Get started

Risk

Successful trading is about managing risk, not avoiding it. Hello All, This is the first idea I am publishing in Tradingview and I decided to select the topic of risk management, specially after the dramatic increase and subsequent decrease on prices which we have seen in TLRY and other weed stocks this week, all mostly happening in 48 hours. If you just started trading and got involved on weed stocks, you probably been though a very painful experience because a lot of your precious money is probably gone. As trading becomes more and more popular, many new people join the market but without understanding the very basics of it and without considering risk management. If you are one of those new joiners, I strongly advise you to improve your knowledge about risk management. here some basic rules: 1. Set a stop-loss! 2. Position size = (risk*budget) How much money you invest. 3. Entry point : When to buy 4. Exist point: When to sell. To put it very simply, never buy a stock because it has gone up or sell one because it has gone down! I think the case of TLRY is a classic example of this. So, what I described here here is just very basic. You should and must educate yourself about risk management, otherwise trust me you will regret your experience as trader. PS: If you are new to this, I recommend you to read a very old but classic book about investment called "The intelligent investor" by Benjamin Graham. Let me be very clear that trading is not the same than investing. Which are you. really? Have a good weekend!
NASDAQ:TLRYEducation
by Jamie85
TSLA Daily S/R| Swing High| Local S/R| Price Action Evening Traders, Today analysis – TSLA – trading below its key Daily S/R where further downside is probable, Points to consider, - Price Action Impulsive - Local S/R objective (.50 Fibonacci Confluence) - Daily S/R Resistance TSLA’s immediate price action is impulsive, confirming a bearish retest of the Daily S/R will allow for a bearish bias. The Local S/R is objective that is in confluence with the .50 Fibonacci, a respect of this level is probable on first attempt. The immediate oscillators are bearish with stored momentum, maintaining their bearish control territories will deem weakness. Overall, in my opinion, TSLA is a valid short with defined risk, price action is to be used upon discretion/ management. Hope this analysis helps thank Thank you for following my work And remember, “In order to succeed, you first have to be willing to experience failure.” ― Yvan Byeajee
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by The_Alchemist_Trader_
FTSE will now Crash to 3650 - the trade of the YearHello all DuncanForex here with a follow up on my trade idea that I've been watching since Feb 2020 - with no advertising about anything so the post will stay active. With the power move during February 2020 (The AB Move) and then a slower retrace to the previous area of support which is now resistance. The FTSE broke out of its downward consolidation long and is now progressing higher over the past few months to the 61.8 Fib retrace. The Bullish move that occurred last month pushed the price into the middle of the 61.8% and 78.6% zone, after the bearish moves this past week and the "High" now printed, the CD move will be completed and the FTSE will ultimately go down to 3650 I had shorted the market as per my related ideas below, and i now have new entrys that you can see in the picture. (if you zoom in) - and also on other posts I do expect this to drop fast - with EU issues and Covid vaccines driving it lower. It will close on a bearish Pin Bar on the Weekly chart today. In turn, I do expect GBP to get stronger and stronger - so don't short any GBP XXX pairs. Stay safe and safe trading Duncan
TVC:UKXShort
by UnknownUnicorn483829
1
What goes up must come down. BTC has taken a ride since 2015, I watched from the sidelines as more and more people became overcome with the excitement of this new currency. The “gap” up’s when it took hold and blasted off to north of 20,000 then 30k then 40k, were unprecedented. I’ve been involved with investments since 1997 and I have seen nothing like this and won’t ever again. I do think bitcoin will eventually make the 100,000 mark, when that happens is any bodies guess. Healthy investments do not skyrocket to all time highs and stay there like this seems to have done. The “gaps” this needs to fill are down in the 11,000 range I believe? If these “gaps” per say don’t get filled, any move higher becomes incredibly dangerous for a landslide melt down. Every market in the world has seen this sort of behavior. Here is how big money managers think “buy when it’s low and sell when it’s high” I know that may seem Cliché, but it’s true in any investment market. What holds this coin price at its highs is continuous buying but not only continuous buying but a stable source of new buyers. When bitcoin reaches a high of highs after racing upwards that of a Saturn rocket it will surely endure the consequences of a parabolic climb which is a generational meltdown. We must remeber that China has been mining some 80% of the worlds bitcoin over the past 10 years..if this doesn’t scare anybody I don’t know where you live. If any populous or economy invests more than an alternative invenstment weighting in bitcoin or any other speculative investment, they risk destroying their entire economic system and collapsing. If one doesn’t see the automatic buying and selling movement and electronic support countermeasures big miners or holders of the coin take to ensure this parabolic soar to inevitable highs you aren’t looking close enough. Everybody risks losing and losing big. It seems the masses want bitcoin to reach enormous highs, preaching it will replace modern currency driving the price upwards of 100,000 per coin. I am a realist and while I do believe bitcoin and other crypto currencies will achieve great value and use in the future it will not replace the worlds fiat currencies. Be careful and realistic. If you’ve been hoddling your coins for years you have done very well for yourself yes, however, remeber how one “locks” in profits, they sell and hold “cash” or what ever stable fiat currency they live with. This is not a free ride and not everybody running this massive machine has good intentions. If China decides to capture and lock in profit at any given time, it will cause a cataclysmic disaster and melt down of an entire system. Don’t be caught holding the bag at the top. When PayPal said they were all in processing bitcoin it seemingly shot north with supersonic speeds. People who wouldn’t invent in an index fund for it was too much risk are now investing millions in something that seems too good to be true. I am not saying bitcoin will not be useful or even saying it won’t survive, I am simply saying be CAFEFUL and REALISTIC. This bubble has consequences just like the real estate financial bubble of the early 2000’s. The USA had the means at that time to inject trillions into a collapsing system...we have no more levers to pull or safety valves to open. I predict a gap cover in the 10,000-11,500 range before then skyrocketing to new highs in the 40-50,000 range before starting the fibbinaci cycle all over again. The last up cycle will be very evident by which the volume of sellers will spike to all time highs within minutes. That may be next month next year or in 5 years IDK....but it will happen. The stock market has stop gaps to ensure panic selling doesn’t destroy a healthy market, bitcoin has no such stop gaps or safety valves to ensure complete and total collapse of a system. And...the most important one. Bitcoin has no centralized governing body or enforcement to ensure criminals can’t steal or destroy a system in which so many have put faith. It’s the ultimate Dichotomy, Bitcoin excites so many because of its decentralized governing systems however those same Reasons we all “love to love” bitcoin could very well be the same reasons it sets up to cause global economic catastrophe. My prediction again is this...falls to fill CME gaps with fake trend reversals costing traders millions chasing the bottom but. Dollar cost average your buys and lock in your gains. 11,000 back up to 50,000 then back down to 24,000 before pushing up to 75,000. 100,000 is the price that triggers a global sell off meltdown and bring financial devistation to the greedy. Be careful out there. Diversify and have a plan.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by renderfy
1
Risk management using Alpha and BetaAlpha measures excess return. Anything with alpha over 1.0 is considered favorable. Beta measures volatility and market risk. Anything with beta below 1.0 is considered favorable. These cannot be the only metrics you make your trades or investments on, but they are extremely helpful when comparing funds or stocks. Chasing high alpha will usually result in higher beta. Chasing low beta will usually result in lower alpha, meaning muted returns but a more stable, safe investment.
CBOE:VIXEducation
by EBITDAtiger
3
Should you avoid trading on inauguration day?Tomorrow morning the USA will switch presidents. We can expect violent protests just like 4 years ago when Trump was sworn in. But does this symbolic day represent a risk, and should we stay away from the markets? My own (FX) trading has been pretty slow for 2 months following the US elections in early november, I think there was no conviction in any price action because of USA election uncertainty as well as Brexit, the pound gapped up over a weekend, down over another weekend, the market was not sending any clear signal to me, it was behaving like a lunatic and I avoided the pound. What usually happens? Looking at the past presidential changes, I noted the DJI gains and losses, I skipped the 2 vice-president presidents that were not sworn in after being elected. There were all small days except the Obama one but even that one was not that crazy and it was in the direction of the trend. There were no crazy gaps, nothing out of the ordinary for the past 70 years, both in the US stock market & Forex. The craziest gap the EURUSD ever had was after the 23 April 2017 which was France 1rst round of presidential elections. The result ended in Macron and Marine Le Pen going to the second round. The 21 April 2001 Jean-Marie Le Pen was in the second round and he's way more nationalist and authoritarian than his daughter, and the market did nothing crazy back then... But this time participants were "worried of risk". Perhaps because of Brexit and also the world has become way more globalist since then. 3 years later that gap was the bottom... Could there be a surprise? The election uncertainty is over and we got an idea what Biden plans are although its not that clear he went from being against big spending and medicare for all to being pro it then against I think? Will Biden stay president or let Kamala Harris take his place? He said if they disagreed he'd get sick and retire. I don't really know anymore, so I think anything could happen. Biden contradicting himself plus the US situation and Europe too leads to a sort of permanent uncertainty compared to 2017-2019. That period had the "trade war" and "hopes" but that was not uncertain, the same thing repeated itself over and over. On Trump's side, he said he exhausted all legal options and left it there. Terrified congressmen that were clueless 3 weeks ago (what a surprise! The capitol protest was not predictable at all!) got 30 thousand soldiers to protect them, under-reacting followed by over-reacting, typical. So whoever was not sure what would happen can now be pretty sure there won't be a coup. The FBI even looked into the soldiers I think. Anything is possible but I really don't think anything special will happen here. Trump die-hard supporters always think he has a master plan, a trick up his sleeve, but they do not manage big money. What do I think will happen? I expect a smooth transition, with protests just like in 2017, so nothing new, and the previous opposition now in power to continue their impeachment, then crackdown on free speech, and then act surprised when it backfires horribly on them 😂 (Did you know Rudy Giuliani tried banning "hateful anti-religion" art when he was mayor of New York?) It's really funny to see how clueless everyone is, and how it seems like they try their hardest to pave the way for a fascist government. Support of abortion will be hate speech and severely punished, gender stuff will be hate speech, and so on. Their crackdown on "hate speech" will backfire so hard it will be hard not to laugh. I can guarantee this with 99.99% certainty. There is no new info (unless we get a big surprise) so why would markets do anything "special". This is only my opinion not a risk management recommendation, I just personally think there is no reason to stay away (or hedge risk) tomorrow.
by MrRenev
1
GOLD Falling Within A ChannelGOLD has seen some tough weather lately. I think the pain is far from over. After producing a fake break out with a double top only two weeks of days ago, gold is falling again. It's to be expected that risk in the markets is going to decline with the inauguration of Biden soon, leading to a decrease in the demand for gold. I've marked two areas of potential support on the chart, S1 and S2. S1 placed at the most recent low and S2 placed at $1700. Consider S2 a longer term target. Happy trading!
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by FieryTrading
32
Trend following - a different way.As folk who follow my posts know, I don't keep any secrets. I explain some of my methodology in this chart. It is bespoke. To be 100% clear, this will not work 'for you'. No methodology works 'for you'. You work the methodology through experience to create your advantages. I'm not saying that people should change to this way. I do not interfere at all with what traders want to do in their favoured methodology. There is no one road to the promised land. Controlling loss is the highest priority. The markets are there to 'eat you alive'. Price action is an important part of all this. As well, it is important to understand your particular market and learn its ways. Oh yes - with time you can come to figure out certain probabilities that may not be shown in the 'technicals'. What you see in this chart can be done on any time frame from 3 min to 1-day. I can't explain everything in one chart. I've done videos on this before. Note carefully: I do not sell anything. I do not do trainings or take anybody's money. I do not sign up to any services. I do not provide evidence of winnings or losses. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FOREXCOM:US30Education
by Captain_Walker
Gold finding a floor - finally?📌 @ridethepig Gold Market Commentary 16.12.2020 The moves in Gold have been excellent to track this year because of the tendency to put turning points around the Central Banks. This of course seems very appropriate. The 'infamous' loading zone has allowed us to pick the low hanging fruit, now things are going to start getting a bit trickier from a positioning perspective. I am certainly holding longs and will become a player of the momentum break today above $1,875. How far Fed is from reality and certainly equity markets too is remarkable, carrying out a quick review of the flows we are way out of the $1,803 support which is the one we were tracking earlier in the year. In any case, it is clear that the direction is long and with the Fed support essential - we should not suffer in the least. Buyers are aiming for $1,960 and $2,075 extension targets. Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ridethepig
23
ridethepig | Gold for ECB & FED comboA timely update here after a conversation with @zhaoyu01...I will try to keep this one short as by now we all know what is in play. On the inflation front it is clear what we have cooking. Sharp speculators in bonds are miles ahead as usual and signalling loudly that we have inflation coming to our theatres very soon: One of the best assets in 2019/2020 has been Gold to trade, the expression of risk makes for a clear picture. $1,803 strong support marked the lows, providing a jewel in our treasure chest and after the latest Brexit news it is all crystal clear to see: Now to put the 🍒 on top we have a ECB / FED combination coming. Purely as a matter of policy we can observe another round of traditional overdraft extensions in attempt of avoiding any vulnerabilities in stonks. The technicals are consistent throughout. We completed the retrace ahead of elections via profit taking and counter-play. The outpost now comes into play at $1,960 before unlocking fresh highs at $2,075. Thanks as usual for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by ridethepig
24