⚠️ Risk Management Examples Showcase📍What Is the Risk/Reward Ratio?
The risk/reward ratio marks the prospective reward an investor can earn for every dollar they risk on an investment. Many investors use risk/reward ratios to compare the expected returns of an investment with the amount of risk they must undertake to earn these returns. A lower risk/return ratio is often preferable as it signals less risk for an equivalent potential gain.
📍Consider the showcased example:
An investment with a risk-reward ratio of 1:3 suggests that an investor is willing to risk $100, for the prospect of earning $300. Alternatively, a risk/reward ratio of 1:4 signals that an investor should expect to invest $100, for the prospect of earning $300 on their investment.
Traders often use this approach to plan which trades to take, and the ratio is calculated by dividing the amount a trader stands to lose if the price of an asset moves in an unexpected direction (the risk) by the amount of profit the trader expects to have made when the position is closed (the reward).
It is very important to calculate your R:R before entering a trade. Sometimes the trade might not be worth the amount you're risking vs the reward you can get.
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📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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Risk!!!
USDSGD Reaching a key level to watch**Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week**
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
EU short term downA potential h&s...lets see..
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Hello there!
If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏
And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁
Thank you!
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
"G" did "U" see that?Gee, golly, did you see how long it took for this trade PEPPERSTONE:GBPUSD to exit drawdown. It was only this morning after a long week of drawdown, and a even longer weekend of backtesting, the results are in! We set our stop loss, and allow the market to work. I have officially earned my very first $100 ever on the markets. According to my trading journal, my account is now up 58.24% in the month of April. Although trading this pair was not the smartest decision of mine. Learning how to trade has been the best decision I have ever made. Once I started taking this seriously, I am starting to witness the small results start to show: from learning price action, risk management, and fundamental analysis. There are so many elements into a being a professional day trader, and I am here for it. The biggest lesson I learned from this trade, was not to be emotional in the drawdown. If I cannot afford to lose $100, I cannot handle earning $100. A second lesson I have learned is how to simply read candlestick patterns. Third and final lesson of the day, was how to identify a divergence, these lessons, are exactly WHY I entered, and held the trade as long as I did, but from now on, I will stick to my trading plan, get in, and get out!
In conclusion, I'd like to share my trading journal entry..
DID I FOLLOW MY PLAN?
Yes. I exercised my 5 step trading strategy.
WHAT DID I DO WELL?
1. Set My Stop Loss (Take Profits) in profit.
2. Traded the pair in a new session.
3. Exercised good risk management, by setting a stop loss.
WHAT CAN I DO BETTER?
1. Allow price to test my zone before I enter a trade.
2.Cut My Losses Short Early
3. Stick to trading in my selected session! (London)
WHAT DID I LEARN?
1. Cut My Losses Short Early In The Future.
2. Patience and Virtue
3. How To identify a divergence.
DID I PREPARE PROPERLY?
NO, I entered a trade with a high lot size without reading fundamental analysis on the pair first.
I also did not set my price, and wait for a confirmation.
Potential h&s on the h4?Watch 1.088 area**Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week**
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Audusd could likely be one of the weaker majors...Audusd should see more downside if USD is to strengthen on the higher timeframe...
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If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏
And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁
Thank you!
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Audcad likely more downside
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Hello there!
If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏
And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁
Thank you!
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
⚠️ Risk:Reward & Win-Rate CheatsheetThe reward to risk ratio (RRR, or reward risk ratio) is maybe the most important metric in trading and a trader who understands the RRR can improve his chances of becoming profitable. Basically, the reward risk ratio measures the distance from your entry to your stop loss and your take profit order and then compares the two distances. Traders who understand this connection can quickly see that you neither need an extremely high winrate nor a large reward:risk ratio to make money as a trader. As long as your reward:risk ratio and your historical winrate match, your trading will provide a positive expectancy.
🔷 Calculating the RRR
Let’s say the distance between your entry and stop loss is 50 points and the distance between the entry and your take profit is 100 points .
Then the reward risk ratio is 2:1 because 100/50 = 2.
Reward Risk Ratio Formula
RRR = (Take Profit – Entry ) / (Entry – Stop loss)
🔷 Minimum Winrate
When you know the reward:risk ratio for your trade, you can easily calculate the minimum required winrate (see formula below).
Why is this important? Because if you take trades that have a small RRR you will lose money over the long term, even if you think you find good trades.
Minimum Winrate Formula
Minimum Winrate = 1 / (1 + Reward:Risk)
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📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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Overtrading VisualizationThis diagram helps visualize the effects of overtrading. Overtrading is placing more trades than should be placed, typically resulting in unnecessary losses. There is a fixed number of trade setups that will occur with any trading system during any time period and ideally each trade setup will be traded to produce maximal profits. In general, trades that are not setups will result in losses.
For simplicity, this diagram assumes the initial trades placed are all trade setups and that all trades placed beyond the # of trade setups are not setups.
In reality, someone could place a number of trades that corresponds to the # of trade setups, but if half their trades were not setups, they will have losses. The resulting diagram may look something like this:
Bottom line: Trade setups only and try and identify as many setups as you can. Identifying 100% of all setups that exist may be a tall order but trading 100% setups is possible with patience and discipline.
Note: This idea was published primarily with day trading in mind, but it applies to any type of trading.
Screenshot of main diagram:
Gbpaud potentially turning on h4**Find out more from my Tradingview Stream this week**
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Hello there!
If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏
And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁
Thank you!
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
USD Could be at a turning point...USD daily chart could be looking for a double bounce ,let's wait for level confirmations though still on the downside on higher timeframe.
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Hello there!
If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏
And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁
Thank you!
Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Risk Management Strategies Every Trader Should KnowIntroduction
Trading can be a profitable venture, but it also comes with its fair share of risks. In order to succeed as a trader, it is important to have a solid risk management plan in place. In this article, we will discuss key risk management strategies that every trader should know. These include determining your risk tolerance, using stop loss orders, implementing position sizing, diversifying your portfolio, and monitoring and adjusting your strategy.
Determine Your Risk Tolerance
The first step in developing a risk management plan is to assess your own risk tolerance. This is the level of risk that you are willing and able to take on for a given trade. There are several factors that can influence your risk tolerance, including your financial situation, experience level, and personal preferences.
To determine your risk tolerance, consider the amount of money that you are willing to risk per trade, as well as the maximum percentage of your portfolio that you are comfortable losing. It is important to be honest with yourself when assessing your risk tolerance, as taking on too much risk can lead to significant losses.
Use Stop Loss Orders
Stop loss orders are an essential tool for managing risk in trading. A stop loss order is an instruction to sell a security when it reaches a certain price, in order to limit losses. By setting a stop loss order, traders can limit their potential losses and protect their capital.
It is important to set stop loss orders at a level that reflects your risk tolerance and the volatility of the market. Traders should also be aware of the potential for slippage, which is when the execution price of a stop loss order is different from the desired price due to market volatility or other factors.
Implement Position Sizing
Position sizing is another important risk management strategy that traders can use to manage their exposure to risk. Position sizing refers to the amount of money that a trader invests in each trade, and is typically expressed as a percentage of the trader's overall portfolio.
Traders can use different approaches to position sizing, including fixed dollar amount, fixed percentage, or volatility-based position sizing. Each approach has its own advantages and disadvantages, and traders should choose the approach that best suits their risk tolerance and trading strategy.
Diversify Your Portfolio
Diversification is a key risk management strategy that involves spreading your investments across different assets or markets. By diversifying your portfolio, you can reduce your exposure to any single asset or market, and mitigate the potential for significant losses.
There are many different ways to diversify your portfolio, including investing in different types of assets (such as stocks, bonds, and commodities), or investing in different geographic regions or sectors. It is important to carefully consider the potential risks and benefits of each diversification strategy, and to choose a strategy that aligns with your risk tolerance and investment goals.
Monitor and Adjust Your Strategy
Finally, it is important to monitor and adjust your risk management strategy on an ongoing basis. This involves regularly reviewing your trading performance, identifying areas of weakness or risk, and making changes to your strategy as needed.
Traders should be aware of the potential for changes in market conditions or other factors that could impact their risk management strategy, and should be prepared to make adjustments as needed. This may involve increasing or decreasing position sizes, adjusting stop loss levels, or re-evaluating diversification strategies.
Conclusion
In summary, risk management is a crucial aspect of successful trading, and there are several key strategies that traders can use to manage their exposure to risk. These include determining your risk tolerance, using stop loss orders, implementing position sizing, diversifying your portfolio, and monitoring and adjusting your strategy. By taking a proactive approach to risk management, traders can minimize losses and maximize their potential for success.
bitcoin and world war 3Good Day Everyone
It is understandable to feel cautious about investing and trading in the current geopolitical climate. There are indeed tensions between several countries, such as China and the USA, Israel and Iran, and Russia and NATO, among others. These conflicts could potentially escalate and lead to a full-scale world war.
However, it is important to keep in mind that predicting the occurrence of a world war is complex and uncertain. While there are geopolitical risks, these do not necessarily mean that trading in decentralized assets like cryptocurrencies will inevitably result in the loss of all your money.
Investments, including trading in cryptocurrencies, always involve risks. Risk management is an essential aspect of investing, and it is up to each individual to assess and manage their own risk tolerance. While the current global situation may warrant caution, it is important to remember that diversification is key to managing risk.
Bitcoin, the world's largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has recently been trading at around 29,000 USD. This is a significant drop from its all-time high of nearly 65,000 USD in mid-April 2021. The volatility of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies is well-known, with prices often fluctuating wildly in response to a wide range of factors, from news events to regulatory changes and market sentiment.
One major factor that is currently contributing to the uncertainty and volatility in the cryptocurrency market is the prospect of a potential world war. While the likelihood of such an event remains uncertain, there are certainly many geopolitical tensions and conflicts around the world that could potentially escalate into something more serious. In such a scenario, investors may be looking to reduce their exposure to high-risk assets like cryptocurrencies and move their money into safer, more stable investments.
It is worth noting, however, that the decision to pull out of cryptocurrencies and other high-risk assets should not be taken lightly. While these investments can be volatile and risky, they can also offer potentially high returns for those who are willing to take on the risk. Moreover, there are many factors that can affect the price of cryptocurrencies, including government regulations, technological advancements, and changes in investor sentiment.
Therefore, it is important for investors to carefully consider their options and assess the risks and rewards of different investment strategies. It may be wise to consult with a financial advisor or investment professional before making any major investment decisions.
In the meantime, it is important to stay informed about the latest developments in the world and to monitor the situation closely. While there is no way to predict the future with certainty, having a solid understanding of the risks and opportunities in the market can help investors make informed decisions and navigate the ups and downs of the crypto market.
⚠️ 🔥 Systemic Risks Alert & the 3 De-couplingsThis is long 20 min video. I think i reached the limit as i didn't manage to finish the recording but you will get the point. You better get the point or you might run deadly risks going Long or Short....
I am going to start with the 3 de-couplings:
1. China-US Decoupling
2. Banks - Crypto decoupling
3. Crypto-Indices decoupling
I cover all 3 in the video plus i offer my insights on how to approach the trading part (hedge mode is ON).
Potential Systemic Risk events:
1. Banks.. not looking good, it's quiet now but willit be under control?
2. Attack on the petrodollar. Will US lose the superpower status? Ask Saudi Arabia
3. War. Will it stay just in Ukraine? Combine it with (2) and it could be bad.
Links:
thediplomat.com
www.middleeastmonitor.com
news.sky.com
tvpworld.com
goldswitzerland.com
Allow me to be worried..or if you don't agree with me you might want to agree with Ernest Hemingway: “the first panacea for a mismanaged nation is inflation of the currency; the second is war”
www.forbes.com
Stay cool, this is just history in the making.
The FXPROFESSOR
(Bitcoin sounds like the best option)
2 Free Online Games that Have Helped Me Become a Better Investor2 Free Online Games that Have Helped Me Become a Better Investor.
So Im in the middle of reading the " A Man of for All Markets" by Edward O. Thorp, and its fascinating. Hes a mathematician who proved there was a potential edge in blackjack (21) based on the cards that were left in the deck. He also went on to be investing fund manager who focused on covered calls and warrants and had a consistent track record for 20-25% annual returns. But his logic covered in his book focused on not only the odds of winning but the sizing of bets in both playing games and investing.
Risk management and bet sizing is not spoken about enough in life I believe. In the age of YOLO and wall street bets, clearly its not celebrated enough. A YOLO bet is a massive bet because 'you only live once'. how silly mathematically and how foolish from a consistency basis. Been there done that.
Bet sizing is key for survival. If you cant endure and survive long enough to be massively right, then your out of the game.
In the video I share 2 games that I think are awesome for practicing these concepts. I really I had learned to play and practice these concepts in games like this in college or high school. Its a math simulation. the Coin flip game is fantastic for learning how to manage risk and bet sizing. The Cashflow game by rich dad poor dad is awesome for taking investment habits and cash managements and applying them into a mini lifecycle that rhymes with real life.
If youre new to investing, or just sharpening your skills, I definitely recommend both games.
Have a great day, Cheers!
RISKOMETER Based on Your Trading Style ⚠️
Hey traders,
In this educational post, we will discuss the relation of risk to your trading style.
1️⃣ High Frequency Trading (HFT)
It is a complex algorithmic approach that is used to operate on second(s) time frames.
Such a style is considered to be the riskiest one.
With a very high frequency of order execution and sophisticated strategies, it requires a very high level of experience and proper software and hardware for successful operations.
2️⃣ Scalping
It is a manual trading style with operations on minutes time frames.
With the average holding period ranging from minutes to hours, scalping requires a high degree of attention and constant charts monitoring.
Being one of the most profitable trading styles for retail traders, scalping involves an extremely high risk and mental load.
3️⃣ Day trading
The form of speculation in which the traders attempt to make profits within a single trading day.
Occasionally, however, day traders may hold their positions overnight.
Day trading is considered to be slower than scalping, with the trade execution on hourly time frames.
Slower pace drastically reduces risks also limiting the potential gains.
4️⃣ Swing trading
It is a style of trading that is aimed to make profits on swing moves, with an average holding period ranging from days to weeks.
4H time frame is the lowest time frame where swing traders usually operate, and a daily time frame is usually the highest one.
The operations on higher time frame dramatically reduces the noise and degree of manipulations, making that style of trading relatively safe.
5️⃣Investing (Position Trading)
Trading / investing style aiming to make long-term profits.
The average holding time of a position trader may expand to years.
In comparison to other trading styles, investing generally produces the smallest gain. That is, however, compensated by extremely low risks.
Correct understanding of relations between trading styles and potential risks is crucially important for a selection of an appropriate style for you.
Shorter is the holding period and operational time frames, higher is the risk, but higher are the potential gains.
You should pick the style that fits your risk-tolerance and expectation.
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The ‘free lunch’ in currency hedging?Since 2012, WisdomTree has been a leader in helping investors understand the impact that currency risk can have on their portfolios. When investors allocate funds internationally, there are two sources of return: the local asset return and the return from changes in foreign exchange (FX) rates. This can be problematic during periods in which foreign currencies are depreciating against the investor’s home currency, leading to underperformance.
Historically, the default allocation of a majority of investors has been to keep the equity and currency exposure combined. However, this doesn’t have to be the case and it is possible to uncouple those risks.
Currencies, a significant source of risk and tracking difference
A globally diversified equity portfolio, like the MSCI World point of view, is a bundle of equity and currency risk. 68% of the MSCI World is invested in US equities and, therefore, denominated in US dollars. 6% is invested in Japanese equities and, therefore, denominated in Japanese yen and so on. The exposure to currency can add to or detract from the performance of the equities themselves. This means that the performance of the MSCI World (unhedged) is quite different for an investor with the US dollar as the base currency compared to an investor with the euro as the base currency.
Every year, the difference in performance between the MSCI World hedged or unhedged is significant for both euro and pound-based investors. For euro-based investors, the difference in performance driven by the currency exposure oscillated between -9.41% and +10.1%. For a British pound investor, the difference is between -5.9% and +20.4%.This embedded currency exposure also tends to increase the risk in the portfolio.
Because the currency risk sits on top of the equity risk when investing in global equities, taking currency risk or not taking currency risk has to be a conscious investment decision.
Currency hedging as a tactical endeavour
Foreign exchange rates change over time. Many factors contribute to those deviations:
interest rate expectations
inflation differentials
public policy
growth forecast
balance of payments
Over the short to medium term, currencies can move quite dramatically against each other leading to potential losses or gains for investors invested in unhedged foreign equities. For investors with strong conviction on the direction of foreign currencies relative to their domestic currency, it is therefore possible to tactically currency hedge, or not, their portfolio to try to benefit from those moves.
Currency hedging for the long run
Whilst in the short and medium term foreign exchange rates fluctuate, over the very long term, currencies tend to fluctuate around a long-term equilibrium. This phenomenon is often called ‘long term mean reversion’. This means that for long term investors in global equities, the performance impact of currencies should offset itself over long periods of time. In other words, the performance of currency hedged and unhedged investments should be similar.
However, from a risk point of view, this is not the case. As discussed previously, the long-term volatility of the unhedged investment tends to be higher than that of the currency hedged investment. A reduction of risk with zero long term expected returns sounds like a ‘free lunch’ which is why investors could look at currency hedged investments in foreign equities as their default long term investment policy.
For example, a portfolio manager with a base currency of euro and a holding of 1 million US dollars of US equities can hedge the US dollar currency risk by selling a 1 million US dollar forward contract against euro for settlement in a month’s time at today’s rate.
Operationally, this process can be quite cumbersome, in particular for a portfolio with multiple currencies and/or with hard to access currencies. The MSCI World comprises 13 currencies which means that investors would need to trade 12 FX forwards every time they want to hedge the currency exposure and then they would need to roll those 12 forwards on a regular basis.
This is why WisdomTree has been launching currency hedged share classes for its strategies, providing turnkey solutions for their investors and their currency hedging need.
6 Character Traits to Develop or Refine Your Day Trading Career
It may seem as if developing a career in forex day trading is about finding a strategy, practicing it regularly, and making bundles of money. Yes, it is about that. But, where are our characteristics on that list? To become a successful day trader, you need to develop specific features to implement an effective strategy that delivers results in all market conditions.
We may not be entirely aware, but we do use them daily, and maybe, at times, we notice that we should work more on developing these. These characteristics are innately a part of us. It is essential to work on developing these characteristics that guide you towards building a thriving day trading career.
It is good to know that not all successful day traders inherently have the ability to succeed without hard work. For most, it takes weeks, months, and years. By continuing to read, you will realize why you should develop the skills sooner rather than later.
1. Discipline
Discipline requires boundaries and mental acceptance. It’s one of the many characteristics used to achieve in day trading. Even though some beg to differ – they say that a well-developed trading plan was their way to success. But how disciplined are they to follow it?
Being disciplined is vital when deciding which products to trade. Thousands of products are traded throughout the day, and It is very overwhelming with infinite opportunities thrown to you at once. Devise a schedule that revolves around the best times for you to trade. Select a product to trade and stick to both the product and your plan.
2. Patience
If you haven’t started trading yet, you will soon realize that it is a “waiting game” with loads of patience needed – but with fantastic profit too. It can be challenging for beginner traders who don’t have enough patience and find it challenging to wait or watch the markets. If you enter the market at a time when nothing is happening, you may blame your luck and try to jump in or out of the tradestoo early. You may land up building resentment, and it will not suffice.
3. Adaptability
Change is a characteristic that is either always welcomed or never welcomed at all. When becoming a trader, you will accept that day trading as a career is ever-changing. To be a successful trader, you will have to work through some discomfort to adapt to fluctuations quickly. It is extremely rare to have two trading days that are the same or similar to one another, which means you must adjust to different scenarios in the market.
4. Mental Strength
Day trading is about gaining the mental strength that can withstand the losses that the market throws at you. Some days there can be no losses thrown at you, yet on other days, this is all you will see, and it can be soul-destroying. More positively, there will be times when you are on a losing streak, and it’s at this stage when the pro traders are looking for opportunities to bounce back. Do not be disheartened if you are disappointed after losing a trade or if your strategy isn’t delivering the results you expect.
5. Let Go
Preparations for your losses don’t mean that you should continue grinding it out on the market and continue to lose your capital. If your mental strength gives you the courage to walk away from the suffering of your continuous losses – do that! Walk away!
6. Independence
At the beginning of your trading career, it is a good idea to reach out to fellow traders and mentors to help you with the building blocks. These contacts will recommend trading videos, podcasts, books, forums, and articles to build your skills and confidence. However, if you want your trading career to take off smoothly, then learn some of the critical skills by yourself. Develop a sense of independence, where you do not rely on others. Having to rely on help or opinions all the time is tiresome.
Once you have developed a trading strategy that works, you should not listen to every opinion from others. Be focused on doing what works for you.
Thanks for reading bro, you are the best☺️
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Hey traders, let me know what subject do you want to dive in in the next post