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Trading Idea - #Steinhoff - The Gambling! HIGH RISK TRADE! BUY! Entry:0.2288 EUR Target: 2.7976 EUR (+1100% profit) Stop: 0.0794 EUR Steinhoff International Holdings N.V. specializes in the retail trade.Sales are distributed among the various business segments as follows: - Retail (97.9%); - Financial services (1.8%); - Other (0.3%). The geographic distribution of sales is as follows: South Africa (37.3%), Africa (7%), United Kingdom (19%), Poland (11.1%), Europe (16.5%) and Australasia (9.1%). Number of employees : 91 519 people. - South African retail group Steinhoff reported on Friday a 15% increase in sales for the nine-months ended June 30, as COVID-19 lockdown restrictions reduced throughout the period across its markets. - Steinhoff has been restructuring its operations since revealing accounting fraud in 2017, selling off assets and paying off debt. - A big hurdle to overcome is settlement of lawsuit claims from shareholders and investors, which it hopes will be approved in September at a creditors meeting.
SLong
by Traderherz-Analytics
$PAGS: to make you BAGS?Today we are witnessing a sharp turn around in Emerging Markets $EEM after the Jackson Hole meeting. $IWM a strong indicator of risk tolerance has seen a sharp move back up into it's middle pivot. Could the continued low rate environment and strong economy be enough to continue the rush into risk-on assets? Keep a close eye on $EWZ though (Brazil ETF in which PAGS is located) to pin point entries. On the technical side of things, keep an eye on entries in between the two trend lines in which the current candle stick is located between and stops outside of the bottom two trendlines. I'd look to scale in over the next couple of weeks and see how strong the dips in $IWM, $HYG and $EEM are to see how much continuation is possible to the upside. Good luck traders!
NYSE:PAGSLong
by Fox_Technicals
The Hard Truth About Trading 😅 Well, that is just a joke. Or not a joke? In every good joke, there's a sliver of truth... So many people blew their trading accounts in a blink of an idea chasing the profits, so many people went bankrupt practicing leverage trading... Do not be that guy in a picture. Be a true trader! Never forget about risk management and don't be greedy. Never let your emotions control you. Stay calm and humble while you trade. Have a great weekend! ❤️Please, support these drawings with like! It really helps!
Education
by UnitedSignals
3
The Hard Truth About Trading 😅 Well, that is just a joke. Or not a joke? In every good joke, there's a sliver of truth... So many people blew their trading accounts in a blink of an idea chasing the profits, so many people went bankrupt practicing leverage trading... Do not be that guy in a picture. Be a true trader! Never forget about risk management and don't be greedy. Never let your emotions control you. Stay calm and humble while you trade. Have a great weekend! ❤️Please, support these drawings with like! It really helps!
Education
by UnitedSignals
10
MrRenev portfolio exposedHere is my current short term portfolio. This might give the reader an idea of how a moderately diversified short term portfolio might look. I use various tools (including turbos, options...) so it's hard to say how much I have in, but I know how much of original risk I got. Which is today €500. I added my little XRP bag from earlier this year to my crypto holdings to get to exactly 500. It makes more sense to build a PF looking at risk rather than the size that doesn't mean anything by itself. Of course I have some winners and I have trailed my stop so this is why I precise "original" risk, that's the risk when I opened the position. The whole thing is maybe €40,000 with €25,000-€30,000 in Forex which would make it around 70% but it is less volatile, in "risk" terms it's actually 30%. Entry stops are tight (for example 0.50% with FX, 2% with S&P, 1% with commodities depends). I am sure I have 25 to 30K in FX, it's the rest that is hard to evaluate. Here is the detail: 30% - Forex: 2 longs on the Yen, 2 shorts on AUD, and short USDZAR. 25% - Commodities: Gold, Platinum, Natural Gas. All long. 23% - Indices: All in the S&P500 long, pyramided in since April. 12% - Crypto: Mostly Bitcoin. And a bit of XRP (it's less than 6 month old). 10% - Stocks: Pfizer & Moderna. I also have a few stocks & cryptos that I hold long term and have not listed here. And cash in the bank. And physical goods in my house. I even have stamps and a few old coins. I don't check on it every day, or week, or month, or year, but I really don't care about the long term stuff, I am focussed on the long term. Looks like I have found a perfect trick to not worry. I am not "ultra" diversified, but some billionaires have hinted that diversification may be for idiots. If you saw Ray Dalio present his "holy grail" you know that (roughly) you get a huge improvement in risk adjusted returns going from 1 to 5 (good) positions, a little more improvement going from 5 to 10, and it basically flatlines past 10 positions no matter how much you add. This is universally true, I'm sure it can be proven by a mathematician and the limit of growth will be Euler's number 2.718 (like maybe the stdev can only be improved 2.718X?), no matter how many uncorrelated positions are added. The reasons for having dozens of positions is either you're such a whale you have to, or you're trying to attract clients and plenty of positions makes you look pro and justifies the cost and also makes it look too complicated to do for a novice. My positions shown here are all short term, with: FX and Commodities and Stocks (65%) all under 2 months S&P500 and Crypto (35%) all under 6 months I have been long US indices since September or October of 2020 but it was tech100 and I closed it all since then. 33% of my holdings are correlated to the US stock market but I am in the green on the S&P and have guaranteed stops, I have pyramided into my winner over time, so there is actually no major risks there. I am not a professional risk manager and I don't give advice but I don't think I have crazy risks. No single instrument (a currency, an indice) ever has a leverage over 5 (when adding all pairs or all correlated indices). The max leverage I have been using on a position ever as far as I can recall is 2 (0.25% stop loss with a leverage of 2 = risk of 0.50% on the single position). Anyone who understands elementary school level maths should be able to understand the problem with too much volatility: A 3% drawdown takes a 3.09% profit to get back to breakeven. This is 3% more (3.09% is 3% more than 3%). A 10% drawdown takes an 11.11% profit to get back to breakeven. This is 11.11% more. A 30% drawdown takes a 42.9% profit to get back to breakeven. This is 42.9% more. A 70% drawdown takes a 233.33% profit to get back to breakeven. Good luck. Simply since this is short term there will be much more volatility, so careful with leverage! (Indeed, if a long term portfolio had say 15% deviation happen every 100 years, the short term one could have this every 100 months or even 100 weeks). And then there are the black swan events... They don't happen but when they do it stings. And in one's career they WILL happen. Bill Hwang got destroyed by having 5 leverage on all his money, concentrated in a few stocks. The "Swiss Franc Tsunami" was a 15% drop. You'd have to be a complete mongrel to get wiped out, that would require over 6 leverage on a single currency. Legend james Cordier had next to 100 leverage divided between only half a dozen commodities, he was riding at least a 10X on NatGas alone. Even if you had 10 leverage on stocks but distributed in 10 a 20% gap down wouldn't wipe you out it's very unlikely they ALL gap down. Don't go 10X in stocks even if diversified, that was just for the example, in the EU it's not even possible anyway max is 5. I even posted ideas for some of those positions With Bitcoin I think I post everything. Not sure. Almost 1 year ago, "buy area visited", hah I actually bought the very bottom. As I said this is nearly 1 year old but I moved to the S&P500 back in April to catch a new swing. 2 different trades within a long term bull bias. Buying pullbacks with tight stops you get stopped often but you also buy the very bottom often. I probably mentioned my transition to the S&P500 somewhere but without details and I don't write every single time I add or take profit or reduce my position. Might add a bit to crypto if it keeps going. Hopefully I get to short GME soon, should reduce my overall stock risk, maybe. It can always shoot up while the rest crashes down, I don't think this is likely it's a 1/100 thing, it does happen, and you want to make sure you'll survive it, but it doesn't happen that often so it's worth taking the risk. Typicall I might have something like this: 10 positions 2 wins I'm trailing (> 5R) 3 little wins trying (2.5-4.5R) 5 positions around my entry (between -1R and 2.5R) I rarely see red in my accounts, losers go quite fast. So mostly I look at positions in the green. It has the benefit of feeling good. Losers hold losers, that simple. Individual positions are very volatile, I might see a currency pair have a drastic move against me and crush my soul, but then I log in my accounts and I see my overall profits have not moved much, while the 1 pair was crashing 3 other ones sligthly went up. So it makes it more of a slow and steady growth rather than some hysterical bipolar game.
Education
by MrRenev
3
What happens at each stage of the market cycle?This picture is of vital importance. It's something that you simply have to try to recognise when trading, whether you're multi asset, trading only crypto, FX, equities - it simply doesn't matter, since sentiment is indiscriminate and uncaring as to your asset class. In each section, we've got what is occurring at each stage. 1) Risk off. 2) The start of the crisis management 3) Risk on 4) Caution On the right hand side of each diagram shows what generally is bought during these periods, and how your portfolio *could* be constructed. And at the bottom, is what is generally sold off. What we always have to remember is this... 'How do we optimally construct our trade ideas/portfolio to make best use of the current market condition?' A trade that you think should come off under one market condition (especially if you're technicals focused) might not work, since the market context doesn't support the trade's success. Key to this is understand the beta of different asset classes to. Let's take FX. AUD, GBP, CAD and emerging market currencies are all high beta. Here's the equation to work out beta of say, EURUSD... Beta (EURUSD) = StdDev (EURUSD) / StdDev (market average) This implies that they move pretty heavily in line with risk sentiment and probably have outsized returns relative to the average. Countering this, EUR and JPY tend to be pretty low beta, predominantly due to their respective central bank policies. Being long AUD on a return to caution (as I believe we are in now, for example, on a technicals basis would probably be the incorrect thing to do. Priming yourself not necessarily to forecast, but to get to grips with where we are now and whether anything can change based on certain factors is absolutely vital. Thanks for reading, and let me know in the comments if you would like a full image of this!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by FinkPro
3
Visualizing Risk ManagementI would like to save people from getting burned so after 3.5 years of being in this space here is my advice: 1. It is easy to fall in love with an investment, especially when you believe it could make you rich. Have belief, but don't be blinded by it. Consider that you could be wrong, late, or even too early. 2. Price can remain irrational longer than you can stay solvent. Getting chopped up in the range will dwindle your capital that can be very hard to recover. 3. If everyone knows it, the market will no longer follow that path. The moment you determine a certainty is the moment you're destined to learn some lesson. 4. Doing nothing is hard. It feels good to be all-in, but this pushes emotions to the brink for new investors that can't stop looking at the screens. Trading/investing can be as simple as drawing one horizontal line on a chart. Price goes above and you're in. Below and you're out. Numbers don't lie. Develop a plan and cut the emotion.
Education
by Bohrbtc
AudCad ready to sink further... Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
GJ to take a turn from here?Watch for turning here...not just for GJ but other crosses like AJ and Cadj Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
A resistance tough to overcome? GBPUSD might turn lower... Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
Short
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
USD will push up higher? Still looking good for upside... Hello there! If you like my analysis and it helped you ,do give me a thumbs ups on tradingview! 🙏 And if you would like to show further support for me, you can gift me some coins on tradingview! 😁 Thank you! Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared. Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
TVC:DXYLong
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys