It is a very interesting and highly explosive situation now on WTI OIL market Price has been trending laterally since the start of September, causing volatility on quarterly basis to contract unusually tight (measured by 1.25 standard deviations from quarterly (66 day) mean) It means that when price eventually breaks from the 1st standard deviation, a move in...
For WallMart stocks, 2015 was not a good year so far... Trading between macro means on long term basis, price signalling uncertainty. Price has recently failed 5-year mean at 69 and is now between it and 10-year mean at 60. No trend on macro basis is an outlier, indicating that currently long term institutional investors are unsure regarding this company. On...
At least stock price wise, not all is looking good for Verizon... Trading between macro means on long term basis, price signalling uncertainty. Price has recently failed 5-year mean at 44 and is now between it and 10-year mean at 38. No trend on macro basis is an outlier, indicating that currently long term institutional investors are unsure regarding this...
United Health is one the best-looking stock from our Dow Jones overview - on par with Nike. On long term perspective it trades firmly above upper 1st standard deviation from 5 and 10 year means - which means that long term uptrends are well in progress. On short term basis the long term picture is confirmed by the slope of 1-year mean. The only short term risk...
United Technologies in a very risky situation... On long term basis price is trading between 10-year and 5-year means. Price close to macro means is actually an outlier, an indication of uncertainty of major market participants and investors regarding the stock. On short term basis price is currently on downward risk, as it trades below the 1st standard...
Recently GBPUSD has broken below lower 1st standard deviation from quarterly mean, initiating a new leg downwards. If the price continues down from here, the closest target is relevant lows at 1.5150 If those are taken out, price will be very likely to fall to the lower 1st standard deviation from 1-year mean at 1.5000 Thus downwards scenario will be only...
Rusian MICEX index, measured in US dollars is on risk of another severe breakdown. Price is now currently trading at a key level - converged lower 1st standard deviations from 1-year and quarterly means (@ 24.75) If the level is taken out, price will be open to fall to its relevant lows @ 23 and If those are broken down, next target would be 18.5 - the 2014...
IN OUR PREVIOUS IDEA ON SNP WE STATED THAT THE INDEX CANCELLED DOWNWARD RISK, AS IT TRADED ABOVE 1ST STANDARD DEVIATIONS FROM 1-YEAR AND QUARTERLY MEAN AT ABOUT 197 HOWEVER, MARKET PROVED US WRONG! PRICE HAS FALLEN BACK BELOW THE KEY LEVELS, THUS IS NOW OPEN TO MORE DOWNSIDE AT THIS STAGE WE CAN ONLY CONCLUDE THAT THE TRUE CANCELLATION OF DOWNWARD RISK WILL BE...
EURUSD is currently on risk of breakdown, as it falls below 1st standard deviation from weekly (120-h) mean, amid expanding volatility (measured by 3.2 st deviations from the mean) - signaling downtrend probability Traders can pick short positions closer to the lower 1st standard deviation (at 1.12525) with STIOP at the mean itself (1.1315) Traders should mind...
Merck fell into uncertainty on long term basis, but is on risk to fall on short term perspective. On long term perspective price is now in lateral range after it failed 10-year uptrend, by falling below 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean @ 54.65 (now the range upper border). The lower border of the macro lateral range is marked by 5-year mean, standing now...
JPMorgan is testing its macro uptrend, after successfully testing its 10-year uptrend, currently price tires to reestablish its 5-year uptrend. Recently price has bounced up from the 10-year uptrend border, marked by 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean (at 57) Currently price is trading around its 5-year uptrend border, marked by upper 1st st deviation from...
JNJ micro picture currently contradicts macro one. On long term basis, JNJ has held the test of 10-year trend by falling below and then bouncing back up above the 10-year uptrend border (marked by 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean, now at 91) On short term basis, however, price has fallen below 1st standard deviations from quarterly (66-day) and 1-year...
Longing AUDUSD on this beautiful 1 hour pinbar in obvious uptrend. Our stop is the last low. we have two strong resistance levels until then and hopefully we will continue to the upside. Risk:Reward = 1:2. - Trade with the trend, you wouldnt try to roll a stone up a hill when you could just as well roll it downwards.
IBM is on risk of 5-year downtrend after falling out from 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean. Additionally, price has fallen out of 1st standard deviation from 1-year mean, this is on short term downward risk as well. Thus unless price trades back above short term risk order @ 150.5 - and then back above larger downtrend risk border @ 157.5 - risk of...
S&P 500 closed today above key level, which is the downtrend border in relation to 1-year and quarterly mean. The level is the lower 1st standard deviation from 1-year and quarterly means aligned, now standing at 197.5 The close above cancels downward risk that was initiated during late August selloff - and if price trades above it from now on - it will likely...
Longing audcad from this resistance to the last top. Pinbars/dojis confirm our entry. The blue dotted trendline also speaks in favour of a long on this pair for a 1:2 risk:reward. Hold your thumbs!
USDRUB attempts 2nd time to break its quarterly downtrend, started back in June by breaking below the 1st standard deviation from quarterly mean (66-days) However only the tag of the mean itself (now at 61.05) will declare the end of the uptrend
Exxon is in a complex situation - but overall risk is still to the downside at the moment. On long term basis, XOM fell out of 1st standard deviation from 5-year mean (at 76 now), but is still holding within 1st standard deviation from 10-year mean (although, below the mean itself) Thus XOM is on risk of decline there at least to 65 - which is the lower 1st...