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Risk-reward

Is this a breakdown or a meltup?The choice is yours - you can see it any way you like. The technical features here are: 1. Reducing peaks of squeeze momentum. 2. Recent RSI is below 50. 3. Rejection of 4H ATR line. 4. Large area of consolidation. Caution: none of the above means that price has to crash. Just to be clear - price could well go to the moon. The technical situation in my assessment (at this time) means greater probability for the south. Probability estimates do not predict how far a movement may go. This is a set up for a trend-following scenario i.e. high risk to high gain. High risk means high probability of big losses, if you don't know what you're doing if you short this. Following a trend south means finding a suitable trend that is below the 4H time frame. There is no magic formula to work that out. Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which has a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
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by Captain_Walker
USOIL 6-1 Retrace ShortWith summer quickly approaching the initiative in the oil market has changed with more aggressive bids similar to what was seen in December of last year. With inflationary conditions in the market becoming evident and supply chain issues causing major ruptures across many markets I still have very a bullish outlook on Oil. That being said, I also expect for a retrace before a continuation higher next month for Oil. This end of month unwind is not uncommon as contracts are rolled, settled and options approach expiration. My ideal target for this trade would be 64.70 where auctioning really picked up in the past 10 days for oil which offers a 6-1. I placed my stops above highs to prevent any impulse move from causing unwanted drawdowns. Feel free to share your opinions and refer to my other post for longer term projections.
TVC:USOILShort
by crawfordpaul
Gold Price Analysis after Trump contracts coronavirus The world is in shock after President Donald Trump tweeted that he tested positive for coronavirus. Stocks markets fell, and gold finally broke free of the correlation with equities and advanced above $1,900. The bombshell development continues grabbing the headlines and casts questions about fiscal stimulus, the elections, and other topics. As investors continue watching the latest developments, how is the precious metal positioned? Looking up, gold faces its first noteworthy cluster of resistance at $1,910, which is the meeting point of the Bollinger Band 4h-Upper, the previous daily high, the BB 15min-Upper, and other lines. The upside target is $1,928, which is the confluence of the Pivot Point one-day Resistance 2 and the PP one-week R1.
TVC:GOLD
by Ridethemacro
2
Twitter Time to Short and Hold Crash Ahead ?Company Details Full Name Twitter, Inc. Country United States Employees 5,200 CEO Jack Dorsey Stock Information Ticker Symbol TWTR Stock Exchange New York Stock Exchange Sector Communication Services Industry Internet Content & Information Unique Identifier NYSE: TWTR IPO Date November 7, 2013 Description Twitter operates as a platform for public self-expression and conversation in real time United States and internationally. The company offers various products and services, including Twitter, a platform that allows users to consume, create, distribute, and discover content; and Periscope, a mobile application that enables user to broadcast and watch video live with others. It also provides promoted products and services, such as promoted tweets, promoted accounts, and promoted trends, which enable its advertisers to promote their brands, products, and services. In addition, the company offers a set of tools and public application programming interfaces for developers to contribute their content to its platform, syndicate and distribute Twitter content across their properties, and enhance their Websites and applications with Twitter content. Further, it provides subscription access to its public data feed for data partners. Twitter, Inc. was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California. The IPO opening print also marks the 50% retracement of the downtrend into 2016, highlighting the need for skeptical buyers to come off the sidelines here and lift the stock into the $50s. The uptick has just eased into a trading range that acknowledges resistance, so a positive catalyst may be needed to trigger a breakout. That could be a tall order in the fourth quarter, given the extraordinary challenges. As a result, there isn't much to do except to wait and watch price action in coming weeks. The Bottom Line Twitter stock has returned to seven-year resistance and still give no clear break out above the IPO 50% Retrace Level, Ahead elections Covid-19 $ Crash may lead s&p500 and major stock market to down side, we can expect a twitter crash or Correction to down side soon! Best Regards: RideTheMacro
NYSE:TWTRShort
by Ridethemacro
1
WHY CAN´T I BE PROFITABLE??!!Every trader has got himself into a loosing trade. This is simply the part of this game. You will never be able to predict every move correctly. The biggest thing that separates a profitable trader from an unprofitable trader is actually not better technical analysis or more experience. The biggest factors in my opinion are trade management and risk management. These two components will have immense effect on your profitability. With good risk management you can be profitable even if you are right on less than 50% of your trades. Good risk management means you know where you should get into a trade so you can set a stop loss (which upon hitting it should invalidate your entry) relatively close to your entry. This makes your losing trades much smaller than your winning ones. And the result of this ratio will be seen in your profitability through time. On the picture above you can see how one of my last trades went. I got in on the close of the candle marked with a green arrow. The trade then quickly went against me. But with my risk management i minimized the loss by closing the position when it closed below the red support line. I also put a stop(white support line) at a level that would upon breaking very likely invalidate my my long entry. Even though i took a loss i do not regret taking that trade since taking losses here and there is a part of my strategy and it can not be otherwise. Yesterday i also posted about another trade i was playing on the s&p 500. That trade turned out perfect. And with 50% winning rate for that day i made some really nice profit simply thanks to my risk management. Here you can check out how it went You can also go check out my posts from yesterday on why i was taking those trades.
Education
by Mathsio