S&P 500: Hedging against bear market riskThe "S&P 500" started on Wednesday to fill the open gap between March 8 and March 9 (above 2740, below 2751). This is bullish and should lead to a bounce in the next days, thereby taking the "S&P 500" higher again. But in case this bounce fails to keep the market going upwards above 2800, the idea is to hedge against further downside risk with a short placed above the high of March 14, at least while the long from 2651 remains open (see related chart idea below).
Short entry: 2785
Stop loss: 2833
Target: 2640
Risk/Reward: 3
The Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicator shows that the downtrend was almost over after March 12, but then instead resumed on March 13 on the "S&P 500".
The Directional Movement Index (DMI) indicator didn't cross bullish on the "Dow Jones", a signal which is even more bearish than on the "S&P 500".
Risk!!!
CUR; A risky but potentially lucrative investmentIf I decide to reduce shares in either of my holdings (FB, PYPL), CUR would be a small bet I would be willing to take. It recently shedded about half it's value since the huge spike up. It seems to have finally found bottom. I have support and resistance lines drawn in, if I end up investing, I would set a stop just below the support, and play the sell out (limit) by ear, rather than setting one. Perhaps they will have another breakthrough soon with trials or something. Who knows though, it's a risky sector/stock.
Lemme know your ideas below, this is my first time posting about a penny stock.
-Kristian
Core rules to trade with Sinewave & MomentumHope this educational content will help you make a better use of the indicators.
Remember that these rules are just ground rules. Positions sizes and stops positionning will depend on your own risk profile.
This is up to you to find your comfort zone on these parameters.
Indicators used in this video are : PRO Sinewave & PRO Momentum
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
You can check my indicators via my TradingView's Profile : @PRO_Indicators
Kindly,
Phil
S&P 500: The showdown of the US government shutdown The Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell is making contingency plans for the growing possibility of a government shutdown ( www.fxstreet.com ).
The RSI momentum indicator is starting to show a bearish divergence, after the "S&P 500" had reached my previous long target at 2800 points. Due to the uncertainty regarding the outcome of a government shutdown are signs of weakness visible at the R3 price resistance. To hedge open long-positions I recommend to place a small sized short around here.
Short entry: 2798
Stop loss: 2808
1. Target 2768
2. Target: 2708
Risk to SL at 2675: 10 points
Reward (1. Target): 30 points
Reward (2. Target): 90 points
BTCUSD two patternsHello.
Two possible patterns appeared. H&S and W. Indicators shows bull`s tendens. For the last days my forecasts were very good with the help of indicators, so i think it`s more chances to go up from that point, at least to 17k (upper bb line). Cant say will it be higher or not, because we lack of fandamental now. The threshold is ma20 at 1d tf. breaking through will mean up, bouncing will draw right shoulder.
Who`s holding - move your stop losses.
Thank you for attention:)
If my charts helped you somehow, you can help me with donation. I`m saving up 0.02 btc to start trading and the part of it i`ll use to get the tradingview pro pack. Any satoshi from you is precious for me. Watch status to make it.
Thank you for attention!
High Risk, Quick Turnover profits, 5-30%, TRX as an Example. As promised, here are two strategies for quick profits.
BEWARE: Trading on 5 minutes charts with patterns that aren't as strong as their longer-term counterparts is VERY risky.
Apologies for my messy charts, still trying to work out the best way to display and explain.
Overview:
If you have a longer term pattern in place, it becomes easier to predict where the price may fall or rise to within the pattern.
A chart of one hour or greater is recommended.
You can use the strategies explained below in a market that is in a downtrend or uptrend phase.
Strategy #1
Patterns within patterns.
- Using 5-15 minute charts.
- Buying the breakout of a smaller pennant.
- Look for higher lows just before breakout.
- Ensure you have a stop loss of your choosing.
- Sell once broken the upward trend line.
- Draw the steepest line possible, for earliest entry and exit prices.
Each black arrow on this chart represents a trade opportunity. There are at least 13 here.
Close-ups:
Strategy #2
Support and Resistance within patterns
- The more times price bounces off a support or resistance level, the stronger it becomes, thus less risk involved.
- Before trying to buy the support zone, ensure there has been at least 2 bounces from it before.
- Buying at the support level, with a stop loss of your choosing. I like 2-5%.
- Sell at resistance or once short term trend line broken.
- Where there is an arrow, there is a trade opportunity.
Each black arrow on this chart represents a trade opportunity. There are at least 6 here.
Close-up:
NLG - Gulden 1000% potential profit if broken (Shitcoin - Risky)If the trend line is broken we might be looking at 10x profit.
Really Risky!!!
FLDC - High Risk, High Profit (Shitcoin) [4x]Foldingcoin tested support and rebounded up, I'm expecting it to reach 1400 so that would give about 4x profit from the time of this analysis. However its low volume so high risk.
TRIG - High Risk StrategyAs we all look to crush this financial opportunity in Cryptocurrency, it's always beneficial to open your mind to other strategies. In this post I'll show you my altcoin strategy for a coin with a smaller market cap (around $50M) which have the potential to give high % returns.
Firstly, we see that this coin has had a run to the 27th Nov and has retraced back to the 0.618 Fib level which is a healthy retracement when in an upwards trend. When the price came to test the trend line, I bought in. My target was the black 0.618 Fib. I really should have posted this idea then!
Next, the price broke the trend line and fell back to the 0.618 Fib level. Looking at RSI and Stoch RSI, they both are showing oversold at the time again, similar to when the price first retraced to the 0.618 Fib level. If this can keep support here then I will hold my position. If the price cannot hold then I will reduce my position to anticipate it dropping below the support line. If it then drops below this then I'll exit this trade.
I am risking 17.5% in total for 100% gain. These trades a VERY hard to make and may come by only once a blue moon, but nonetheless some risk takers may find this to their style! Fundamental Analysis is a great addition when using this strategy as you can 'buy the rumour and sell the news' or in other words, get in before everybody else. I would advise to only place a small % of your trading account in trades like these and stay strict to your strategy.
Please let me know your thoughts on this strategy in the comments below!
Trading the potential divergent sentiment (Short GBPCAD)As long as the uncertainty over Brexit divorce deals and irish border remains, I will be bullish on the sterling overall. A hawkish tone from BOC later today could be a major catalyst for this pair to move lower. A positive development on the brexit issue and a dovish tone from BOC later are the major risks for this trading plan.
Brent Crude Oil: UKOIL Buy point with 19 pip risk and 500 rewardBRENT Crude Oil UKOIL Update
A nasty failed break above the upper paralle lhas forced Brent
back to the lower parallel, the entry point was hoping for, so
am going long at 62.18 with stop under 61.90. And if this call
goes wrong and Brent breaks below the lower little parallel of
this flag forming now will reverse completely for fall to 61.12.
If it's going to rally as expected, it should do it from here (see
earlier comments for details)
Bitcoin; BTCUSD Last valiant chance to go long with stop closeBitcoin
A fantastic point perfect test of the parabola has held up
Bitcoin so far. It's rallied to 7150 and stopped, coming back
down to give a buying opportunity close to 7080, so look to
buy as close as possible witha stop under 7050.
If this ends up failing, we've had a valiant try and a faily small
loss compared to potential gains if this is the to be the low.
And if it isn't please refer to earlier comment for shorting
strategies.
Nasdaq Biotech: NBI A good low risk buy point coming up tomorrowNASDAQ BIOTECHNOLOGY INDEX: NBI A good low risk Buy Point Coming Up
Range trading between the parallels continues as it has done since last year's election low.
It' looks like it should fall back to 3267 where it becomes a buy again with stops just under 3250.
It should make a strong rally from here back up to 3575 for about 300 points gain, with
the first level of resistance at 3344 (close out first long here). A subsequent move above 3344
will be very positive for this index, taking up to 3435-3444 range before it falls away to
3380 at which point it should move higher to the 3575 target - at which point it becomes a short again
If this long call from 3266 is wrong, it means that the lower parallel that has guided this up-wave from
inception is also failing, an extremely bearish outcome should the stop at 3245 fail, signalling a move
back to 3168-3148 range (and a complete reversal of positions into near-term shorts) where this
index becomes a strong buy again.
USDJPY SHORT TARGET 110.00Look, its hard to recommend shorting something which you are long-term bullish. But given the current geopolitical situation happening around (I'm talking about the ousting of royals in Saudi Arabia over the weekend) and Kuroda's affirmation that there will not be any stimulus coming, we can expect the pair to move down lower. Do also note that the pair is also a proxy for safe-haven assets, the markets may be looking at protecting their portfolio against any selloff.
The reason I'm saying this is because the equities market are probably overpriced and due for a correction. I am personally short in a couple of cyclical stocks, while long in safe haven assets.
Going onto technicals, we can see that the pair has hit a downtrend line. It has also been moving up sideways since October, signalling a weakened rally. We are also able to locate significant resistance 114.30-50, based on price action in May and July 2017. With this, I am able to justify a short on the pair, with a final target at around 110.20. I would take some profit as the pair moves down, but expect myself to be out by 110.20.
Cheers guys, happy trading.
Follow me on www.houtiantan.com
I trade with bit.ly/AxiFXSG
Bitcoin: BTCUSD Last chance for low risk entry approachingBitcoin: BTCUSD Last chance for low risk entry coming up
See how the old (now dead) rising support line is still trying to kill anything that comes near it? It's still toxic...
You can see why day traders are wary of it, especially as it coincides with fixed overhead supply at the same 7350 level.
(This stuff takes too long to write and too damn often what I think is about happen, HAS hapened by time it's finished
...very trying, especially as Bitcoin moves between 10 times and 1000 times faster than any other instrument on the planet.
It was already on crack. Now it's doing steroids too. It's Jaws on crack and steroids and we've got it on the hook...maybe
If you were slick enough to get long lower maybe you were slick enough to exit too??? If not, it's OK.
We need to move away from that old toxic rotting line of rising support/new resistance, the left-overs from an old trail, to
stay in outlaw-chasing mode....well there's not much selling going on from 7350 so far...ideally Bitcoin will trade sideways
to down for a while and start to build support off 7260-7245 range and from there start to rise again. Look to buy/add
from this range if tested. Will still be using a tight stop though just below 7220 just in case that old resistance line proves to
be so strong it''s unsurmountable. If it gets struck, the risk is about 50 points. The potential reward is incalculable at present.
It's the only financial instrument in the world you can say that about. Everything else has it's value, pretty much. Good luck!