Liquidation Levels Trading FuturesI've seen lots of people getting liquidated on there longs on this BTC dump. This is why I think people never take into consideration risk management or don't know how it actually works. Maybe this can help a lot of people and help them clarify things. YES, the getting rich quick by leveraging is a probability, but if you ask me, I would consider it luck in the 25x to 100x than in lower leverage positions.
I think the getting rich quick scheme in crypto or FX is never talked enough and should always be addressed with proper risk management.
This analysis is considering you long your whole portfolio with leverage (which most people do).
If you want to long with high leverage, use 1% or 2% of your portfolio, try it out in Isolated mode first and see what it is all about. Your losses will teach you how to be a better trader, but never ever lose your ammo in your first try.
I'll do a follow up of this chart with potential gains by leveraging.
Risk
EURJPY H4 - Short Trade SetupEURJPY H4 - Very much the same kind of trading conditions as GBP just a little less aggressive, which we highlighted yesterday. Looking for exactly the same, WAITING for a break downside to clear 124.500 support and then a subsequent retest, this would be the next possible point to jump in with the downside trend hopefully.
EUR/USD LONG (H4) Hello traders. I hope that I can help you with my strategy, It´s only my opinion. I Would thanks if you say me your opinion. Bay and good trading!!!!!!
EUR/USD Long follow the strategy; 1. Long with the target in the possible resistance, 2. Short to the strong support and then fly to new maximum.
OANDA:EURUSD
LONG & SHORT POSITION TOOL📚An In-Depth Look at Using This ToolThis illustration explains the functionality of TradingView's Long/Short Position Tool and is intended to help new people looking for more information on this tool in a "novice friendly" format. TradingView’s position tool will aid you in pre-planning and pre-evaluating trades and as such should be an essential part of every trader's toolkit .
Note:
At its simplest, the position tool can quickly show you the R:R (Risk-To-Reward) of a single trade. By doing a little extra work, you’ll be able to then use this tool to properly plan for the risk of all trades you are taking compared to your total account size.
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Important terms:
Tick = A tick is a measure of the minimum upward or downward movement in price.
Trade outcome statistics = Used to track the outcome of a trade.
Example:
“Current XYZ position closed
+5.25% gain
10840 account balance after trade impact”
P&L = A representation of current Profit & Loss. Be careful where you position the tool, as the P&L is calculated based on the position of the tool.
Here are two uses for the Position Tool:
1. Only R:R = To quickly find only the R:R of a trade. This method does not bother changing account balance and such is only acceptable if you are tracking your current account balance and doing risk calculations off-platform in something such as a google spreadsheet.
2. Risk+R:R = To ensure your current trade idea meets both your R:R and max risk tolerance (risk amount; in our case, 1%). This is achieved by changing the “Account Size” option every time you are building a new position. This is the advised method to use, since like your trade journal, it’ll help keep you accurate and accountable.
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We will now explain the options contained within the tool’s input on-chart menu:
Account size = The current available balance within your account, the keyword here is available. If you are using the "Risk" option explained below then this needs to be updated upon starting to create a new trade setup.
Risk = Your max tolerable risk amount (either in absolute numbers or as a % of your account size). The default option is "absolute numbers," this uses the base currency of the on chart asset (If you were on ETHBTC, then the base currency would be BTC; for SPX500USD it is USD since this asset is displayed in its USD value). As you know, we suggest you stick to %.
Entry Price = The price you will be entering the position at.
PROFIT LEVEL:
Ticks = The tick difference from the entry price to the profit target.
Price = The take profit price.
STOP LEVEL:
Ticks = The tick difference from the entry price to the stop loss.
Price = The stop losses price.
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We will now explain all metrics being displayed on the tool while it is plotted on the chart:
Top info panel:
1. The difference in base currency (USD) from the entry price to the take profit price.
2. The difference in percentage change from the entry price to the take profit price.
3. The difference in ticks from the entry price to the take profit price.
4. The hypothetical account balance after the take profit target is achieved.
Middle info panel:
1. Simulated P&L from the entry price to where the current live price is.
(Displayed in the base currency of the on chart asset, USD in this example)
2. The quantity of the asset that should be purchased at the entry price.
This is calculated as follows: Qty = Risk / (Entry Price – Stop Price)
3. The risk to reward ratio, this is how much you could gain compared to how much you could lose.
The calculation is as follows:
Risk/Reward Ratio = ((Take profit price - Entry price) / (Entry price - Stop loss price))
Bottom info panel:
1. The base currency (USD) difference from the entry price to the stop-loss price.
2. The difference in percentage change from the entry to the stop-loss price.
3. The difference in ticks from the entry price to the stop-loss price.
4. The hypothetical account balance after the stop-loss is hit.
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Lastly, we will explain how Position Size and Account Balance are being calculated by TradingView:
Long Position Variant
Position Size:
Qty = RiskSize / (EntryPrice - StopPrice)
Account Balance when a position is closed after reaching the Take Profit level:
Amount = AccountSize + (ProfitLevel – EntryPrice) * Qty
Account Balance when position is closed after reaching the Stop Loss level:
Amount = AccountSize – (EntryPrice – StopLevel) * Qty
Short Position Variant
Position Size:
Qty = RiskSize / (StopPrice - EntryPrice)
Account Balance when a position is closed after reaching the Take Profit level:
Amount = AccountSize + (EntryPrice - ProfitLevel) * Qty
Account Balance when a position is closed after reaching the Stop Loss level:
Amount = AccountSize – (StopLevel – EntryPrice) * Qty
AccountSize:
Initial account size specified in the settings
RiskSize:
If the "Risk" option is set to "absolute numbers" = Risk
If the "Risk" option is set to "percentage of account size" = Risk / 100 * AccountSize
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Reference: www.tradingview.com
If we made any mistakes please let us know in the comments. There was a lot of formatting we needed to do to best display all of this information for you guys!
Enjoy. :)
Why chasing % should be your focus and not pips!Here we look at 3 traders, all claiming to have a winning trade with 100 pips - however, with very different % gains on their accounts.
The main part of trading is profitability, you can not pay your bills with pips.
This explains what you need to focus on and be aware of!
Hope it helps,
Regards
Darren
NZDUSD the correction not over yet NZDUSD weakness extended overnight, breaking below the early
August low and uptrend form March, currently at 0.6597/75, thus
completing a small top and finally managing to follow through on
the recent bearish “outside day” and the bear “wedge” that is still
in place.
Beneath .6503 could see weakness extend even further with next
support seen at .6466, ahead of .6450/41. It’s worth highlighting
the ‘wedge measured objective’ is at .6400.
EURUSD: Consolidation, what s next?
EURUSD extending its consolidation. Growing concern about a potential double top forming with the neckline 1.1685/00.
Potential trade: If you want to preempt the double top. Sell 1.1830/40 S/L 1.1855 bid.
On the other hand if you do believe this is a consolidation before a run up to the 1.1900/1.2000 area. Buy 1.1700/1.1685 tight Stop loss
@ 1.1665.
Trade Planning - How to Trade PlanThis video explains how to effectively trade plan to limit your risk and to maximize your gains. When it comes to Risk Management and Trade Planning, it's important to maintain a clear mind about the possibility of the asset your assessing going in either bullish or bearish direction.
Furthermore, this video explains some ideas on how and where to place stop losses based upon entry confirmations and provides insights about position managing your trades as they develop into a winner.
I hope you find this video informative and hope you use this video to your best advantage with your day-to-day trading activities.
Thanks for watching. Always remember to trade safe - trade well.
Regards,
Michael Harding
RISK DISCLAIMER
Information and opinions contained with this video are for educational purposes only and do not constitute trading recommendations. Trading Forex on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors.
ridethepig | Temporary High Cooking For Gold📍 Equity Liquidations
Feb/March 2020
Gold buyers now hold a solid position, since the break of 1750 our opposition has been trying to get blood from a stone. The solidity behind the bull case has been so strong to date and it shows in itself the fact that 'everything is not roses' despite how the politicians and media sell re-openings and activity data.
The highs cannot be ignored here, we have been tracking the $1,900 target together and came +/- within crumbs yesterday but failed for the official tick.
The break.
The move is still premature on account for those wanting to swing into the $2,000's and beyond. Challenging the bull case here is deflation and liquidations in equities.
Retail have been sent into the wilderness, which in no way can turn into the Edenic garden they hope for. Note how the original 5 wave sequence started in 2018 when we traded live the assault from the lows:
Buyers have had the upper hand ever since, sellers are hoping to prevent for as long as possible the annoying move to all time highs. In order to liberate the $1,900 highs buyers will need to pullback and allow equity liquidations to take place and secure the required energy.
So those looking to take shorts in the same way we switched sides earlier in the year, we can calmly finish our profit taking from longs and look for the appropriate welcome of offers into the book. Note how we are combining defence at soft resistance and ONLY aiming to attack when we see a closing BELOW yesterdays low (1865.xx in spot). To put simply, we are outguessing profit taking in and the strategic start of wave 4 which will last into September.
As usual thanks for keeping the feedback coming 👍 or 👎
VIX and stock market crashes I want to discuss why I use the trend in the VIX index as an indicator for downside risk.
When the VIX is trending higher, I interpret that as increasing downside risk for stocks. My reasoning is as follows.
I use the VIX Index as an indicator for real put demand. I say real demand, because traders buying and selling intraday is not what I’m looking for.
If VIX is trending higher, it signals to me that larger risk-taking market participants are hedging the downside.
When long puts, you’re also long volatility (demand for puts = long volatility demand).
When those market participants buy put options, market makers (not risk takers) selling those puts needs to hedge.
They do so by delta hedging, which is, in short, shorting the underlying security.
When volatility increase, the delta of an OTM option rise. This is logic: an OTM option is more likely to go in-the-money (ITM) when volatility is higher.
This is why you sometimes will see sharp sell-offs and market crashes: as the market starts to fall, market makers have to short more of the underlying to stay market neutral.
This is causing a self-reinforcing cycle.
So, when I watch the VIX intraday, I look out for the VIX trending higher. If so, the stock market is vulnerable.
If the VIX is trending down, as on Friday, I’m not anticipating a sharp sell-off into close.
Stock Trading Tips for FriiiiiidayStocks cratered on an abysmal day in the tech sector. The S&P is finding support at 3220, which is a very strong nested Fibonacci level. This is a healthy corrective wave for the overall impulse. The next level of support follows below at 3200, a psychological, technical and nested Fibonacci level. This is about as strong as it can get (our powers combined meme here). The Kovach OBV has rounded off, however, so be prepared for a dip if we are wrong and we don't get a bounce off current levels. We are still in buy on dip mode, so patience will prevail.
ridethepig | Sovereign Debt Crisis Cooking!This looks like the real deal... the trip we are planning for Gold here should be carefully mapped before making the play.
📍 If possible make use of the ' momentum '
Entice the sellers with obstacles inside 1820-1810 rage (a temporary stopover to collect energy). All that before playing the impulsive manoeuvre. Compare also this diagram:
For its own sake, previous 1650 and 1700 resistance became latent support to help plug the ladder. The appetising bulls are now ready to march towards $1,900. An old, old story, but constantly worth playing for those tracking the recession the flows in Gold have been clean and simple for a while.
There is no motivation for sellers and neither a reason to close longs. Buyers are in full control, the advance through $1765 will confirm the move. Lets see if we can get it for the Weekly Closing. With Covid boredom kicking in and retail participation through the roof we have all the boxes ticked to complete the Sovereign Debt Crisis. Smelling a massacre in the coming sessions for Equities, full of energy and arrogance of a second wave.
Gold longs are the gentler approach, a worthwhile virtue.
GL.