HMSTR Main Trend. Trader's Tactics and Risk Control 01 2025Logarithm. Time interval 1 day. A triangle is being formed, almost in the final phase of its formation. The price is in its lower zone. A breakthrough of the triangle resistance is a big pump, the minimum is its % from the base.
⚠️ It is worth noting that locally there may be a “dump” under the dynamic support of the formation for collecting liquidity. Although, in fact, this has already happened a little earlier. But, if the market allows, this can happen again. Just take this into account in your risk management.
It is worth emphasizing, for those who have tolerance, that in the center of the triangle (its integral part) a double bottom with a flat top (projection of forced actions of the market maker) has formed, which, as a rule, has a very positive effect on long-term goals (they are "not" on the chart).
There is a local correction of bitcoin and the market as a projection as a whole. A good time to accumulate altcoins . This is one of the candidates for accumulation. You can buy in parts (an acceptable average price is important):
1️⃣ That is, according to the market now, the first zone. 1/3 of the volume.
If you are afraid, then wait for a breakout of the triangle , that is, a breakout of the downtrend. You can set trigger orders for a breakout so as not to “freeze” money. If on your exchange, where you trade “dinosaur functionality” (for example, Binance), then in this zone you set a regular stop loss for buying (breakout).
2️⃣ The other part (you set trigger or limit orders) as the price decreases to collect liquidity, depending on the market situation. Zone 2 is the zone where everyone sets a stop loss, that is, everything is the other way around. It is displayed as a capitulation zone.
3️⃣ Third zone — in case of deep price slippage due to low liquidity (optional and unlikely). You simply place a grid of orders.
If you use trigger orders , which do not freeze money in the order, then you can also use this volume for a breakout. That is, resistance in the form of a triangle, and in the case of a negative scenario, key resistance levels that will form when the price falls, the breakout of which determines the trend reversal.
Linear for trend clarity and formation without market noise.
Don't get stuck in the market noise, as well as in the noise of the majority opinions, which is formed by the breath of micro-market movements and news FUD of deception, which forms the anti-logic of the market behavior at the moment, radically, to the opposite, and so many times.
If, conditionally, you are isolated from all this meaningless “important”, then as a consequence, you will have: a clear mind, a healthy psyche and many times greater profit over the distance.
Always stick to your trading plan and control risks, regardless of the news flow, and the opinions of others who want to convince you and incline you to their "correct" opinion.
Your trading plan should not change from the opinion of the majority or "unforeseen market movements".
If this is observed, then admit that you have no trading plan (hard work and intelligence), and you hope for luck, like most of those who "give to the market", and in the end you drain your life energy to the “golden Baal”. It will work once, the second time, in the end, the end is still the same - a negative sacrificial emotional explosion and devastation.
That is, your luck (Fortune-Tyche-chance) will turn away from you, and emotionally rape your psyche, empty your pocket (a resource for the realization of your desires on merit earlier), and the time previously spent on "I'll risk the last time". If a person deceives himself like this, encourages himself, then the last time turns into a trip with many alternations of stops - "good" / "a little painful", to the final stop, called — "big unbearable pain") ...
Riskmangement
XAUUSD: Battle for New Highs – Bullish or Bearish?🚨 Attention Traders!🚨
🔥 XAUUSD is on FIRE! Price action is 🔥, and we're seeing a major battle at 3004 - 3014! Will it break out?
Bearish Alert 📉: If price dips below this zone, we could see targets around 2988 and 2998. Keep an eye on these support levels!
Bullish Opportunity 📈: A breakout above 2911 could lead to buying opportunities! Watch for moves above 3025 with targets at 3035 and 3050.
💬 Join the convo! Share your thoughts & strategies — let’s ride the gold wave together and catch these opportunities! 🚀✨
Gold Daily Bias UpdateGold Daily Bias Update
As we continue to monitor the gold market, our daily bias remains firmly bullish, driven by several key factors that suggest a continued upward trajectory.
Key Reasons for Bullish Bias
1. 1D Candle Sweep: The 1D candle has successfully swept previous days' lows, absorbing liquidity and closing above the bullish Fibonacci (FVG) level. This price action indicates a strong bullish trend, as the market has demonstrated its ability to absorb selling pressure and push higher.
2. Downside Liquidity Absorption: With downside liquidity now largely absorbed, the market is poised to target upside liquidity levels. This shift in liquidity dynamics should provide a tailwind for bullish momentum, as buyers look to drive prices higher.
3. Market Making IRL to ERL Model: Our proprietary Market Making IRL (Immediate Resistance Level) to ERL (Entry Resistance Level) Model is also flashing bullish signals. This model, which analyzes market structure and liquidity dynamics, indicates a high probability of a continued bullish trend.
Implications and Outlook
Given these factors, we remain bullish on gold and expect prices to continue pushing higher. Traders and investors should look to buy dips and scale into long positions, targeting key upside liquidity levels.
As always, we'll continue to monitor market developments and adjust our bias accordingly. For now, the technical and fundamental picture suggests a bullish outlook for gold.
Stay Tuned for Further Updates!
We'll provide regular updates and insights as market conditions evolve. Stay ahead of the curve and follow our analysis for expert guidance on navigating the gold market.
Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025Popular Hedging Strategies for Traders in 2025
Hedging strategies are key tools for traders seeking to potentially manage risks while staying active in dynamic markets. By strategically placing positions, traders aim to reduce exposure to adverse price movements without stepping away from potential opportunities. This article explores the fundamentals of hedging, its role in trading, and four hedging strategies examples across forex and CFDs.
What Is Hedging in Trading?
Hedging in trading is a risk management strategy that involves taking positions designed to offset potential losses in an existing investment. This concept of hedging in finance is widely used to reduce market volatility’s impact while maintaining the potential opportunity for returns. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, traders manage it via hedging strategies, meaning they have protection against unexpected market movements.
So, what are hedges? Essentially, they are investments used as protective measures to balance exposure. For example, a trader holding a CFD (Contract for Difference) on a rising stock might open a position on a correlated asset that moves in the opposite direction. If the stock’s price falls, returns from the offsetting position can potentially reduce the overall impact of the loss.
Hedging is common in forex trading, where traders may take positions in currency pairs with historical correlations. For instance, a trader exposed to EUR/USD might hedge using USD/CAD, as these pairs often move inversely. Similarly, traders dealing with indices might diversify into different sectors or regions to spread risk.
Importantly, hedging involves costs, such as spreads or holding fees, which can reduce potential returns. It’s not a guaranteed method of avoiding losses but rather a calculated approach to navigating uncertainty.
Why Traders Use Hedging Strategies
Different types of hedging strategies may help traders manage volatility, protect portfolio value, or balance short- and long-term goals.
1. Managing Market Volatility
Markets are unpredictable, and sudden price swings can impact even well-thought-out positions. Hedging this risk may help reduce the impact of unexpected volatility, particularly during periods of heightened uncertainty, such as geopolitical events, economic announcements, or earnings reports. For instance, a forex trader might hedge against fluctuations in a currency pair by taking positions in negatively correlated pairs, aiming to soften the blow of adverse price movements.
2. Balancing Long- and Short-Term Goals
Hedging allows traders to pursue longer-term strategies without being overly exposed to short-term risks. For example, a trader with a bullish outlook on an asset may use a hedge to protect against temporary downturns. This balance enables traders to maintain their primary position while weathering market turbulence.
3. Protecting Portfolio Value
Hedging strategies may help investors safeguard their overall portfolio value during market corrections or bearish trends. By diversifying positions or using opposing trades, they can potentially reduce significant drawdowns. For instance, shorting an index CFD while holding long positions in individual stocks can help offset sector-wide losses.
4. Improving Decision-Making Flexibility
Hedging provides traders with the flexibility to adjust their strategies as market conditions evolve. By mitigating downside risks, they can focus on refining their long-term approach without being forced into reactive decisions during volatile periods. This level of control can be vital for maintaining consistency in trading performance.
Common Hedging Strategies in Trading
While hedging doesn’t eliminate risks entirely, it can provide a layer of protection against adverse market movements. Some of the most commonly used strategies for hedging include:
1. Hedging with Correlated Instruments
One of the most straightforward hedging techniques involves trading assets that have a known historical correlation. Correlated instruments typically move in alignment, either positively or negatively, which traders can leverage to offset risk.
For example, a trader holding a long CFD position on the S&P 500 index might hedge by shorting the Nasdaq-100 index. These two indices are often positively correlated, meaning that if the S&P 500 declines, the Nasdaq-100 might follow suit. By holding an opposing position in a similar asset, losses in one position can potentially be offset by gains in the other.
This approach works across various asset classes, including forex. A well-planned forex hedging strategy can soften the blow of market volatility, particularly during economic events. Consider EUR/USD and USD/CAD: these pairs typically show a negative correlation due to the shared role of the US dollar. A trader might hedge a EUR/USD long position with a USD/CAD long position, reducing exposure to unexpected dollar strength or weakness.
However, correlation-based hedging requires regular monitoring. Correlations can change depending on market conditions, and a breakdown in historical patterns could result in both positions moving against the trader. Tools like correlation matrices can help traders analyse relationships between assets before using this strategy.
2. Hedging in the Same Instrument
Hedging within the same instrument involves taking opposing positions on a single asset to potentially manage risks without exiting the original trade. This hedging strategy is often used when traders suspect short-term price movements might work against their primary position but still believe in its long-term potential.
For example, imagine a trader holding a long CFD position in a major stock like Apple. The trader anticipates the stock price will rise over the long term but is concerned about an upcoming earnings report or market-wide sell-off that could lead to short-term losses. To hedge, the trader opens a short position in the same stock, locking in the current value of their trade. If the stock’s price falls, the short position may offset the losses in the long position, reducing overall exposure to the downside.
This is often done with a position size equivalent to or less than the original position, depending on risk tolerance and market outlook. A trader with high conviction in a short-term movement may use an equivalent position size, while a lower conviction could mean using just a partial hedge.
3. Sector or Market Hedging for Indices
When trading index CFDs, hedging can involve diversifying exposure across sectors or markets. This strategy helps reduce the impact of sector-specific risks while maintaining exposure to broader market trends.
For example, if a trader has a portfolio with exposure to technology stocks and expects short-term declines in the sector, they can open a short position in a technology-focused index like Nasdaq-100 to offset potential losses.
Another common approach is geographic diversification. Traders with exposure to European indices, such as the FTSE 100, might hedge with positions in US indices like the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Regional differences in economic conditions can make this a practical strategy, as markets often react differently to global events.
When implementing sector or market hedging, traders should consider the weighting of individual stocks within an index and how they contribute to overall performance. This strategy is used by traders who have a clear understanding of the underlying drivers of the indices involved.
4. Stock Pair Trading
Pair trading is a more advanced hedging technique that involves identifying two related assets and taking opposing positions. This approach is often used in equities or indices where stocks within the same sector tend to move in correlation with each other.
For instance, a trader might identify two technology companies with similar fundamentals, one appearing undervalued and the other overvalued. The trader could go long on the undervalued stock while shorting the overvalued one. If the sector experiences a downturn, the losses in the long position may potentially be offset by gains in the short position.
Pair trading requires significant analysis, including fundamental and technical evaluations of the assets involved. While this strategy offers a built-in hedge, it can be risky if the chosen pair doesn’t perform as expected or if external factors disrupt the relationship between the assets.
Key Considerations When Hedging
What does it mean to hedge a stock or other asset? To fully understand the concept, it’s essential to recognise several factors:
- Costs: Hedging isn’t free. Spreads, commissions, and overnight holding fees can accumulate, reducing overall potential returns. Traders should calculate these costs to ensure the hedge is worth implementing.
- Market Conditions: Hedging strategies are not static. They require adaptation to changing market conditions, including shifts in volatility, liquidity, and macroeconomic factors.
- Correlation Risks: Correlations between assets are not always consistent. Unexpected changes in relationships driven by fundamental events can reduce the effectiveness of a hedge.
- Timing: The timing of both the initial position and the hedge is critical. Poor timing can lead to increased losses or missed potential opportunities.
The Bottom Line
Hedging strategies are popular among traders looking to manage risks while staying active in the markets. By balancing positions and leveraging tools like correlated instruments or partial hedges, traders aim to navigate volatility with greater confidence. However, hedging doesn’t exclude risks and requires analysis, planning, and regular evaluation.
If you're ready to explore hedging strategies in forex, stock, commodity, and index CFDs, consider opening an FXOpen account to access four advanced trading platforms, competitive spreads, and more than 700 instruments to use in hedging.
FAQ
What Is Hedging in Trading?
Hedging in trading is a risk management approach where traders take offsetting positions to potentially reduce losses from adverse market movements. Rather than avoiding risk entirely, hedge trading aims to manage it, providing a form of mitigation while maintaining market exposure. For example, a trader with a long position on an asset might open a short position on a related asset to offset potential losses during market volatility.
What Are the Three Hedging Strategies?
The three common hedging strategies include: hedging with correlated instruments, where traders take opposing positions in assets with historical relationships; hedging in the same instrument, where a trader suspects a movement against the direction of their original position and opens a trade in the opposite direction; and sector or market hedging, where a trader uses indices or regional diversification to reduce exposure to specific market risks.
What Is Hedging in Stocks?
Hedging in stocks involves taking additional positions to offset risks associated with holding other stocks. This can include shorting related stocks, trading negatively correlated indices, or using market diversification to reduce exposure to sector-specific downturns.
How to Hedge Stocks?
To hedge stocks, traders typically use strategies like short-selling correlated equities, diversifying into other asset classes, or opening opposing positions in related indices. The aim is to limit downside while maintaining some exposure to potential market opportunities.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
TradeCityPro | UNIUSDT Ready to Break the Trend Line👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's analyze and review one of the best crypto DeFi projects and projects that have good income in the crypto space!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, we are witnessing a deep correction of this coin and the situation is not very good and these events are also due to the recent negative news in the market, but we experienced a 68 percent drop!
We have now reached an important support which is 5.599 and in terms of price it is really a good price for the yoni but I don't have any suggestions to buy it right now because it is a very strong downtrend and we need to form a structure!
Even if we need to lose a percentage of the movement, we will lose it so that we can enter with the momentum and we do not need to buy a step like the others and for now we will watch for a purchase, but to exit after the level of 4.051, I will exit myself
📈 Daily Timeframe
The same thing is happening on the daily time frame and after being rejected from 18.664 and not reaching this price ceiling, we went for a price correction and formed a box between 12.830 and 15.264
After breaking the bottom of this box, we started a downward movement and I had a bounce to this support and I went to continue the fall and now we have reached the important support of 5.617 and we are probably going to go for a time range and form a box
Currently, it is expected that we will go for a range and form a price structure and we must consider that sellers are no longer willing to sell and have been on it for a few days This is the support level and it is not a good level to buy at the moment, but if we form a box after it breaks, we can buy.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
On the four-hour time frame, this recent decline is also clearly visible on the chart and has even caused us to form a downward trend line of the retracement type.
I should mention that trend lines are divided into two categories: retracement and continuation. Continuing trend lines are those that continue our main trend after the trend line breaks and usually we do not need a trigger to trade it, but retracement trend lines are trend lines that change our main trend and to open a position with them, I myself wait for the trend line to break and a confirmation trigger!
📈 Long Position Trigger
with the above explanation, after the trend line and trigger 6.287 break, we can open a risky long position, but if this happens, by forming a higher bottom and top after breaking that top, we will have a much better trigger and we are more confident that the trend will continue
📉 Short Position Trigger
our task is completely specific, and after breaking 5.721, we can open our position, and we can also continue to do the same with each rejection from this trend line and get confirmation for the position if the volume increases, but our main trigger will still be 5.721
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | ENAUSDT Ready to Go!👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let's go together to analyze and review one of my favorite coins and DeFi coins that we are likely to have and experience a movement in the coming days
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly time frame, after we hit the 1.2788 level, which was our ATH, we got rejected from it and engulfed the previous weekly candle.
This was also an exit point or a take profit for us, and after this, it is very logical to withdraw some of our capital, and the reason is that the buyers could not do anything and push the price above this level!
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily time frame, but after we followed a parabolic move and its slope reached the end of the road, we were rejected by the important resistance of 1.2788
This rejection caused our parabolic move to end and after its failure, we went for an upward move again, but we were rejected by the resistance and went for the support of 0.7857
After the failure of this support and the pullback to it, we went for a rejection again from this resistance and are currently suffering between 0.3282 and 0.4833, with the difference that there is still more presence of sellers for this event
To buy at risk, you can also make a long position at risk after the level of 0.4833 because we can only be active in DeFi and take our coins to DeFi. Now that we are talking about DeFi, you can in this space Also set the liquidity range of the money and we can exit to activate the spot below the level of 0.3282!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | MNTUSDT Effects of Bybit Hack👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let's analyze and examine the main chain mantle coin and examine the effects of the Bybit hack last month
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly time frame, this coin was in good condition and was near its new high and could even break this resistance level well!
But the continuous events of the crypto market caused a deep correction of 50% of this chart, from Trump's tariffs to the Bybit hack, and since the MNT coin was one of the main Bybit holding coins, it caused its recent fall.
In this timeframe, we made our purchase for DeFi at the level of 0.6577 and now it is only a little in profit, although we took out some with the weekly engulfing candle, but I will continue to hold and if we lose 0.5457, I will exit completely.
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, after the daily box between 0.5457 and 0.6622 broke and momentum entered, we started our move and reached a very important resistance level of 1.3947 and after that we recorded a lower ceiling.
After breaking the important bottom of 0.9311, the exit trigger It was our spot that became active and after pulling back to it, we experienced a continued decline and now we are back to important support which was previously the ceiling of our ascending box and is an important level for us!
It is not a good time to buy again right now and we need to form a new structure, but the fact that we have a weak downtrend can be a good sign in itself, but we still need to create new space for now. For selling, I will wait and cash out my coins below 0.5457 and say goodbye to this coin without bias :))
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro Academy | Dow Theory Part 3👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Welcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel Technical Analysis Training
We aim to produce educational content in playlist format that will teach you technical analysis from A to Z. We will cover topics such as risk and capital management, Dow Theory, support and resistance, trends, market cycles, and more. These lessons are based on our experiences and the book The Handbook of Technical Analysis.
🎨 What is Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis (TA) is a method used to predict price movements in financial markets by analyzing past data, especially price and trading volume. This approach is based on the idea that historical price patterns tend to repeat and can help traders identify profitable opportunities.
🔹 Why is Technical Analysis Important?
Technical analysis helps traders and investors predict future price movements based on past price action. Its importance comes from several key benefits:
Faster Decision-Making: No need to analyze financial reports or complex news—just focus on price patterns and trading volume.
Better Risk Management: Tools like support & resistance, indicators, and chart patterns help traders find the best entry and exit points.
Applicable to All Markets: Technical analysis can be used in Forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and even real estate.
In the previous session, we explained Principles 3 and 4 of the Dow Theory. Be sure to review and study them, and if you have any questions, let us know in the comments.
📑 Principles of Dow Theory
1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto)
2 - The Market Has Three Trends
3 - Trends Have Three Phases
4 - Trend Continues Until a Reversal is Confirmed
5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other
6 - Volume Confirms the Trend
📈 Principle 5: Trends Persist Until a Clear Reversal Signal Appears
Full Explanation:
Dow Theory says that once a market picks a direction—like going up (bullish trend) or down (bearish trend)—it keeps moving that way until something big and obvious says, “Nope, we’re turning around!” Think of it like momentum: the market’s lazy and sticks to its path unless it gets a solid reason to switch.
What’s a Trend? It’s the market’s overall direction. Uptrend means higher highs and higher lows (prices keep climbing). Downtrend means lower highs and lower lows (prices keep dropping). Sideways means it’s stuck in a range.
What’s a Reversal Signal? In an uptrend, if prices stop making new highs and start forming lower highs and lows, plus break a key level (like support), that’s a sign the trend’s flipping. In a downtrend, it’s the opposite—higher highs and lows plus breaking resistance mean it’s turning up.
Why Does This Happen? Markets reflect crowd behavior. When everyone’s buying or selling, the trend builds steam and doesn’t stop until the crowd’s mood shifts big-time.
Key Point: Small dips or spikes don’t count. A little drop in an uptrend? Normal. You need a clear pattern or a big break to call it a reversal.
Practical Use: Traders use this to avoid panic-selling on tiny moves and wait for strong signals before jumping ship.
Simple Example:
It’s like riding a bike downhill—you keep rolling fast until you hit a wall or slam the brakes.
📊 Principle 6: Trends Must Be Confirmed by Volume
Full Explanation:
This principle says a trend isn’t legit unless trading volume backs it up. Volume is how much is being bought or sold. If the trend’s real, volume should match it—high volume means lots of people are in on it, low volume means it might be fake or weak.
Uptrend: Prices rising with growing volume? That’s a strong bull run—buyers are all in. Prices up but volume’s tiny? Could be a fluke or manipulation.
Downtrend: Prices falling with big volume? Sellers mean business—bear trend’s solid. Falling prices with low volume? Might just be a quick dip, not a real crash.
How Volume Confirms: It’s like a lie detector for trends. Big volume says, “This move’s for real!” Low volume says, “Eh, don’t trust it yet.”
Extra Detail: In an uptrend, if volume starts dropping, it’s a warning—buyers might be losing steam. In a downtrend, low volume could mean sellers are running out of ammo, hinting at a bounce.
Why It Matters? Dow believed volume shows the market’s true energy. No crowd, no power—simple as that.
Practical Use: Traders check tools like OBV (On-Balance Volume) or volume bars. If a stock jumps but volume’s dead, they might skip it it’s a trap.
Simple Example:
It’s like a party if tons of people show up dancing, it’s a real vibe. If just two guys are there, it’s probably lame.
🎉 Conclusion
We’ve reached the end of today’s educational segment! We’ll start by explaining all of Dow Theory’s principles, and in the future, we’ll move on to chart analysis and the strategy I personally use for trading with Dow Theory. So, make sure you fully grasp these concepts first so we can progress together in this learning journey!
💡 Final Thoughts for Today
This is the end of this part, and I must say we have a long journey ahead. We will continually strive to produce better content every day, steering clear of sensationalized content that promises unrealistic profits, and instead, focusing on the proper learning path of technical analysis.
⚠️ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and should not be considered financial advice for investment.
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #31Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's move on to Bitcoin analysis and important crypto indicators. In this analysis, as usual, I want to review the triggers of the New York Futures Session for you.
1-hour time frame
In the 1-hour time frame, after the price reached 77598, the fall ended and we witnessed an upward correction to the 83281 area.
The 83281 area has become a very important resistance and the price is reacting well to it. A reverse head & shoulder pattern is visible on the chart that has not yet been activated, and with the failure of the 77598 area, we will confirm the activation of this pattern.
If 77598 is broken, the price can move at least to the 83281 area. The next resistances are also within reach of the price, and if strong momentum enters the market, the price can register higher targets.
The buying volume in the market is much less than the selling volume, and the sellers' power is still greater than the buyers'. However, if the 83281 area is broken, this volume can be more in favor of the buyers and the price can move up.
For a short position, if the price rejects the 83281 area or if the failure of this resistance is faked, you can enter a short position with the trigger 81466 to the target 77598.
I have no more talk about Bitcoin, let's move on to the analysis of the indicators so that we can also check the conditions of the altcoins.
BTC.D Analysis
Let's move on to the analysis of Bitcoin Dominance, Dominance has finally stabilized above the 61.61 area and reached the 62.19 area. If this area is broken, Dominance can start its new upward leg.
If Dominance rejects this important ceiling, Dominance's downward leg can continue to 61.61. Dominance's main support is currently 61.08.
Total2 Analysis
Let's move on to Total2 analysis, as you can see, this indicator is at a lower level and has not yet reached the ceiling in the 1.04 area and has recorded its new resistance in the 1.01 area.
The reason for this is Bitcoin's dominance, which has become bullish and more money has entered Bitcoin than altcoins. However, if Dominance breaks 1.01, you can enter a position if Dominance falls.
For short, the first trigger is 984 and the main trigger is 953.
USDT.D Analysis
Let's move on to the Tether Dominance analysis, as you can see, Dominance has broken the trend line it had and is now ready to fall. If it breaks 5.30, you can get confirmation of Tether's Dominance falling.
To confirm Dominance's bullishness, we can get confirmation if it breaks 5.49, which means the market can fall and if these triggers overlap with the Total2 trigger, you can find an altcoin and open a position.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | HBARUSDT Better Condition Than the Market!👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let's go together and examine one of the popular coins in the market that has experienced less correction recently and is in better condition than other altcoins!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
We go to the weekly time frame and see that hbar's condition is much better than other altcoins, and this is precisely due to the entry of momentum and Bitcoin's bullishness!
After we broke through the support at 0.04339 and engulfed the previous weekly candle, it was a bullish sign, and after the trigger at 0.06219 was activated, we broke this resistance and momentum entered this coin!
If you made your purchase in the spot section from this level, the situation is okay for now, but you can save profit or withdraw the principal capital. If you want to re-enter, you can make your purchase after the 0.33056 break.
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily time frame, we have higher levels and a better situation than the rest of the coins, and in a situation where most altcoins are forming lower bottoms, this has not even lost its main level.
After the 0.06470 and daily box break, we experienced a movement of about 500%, and if we draw a Fibonacci, we are currently at the 0.382 level, and this in itself increases the importance of this level! If the 0.37350 ceiling is broken, it shows us that we are going to experience a new movement!
This daily candle can be a good trigger to buy again, and the reason is that we are rising from a good support level and it is also a good Fibonacci level, but this trigger is risky and after the break of 0.26486 it will be a better trigger to welcome, and for a temporary exit, you can also temporarily exit with a break of 0.18653.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | APTUSDT Market Drop on Trump News?👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let's analyze and review one of the popular tier-2 coins together and take a look at this recent Trump news regarding the economic record
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
APT remains inside its large, volatile range, frequently bouncing between its highs and lows. However, this time, it has formed a lower high, which is not a positive sign.
Additionally, after breaking $7.78, sellers completely engulfed the weekly candle, and for the past five weeks, all candles have been red with high selling volume, confirming the downtrend.
There is no buy trigger at the moment, and I cannot recommend a buying opportunity until the market forms a new structure.
For selling, if APT drops below $4.97, it makes sense to exit and accept the loss instead of holding onto a losing position.
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily timeframe, APT failed to break the $14.61 resistance. Even worse, it couldn't even reach the previous high before getting rejected earlier, signaling weakness.
After breaking below $8.46, the market entered an MWC (Market Weakness Confirmation) downtrend.
Following the breakdown, a pullback retest occurred, and the daily candle engulfed the previous two days' candles, leading to further decline. Currently, APT is at $5.70, with RSI in the oversold zone, suggesting a possible short-term slowdown in selling pressure.
I personally feel that APT’s drop is sufficient for now, and we might enter a range here before a final move toward the $4.95 support. However, this does not mean it’s a buy signal. We need to wait for a new market structure before considering spot entries.
In the current situation, the market is really not very analytical and Bitcoin is likely to hit the $72,000-$74,000 level and then go for a break or bullishness, and you should pay attention to these market times! Don’t be FOMO!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | FILUSDT Continuing the Analysis of U.S. Coins👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let’s analyze another coin with a U.S. base, which has the potential to be listed in ETFs in the future, as the U.S. currently has the most influence on the market!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
We are still within the weekly box, and the coin’s situation is not very favorable, as it is currently fluctuating around its most important support level.
After failing to reach the top of the weekly box and facing an early rejection, the market has experienced a decline in recent price corrections. Currently, the price is fluctuating around 3.139, which is the most crucial support level at the moment.
From a price perspective, this is a good buying zone, but since the market is highly bearish, I personally wouldn't buy without confirmation. I'd prefer to let the price range a bit and form a structure, or wait for a strong green candle. Otherwise, my buy trigger would be a breakout above 9.899.
📈 Daily Timeframe
The main trend is still bearish, meaning we continue forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is ranging between 2.995 and 3.753.
After a rejection from 8.051, the price formed a support level at 4.836. However, after breaking this support and retesting it (which has now turned into resistance), the price engulfed the previous three candles, leading to a drop to 2.995.
If the price breaks above 3.573, the Fibonacci levels that we have drawn will act as strong resistance zones for further upward movement. The most important of these levels is 4.836, which previously caused a significant rejection.
For buying, the more the price ranges within the 2.995 - 3.573 box, the stronger the 3.573 breakout trigger will be. For selling, I recommend exiting below 2.995. If the price moves back above 3.573, you can reinvest with the same USDT amount, but in a smaller quantity of FIL, to manage your risk.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
TradeCityPro Academy | Dow Theory Part 2👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Welcome to the Educational Content Section of Our Channel Technical Analysis Training
We aim to produce educational content in playlist format that will teach you technical analysis from A to Z. We will cover topics such as risk and capital management, Dow Theory, support and resistance, trends, market cycles, and more. These lessons are based on our experiences and the book The Handbook of Technical Analysis.
🎨 What is Technical Analysis?
Technical Analysis (TA) is a method used to predict price movements in financial markets by analyzing past data, especially price and trading volume. This approach is based on the idea that historical price patterns tend to repeat and can help traders identify profitable opportunities.
🔹 Why is Technical Analysis Important?
Technical analysis helps traders and investors predict future price movements based on past price action. Its importance comes from several key benefits:
Faster Decision-Making: No need to analyze financial reports or complex news—just focus on price patterns and trading volume.
Better Risk Management: Tools like support & resistance, indicators, and chart patterns help traders find the best entry and exit points.
Applicable to All Markets: Technical analysis can be used in Forex, stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities, and even real estate.
📚 Recap of the Previous Session
In the previous session, we explained the first two principles of Dow Theory. Make sure to review and study them, and if you have any questions, feel free to reach out to us in the comments.
📑 Principles of Dow Theory
1 - The Averages Discount Everything (Not applicable to crypto)
2 - The Market Has Three Trends
3 - Trends Have Three Phases
4 - Trend Continues Until a Reversal is Confirmed
5 - The Averages Must Confirm Each Other
6 - Volume Confirms the Trend
🌟 Principle 3: Trends Have Three Phases
In Dow Theory, the primary trend (which can be a Bull Market or Bear Market) is divided into three distinct phases. These phases reflect market behavior and investor psychology over time. Here’s a detailed explanation:
📉 Accumulation Phase
Definition: This phase begins when the market is at its lowest point (in a bull trend after a bear market) or when general pessimism prevails. Smart investors, professionals, and those with a long-term vision (like large funds or experienced traders) start buying.
Characteristics:
Prices are still low, and economic news is typically negative (e.g., recession, high unemployment).
Trading volume is low because the general public lacks confidence and doesn’t participate.
Price changes are small and gradual, making the market seem "lifeless" or directionless.
Psychology: This phase marks a transition from despair to hope. Smart investors recognize that the worst is over and that the real value of assets exceeds their current price.
Example: Imagine after a major crash like 2008, some big companies stabilize their prices, but the media still talks about "collapse." Professionals step in here. Or with Bitcoin at $16K, most people thought it was heading to zero and were hopeless!
📈 Public Participation Phase
Definition: This phase occurs when the primary trend is clearly established, and the market starts moving more strongly. Economic news improves, and the general public (retail investors) enters the market.
Characteristics:
Prices rise quickly (in a bull market) or fall sharply (in a bear market).
Trading volume increases significantly as participation grows.
Analysts and media begin confirming the trend with positive reports.
Psychology: Confidence in the market grows, and greed (in a bull market) or fear (in a bear market) gradually takes over. This is where market momentum accelerates.
Example: In a bull market, you might see indices like the Dow Jones hitting new records weekly, with ordinary people buying tech or industrial stocks.
💰 Distribution Phase
Definition: This is the end of the primary trend. In a bull market, smart investors who bought during accumulation start selling to take profits. In a bear market, panic selling subsides, and some buy in hopes of a recovery.
Characteristics:
Prices may still be high, but volatility increases, and signs of weakness emerge.
Trading volume might remain high, but discrepancies between volume and price (e.g., price drops with high volume) appear.
News is still positive, but professionals know the market is overvalued.
Psychology: In a bull market, excessive optimism (Euphoria) dominates; in a bear market, complete despair sets in. This is where the trend reverses.
Example: At the peak of the dot-com bubble (2000), tech stocks kept rising, but professionals began exiting, and then the crash followed.
Key Note: These three phases occur in sequence, and understanding them helps analysts identify the market’s position in the larger cycle. In a bear market, the phases reverse: panic selling (like distribution), temporary recovery (like participation), and final capitulation (like accumulation).
🔍 Principle 4: The Averages Must Confirm Each Other
Charles Dow believed that for a primary trend to be confirmed, two key market indices—the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA)—must move in the same direction. This principle stems from economic and logical significance in Dow’s time and is still considered a key metric. Here’s the full explanation:
📊 Economic Logic:
Industry and Transportation: In Dow’s era (late 19th and early 20th centuries), the U.S. economy relied heavily on industrial production and transportation (e.g., railroads). If industrial companies (producers of goods) were growing, demand for transportation (moving goods) should also rise.
Thus, aligned movement in these indices signaled a healthy economy.
Mutual Confirmation: If only one average rises (e.g., industrials go up but transportation doesn’t), Dow saw it as a sign of weakness or an unsustainable trend.
🤑 Practical Application:
Bullish Trend: In a bull market, both averages should reach new highs (Higher Highs). If the DJIA hits a new record but the DJTA fails to confirm and stays lower, the uptrend is questionable.
Bearish Trend: In a bear market, both should hit new lows (Lower Lows). Lack of confirmation (e.g., industrials fall but transportation doesn’t) might signal the end of the downtrend.
Divergence: If the averages diverge (one rises while the other doesn’t), Dow viewed it as a warning of a potential trend change.
⚖️ Technical Details:
Timing: Confirmation doesn’t need to be simultaneous but should occur within a reasonable timeframe (e.g., weeks or months).
Volume: Though not directly mentioned in this principle, handbooks emphasize that high volume during confirmation adds credibility to the trend.
Classic Example: In 1929, the industrial average began falling, but transportation initially resisted. When transportation also dropped, the bearish trend was confirmed, leading to the Great Depression.
🎉 Conclusion
We’ve reached the end of today’s educational segment! We’ll start by explaining all of Dow Theory’s principles, and in the future, we’ll move on to chart analysis and the strategy I personally use for trading with Dow Theory. So, make sure you fully grasp these concepts first so we can progress together in this learning journey!
💡 Final Thoughts for Today
This is the end of this part, and I must say we have a long journey ahead. We will continually strive to produce better content every day, steering clear of sensationalized content that promises unrealistic profits, and instead, focusing on the proper learning path of technical analysis.
⚠️ Please remember that these lessons represent our personal view of the market and should not be considered financial advice for investment.
TradeCityPro | SUIUSDT Is the best time to buy ?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's analyze and review one of the most popular coins in the market, sui, and update our previous analysis and find new triggers
🌐 Bitcoin Overview
Before starting today's altcoin analysis, let's look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Since yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a correction, which was necessary for the market, and it pulled back to the 102135 range. The next trigger for a long position will be a breakout above 104714.
Yesterday's correction, coupled with an increase in Bitcoin dominance, caused noticeable declines in some altcoins. This highlights the importance of monitoring BTC pairs in your checklist these days.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, it is one of the coins that is in good condition, it is really in the market and is still fluctuating on the high support levels.
After hitting 5.24, we made a new ceiling or ATH, and after that, due to recent market news, we experienced some drops, and this has also caused the price correction of this coin.
For re-buying, if we make a good support candle at this level 2.4, it will be a good trigger and the main trend will start again after we break 5.24. Also, after breaking 1.77, we can temporarily exit this coin and cash out!
📈 Daily Timeframe
In the daily time frame, it has been in relatively good conditions compared to other coins in the market and has experienced fewer declines and still has a lot of support to lose!
After breaking the 1.0333 level, which was our trigger spot, we made our purchase and experienced a move after its failure with the entry of momentum and recorded a new ceiling with this event!
Along with this trend, we can draw our Fibonacci levels, which are currently involved in the important level of 0.382, and after it rises and breaks the ceiling of 5.24, we can experience a powerful move!
If this level is broken, we can also hit the support levels of 1.7702 and 1.3859 and we need to form a structure to buy now, but after breaking the trend line and the 3.65 trigger, it can be a good point! For selling, I will continue to hold for now!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Todays Gold Market Update.Gold Market Analysis:
The gold price is currently trading within a weekly bearish Falling Volume Gap (FVG) pattern. A break below the 50% level of this FVG has occurred, and the market is now testing a critical resistance zone.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $2893.500
- Support: $2887.500
- Potential target (bullish): $2900
- Potential target (bearish): $2873
Trading Strategy:
A close above $2893.500 on the 4-hour chart, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close above this level, may indicate a bullish breakout. Conversely, a break below $2887.500, followed by a 4-hour candle close below this level, may confirm a bearish downtrend.
Investors are advised to closely monitor these key levels for trade confirmation and adjust their strategies accordingly.
TradeCityPro | BIGTIMEUSDT Final Downtrend?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's analyze and review the new gaming coin BIGTIME and see what the market is going to be like. I feel like we're going to see the final downtrend.
🌐 Bitcoin Overview
Before starting today's altcoin analysis, let's look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Since yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a correction, which was necessary for the market, and it pulled back to the 102135 range. The next trigger for a long position will be a breakout above 104714.
Yesterday's correction, coupled with an increase in Bitcoin dominance, caused noticeable declines in some altcoins. This highlights the importance of monitoring BTC pairs in your checklist these days.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
This coin is not in an interesting situation on the weekly time frame and after being rejected from the resistance of 0.22109, it is continuing its downward trend and is recording a lower high and low
If the weekly candle closes like this and we lose the support of 0.06479, the declines will continue and if you are holding this coin, I suggest you exit temporarily and if it enters again, you will simply enter with a smaller number of this coin and your number of Tethers will be preserved
They are not really in good conditions for buying right now, but if the support is faked, we can get a trigger from them, but normally the best trigger is after the failure of 0.22109, but I repeat, the fake of this support can form a new trend!
📈 Daily Timeframe
The situation is the same on the weekly time frame and the probability of a fall is higher than ever, and after the rejection of this important resistance at 0.22785, we have experienced a 75% drop so far!
After this drop, we went into the range box between 0.05801 and 0.07342, and it is natural to suffer a little until our RSI rejected the middle line of 50, which again increased the probability of a fall.
Also, today's daily candle is very important, and if it closes like this, we are engulfing a few of our previous candles and the probability of a support floor breakdown is higher than ever, so you can open a short position and exit the spot, and your second entry for the spot breakdown will be 0.09270!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
BTC UPDATE!!BTC Update:
The current Bitcoin price has entered a critical selling pressure zone. To maintain a bullish outlook, a break above the $99.5k-$100k resistance level is necessary.
Failure to do so may result in the formation of lower highs on the daily time frame, potentially leading to another downward move towards the FWB:73K -$72k support zone.
On the weekly time frame, Bitcoin has left a wick downside without closing below it, which is a positive sign. However, the next candle is crucial, and a close above the $99.5k-$100k zone is needed to maintain bullish momentum.
A close below the $90k- GETTEX:89K zone would likely confirm another downward move towards the lower low structure of FWB:73K -$72k.
As indicated by the chart, failure to break above the $99.5k-$100k zone may result in the formation of lower highs, potentially leading to another downward move.
Investors are advised to exercise caution and not be swayed by market noise. The chart is indicating a potential move towards lower lows if the resistance level is not broken.
To manage risk, consider booking short-term profits and implementing stops on the profit side. Always prioritize risk management and adjust positions accordingly.
Key levels to watch:
- Resistance: $99.5k-$100k
- Support: FWB:73K -$72k
- Critical zone: $90k- GETTEX:89K
EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R ShortEUR/USD Technical Analysis: Bearish Momentum with 2.04R Short Opportunity
Current Market Structure
The EUR/USD is displaying a clear bearish trend across multiple timeframes, with price action showing lower highs and lower lows since late 2024. Analysis of the charts reveals:
Daily timeframe: Sustained downtrend since October 2024, with price currently testing resistance near 1.0380
4-hour timeframe: "Confirmed" bearish alignment with both the 8 EMA and 21 EMA positioned below the 55 EMA
1-hour timeframe: Similar bearish configuration, reinforcing the short bias
EMA System Confirmation
The proprietary EMA System Status indicator demonstrates strong bearish conviction:
240 Signal: Bearish
240 Trend: Bearish
Alignment: Confirmed
This triple confirmation suggests high-probability conditions for short entries.
Key Technical Levels
Support Levels:
1.0300: Psychological round number
1.0230: Recent swing low and profit target
1.0200: Major psychological support
Resistance Levels:
1.0400: Key resistance zone with 200 EMA confluence
1.0430: Stop placement zone above recent swing high
1.0500: Major psychological resistance
Correlation Analysis
Supporting the bearish thesis, the DXY (Dollar Index) shows a complementary bullish structure with:
Confirmed bullish alignment on the 4-hour timeframe
Recent break above the 107.00 resistance level
Bullish momentum in MACD
This inverse correlation adds significant weight to the EUR/USD short setup.
Trade Parameters
Entry Strategy:
Short at 1.03632
Stop Loss at 1.04287 (65.5 pips)
Profit Target at 1.02296 (133.6 pips)
Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.04
Risk Management:
1% account risk allocation
0.5 lot position size
$500 risk per trade (on $50,000 account)
Potential profit: $1,019.85
Technical Confluence Factors
Several factors align to support this trade setup:
Price rejecting at 55 EMA resistance on multiple timeframes
MACD showing bearish momentum and alignment
Weekly and daily session boundaries reinforcing resistance zones
Recent higher timeframe rejection of the 200 EMA
Market Timing Considerations
The European and US economic calendars should be monitored for:
ECB monetary policy statements
Federal Reserve commentary
US dollar-impacting economic data releases
Conclusion
The EUR/USD presents a high-probability short opportunity with a favorable risk-reward ratio of 2.04. All key technical indicators align bearishly across multiple timeframes, with strong correlation confirmation from the DXY. This setup fits the criteria for a "Confirmed" signal within our trading system, meeting our standards for trade execution.
Trade management will follow our established protocol with potential scaling out at interim support levels and trailing stops implemented once price moves beyond the 1:1 risk-reward ratio point.
TradeCityPro | MKRUSDT 70% Move?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's analyze and review one of the best coins in the DAo area together and find another entry point together and update our previous triggers
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting today's altcoin analysis, let's look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Since yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a correction, which was necessary for the market, and it pulled back to the 102135 range. The next trigger for a long position will be a breakout above 104714.
Yesterday's correction, coupled with an increase in Bitcoin dominance, caused noticeable declines in some altcoins. This highlights the importance of monitoring BTC pairs in your checklist these days.
MakerDAO’s sharp increase in fees and growth in Total Value Locked (TVL) has fueled demand. On February 20, $156.77 million of MKR was burned, reducing supply. Growth in active addresses and trading volume has driven the price higher. Strong resistance at $1,800 may limit further growth. MakerDAO’s emergency offering has raised concerns about $3.1 billion USDC exposure.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, the token has seen a 95% gain on the coin, which is a good sign in these market conditions!
Also, in this timeframe, we are in an opening triangle, which is characterized by high volatility, and we are constantly moving towards the bottom and top of this triangle, regardless of the ceiling and floor or support and resistance, and the exit from this triangle will also be sharp.
In this timeframe, we did not have a trigger in advance to say that we could buy or anything else, and it moved very sharply. If you lose, it is normal and do not blame yourself and your strategy.
After exiting this triangle and breaking 2.182, we can have a good trigger to buy, and for now, if you bought and held during this fluctuation and are in profit above 50%, it is logical to save profit, but if you did FOMO and bought, it is better not to continue trading and be busy watching the tutorial for now.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
How To Manage Your Risk In Trading?Beginner!
Chasing profits is not the only purpose of smart trading. It is also about managing risk correctly. Every trade comes with uncertainty, and without a solid strategy, even the best opportunities can turn into costly mistakes. That’s where the 3-5-7 Rule comes in.
Think of it as a built-in safety net for your trades, a simple yet powerful guideline that helps you balance risk and reward. By setting clear limits on your exposure per trade, per market, and across your portfolio, the 3-5-7 Rule keeps you in control, protecting your investments from unexpected losses.
In this guide, we’ll break it all down: how the rule works, why it’s effective, and how you can apply it to your own trading strategy. Plus, we’ll walk through real examples to make it practical and easy to follow. By the end, you’ll be trading with more confidence, better discipline, and a clear plan to keep risk in check.
What is the 3 5 7 Rule?
The 3 5 7 rule works on a simple principle: never risk more than 3% of your trading capital on any single trade; limit your overall exposure to 5% of your capital on all open trades combined; and ensure your winning trades are at least 7% more profitable than your losing trades. It’s simple in theory, but success depends on discipline and consistency.
TradeCityPro | LTCUSDT Let's go for spot buying?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to analyze and review Litecoin analysis, one of the oldest coins in the market, and let's go to update the triggers of the previous analysis!
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting today's altcoin analysis, let's look at Bitcoin on the 1-hour timeframe. Since yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a correction, which was necessary for the market, and it pulled back to the 102135 range. The next trigger for a long position will be a breakout above 104714.
Yesterday's correction, coupled with an increase in Bitcoin dominance, caused noticeable declines in some altcoins. This highlights the importance of monitoring BTC pairs in your checklist these days.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
On the weekly time frame, it is one of the coins that is in a good position compared to the coins and has had the least correction in recent declines and is in this position due to the possibility of ETF approval
There is no need to complicate things in this time frame and after the break of 136.45, we will buy and be above 98.44. This trigger is valid and we do not have much of an exit trigger for the conditions of these days on this chart and for now it is better to continue holding
📈 Daily Timeframe
On the daily time frame, we are also in a good position and we had a good return after the recent market decline due to the Bybit hack and Trump's tariffs and this is a good thing!
After breaking the 75.01 level and exiting the daily box and breaking its ceiling, we moved up to the resistance of 136.45 and are now fluctuating between the 98.44 to 136.45 boxes.
We also had a curve line in this time frame that was a good support for this event and every time we hit it, we made a good move upwards, but after its failure, it can be said that the upward trend moved into the range and went to form a new structure.
To buy spot after the 136.45 trigger is broken, we can buy for spot with a stop loss of 98.44 and as long as we are above 114.38, the 136.45 trigger is very important for us and it shows us more the strength of buyers and in case of a 98.44 break, we will go for 89 and 80 and we will have a price correction.
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends!
CHFJPY POSSIBLE NEXT MOVE!CHFJPY currently break down of traingle and trade and down side of traingle now market will going to retest this traingle resistance and make any candle that show bearish momentum and break thier low so we will see downward market will going.
Remember! The result of your past trades, whether they were winning or losing ones, shouldn’t affect how you handle your next positions.
EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation
EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance
The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse.
Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area.
If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected.
Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias
📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March.
🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return
🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%)
🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation.
💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias.
4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge
🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade.
🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data.
🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning.
🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside.
5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators
✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart.
✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe.
✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone.
💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position.
6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY
🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning.
🔹 Trade Setup:
Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection)
Stop Loss: Above 157.26
Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00
🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short.
🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup.
📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!