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Risk!!!

History doesn’t repeat itself…But it Does Rhyme…. -Mark TwainI was looking at the patterns in larger time frame, and have made an augmented clone of the bottoms we have seen in previous sequences. The golden question is what if this cycle is different? We had Pandemic, Unemployment, now we face geopolitical factors, but this has all happened before hasn’t it? Maybe we just overthink things instead of being grateful for the back to back massive bull runs in previous years…. On that note, we have hope to enter the whale zone and possibly below for some volume accumulation and momentum. Lots of obstacles and resistance ahead. But these swings are pretty nice to trade on. Any feedback would be appreciated! Thanks!
Short
by Fabreezio
Gold Retraces to the low $1900'sGold rallied tremendously off the Ukraine conflict, hitting yearly highs at the top of the $1900 handle. It looked like we might make a run for $2K, but we topped out at 1977 or so, before a red triangle on the KRI confirmed resistance. After that, we retraced the entire move, spanning $100, where we finally found support at $1876. We were able to find support here, and have since recovered to $1917, where we are currently finding support between $1905 and $1917. It could go either way from here, but after such intense volatility, it is reasonable for the markets to try to find footing and establish value at current levels, between $1905 and $1917. If we retrace further, $1876 is likely to provide support. If we break out again, it is doubtful we will reclaim $1977, but $1925 or $1936 are reasonable targets.
COMEX:GC1!
by quantguy
Why Cardano is Sinking TodayWhy would Russia's move have such a big impact on cryptocurrencies? It boils down to risk. When investors believe that their money is at greater risk, they're more likely to shift funds into safer assets. Such "risk-off" scenarios have hurt growth stocks in the past. Now it's happening again, with cryptocurrencies also being pulled down. The only cryptocurrencies that are largely immune to risk-off downswings are stablecoins pegged to fiat currencies. However, Cardano, Chainlink, Cronos, and Polkadot are not stablecoins. Any geopolitical crisis could cause a risk-off market. The current situation is arguably worse because cryptocurrency prices were already slumping. It's important to note, though, that the long-term prospects for Cardano, Chainlink, Cronos, and Polkadot shouldn't change as a result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Each of the four cryptocurrencies offers advantages that won't be diminished whatsoever. Cardano launched smart contracts on its network last year, a move that makes it more competitive with Ethereum. Chainlink allows real-world data to be brought into any blockchain. Cronos is the native token of the popular Crypto.com exchange (and until recently was known as Crypto.com Coin). Polkadot provides a great foundation for Web3 apps.
KRAKEN:ADAUSDLong
by pugrathisa
Digital turbine / APPS ANALYSISDigital Turbine is a company I've been swinging for months. I believe the Stock is under some pressure and it has a crucial resistance level at 44.80. Today it APPS sits around 43.60 and it is green. If APPS gets to breaks the resistance level of 44.80 the stock is going to hit around another resistance level at 47.70 and if it keeps showing strength the stock will break through and hit the mid digit 50's giving you a 10 dollar gain per share again. But if the stock under performs under pressure the stock and breaks support at 39.50 the stock will go to the redder ends of the market and could hit the prices around 37-35 taking a 10 dollar loss per share. Digital turbine values it's company at around 96 and it is expanding quickly. Do your own research and let me know if you want me to do any other analysis.
NASDAQ:APPS
by Alfiojparisi
Weekly Trend Perspective S&P 500 using GoNoGo ChartsFrom the weekly perspective, the S&P 500's rally this week was not lost in the late Friday afternoon selloff. GoNoGo Trend shifted into the stronger "Go" trend conditions - shown in the final blue bar representing this week's trading session ending 2/11/2022. And yet, the weight of the evidence shows several key threats: 1. BEARISH DIVERGENCE between Price and GoNoGo Oscillator in Nov-Dec 2021. A higher high in price was met with a lower high in the momentum oscillator of the lower panel. 2. BREAK OF THE ZERO-LINE in the lower panel shows that momentum fell from neutral to oversold four weeks ago 3. POLARITY - the zero-line of GoNoGo Oscillator acted as SUPPORT throughout the "Go" trend of $SPY off the covid lows in 2020 but became RESISTANCE for momentum this week as the oscillator was rejected at zero and returned to negative territory 3. HIGH RELATIVE VOLUME - GoNoGo Oscillator changes from aqua to dark blue when markets experience higher relative volume. What was lighter volume at the swing highs in late November became heavier volume through this correction in 2022 GoNoGo Charts provide a blended view of many technical indicators all in an elegant, color-coded, easy to read chart. Avoid analysis paralysis, but retain a complete technical perspective of trend, momentum, volume & volatility. Better Charts. Better Decisions. GoNoGo Charts.
AMEX:SPY
by TylerWood2020
Is Trading “Gambling” or “Risky” ? Explained in business terms.Hi everyone: The question that most people will ask is whether trading is the same as “gambling”. Throughout the 9 years of my trading journey, this has always been brought up and asked about many times. Of course anyone is entitled to think based on their perspective and view, so I am not here to argue or convince them otherwise. Rather, I am here to share some key aspects of what I learned in trading for the last 9 years, as well as years in the business world to discuss the difference between “Gambling” and “Risky” in trading and in business. Most people who have never traded in their lives, but have heard about trading, usually assume trading is some sort of get rich quick scheme. They often assume it's a type of “gamble”. Since most people around them probably lost money in trading. It's not surprising as the statistics don't lie, 90-95% retail traders lose money in trading and quit eventually. But what most people don't know is “why” and “how” they lose money in trading. It's usually a combination of poor mindset and emotion. No systematic plan, no risk management, get rich quick thinking, revenge/over trading, fear of missing out, and alot more psychological issues. They did not put in the time and effort to succeed. Which then resulted in traders losing money and quitting. Eventually making up excuses of why they fail in trading, and blame the market, the broker, the strategy. All these no doubt also resulted in what normal people will say trading is a “gamble.” On the other hand, is trading “risky” ? Trading is just like any other businesses out there, that will be risky due to unforeseen circumstances. Businesses face external factors that they can not control, just like in trading. Businesses have internal expenses, overhead costs, labour, loans, C.O.G.S…etc as well as many competitions within their respected industry. It requires hard work and determination to succeed. Even for larger businesses that are where they are today, they were all risky when they started. Was Amazon Risky ? Was Tesla Risky ? Was Facebook Risky ? Absolutely. But that did not stop their owners from putting in maximum effort and time to make it work. Trading is no different, you are the owner, director and the CEO of your trading account. So, don't confuse and get “gamble” and “risk” mixed up. It's up to us individually to acknowledge and understand the difference between the two. The truth is, successful traders understand the difference between “gamble” and “risk”. To remove the “gambling” aspect from trading, is to have a well written trading plan, proper risk management, right trading psychology, positive mindset and control emotion. Whatever strategy you decide to implement is not really the cause of your success or failure, but rather those I mentioned above. This way, you remove almost all the “gambling” aspect away from trading, and it is now “risky” but bearable for you to handle. Will trading always be “risky” ? Sure, it is a business and anything can happen unexpectedly and out of nowhere. But successful traders understand the importance of treating trading like a business, so contingency plan, back up plan, trading plan, management plan, and much more should be carefully thought out so you will know what to do when you are hit with sudden surprises like in a business operation. The worst thing we can do is to not be part of any “risk”. If we are so relaxed, laid back, and have no stress to motivate us to move forward, then we stay within our “comfort” zone. We become so glued to our 9-5 job which we then think it's safe. But, we will forever be in a rat race against many others who are better than us in credentials that will land that higher position/salary that we want. “So to me, without taking a “risk” in life is the biggest “gamble” that you can do in life.” Welcome to let me know and share with everyone what you think about this topic :) Thank you Jojo
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by jojofang0901
41
Bull Wedge in Gold??Gold has pressed down past our support level at 1795, plummeting through the entire vacuum zone between 1815 and 1795. As predicted, we have found support in the 1780's, with two levels acting as a buffer between our ultimate floor of 1777. We are seeing a bull wedge forming at current levels, suggesting that gold may attempt a rebound to higher levels, but will face resistance at 1795. If we are able to break this, then the next level is 1815. If we dump further, we anticipate support at 1777. The Kovach OBV is pretty flat, suggesting we need momentum to come through either way.
COMEX:GC1!Long
by quantguy
2
Whats the difference between Risk Management & Money Management?TLDR: Risk management generally is determining what portion of your capital you are willing to risk in a trade and staying true to that. Money management is how you would spend the money earned (in this case through trading) . Eg : Rather that withdrawing all the profits from your account you can let it be there and compound it, or rather than spending it on unnecessary luxuries you can save it for a rainy day . _________________ Full: This is something I usually get asked many times by new starters in trading as they are both common terms that you will hear as you learn about trading and investing. They are both vital concepts but it's important that you know the difference between them. Money management refers to the processes of budgeting, saving, investing, spending, or otherwise overseeing the capital usage of an individual or group. The term can also refer more narrowly to investment management and portfolio management. Money management broadly refers to the processes utilised to record and administer an individual's, household's, or organisation's finances. Financial advisors and personal finance platforms such as mobile apps are increasingly common in helping individuals manage their money better. Poor money management can lead to cycles of debt and financial strain. In the financial world, risk management is the process of identification, analysis, and acceptance or mitigation of uncertainty in investment decisions. Essentially, risk management occurs when an investor or fund manager analyses and attempts to quantify the potential for losses in an investment, such as a moral hazard, and then takes the appropriate action (or inaction) given the fund's investment objectives and risk tolerance. Risk is inseparable from return. Every investment involves some degree of risk, which is considered close to zero in the case of a U.S. T-bill or very high for something such as emerging-market equities or real estate in highly inflationary markets. Risk is quantifiable both in absolute and in relative terms. A solid understanding of risk in its different forms can help investors to better understand the opportunities, trade-offs, and costs involved with different investment approaches.
Education
by JoelWarby