personally) if everything is going against you, it's usually a sign that it's going to continue that way. Yes, statistically, there's going to be sometimes it may be reverses. That's the beauty in backtesting your strategy so you have an in-depth understanding on what it is capable of. I look to start scaling out of my position, which means selling off my position size as we move towards the stop loss. As I mentioned above, it's very rare that I actually hit my Max loss stop loss statistically. Looking back at my journal, I've actually scaled more than 75% of my position out prior to hitting a full stop loss if not all of the position. This is giving me an incredible advantage when it comes down to statistics, because while I can still hit a full take profit and a full position in profits. But I am not hitting a full loss, so my risk to reward has actually rapidly increased, even though it's still very similar when I'm entering the trade. The second question I want you to ask yourself is, where do you want to get out? Where is your take profit? Where is your stop loss? But also look within those areas where realistically are key indications on where this price is going to move. Do you have to get through four or five support levels to reach your take profit? Should you start looking at scaling out some of the position in the profits around those levels? The more you have to go through, the harder it is going to be to actually achieve the profit. Have an exit plan. Where are the levels you want out? And finally, and this is probably the biggest one, how long you are planning on being in the trade? If you're trading down on the five minute chart, do you really want to hold this trade for two days? If it takes that long, do you only want to be trading during this market hours? Where do you want to cut this trade? This is really important because most people, especially the set and forget traders, they don't have a time limit on their trades. They allow it to just run over multiple sessions. But The thing is, the longer it runs, the less than analysis becomes true. Have a look at the time frame you're trading. If you're investing, look at the yearly outlook. How long do you really want to be holding this stock before it actually does something? I know we're not options traders. Some of you, maybe, but it is a good idea to have kind of a time scheme that you don't want to be holding any longer than. I personally look to start scaling out of the position, taking risk off the longer the trade takes, especially if I'm trying to trade on volatility. These are three questions to ask yourself and a little bit of tips and tricks when it comes down to scaling an managing risk on a more advanced level. Remember, as traders and investors, we are risk managers. We are money management specialists. Our job is to not lose money. When we stop losing money, profits will come in. Focus on your risk, focus on what you can afford to lose, and then focus on your positions and try and stop yourself from ever hitting that Max stop loss that you give yourself. I wish you all success! -Jordon Mellor
Education
by the5erstrading
8
#gameplan P3N Low-Risk Setup:Risk management is very crucial when you trade. Here is one of my mostly applied strategies for risk management. It's useful for people who trade in a very volatile market or fade. This method aims to limit the loss to zero by taking profit when reaching 1R. It's with less profit than expectation, but lower the risk. 1. Open the position and set how much $ you're going to risk for this gameplan. Then set the partial TP at the 1R and xR levels. (xR is your target.) 2. When price reaches 1R, it TP 1/2 position to keep the small profit. 3. If the trend is against our expectation and have a down move to -1R, at which our stop loss is, we close the position with 1/2 of the original with the same amount of loss as the profit. So this will keep our trade safe. However, if it goes up to 5R, which is out target, we can still keep 1/2 of our position to take the profit. Tips: You can use Fibonacci tools to predict how many xR in your gameplan.
by p3nchan
2
Eurostoxx Ultimate Pivot PointsReading charts is just one part of trading a bear market, another highly significant part is a solid understanding of market psychology, heuristics and biases. Having spent 14 years in a QE fuelled bull market where there were few inexplicable events and certainly no major forced liquidation events, it is easy to understand why so many participants get so excited about two days of asset flows out of commodities and into tech names. Yes, the market can go higher from here, yes it can go lower, but calling a major bottom and repeatedly getting attached to these short squeezes is all part of the psychological conditioning that has been happening to many over the last 14 years. Therefore we would suggest waiting for extremes where there is nobody else left to buy or sell, this is where the odds are stacked firmly in one's favour. Patience. Discipline. And more patience.
TVC:SX5E
by Newcomb_Analytics
How close SPY bottom? Are we close to the equity bottom or it just started its way down? in the last financial crisis/bubble Spy pulled back from the heights over 50%, at the moment we are still siting at around -23% . So if we will repeat history movies then we should find a bottom at around 233 right where 2018-2019 bottom was. worth to mention that each time when SPY dropped over -30% from top we had a recession. Let's hope that this time history will not repeat it self and SPY will find support at 200EMA. Trade safe and cut loses short. AMEX:SPY
AMEX:SPY
by linkolnas13
2
Solana ranks low on the DeFiSafety technical risk score Solana network has had at least five complete or partial outages or service disruptions The $100 million funds are intended to support gaming and DeFi startups Solana’s study has been released by a firm that provides Process Quality Reviews (PQRs) for crypto and decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms, which was highly critical. “Due to repeated downtime, Solana has the second-worst final technical risk score among the 15 series ever reviewed,” it said. Rather than auditing code or reviewing security, DeFiSafety focuses on the process behind the code and the quality of documentation. On-chain scores based on various criteria such as smart contracts and teams, documentation, testing, security, admin controls, and oracles are provided by the Canadian firm. SOL has been labeled an “Ethereum killer” numerous times, but it has failed to deliver. Since January, the network has had at least five complete or partial outages or service disruptions in 2021. The previous widespread outage occurred on June 1, when a bug prevented block production due to a consensus failure. DeFiSafety noted: “Solana’s base score is low. Despite a public software repository and some good documentation, their infrastructure relating to nodes is subpar.”
FTX:SOLUSD
by henryartem
When you should use leverage in your trades?When you should use leverage in your trades? I’m going to answer this question, but first, we have to mention two other questions to be answered. Q1: What is a reasonable trade? An order in which the entry point, stop loss, and take profit are already pre-defined based on a good return strategy or rules. Q2: What is money management? Money management is to determine the percentage of risk on the total balance in each order and to know what your position size will be and how much your potential loss will be. We need to do some calculations to answer the first question. Let’s suppose your account balance is $100 and the maximum risk on your balance for each trade is 5%. This means that on a reasonable trade, your loss will be $5 at most. Besides that, you have a good trading opportunity with an entry point at $10, stop loss at $9, and profit point at $12, i.e. 10% potential risk and 20% potential reward for the position. Since we cannot lose more than $5 of our balance, we need a position size where the potential loss will not exceed $5. Which we can calculate with this formula: (Max risk on balance / position risk * 100). Which would be $50 in our case.  This means that we are only allowed to include $50 out of $100 in this trade; this would be $5 after a 10% loss.  Everything is normal and we can afford it, so we will do the trade. Now, let’s increase the max risk on balance to 20%. It means our potential loss would be at most $20. By doing the same calculations considering the same reasonable trade with 10% risk, our position size will be $200 while we do not have more than $100, so where do we get $200 from?! Yep! Leverage would help you in this case. So benevolent, isn’t it?  In this case, your leverage would be 2 and you can open a $200 position, but don’t forget you increased your account risk from 5% to 20% already. Note that the risk will be applied to your real asset. If your balance is $100 and the leverage is 10, the exchange will give you about $1000 to buy or sell. While the 5% of $100 is $5, the 5% of $1000 would be $50, which is 50% of your real asset. So calculating the risk on leverage balance is practically meaningless! What if we had 10 orders simultaneously? It means $100 will be split between 10 orders. For ease of calculation, we consider every 10 trades to be the same as what we had above, while each trade would have 10% of $100. In these conditions, each trade would again have a $50 position, but leverage will be 5! Having said that, we can conclude that leverage alone is meaningless and finds meaning alongside reasonable trade opportunities and money management. In the above explanations, for the ease of calculation and context understanding, I used rand but not necessarily correct values. For example, a risk ratio of 5% on balance is a really high risk or in the example of 10 trades at once, it is wrong to consider your balance as $100 at the start of each trade. In the worst-case scenario, you should deduct the loss of the previous trade from your balance for the next trade. From the link below, you can access the tool I prepared to calculate the position details. bit.ly Feel free to give your constructive feedback.
Education
by bhnmzm
2
Risk-Off Rotation Crypto/Tech -> UtilitiesFundamentals: + Exposure to "Risk-Off" Utilities. + Biggest E.U nuclear power operator. (52% of E.U Nuclear power comes from plants run or used by EDF) + Need for upsizing given the Russia-Ukraine commodity constraints. Opinion: EDF is undervalued at its current price. As the situation with Russia deteriorates, as an energy partner; a "Risk-Off" idea, presents it-self. During times of recession, stagflation, cost of living crisis compounded by government's inability to further print to ease pressures due to the mishandling of the Covid crisis. The idea of hierarchy of needs is paramount. In difficult times, one may not pay rent, but he will pay for energy. Given there is no industry without energy, the idea behind green/clean at the cost of longer time frames; becomes prohibitive.(Main reason why E.U decided to consider Nuclear "Sustainable". www.dw.com) Instead, one can expect France; decades of expertise in Nuclear power generation to be highly in demand. It be by consulting on building of Nuclear power facilities across the E.U block or simply due to the sharing of market rated energy production via the EEX across the block. As the FED continues tightening, sovereign debt figures keep rising. Taiwan and Ukraine are now hotspots for defense contractors. Within the Risk-Off context and taking into account the military sovereign debt money printer is reaching new highs; exposure to military contractors may be a good risk-off idea. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice. Notes on how I personally use my charts/NFA: Each level L1-L3 and TP1-TP3 has a deployment percentage. The idea is to flag these levels so I can buy 11% at L1 , 28% at L2 and if L3 deploy 61% of assigned dry powder. The same in reverse goes for TP. TP1: 61%, TP2:28% and TP3:11%. If chart pivots between TP's, in-between or in Between Sell levels these percentages are still respected. I like to use the trading range to accumulate by using this tactic. Just my personal way of using this. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice. This is not intended or made to constitute any financial advice. FED Macro Situation Consideration: All TP's are drawn within the context of a return to FED neutral policy. I do not expect these levels to be reached before tightening is over. NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE I am not a financial advisor. The Content in this TradingView Idea is for informational purposes only, you should not construe any such information or other material as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. Nothing contained within this idea constitutes a solicitation, recommendation, endorsement, or offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments in this or in in any other jurisdiction in which such solicitation or offer would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. All Content on this idea post is information of a general nature and does not address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Nothing in the idea/post constitutes professional and/or financial advice, nor does any information on the idea/post constitute a comprehensive or complete statement of the matters discussed or the law relating thereto. You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other Content on the idea/post before making any decisions based on such information.
ELong
by TheBitcoinGeneration
3