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DJI / DOW JONES / us30 -- long term short emerging -- multi-weekanother cycle of "sell in May and go away" with Sept / Oct being the worst of the returns that make this axiom a solid and trustworthy one. Ichimoku Cloud and RSI divergences support this idea too. Risk seems to be peaking, and Risk/Reward is now well within acceptable ranges with SL1, SL2, and SL3 positioned wisely. Going into the autumn seasons when traders return, recession calls growing ever louder, trade / tariff tensions rising, war hawks calling more strongly when global growth is waning... this is a cocktail for 25% to 40% equity corrections. SL1 = 26500 SL2 = 27100 SL3 = 27600 TP1 = 24700 TP2 = 21900 TP3 = 20600
FX:US30Short
by OutsidetheBoxFX
1
USDCHF LONG TRADELooking at recent structure, we can see the price are creating a new LH which align with previous based as well as 50% fibs level. therefor give us a chance to go short. _________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Traders! if you like my ideas and do take the same trade like i do, please write it in comment so we can manage the trade together. join my free telegram channel to see more about my service at LCFXpro Trading Floor. LINK IN BIO!! _____________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for your support! LamchiuFX
Long
by LCFXpro
18
HOW TO MANAGE RISK (ESSENTIAL MATERIAL)How do I calculate/manage risk? Managing your risk is absolutely essential as profitable trader. When you enter a trade there are only five outcomes: 1) Big win; 2) Small win; 3) Break even; 4) Small loss; 5) Big loss. As long as you can cut off the "BIG LOSS", no matter how bad you trade, its still likely that you are a profitable trader. Most people's account got blown up because of big losses. Here is how I do it: 1) Every trade I only invest 2% of my entire capital; eg a $10000USD account the affordable stop loss would be 2% x $10000USD = $200USD. 2) Calculate my stop loss in pipes; eg 50 pipes ; $200/50= $4 USD per pipe => Lot size =0.4 Standard Lot eg 10 pipes ; $200/10=$2 USD per pipe => Lot size = 2 Standard Lot For a $10000USD account if you are to blown up your account based on the above methodology you will need 50 consecutive losses, which is statistically impossible. Apart from the above personally I have also set up my ground rule as follow: if my account is decreased by 5% daily (including floating losses) I am done trading for the day. This is because you WILL become emotional at this point and will want to win back. This win back thought will kill your account. Accept the loss and move on next day. Losing is part of trading.
TVC:DXYEducation
by StevenFu
1
RISK 1:13 REWARD!!! NZDCHF LONGRISK 1:13 REWARD!!! What is my entry criteria for a NZDCHF LONG? Reason: Met my rules to confirm a Bullish Trend. This is my final chance entry to get long on this pair, with a high Reward to Risk this may not play out but overall it is a profitable strategy that I will continue to implement. Confluence: RSI We are not quite oversold on the daily as we are at 21 so its still low Major level of now structure and support, looking left we can see multiple tests Bullish Divergence on the 240 chart Entry: Double Bottom completion on the 60 chart Stops: Tight ATR below the low previous test, as we could just blow right through this stop and continue lower and breach my bullish trend rules (Hence the final chance entry) Targets: Target 1: High of the previous close Target 2: Depending how we get to target 1 if we get to target 1, I will either trail based on structure if there is enough volume and momentum or cut the trade. Long way to go before this happens – if this happens As always good luck in the markets, TradeEasy.
Long
by TradeEasy_Today
How to use the Risk to Reward/PnL toolHeyaaaa As promised, here's the video tutorial showing in silence/muted how to use the new indicator published today Risk-Reward-InfoPanel/ I'll try from next week to buy a microphone and you'll all hear how nice is my french accent.... I can imagine the complains I'll receive saying no one understood anything. Will be fun for sure Anyway, please let me know in the comments section if anything is not clear. You have the source code for FREE so I'll hope you'll learn from it and invent something cool, sharing with the community and pay me royalties. Don't forget the French arm who fed you in your young trading years my apprentices. PS Remember my Trade Manager (Open Source) version ? Trade-Manager-Open-Source-Version/ ? You for sure can connect the Take Profits and Stop Loss to a Risk/Reward and PnL panels. This will update in real-time your PnL based on the data on the chart this time I did it myself this afternoon with my version of the Trade Manager See y'all tomorrow for a new indicator/new day Dave
BITMEX:BTCUSD.PEducation
by Daveatt
2
1 reason why institutional money will NEVER go big on PonziCoinWe compare a BTC baggy speculator to a largely diversified fund. We assume risk rewards are the same and on 1 side the BTC baggy takes 2 huge trades over a 2 year period, the diversified fund has 200 positions in total, in bacthes of 10 that are held approximately 10 weeks each. This is quite similar to reality. I also compare the 2 time BTC gambler to a speculator that takes 10 smaller trades instead of 2 huge one, and demonstrate that even this small difference makes a HUGE difference result wise (spoiler: he makes 75 times as much money). 45% to make 125% once/once 100* 0.45 to make 100*1.25 0.45*2.25 = 1,0125 (amazing) For the smart speculator the formula (0.9955^100)*(1.0125^100) is incorrect it assumed every trade is compounded. Let's look at a speculator that holds 10 position at once. Because (1+x)*(1-x) = 1 - x² < 1, and the bigger the loss the harder to comeback (lose 1% only need to make 1.01% - 1% more only to breakeven, lose 50% need to make double that (100% more) to breakeven), I'll affirm without going into too much details that: The best case scenario is in each batch of 10 trades the speculator wins 5 loses 5 The worst case scenario is the speculator loses all trades in 10 batches of 10 in a row & wins 10 of 10 in a row. Best case scenario, he makes 20 times 0.9775*1.0625=1,03859375 (0.45*5=2.25 and 1.25*5=6.25). Note how this is already more than the amazing Bitcoin total returns. 20 times this compounded is => 1,03859375^20 = 2,13. Worst case scenario 10 times 0.955 then 10 times 1.125 => 2,049. The diversified speculator doubled his money. The dumb moon chaser that got "the bull run of his life wow such big % best performing asset" broke even. I just want to bang my head on the wall when I hear "best performing asset". There was a guy on tv that said this. OF COURSE he also smiled like an idiot. OF COURSE he made no sense zero logic. OF COURSE he uttered the incredibly stupid sentence "If I knew how to predict the future I would not be here I would be at the beach". I can compare it to a third, that only takes 10 trades in total in 2 years. Risked 9% each time to make 25%. 0.91^5*1.25^5 = 1,9044. Almost doubled his money. Of course most Bitcoin dumb money is not risking 45% to make 125%, they are risking 100% to make "moon". I wonder what returns they believe can give them (all by the way) 100% back. Oh but of course "it will never happen". They will grow old holding their bags to zero and vanish into oblivion. And let us not forgot that idiotcoin does this: And let us not forget that idiotcoin price action shows INFERIOR setups to what we regularly see elsewhere. I assumed for this that baggycoin had as good risk rewards, but here we can see this is not the case. This is just 1 example but it is always like this... So things are actually even worse... Nice, wait months and months of flat price action for this crap? When there are much better opportunities based on the weekly chart too on a DAILY BASIS? "Uuuuh but price only went up 4% my retardcoin went up 8900%" - Mathematically illeterate simpleton that also has no clue about leverage (if he really wants a one time big number due to mathematical illiteracy). And since all crypto are correlated and alts are unpredictable, no self-respectable fund is going to go more than 1, maybe 2 percent, in crypto. Oh I said self-respectable, not that would be zero percent. I mean the crazy ones. If big money comes in (Soros) it is either small (Rothschilds that are trillionaires put 100k in emmm do BTC baggies know what percentage this is? They probably have more spare cash in their pockets), OR they are in to extract as much money from baggies as fast as they can (Soros broke the bank of england). There is ABSOLUTELY NO REASON for professionals that want to make money to go in BTC buy&baghodl. They can make more with less risk. They also know this is an unethical ponzi scheme and often have a reputation to protect. But I won't get started on other reasons they will not throw money at retail "believers". One day they will realize that the people pointing & laughing and calling them idiots were not just joking but meant it, and they were not 'just mad they missed out', and it will hurt hard. They are going to fall from so high. It will be like the 6th elements, they will realize they were the suckers all along. I preped my pop corn and I cannot wait. Going to be very amusing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by MrRenev
5
Unethical trading representations (educational)This topic has not to my knowledge been covered on Tradingview before now. I specifically explore ' unethical trading representations' and explain in the limited time what that means as a concept. To be absolutely clear, I am not asserting that every paid-for service or representation is unethical or illegal. What I am saying is that new traders and the inexperienced are like 'fresh meat' for these schemes, that aim for a small percentage of them. The impact assessment - whether or not new traders pay for 'inner circle' access in these things, is of real importance. Nothing said in this post refers to any identifiable individual, group or entity. New traders especially need to be hyper-vigilant and cautious before parting with their money. But even if not parting with money, the potential negative impact is of importance. I declare a personal bias, that I have been stung by three of these early in my trading career.
Education
by Captain_Walker
USDJPYHello all - DuncanForex.com here with another trade idea As per my Gold short trade - I think USDJPY is ready to head a lot higher. (see related trade below) On the monthly chart it printed an amazing pin bar (back in Jan) It is now at the 61.8% retrace level (just under it by about -60 pips (on a weekly chart) I think this could head up to 115 level easily on a Fibonacci extension. I have entered 3 trades at 106.91 area DuncanForex.com coming soon (about 1 week) Thanks for looking Duncan
Long
by UnknownUnicorn483829
2
Trade Update: EUR/USD analysisUS fundamental on CPI remained unchanged, this was a pivotal macro indicator which large investors were waiting for, sentiment, therefore, remains more at ease, from a technical perspective price tapped a key liquidity barrier however we rejected this zone with an evening star reversal pattern then a 4HR bearish engulfing candle closing below a minor trendline signifying large downside pressure, its likely that price could rally to targeted zone of 1.25000 then potentially extend to a psychological level of 1.20000
Short
by danresdidualfx
The new safe-haven asset: GOLDThe price is finally over the key dynamic support identified by the EMA200 weekly passing for $ 1269 an ounce. So now the support at 1324 dollars is a key level in the very short term. It will drive the price to the first significant increase in trading volume. It could reach directly the support at 1299 or the second resistance at 1348. Basically the most probable hypothesis is an uptrend from this point. With the FED still standing on its monetary policy at least until September and with this uncertainty of the markets. The price of various commodities such as gold and silver should still benefit for a few sessions. In fact the main analysts expect a retest of the price of gold at the psychological level of $ 1400 an ounce for the month of August. For September, with a probable announcement by Powell on the resumption of a highly restrictive monetary policy, retracements on precious metals should be seen. So this will be in favor of a strong appreciation of the American currency (USD). To recap The new safe-haven asset is GOLD so: we recommend a long entrance with the first target the resistance to 1348. Second target on 1360. The final one is about $ 1,400. It is advisable to set a very short-term stop loss below 1299. Even if the analysis is invalidated at the break of $ 1269.
TVC:GOLDLong
by BFCMInvest
GBP/JPY - Neutral (Risk Off) Downward wedge 4 HR ChartWaiting on Japanese session reaction to GBP pullback. (PatiencePays) If there is a breakout off the downward wedge (Long position) Take profit 1: 140.000 (Resistance & just below 50% Fibonacci Retracement) Take Profit 2: 142.650 (fibonacci Retracement 61%) Fundamentals affecting decision: Long Position positive news on trade war negotiations and continuation in reversal of the DOW/S&P 500. Short position wedge continuation (Risk Off) Safe Haven Currency considering the uncertainty in the market.
by darrenkav25