Usd down scenerio played outAs mentioned previously we need to take note of the downtrendline on the daily. So it got tested twice and NFP on friday was the final nail to the coffin .But take note of 102.2 though overall picture of USD is weak.
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Risk
Two scenerios for USDAcross the USD majors, I still do see weakness in other currencies.
Bias for me is to go long but will be mindful it clearing 103.30 area as it is the downtrend area.If h4 flips over , likely would continue bearish.
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✅The DO’S And DON’TS Of Risk Management❌
❤️Risk management is a crucial component of forex trading to help minimize potential losses. In this article, we’ll explore the do’s and don’ts of risk management in forex trading.
🧡DO’S
💁🏼♀️Set a stop-loss order: A stop-loss order is a pre-set level at which a trade will automatically close, thus limiting the loss on an open position.
💁🏼♀️Diversify your portfolio: Spread your investments across multiple currency pairs to avoid exposure to a single currency’s risks.
💁🏼♀️Use leverage wisely: Leverage allows traders to invest more than their account balance. However, it also increases the potential risk. Only trade with leverage if you fully understand how it works.
💁🏼♀️Keep an eye on economic events: Economic events can impact forex markets. Keeping a close eye on them can help you adjust your trading strategy accordingly and avoid unexpected losses.
💁🏼♀️Use risk-reward ratio: It is essential to have a clear risk-reward ratio in mind before entering a trade. This ratio should be based on your established trading strategy and the probability of success.
💙DON’TS
🙅🏼♀️Don’t invest more than you can afford to lose: This is a fundamental rule of investing in any financial market. Never invest more than you can afford to lose.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t let emotions drive your trading: Emotions such as fear, greed, and hope can lead to impulsive decisions and cause significant losses.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t ignore fundamental analysis: Fundamental analysis helps traders understand a country’s economic and political situation, which can significantly impact forex markets.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t follow the herd: It is essential to have your own trading strategy and stick to it. Following others' trades blindly can lead to significant losses.
🙅🏼♀️Don’t trade without a strategy: A trading strategy helps you make informed decisions and minimize the risks of trading. Not having a strategy can lead to impulsive decisions and significant losses.
🖤 In conclusion , risk management is a crucial component of forex trading. It is essential to follow the do’s and don’ts mentioned above to minimize potential losses and make informed decisions. Remember, successful trading comes with experience, discipline, and patience. Happy trading!
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⚖️ How Much You Need To Recover LossesWhen an investment's value fluctuates, the amount of money required to bring it back to its initial value is equal to the amount of change, but with the opposite sign. When expressed as a percentage, the gain and loss percentages will be different. This is because the same dollar amount is being calculated as a percentage of two different initial amounts.
📌The formula is expressed as a change from the initial value to the final value.
Percentage change = ( Final value − Initial value ) / Initial value ∗ 100
Examples:
🔹 With a loss of 10%, one needs a gain of about 11% to recover. (A market correction)
🔹 With a loss of 20%, one needs a gain of 25% to recover. (A bear market)
🔹 With a loss of 30%, one needs a gain of about 43% to recover.
🔹 With a loss of 40%, one needs a gain of about 67% to recover.
🔹 With a loss of 50%, one needs a gain of 100% to recover.
(If you lose half your money you need to double what you have left to get back to even.)
🔹 With a loss of 100%, you are starting over from zero. And remember, anything multiplied by zero is still zero.
As the plot graph showcased on the idea, after a percentage loss, the plot shows that you always need a larger percentage increase to come back to the same value
To understand this, we can look at the following example:
$1,000 = starting value
$ 900 = $1,000 - (10% of $1,000), a drop of 10%
$ 990 = $ 900 + (10% of $900), followed by a gain of 10%
The ending value of $990 is less than the starting value of $1,000.
🧠 Psychological Aspect:
Investors should be able to mentally admit that they have incurred a loss, which is expected in trading. The investor should give some time to heal the process and only keep a close watch on the market situation. Huge losses incurred might disrupt the decision-making skill and stop trading for a few days until the confidence is regained. There should be the right focus to approach the right opportunities, and there should not be any regrets of any loss during trading.
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The Ups and Downs of Investment Risk: Navigating the Risk Level
👉🏻The world of investing can be a wild ride, full of twists and turns that can lead to either high gains or crushing losses. That’s why it’s important to understand the different risk levels that come with investing in various assets. Let’s explore the three main categories of investment risk levels: low, moderate, and high.
💹Low Risk
If you’re risk-averse and prefer a steady, predictable return on your investment, low-risk options are the way to go. These are investments with low volatility and minimal chance of losing money.
💹Moderate Risk
If you’re willing to take a bit more risk for potentially higher returns, moderate-risk investments might be a good fit for you. These typically have a higher volatility rate, but still have a good chance of earning a positive return in the long run.
💹High Risk
For those willing to take on the highest level of investing risk in search of the highest returns, high-risk investments might be worth considering. These have the highest potential for extreme highs and extreme lows with significant volatility.
👉🏻It’s important to note that each investor’s risk tolerance is different, and what might be a high-risk investment for one person could be a low-risk investment for another. So, when considering investment options, make sure to weigh both the potential rewards and the accompanying risks.
👉🏻In conclusion, investing involves a certain amount of risk, but understanding and balancing those risks can help you make informed decisions that align with your financial goals. Whether you opt for low, moderate, or high-risk investments, do your research and seek advice from financial professionals to determine which level of investing risk is right for you. Happy investing!
😸Thank you for reading buddy, hope you learned something new today😸
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Risk Management Strategies for Conservative& Aggressive Traders📚 #Risk_management
Risk management in forex for retail traders is essential, especially considering the use of leverage. Leverage allows traders to control larger positions in the market with a smaller amount of capital. While leverage can amplify profits, it also increases the risk of losses. Here's how risk management and leverage factor into forex trading:
-Position Sizing with Leverage: When using leverage, traders need to be cautious about the size of their positions. Higher leverage ratios allow for larger positions, but they also increase the potential for significant losses. Proper position sizing is crucial to ensure that potential losses are within the trader's risk tolerance.
-Stop-Loss Orders with Leverage: Leverage magnifies the impact of market movements, which means losses can accumulate quickly. Placing appropriate stop-loss orders becomes even more critical when using leverage. Traders should set stop-loss levels based on their risk tolerance and the volatility of the currency pair being traded.
-Risk-Reward Ratio with Leverage: Leverage affects the risk-reward ratio. While leverage can enhance potential profits, it can also amplify losses. Traders should be mindful of maintaining a favorable risk-reward ratio when considering their profit targets and potential losses.
-Diversification with Leverage: Diversification is important for risk management, especially when using leverage. By spreading exposure across different currency pairs or trading strategies, traders can minimize the impact of adverse price movements. Diversification helps to mitigate the risk associated with concentrated positions.
-Trading Plan and Journal with Leverage: When using leverage, having a well-defined trading plan is crucial. It outlines the risk management rules, including leverage usage, position sizing, and stop-loss levels. Maintaining a trading journal becomes even more important as it helps traders review their leverage usage and analyze the impact on their trading performance.
-Emotional Control with Leverage: Leverage can heighten emotional responses in trading. Traders may be tempted to take on excessive risks or panic during periods of losses. Emotional control becomes vital to avoid impulsive decisions driven by fear or greed. Traders should stick to their risk management plan and avoid overleveraging.
In summary, risk management in forex trading is even more crucial when leverage is involved. Traders need to carefully consider position sizing, set appropriate stop-loss levels, maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio, diversify their trades, adhere to their trading plan, and exercise emotional control. By incorporating these practices, traders can navigate the risks associated with leverage and protect their trading capital.
Is YINN ( Chinese 3X )ready to re-enter or add to the position?YINN is shown here on a 15-minute chart. It had several good NY sessions in a row adding about
4% daily. In the last session however, it had a 3% pullback to its present price. Fundamentally,
the Chinese central bank in just the past few days, lowered the prime rate something the US
fed has been unwilling to consider. There can be little doubt that this will be helpful to
Chinese stocks overall. On the chart, I find several confluences that give YINN support and
so make it likely that YINN will have a bullish continuation:
(1) it is currently at the same value of the POC line.
(2) it is currently near to the convergence of the SMAs 50 20 and 10 from the
Alligator indicator
(3) it is sitting just above the line representing one standard deviation above
the anchored mean VWAP
Given these confluences, the support is strong favoring my analysis that YINN is ready
for me to add to my position which was very profitable when I took a partial closure
of my shares at the beginning of the last trading day. I am confident that the buy
high and sell higher in an uptrend is the best approach to gain with low risk.
Somemore upside is thereUptrend on Audchf, looking at some upside to come. Wait for setups to go on long.
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Gcad bias on the upside.Trend direction could have flipped on d1, watching for pullbacks.
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EN pulled back for up side to come?Chart wise, check out my stream this week for more info!
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Usd at last key levelTo hold or to break, bias still on the downside, long with care.
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How to do Risk Management in trading stock?To practice effective risk management in trading stocks, consider the following key principles:
Set Risk Tolerance: Determine your risk tolerance level based on your financial situation, investment goals, and personal comfort level with potential losses.
Position Sizing: Limit the amount of capital you allocate to each trade based on your risk tolerance. Avoid risking a significant portion of your portfolio on a single trade.
Stop Loss Orders: Implement stop loss orders to automatically sell a stock if it reaches a predetermined price level, limiting potential losses.
Diversify Your Portfolio: Spread your investments across different stocks and sectors to reduce the impact of any single stock's performance on your overall portfolio.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Evaluate the potential risk and reward of each trade. Aim for a favorable risk-reward ratio by seeking trades where potential gains outweigh potential losses.
Research and Analysis: Conduct thorough research and analysis before making any trading decisions. Consider fundamental and technical factors to assess the risk associated with a particular stock.
Stay Informed: Stay updated on market trends, news, and events that could impact stock prices. Being aware of potential risks and market conditions helps you make informed decisions.
Emotional Discipline: Control your emotions and avoid making impulsive decisions based on fear or greed. Stick to your trading plan and avoid chasing losses or making irrational trades.
Regular Evaluation: Continuously assess and review your trading performance, identifying any patterns or areas where risk management can be improved.
Education and Experience: Continuously educate yourself about trading strategies, risk management techniques, and market dynamics. Gaining experience and learning from both successes and failures is crucial for effective risk management in trading stocks.
🔥 GALA Losing Support: Trigger Ready!GALA has been consolidating around the purple support for almost a week now. As it looks now, the price is eager to go lower and make new lows.
I'm patiently waiting for the price to make new lows. If we can close the candle below it, the expectation is that the bear trend will continue in the near term.
Stop above the most recent lower-high, target at 0.022
How to: Dynamic DCA with Risk Metric [Live Backtest]Hi Everyone,
This tutorial is a live backtest demonstration of a basic Dynamic DCA strategy using my Bitcoin Risk Metric and how it performed in the 2018-2021 BTC market cycle.
The risk metric quantifies the risk of buying BTC at any given time, highlighting periods of overvaluation and undervaluation. A Dynamic DCA strategy allows the user to:
Accumulate BTC during periods of undervaluation.
Lock in profit during periods of overvaluation.
Grow a cash position (undeployed capital) to take advantage of periods of extreme undervaluation.
I hope this tutorial is informative and gives a clear picture of how the @panpanXBT Bitcoin Risk Metric indicators can be utilised to guide decision making.
Please refer to the ideas linked below for information on how to gain access to these private indicators and strategies.
usd broke lower and retesting its supportAfter consolidating for a week + the usd broke lower but we saw it retesting the last support turned Resistance area. Will it clear that or reject?
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🔥 UMA Bullish Channel: Highest Risk Reward Trade Of The DayUMA has been trading inside this bullish channel for over 6 months now. This trade is based on the idea that UMA will continue to trade within the channel.
Keep in mind that BTC is currently in a short-term bearish trend, so a long-entry carries more risk from the start. To counter this, this particular trade has a very high risk reward ratio of 15.5
More defensive traders could take the safer trade with a lower SL and a slightly lower entry. Still, a risk-reward ratio of 10.53 is very good.
What is an "R"? Discover the Most Popular Way to Manage RiskUsing R multiples is one of the most widely used strategies by professional traders for managing risk and tracking results. The R multiple concept is extremely easy to use and implement into your own strategy. With this simple idea, money management will become a breeze! If you have any questions or comments I would love to hear them!
SP500 Makes "Failure" Break Higher; Now Short-term Weakness SP500 is making a sharp reversal, so it appears it was failure break higher after that overcrowded trade when everyone expected 4200 to be a major breakout point for the bull run. We also see USD still in bullish mode which can extend gains much higher now if stocks will be in risk-off mode. Looking at the SP500 price action, we see price falling below the trendline support so it seems that five wave rise from the March low is finished and that minimum three wave drop is in play. Big important level can be 4060/4070 which has been retested a few times in the last two months. Below that we have 4k, near 61.8% Fib.
Uchf at a level interesting to watch too...watching 0.9 this area to hold.
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USD long awaited breakoutUSD d1 indeed broke out, for me we might see a day or 2 more of rally then pullback could set in...that's where we then camp for long position ...let's see how things play out later on next week.
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just an observation. $SPY vs $IEF / $HYGAppears we are running out of risk appetite. Put also looks like we have built a very nice base for a significant move higher. Hopefully, that's a risk on move, not a risk-off move.
Personally, I believe we have already corrected in each individual sector, it just didn't happen all at once like it normally does.
According to this, risk aversion and sentiment have been flat in a range for the past few months according to IEF/HYG.
UJ to retest 137.5 hi?
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