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Riskmangement

EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse. Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area. If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected. Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias 📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March. 🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return 🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%) 🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation. 💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias. 4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge 🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade. 🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data. 🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning. 🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside. 5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators ✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart. ✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. ✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone. 💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position. 6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY 🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection) Stop Loss: Above 157.26 Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00 🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short. 🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup. 📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Short
by LDForex_
TradeCityPro Academy | Risk to Reward👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let’s dive into another educational segment. After discussing capital management and risk management, we now turn to one of the most crucial concepts before entering technical analysis: Risk to Reward! 📌 Understanding Risk-to-Reward in Real Life Before we start, let me give you an example of risk to reward from the real world, outside of financial markets. Imagine you are considering investing in a startup technology company that has launched a new product. Risk: You estimate that you might lose $500 of your investment due to uncertainty about the product's success and intense market competition. Reward: However, if the product succeeds and the company grows, you could make a profit of up to $2000. In this example, the risk-to-reward ratio is 1:4, meaning for every $1 at risk, you could earn $4 in reward. This ratio can help you decide if this investment is appealing. If you believe the risk is acceptable and the potential reward is valuable, you might choose to invest. ⚠️ The Reality of Risk-to-Reward in Trading In the real world, if you are a logical person, we all adhere to risk to reward principles. However, it’s puzzling how, in financial markets, you often close your profitable trades as quickly as possible while staying in losing trades for months. This indicates a failure to adhere to risk to reward principles. Before I explain risk management and related concepts, make sure you've viewed the previous sections on risk management and capital management. Remember, if you're not setting stop-loss orders, this lesson might not be very useful for you. 🔍 What is Risk-to-Reward in Trading? In financial markets, risk to reward refers to the ratio between the level of risk an investor takes with a specific investment and the potential reward from that investment. This concept helps investors evaluate whether a particular investment is worth the risk. When trading, if you are about to open a position, set a stop-loss. If your stop-loss is triggered, resulting in a $10 loss, your target profit should be at least $20, creating a risk to reward ratio of 2. I won’t open a position with less than this! It's important to note that risk to reward alone doesn't hold much meaning. It gains significance when considered alongside win rate. The chart I will share clarifies the relationship between win rate and risk to reward. Look at the chart below. If your risk to reward is 1 and your win rate is 50%, you are breaking even—neither gaining nor losing. For risk to reward ratios below 1, you need a win rate of 100% to break even. Our logical risk to reward ratio is 2, where a 40% win rate keeps you profitable. We should allow our minds room for error rather than always striving for accuracy. 🛠️ Understanding Trading Tools Let’s take a simple look at our tools. The chart showcases two types of tools: short position and long position, applicable for both falling and rising markets. The tool displays your risk to reward ratio in the middle, with the stop-loss percentage below and the profit percentage above for long positions, and vice versa for short positions. 📈 Why Should You Use a Risk-to-Reward of 2? Why do you implement a risk to reward of 2? Consider this: if I opened 10 positions this week, with 6 hitting stop-loss and 4 reaching targets, my total loss would be $60. However, due to adhering to a risk to reward ratio of 2, my total profit would be $80, resulting in a net gain of $20! This illustrates the importance of adhering to risk to reward principles. Even if we lose more trades than we win, we can still be profitable in the end. The key is to focus on the overall outcome rather than individual battles. ❌ What Happens If You Don’t Maintain a Standard Risk-to-Reward? Now, consider what happens if I don’t maintain a standard risk to reward. For instance, if I open a position with a risk to reward ratio of 0.5, even if I make a profit, a subsequent loss could negate that gain. If you are involved in financial spaces, you may have encountered signal channels that share their positions, encouraging you to follow for profitable outcomes. For example, if they claim to profit from 95 out of 100 positions, you might feel that winning sensation. But what is their risk to reward ratio? A ratio of 0.1 means that if they hit just a few stop-losses, you could end up in a loss. Be cautious of misleading advertisements and high-return claims. If you manage to achieve a 5% to 10% profit monthly and sustain it for a year, even starting with $100, your trading record will be respected, leading to more funding opportunities. Avoid falling into traps set by opportunistic individuals. 🚀 Practical Trading Considerations Consider this: if you want to open a position but your target is above a major resistance level, and the likelihood of reaching it seems slim, I personally prefer not to open that position. It indicates that my entry point may not be optimal. ❤️ Friendly Note In closing, I encourage you to keep your positions until you reach your risk to reward target. Avoid checking the chart until you hit that point. Set alerts and make decisions only then. Always adhere to these rules for all your positions, not just one. Don’t worry about losing out on profits; instead, approach trading with calmness. Finally, remember that a profit in a position is not truly realized until it is closed and transformed into something tangible—food, clothing, a house, or a car.
Education
by tradecitypro
8
TradeCityPro | ADAUSDT Is the Downtrend Continuing?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's take a look at one of the most popular cryptocurrency coins, review our previous analysis on this coin, and find our triggers! 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. 🕵️‍♂️ Previous Analysis In the previous analysis, we had already identified our analytical levels and said that after the break of 0.8360, we would have the possibility of a sharp decline, and that is what happened, and after the decline, we are currently in a pullback to this level! 📊 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly time frame, ADA, like sol, sui, xrp and most of the top ten coins in the market, is still in a better situation and the price is fluctuating at higher levels After being rejected at 1.1983 and losing support at 0.7959, we experienced a sharp drop to 0.50, and this was the result of Trump and the US tariffs on other countries and caused panic in the market! The buy trigger is still above 1.1983, but because it is in a better situation, I will give you a trigger for this coin in lower time frames, but I had said that selling below 0.7959 was a temporary sale and I do not have a trigger to exit at the moment! 📈 Daily Timeframe But interesting things are happening on the daily time frame and we are still clearly at higher levels than other altcoins and if we have a trend change in the market itself, we can be careful for a long trigger sooner After breaking 0.8204 and losing the 0.236 Fibonacci level, we experienced a Sharpe decline that also became high and I myself expected that after this volume we would go from volatility to forming a range box and this is also happening and we are forming a box of 0.6777 to 0.8204, but if today's daily candle closes like this, we will continue the downtrend! The spot purchase trigger if we are in this space more in this box that I have specified for you will be after the break of 0.8204 or the formation of a higher ceiling and floor in this box, but your next exit trigger if you do not exit at 0.8204, if it breaks at 0.6777, it is recommended to exit or at least save profit! ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe In the four-hour time frame, the conditions of this coin are such that you can open both short and long positions, and it is one of the coins that you should have on your watchlist for this period and watch! 📈 Long Position Trigger it is quite clear and after the break of 0.8204, I will open a futures position myself and it will probably be so that I continue to hold it and open it long-term 📉 Short Position Trigger today's trigger was activated earlier and 0.7681, I opened a low-risk short position myself, but the main trigger after the break will be 0.6806 and try to have a short position before that break 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
2
Daily Market Outlook: BTC, DXY & Gold – Key Trade Setups (#5)The market still seems indecisive , but I’m here to find the best trade triggers for BTC and Forex. Let’s break it down. 📊 DXY – Breaking Key Support DXY has entered a corrective phase after breaking below the 107.335 support. 🔹 Key Support Levels: 105.656 (Aligned with the 30% Fibonacci retracement) 103.367 (Aligned with the 60% Fibonacci retracement) 💡 106.602 could act as a short-term support, and if it breaks, it might be time to focus on USD pairs for potential setups. 🟡 XAU/USD (Gold) – Retesting ATH? Gold rejected its all-time high at 2937.91 and now seems to be retesting this major resistance. 📊 What’s happening? Gold is still in an uptrend, but momentum is fading. Smaller bullish candles vs. larger bearish candles indicate possible exhaustion. A correction could be healthy, but shorting remains risky in an uptrend. 📌 Trade Triggers: ✅ Long Entry: After a confirmed breakout above 2940 ❌ Short Entry: Below 2879.74 (High risk due to trend direction) 📉 BTC – 95K Support Breaking? BTC is attempting to break below the 95K support. If this level is lost, we could see a move toward 92K, 85K, and even 82K. 📌 Strategy: ✅ Short Trigger (Activated): 95245 (Yesterday’s signal) ✅ If You Missed It: Wait for a pullback or a new structure before entering. Final Thoughts ⚠ This is a highly volatile market – avoid chasing trades and wait for confirmations. ⚠ If you’re not using risk management, these setups may not be suitable for you. I’m Skeptic , see you tomorrow with another market breakdown! <3
TVC:DXY
by SkepticWise
1
Overtrading Chaos: Classroom Insights & Quick FixesWatching my students get caught up in the whirlwind of overtrading was like watching a rollercoaster ride gone wrong - all that excitement turned into stress, quick decisions based on gut feelings rather than strategy, and seeing their accounts shrink before my eyes. Here's what I've noticed firsthand: -Emotion Over Logic: They were making choices fueled by the fear of missing out or trying to get back at the market after a loss, not because it was the smart move. Spot on. Emotional trading is the quickest path to financial ruin. It's all about managing those emotions. -Exhaustion: The constant screen time was draining them, both physically and mentally. This is why I always preach about the importance of having a life outside of trading. Burnout is real and it clouds judgment. -Costly Habits: Those small fees and spreads started adding up, eating away at their profits with each impulsive trade. Always remember, every trade has a cost. Overtrading is like death by a thousand cuts. But here’s the good news - I've got some immediate steps I take to turn things around: 1)Trade Log Love: I get them to write down every trade, focusing on the reasons behind their decisions. It’s amazing how this simple act helps them learn from their actions. A trade log isn't just about accountability; it's about education. Every trade is a lesson. 2)Take a Breather: I enforce a little break after each trade. It's like hitting the reset button for your brain, ensuring the next trade isn't just a reaction to the last. This is critical. It’s about breaking the cycle of reactive trading. Think of it as forced discipline. 3)Quality Time: I shift the focus to waiting for those golden opportunities, teaching them that sometimes the best trade is the one you don't make. Patience in trading is not just a virtue; it's a strategy. The markets reward those who wait for the right moment. Come join me as I navigate through the overtrading storm, helping my students, and maybe you too, become more thoughtful, strategic traders! This is what I call practical wisdom. Overtrading is a symptom of not having a solid plan. I'd recommend this course of action to any trader looking to turn their habits around. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade Smarter Live Better
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Mindbloome-Trading
TradeCityPro | JUPUSDT Is Solana the best dex?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go together and analyze one of the best dexes of these days, Solana, which handles a high number of transactions and has relatively good performance, because I myself would like it to be one of the coins in my basket! 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. 📊 Weekly Timeframe We don't have many candles on the weekly time frame, and the reason is that this coin is new and its dex space, but being in this range box is also quite acceptable for this coin. In the weekly box we are in, there is some sellers' pressure due to the higher selling volume, but since we are in the range box, it doesn't make much difference to us and we can take a position from whichever side it comes out. To buy again now, after the box ceiling and 1.2535 break, even if you participated in its private sale, it makes sense to cash out some of your tokens and exit, but your main exit point after the break is 0.6951 and you can cash out! 📈 Daily Timeframe On the daily time frame, we are still in the box range, but we were rejected earlier than the resistance of 1.2681 and are forming lower ceilings and are on the important support of 0.7903 What happened is that after we did not reach our main trigger spot, which was 1.2681, the events of the Trump and his wife's token launch occurred, which both increased the trading volume on these two tokens in this dex and caused fluctuations on this token that these fluctuations can be ignored! We are on the important support of 0.7903 and this support will essentially be a trigger before the main support trigger and its precursor, and we can open short positions by breaking this level. For buying, the sellers' power is currently very high and we need a change in momentum, which we will update this analysis whenever it happens! 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Short
by tradecitypro
5
GBPUSD - Analysis and Potential Setups (Intraday- 10.02.25)Overall Trend & Context: The OANDA:GBPUSD pair is in an overall downtrend on the higher time frames and lower time frames are in alignment. Technical Findings: Price broke below all EMA's - is now consolidating below. Keep an eye on LTF supply levels between 1.24635 - 1.24530 (within 4h supply). Bullish price action appears inherently weaker against the bears. Potential Scenarios: For now I will only be considering shorts. Trade is active at 1.24150.
Short
by Apexfx_Alpha
Is It Possible to Predict Market Direction with Certainty?Someone asked me about predicting market movements with certainty. In response to a question about detecting large orders and forecasting market direction, let’s explore how markets truly operate and how to grow as a trader. The Nature of Market Movement Markets move through collective behavior, not individual orders. Even when sentiment indicators show a near 50:50 split between short/long positions, markets can still trend strongly in one direction. Why? Because market movement depends on: The aggressiveness of orders (market orders vs. limit orders) Timing of trade execution Position sizes and their distribution Psychological factors affecting mass behavior Example: Imagine BITSTAMP:BTCUSD with apparently balanced sentiment. Yet, if long positions are primarily passive limit orders while shorts are aggressive market orders with tight stops, the price could trend down sharply despite the "balanced" ratio. The Illusion of Certainty There is no way to predict market direction with certainty. The market comprises millions of participants with: Different analysis methods Various timeframes (scalpers to long-term investors) Diverse motivations (hedging, speculation, investment) Unique reactions to the same news Real-world Example: During major news events like FOMC meetings, you'll often see prices swing violently in both directions. Why? Because even with the same information, traders interpret and react differently based on their: Portfolio needs Risk tolerance Trading timeframe Overall market view Building Better Trading Habits Instead of seeking certainty, focus on developing good trading habits: 1. Risk Management First Use proper position sizing (never risk more than 1-2% per trade) Set stops based on technical levels, not arbitrary numbers Example: If trading support/resistance, place stops beyond the next significant level, not just at round numbers 2. Asymmetric Returns Aim for trades where potential profit exceeds potential loss Target 1:2 risk-reward at minimum Example: If risking $100, your minimum target should be $200 profit 3. Consistency in Strategy - Stick to your trading plan even when other strategies look attractive - Document all trades and review regularly - Example: Keep a trading journal with setup, entry, exit, and lessons learned 4. Building Good Habits Start each day with market analysis Review major news and potential impact Set clear entry/exit rules before trading Regular review of trading performance Example Schedule: - 8:00 AM: Market overview - 8:30 AM: Review potential setups - 9:00 AM: Check for news events - 4:00 PM: End-of-day review Common Pitfalls to Avoid 1. Strategy Hopping Switching strategies frequently based on recent performance Following multiple traders with different approaches Solution: Commit to one approach for at least 3 months 2. Overtrading Taking trades out of boredom or FOMO Solution: Set daily/weekly trade limits 3. Revenge Trading Trying to recover losses quickly Solution: Take a break after losses, review what went wrong Remember: The market doesn't care about what you want. It moves based on collective action, not individual desires. Focus on adapting to market conditions rather than trying to predict them. Your success in trading isn't determined by how much you know, but by how well you apply what you know through consistent, disciplined habits.
OANDA:BTCUSDEducation
by agatarigan
TradeCityPro | AVAXUSDT The Last Downtrend?👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go together and analyze and review one of my favorite coins, which I trade a lot in futures and have a good win rate, and before that, let's remember an important point 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. 📊 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly time frame, the avax chart is one of the best, smooth, and technical charts I've seen, and our support and resistance work beautifully. Events are somewhat recognizable. After we were rejected from the important resistance of 53.62, which was a very important resistance from the past, the presence of sellers caused us to go into a deep correction, and on the other hand, the reason we didn't break it was because we were rejected and didn't enter the weekly overbuy. For buying again, we are currently very bearish in the weekly and buying is not logical, but after breaking 53.82, our most reliable trigger will be to start an upward movement, and for cashing out and exiting, if we go below 21.02, I will exit myself, and if we return above this number again, I will buy again, this time with a smaller number of avax, but the same amount USDT. 📈 Daily Timeframe In the daily timeframe, AX has had a deeper correction than other coins, and while coins like bnb, xrp, cake are at their upper support levels, AX has returned to the daily box it had previously formed After the rejection we had from the level of 53.96, which was accompanied by a correction, it was likely that we would test this resistance again, and after the rejection we went again to break 44.21 and form a price range box. This range box, which was in the form of a range in most altcoins, appeared in the form of a triangle in AX and caused the formation of lower lows and highs at the same level, and ultimately caused the important support of 35.02 to be broken and a pullback to it and another drop For now, we need to form a structure to buy, and we can stay between the 22.71 to 29.10 boxes for the next few days and form a new structure for new trends. I also said sell, I will most likely exit below 19.70 ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe We experienced a deep decline in the four-hour time frame, so much so that our RSI has reached 14, and after that and the re-entry, the price is forced and condemned to suffer, and now some of our triggers are clear 📈 Long Position Trigger We have 2 triggers for long positions, which we can open after the 26.75 break and with the 28.47 break, and the difference between these two triggers is their riskiness, and the 28.47 level is likely to move sharply, and this 26.75 level may flatter you more! 📉 Short Position Trigger you can open a short position when both resistance levels are faked and the trigger is 23.93. Since I feel that if we have a decline, it will be the end of the trend and we have been declining a lot so far, I suggest you save your profit quickly and exit! 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
7
Fake Breakout Alert: Don't Be Fooled by the Deceptive Move!Hi Everyone, While ADA looks bullish in a small time, in a daily chart still looking bearish , Do not get fooled by this fake move and the reason is , the market still need to get the longs as they are LOTs. If you wish to open a short position make sure you don't use all your capital at once, spread it as it will bring you more gains and minimise your risk. For sure we do not suggest you open long position , but the decision is up to you. Market at the moment looks a bit manipulated ,so be extra cautious!
Short
by ARPGLanalysis
123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #3: Better turn up the heat123 Quick Learn Trading Tips #3: Better turn up the heat 🔥 Ever wonder why some traders seem to have all the luck? 🤔 They're not just lucky; they've built an iceberg of hard work, discipline, and even failures beneath the surface of their "success." Don't just chase the tip – build your own solid foundation. Here's what that iceberg looks like in trading: Hard work: 📚 Studying markets, developing strategies, and always practicing. No shortcuts here! 🚫 Patience: ⏳ Giving up short-term gains for long-term strategies. Don't rush. Good traders wait for the best opportunities. Risks: 🎲 Take smart trades, not reckless ones. Be brave, but not foolish. Discipline: 🎯 Follow your trading plan. Don't let your feelings make you change it. Trust what you learned before. Trust your strategy. Failures: 🤕 Everyone loses money sometimes. Learn from your losses. It's important to get back up and keep going. Doubts: 😟 Managing emotions and fear is crucial. It's normal to have doubts. Changes: 🔄 The market always changes. You need to change your strategies too. Be ready to adapt. Helpful habits: 📈 Consistent analysis and risk management are your bread and butter. Stick to good routines. Want to build a success iceberg? 🧊 Better turn up the heat 🔥 – it's going to be a long, cold journey beneath the surface. 👨‍💼 Navid Jafarian So, stop scrolling through my TESLA pics 🚗 and get back to analyzing those charts! 📊 Your iceberg isn't going to build itself. 😉
Education
by Navid_Jafarian
13
TradeCityPro | ONDOUSDT Good Opportunity to Buy👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go together to analyze and review one of my favorite projects that I plan to put in my spot portfolio and find its entry points together 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. 📊 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly timeframe, it is one of the coins that has still managed to hold itself bullish and in the declines, its recent corrections have not yet fallen below the support of 1.2110, which is a good sign. Also, it has corrected only two weeks after its listing and after the breakdown of the listed price, it has experienced a good move and Sharpe, which is also a good sign for this coin and this event has also caused a trend to form on this coin. This upward trend, which we recently reacted to again, can help us a lot in the future, both in terms of reaction to it and in case of a breakdown of the trend line itself and any of the triggers on the chart can be a timely exit trigger for us in relation to the time of the breakdown. To re-enter, we ourselves entered with a breakdown of 0.8456 and bought. For now, we continue to hold it. Our more reliable trigger is the breakdown of 2.0675. There is a risk trigger, let's also set a stop-buy with our previous weekly candle shadow and make our purchase with a stop loss of 0.8456 📅 Daily Timeframe In the daily time frame, we are really in a better situation than the rest of the altcoins and we are fluctuating at a higher bottom than the rest of them, which still encourages me to be more bullish The candle a few days ago that caused a drop in all altcoins led to a green candle and strong buyers' pressure in this coin, and it did not care about the corrections of a few days and it is in its range box I myself will enter after the 1.6110 break and it is likely that the 2.0833 break will be sharp, so I will try to have a long futures position trigger or buy with this level, and with the ath trigger failure, I will simply raise my entry point and do nothing below 0.5683 for now I don't give 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
8
TradeCityPro | BTC.D The Best Way to Find Alt Season!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go together to one of my favorite charts, which is actually a topic that has made the crypto market easier, and if it weren't for these dominances, I would probably go to analyze Forex together. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together. This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames. 📊 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly time frame, Bitcoin dominance has had a very good upward trend and after the 39.40 to 47 percent box exit, this upward trend has begun, and I must also say that supply and demand There is no demand for this chart and many lines cannot be interpreted in it After the resistance level of 54.20 was broken, we were bullish the entire time and this chart was practically telling us that it is better to go and pay attention to Bitcoin itself than to be involved in buying baskets and other things and Bitcoin itself is going to give more profit during this period And another argument arises that if you pay attention, most altcoins are at their bottoms, while Bitcoin is completely above its ceiling of $69,000 compared to previous bull runs and only altcoins that were in a good position compared to Bitcoin were profitable, such as solbtc, and this shows that the time for strange profits for most altcoins has not yet come When will this happen? When the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance starts to fall and money flows from Bitcoin itself into other altcoins, and that is when altcoins are just starting to come alive and make a good move, like in 2021. See the chart above, there is a chart that shows the fall of Bitcoin dominance in the weekly time frame, while the market has made a short correction and is going to record a new high again, and now the reaction of altcoins in this space is interesting. Now we have the chart of this event. We see that during the fall of Bitcoin dominance, it was the time when the majority of the charts started to move, and altcoins experienced a Sharpe rise, and money flowed from Bitcoin into altcoins, and the btc altcoin pair became bullish, and this shows that we are witnessing alt season. Now what happens? On the chart, I would say that we have entered the alt season? Weekly engulfing of Bitcoin dominance or a sharp decline and rest. On the other hand, I think we are at the end of the uptrend because there is really more money on altcoins and other events, and this money is staked, so we probably won't see any other numbers. On the other hand, when we reach 40%, we can say that our alt season is over! 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.DShort
by tradecitypro
10
TradeCityPro | TOTAL2 BullRun Trigger Identified!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! Let's go together to examine and analyze the Total 2 chart in the Dominance section, which includes all cryptocurrency coins except Bitcoin in its chart. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, as usual, we wanted to take a look at Bitcoin in the one-hour time frame, but we made an interesting decision with the team guys and decided to analyze Bitcoin for you every day with a poll that we posted in Telegram. Today's analysis was also uploaded before the start of the New York session and you can see it from the link below. 📊 Weekly Timeframe In the weekly time frame, we were rejected from our ceiling, which is an important point of $1.62 trillion, and this makes the ceiling more and more important for us than ever. Let me also tell you a teaching point that I just pointed out to you on a candle on the chart, and these candles are mostly made at the market ceiling or a place where At least we are going to get rejected from it and it is an important resistance for us and they are usually red and have a longer shadow than the body from below. I suggest you watch them for a while so I can teach you. Also, if you are looking for an entry trigger for bull runs and spot purchases and anything else, your best trigger will be on the weekly time frame at 1.62 and after the break, good money will enter the market and our new primary trend will be formed and I will definitely enter myself. We also had another entry with the resistance level of 662 billion and it was mostly Ethereum, Solana and Link that we tried very hard to break 662 and be with it and I will try just as hard to break 1.62 and enter it. We are currently at the support of 1.13 and in case of a deeper market correction, we will move to the levels of 974 and 817. 📈 Daily Timeframe On the daily time frame, the total two is very good and this shows that Alt Coins above rank 30 did not make a very deep correction, and if you look at the charts that you see had a deep decline, they are still correcting, and the main reason for the chart being this way is Solana, XRP, BNB, and SUI. Also, after breaking our good daily trend line and breaking the 974 billion box ceiling, we experienced a very good upward movement and moved to the 1.55 level and the important ceiling, and we actually suffered a heavy rejection, but because it was because of FOMO, we could not count on its resistance, but the pullback and future rejection formed the important resistance price of 1.55. After forming a daily range box of 1.32 to 1.55, which we had been suffering for a while, and the recent series was very weak, and it caused us to suffer a rejection halfway through and break the 1.32 support in a sharp manner and come to the 0.5 Fibonacci support, which is very important both in terms of Fibo and also in terms of Dow. 50% correction is very important and this could be the place where the price rises We will probably stay on this support for a while and suffer and then move up and if we lose 1.17 we will go for lower levels like 1.09 and 974 billion but the most important support that should not be lost is 797 billion but there is a long way to go 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Long
by tradecitypro
9
TradeCityPro | VETUSDT Volatile Week Begins👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel! As the global market opens, let's analyze VETUSDT and prepare for the upcoming trading week. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before diving into VET, let's check Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe. The market was expectedly quiet on Saturday, given the lack of trading activity. My plan remains the same: If $95,747 breaks, I will open a short position. If Bitcoin dominance is rising at the time of the breakdown, I will short both BTC and an altcoin that is weak against Bitcoin since it has a higher chance of dropping. 📊 Weekly Timeframe VET is one of the older altcoins in the market, and its current situation is relatively better than many others. After breaking $0.03147, it had a sharp bullish move up to $0.06672, but it's now in a correction phase and has settled back on the $0.03147 support. A positive sign is that VET has formed a higher low in 2024 compared to 2023, which suggests potential strength. For a spot entry, we need to see a new structure forming, and my current buy trigger is a break above $0.06622. Until then, I see no buying opportunity. For selling, if we drop below $0.01470, it's best to exit and go to cash. 📈 Daily Timeframe On the daily chart, VET initially broke above the $0.02679 range high and rallied sharply to $0.06828. However, we saw a fake breakout, leading to a heavy rejection and correction. During this drop, a midway range (box) between $0.04214 - $0.05288 formed. Buyers tried but failed to break above the box, resulting in another fake breakout, increasing the likelihood of breaking the range low. After another rejection from the mid-range, $0.04214 (our spot exit trigger) was broken, leading to a sharp decline. The RSI is now oversold, indicating a potential slowdown before further downside into the previous daily range. ⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe On the 4-hour chart, we have formed a key level that is currently breaking down, creating a short opportunity. 📈 Short Position Trigger we can place a stop-sell order with the current 4-hour candle as confirmation. I have already entered a short trade on the previous level breakdown and will re-enter with lower risk on this one. 📉 Long Position Trigger there is no buy trigger yet. Even if VET pumps 20% suddenly, I won’t regret missing it because momentum will bring better opportunities for long entries later. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Short
by tradecitypro
4
TradeCityPro | APTUSDT Reaching the Bottom of the Range👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s analyze APT, the so-called "Solana Killer", which was expected to replace Solana but is now hugging its support level. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before diving into APT, let's first check Bitcoin’s 1-hour timeframe. Currently, BTC is sitting on a strong support trigger, making it a good zone for potential positions. Setting alerts in this area is logical and necessary these days. If $95,747 breaks, I will personally look for a short position, provided there is an increase in volume, as it could lead to a test of the $92,701 support. If, at the same time, Bitcoin dominance is rising, I would also short an altcoin like Ethereum, which is relatively weaker against BTC. 🕵️‍♂️ Previous Analysis Earlier this year, we publicly shared a bearish scenario for APT. Once $7.51 broke, a sharp decline followed, and now there is a possibility of moving toward $4.89. 📊 Weekly Timeframe APT remains inside its large, volatile range, frequently bouncing between its highs and lows. However, this time, it has formed a lower high, which is not a positive sign. Additionally, after breaking $7.78, sellers completely engulfed the weekly candle, and for the past five weeks, all candles have been red with high selling volume, confirming the downtrend. There is no buy trigger at the moment, and I cannot recommend a buying opportunity until the market forms a new structure. For selling, if APT drops below $4.97, it makes sense to exit and accept the loss instead of holding onto a losing position. 📈 Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, APT failed to break the $14.61 resistance. Even worse, it couldn't even reach the previous high before getting rejected earlier, signaling weakness. After breaking below $8.46, the market entered an MWC (Market Weakness Confirmation) downtrend. Following the breakdown, a pullback retest occurred, and the daily candle engulfed the previous two days' candles, leading to further decline. Currently, APT is at $5.70, with RSI in the oversold zone, suggesting a possible short-term slowdown in selling pressure. I personally feel that APT’s drop is sufficient for now, and we might enter a range here before a final move toward the $4.95 support. However, this does not mean it’s a buy signal. We need to wait for a new market structure before considering spot entries. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
6
TradeCityPro | DOTUSDT Weekly Range Boxes of Altcoins👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s analyze DOT, one of the popular cryptocurrencies, and identify its potential entry points. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before diving into the DOT analysis, let's check Bitcoin on the one-hour timeframe. Due to today's NFP news, Bitcoin has experienced volatility and once again got rejected from the critical $100,000 psychological resistance. This rejection has led to selling pressure, pushing Bitcoin back toward the 96,445 support, which now has a higher probability of breaking due to this rejection. Additionally, Bitcoin dominance remains within the defined range, showing a slight upward bias. If we see a correction, altcoins are likely to experience further declines, and I don't expect any major movements until the end of the week. 🕵️‍♂️ Previous Analysis In our previous DOT analysis, we expected a decline after breaking $6.554, leading to a test of the daily range high. However, recent market conditions caused DOT to wick down as low as $3.743, which is its strongest support level. 📊 Weekly Timeframe DOT remains inside its weekly range, and despite its 170% range, it is still considered ranging rather than trending. I've previously discussed "money traps", and this applies here too. You can buy at $3.719, but without momentum, your capital could remain stuck in this asset for a long time. Who knows—could DOT be the next LUNA? Considering these factors, I prefer either a strong reaction at $3.719 or a breakout above $10.309 before entering a position. I’d rather focus on coins that confirm a breakout before entering**, like Jasmy, which recently provided a 400% gain. For exiting, if $3.719 support breaks, it's better to accept the loss and exit. Later, if a buy signal reappears, you can re-enter using the same USDT amount, instead of holding and losing more DOT. 📈 Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, DOT faced a strong rejection at $10.725, forming consecutive lower highs and lower lows. However, recent selling pressure appears to be weakening, and we are currently sitting on the $4.626 support. Additionally, a trendline is forming, and if DOT rejects from it in the future, this would indicate continued bearish momentum, providing an opportunity to keep short positions open from higher levels. I personally believe DOT may enter a range for some time, allowing traders who made emotional decisions due to FOMO and market volatility to reassess. For now, I expect the $3.719 support to hold. That doesn’t mean we should buy immediately. Our strategy is clear , buy after a breakout above $10.725 , Wait for an accumulation range to form or Look for a sharp upward move, retest a key trigger level, and confirm a breakout before entering.
by tradecitypro
10
TradeCityPro | SHIBUSDT $1 Target ?👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s analyze Shiba, one of the most famous meme (shitcoins) in cryptocurrency, which has changed many lives for better or worse to see if it can reach $1. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before analyzing today’s altcoin, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the one-hour timeframe. It is breaking the 96,330 support, and if our RSI enters the oversold zone, we might see a move down to the 92,701 support. Along with this, one of the scenarios I mentioned last night is playing out—Bitcoin dominance is increasing as Bitcoin drops. Even though I personally feel this dominance increase is fake, it will still lead to further declines in altcoins. 📈 What is Market Cap? Before starting the analysis, I want to clarify the concept of market capitalization. Market cap refers to the total value of a cryptocurrency in the market and is calculated using the formula: Circulating supply × current price For example, if a cryptocurrency has 100 million coins in circulation and each coin is worth $5, its market cap would be $500 million. Market cap determines a project’s dominance and size, helps compare cryptocurrencies, and serves as a measure of risk and growth potential. High market cap projects have lower risk but grow slower, while low market cap projects carry more risk but have higher growth potential. Why am I explaining this? So that you understand how to verify if someone claims that Shiba will reach $1. Look at its token supply and market cap. A simple calculation shows that for SHIB to reach $1, its market cap would need to be $589 trillion while the total market cap of gold is only $19 trillion! Don’t fall for misleading advertisements, stay informed! 📊 Weekly Timeframe Like most crypto coins, SHIB spent a long time inside its weekly range, with the upper limit at 0.00001171. After spending 620 days inside this range, it finally broke out with higher lows and momentum, starting an uptrend. After this rare bullish move, SHIB hit 0.00003279, rejected from it, and retraced to the 0.00001296 support. It then moved back up but got rejected from the same resistance, reinforcing its importance and forming an equal high, which can be seen as a double-top pattern. This double-top pattern, which is well-known and widely used, is typically a bearish signal indicating a trend reversal. However, we cannot officially call it a double-top until the 0.00001296 support is broken. That’s why I haven’t drawn it yet. If 0.00001296 breaks, the double-top target will be its risk-to-reward ratio of 1, meaning we could see a move down to 0.0000067. For buying, I will never buy SHIB, no matter how much profit it makes. If I want to speculate on shitcoins, I’ll go for ones with lower market caps. And remember, if a shitcoin is meant to make you rich, it will do so even with just $10, so you don’t need a large investment :)) For selling, I suggest exiting below 0.00001296, at least temporarily. Later, if the trend turns bullish, you can buy back the same amount of USDT, potentially avoiding further downside. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
by tradecitypro
19
Different Types of W Patterns and How to Trade ThemHello dear KIU_COIN family 🐺 . Recently, I decided to provide some educational content for you, my dear audience, and introduce some essential and basic trading terms. Here’s what you should know: In these lessons, we will cover three different seasons: 🔹 Season 1: Reversal and continuation patterns. 🔹 Season 2: How to use RSI and other indicators to find good entry points. 🔹 Season 3: Definitions of Fibonacci and seasonality in trading. Stay tuned for valuable insights! 🚀 ✅ For the first section of 🔹 Season 1 , I’ll be covering W patterns— a well-known bullish reversal pattern : As you can see in the chart above, we usually have three types of W recovery patterns , which are the most important ones for us. However, in this section, we just want to get a general understanding of them. In the upcoming section, we will learn how to trade them and explore how they actually appear on the chart and the story behind them ! ✅ This is the first and most common type of W pattern: ✅ This is the second type of W pattern: ✅ This is the third type of W pattern: Ok, guys; I think this is enough for today, and I hope you enjoyed this educational content. However, don't forget to ask your questions below and support me with your likes and follows for more of this content. 🐺🔥
Education
by Kiu_Coin
TradeCityPro | JASMYUSDT ATH in Market Cap👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let’s analyze one of Japan’s blockchain projects that allows users to control their data and earn income from IoT. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin Before starting the analysis, as always, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the one-hour timeframe. It has practically gone to form a structure for itself, and we cannot trust the highs and lows it has created. Personally, I will stay away from futures for a while and focus on other tasks like checking DeFi projects and financial-related activities. Bitcoin dominance is currently fluctuating between a box of 61.05% to 61.87%. If it breaks above, the market's altcoins will drop further, and if it breaks below, Bitcoin itself will decline—but that seems unlikely. On the other hand, if Bitcoin dominance breaks above this range and the market remains bullish, Bitcoin itself will move more strongly. If the market remains bullish and Bitcoin dominance breaks below 61.05, more money will flow into altcoins, helping them recover and potentially start a new structure. 📊 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly timeframe, JASMY is one of the coins performing significantly better than other altcoins, trading at higher levels and not even on a major support despite the recent market correction. I’ve often talked about dormant money and buying after momentum entry in spot trading. If you look closely, for 500 days, we were inside a box between 0.00308 and 0.00715—similar to most altcoins. However, the key point is that the last rejection from the top of the range didn’t return to the bottom; instead, we registered a higher low compared to the range’s bottom. This increases the probability of breaking above the range. After breaking the range, we took a buy position with a stop-loss at the higher low (0.00494) and achieved around 600% profit up to the formed high. I personally do not intend to exit yet and will stay in the trade as long as we are above 0.01672. For re-entry, either we need to see a good reaction to the 0.01672 support, wait for a breakout of 0.03878, or wait for consolidation and a better structure on lower timeframes. I personally prefer not to buy when the market is in a range without momentum. If we draw a Fibonacci retracement from the previous low to the current high, the 0.01672 level (which is the 0.382 Fibonacci level) is a very important zone. If we bounce from this area and break the 0.03878 resistance (I consider any movement above this level before a confirmation as a fake-out), we can expect a strong uptrend, targeting 0.06413, 0.09197, and 0.14558. 📈 Daily Timeframe On the daily timeframe, we are still above our main support at 0.01636. This support is so important that if we intend to start another primary trend, we should not drop below it; otherwise, our mid-wave cycle (MWC) will become bearish. I also wanted to mention the difference between market cap and price. Right now, in 2025, even though the price is lower than its previous ATH of 0.05940, more money is in this coin, meaning it has a higher market cap. A new all-time high has been formed in its market cap. Why? Because inflation and more token distribution have resulted in a higher market cap despite a lower price, meaning the token has lost value. We also have a very strong trendline on this timeframe. The last rejection from this trendline has made it even more significant. After its breakout, we can enter a risky buy without a trigger, or wait for the breakout of 0.03979, which is a very strong trigger for momentum and spot buying. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
10
Dogecoin (DOGE)📌 Dogecoin (DOGE) Technical Analysis 🔷 Introduction: Dogecoin (DOGE) is one of the oldest meme coins in the crypto market, consistently remaining in the spotlight thanks to strong community support and endorsements from influential figures like Elon Musk. Given the recent surge in trading volume and price fluctuations, a technical analysis of DOGE can provide valuable insights for investors. 📊 Technical Analysis 📌 Overall Market Condition: 🔹 After a sharp rally, DOGE has entered a correction phase and is currently fluctuating within a descending channel. 🔹 The price has reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and the key support zone of $0.19 - $0.20. 🔹 Historically, this area has acted as a significant support level. 📈 Bullish Scenario: ✅ Reaction to the bottom of the descending channel → potential for an upward trend. ✅ Entry confirmation upon signs of reversal and a breakout above the channel. ✅ Possible targets if the descending channel is broken: 🔸 TP1: $0.52 - $0.57 🔸 TP2: $0.85 - $0.94 ✅ Key Consideration: After reaching TP1, market behavior and trend strength should be reassessed. 📉 Bearish Scenario: ❌ If the $0.19 support level is broken and the price stabilizes below it, further decline is likely. ❌ Key support levels in case of a breakdown: 🔻 $0.128 🔻 $0.093 ❌ A decline in trading volume and increased selling pressure would indicate weak buyer momentum. 📌 Conclusion: 🔹 The bottom of the descending channel could present a buying opportunity, but it comes with high risk. 🔹 A breakout above the channel may trigger a price surge toward $0.52 and beyond. 🔹 Risk management is crucial—breaking below $0.19 could be a strong bearish signal. ⚠️ Disclaimer: The crypto market is highly volatile. Always define your exit strategy before entering a trade and strictly adhere to your stop-loss plan.
by alizeynali69
TradeCityPro | ARBUSDT The Most Important Support of Its Life👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel! Let's analyze and review one of our important Layer 2 projects, which is currently at one of its most critical support levels, and update our previous analysis. 🌐 Overview Bitcoin As always, before starting our analysis, let’s take a look at Bitcoin on the one-hour timeframe. We have settled down a bit compared to yesterday's fluctuations, but it’s still not a great time to open futures positions because any news can trigger stop-losses. However, if you insist on opening a position, the breakout of 100,026 wouldn’t be a bad entry, but you must reduce your risk. These days, it’s better to be an observer in futures trading. On the other hand, Bitcoin dominance is also crucial with this level’s breakout—if it turns green, you can open a position; otherwise, it’s better to switch to an altcoin or not open any position at all. 🕵️‍♂️ Previous Analysis In our previous Arbitrum analysis, we had a more bullish outlook and were waiting for a breakout of 0.9689 on the four-hour timeframe to open a long position. This breakout happened, and we experienced a clean move up to the 1.2364 resistance level. 📊 Weekly Timeframe On the weekly timeframe, we clearly see a rejection from the 1.1887 resistance, which was previously tested as a pullback. Now, this level has become even more significant, and after rejection, we reached the critical level of 0.4792. If you had bought earlier after the breakout of 0.6487, taking profit at 1.1887 was very logical—either securing profits or withdrawing your initial capital. If you didn’t take these actions, you likely hit your stop-loss by now. However, if you managed your capital properly and only lost a maximum of 2% of your funds, then nothing major has happened. Taking profit at 1.1887 was the smart move. This weekly candle is one of the most volatile we’ve seen recently for ARB, dropping 30% in a single day before recovering. If it closes green or even slightly higher with better volume, it could act as an entry trigger for those whose strategy aligns with it. However, I personally prefer to see some ranging first and enter on a different timeframe to follow the movement. 📈 Daily Timeframe Yesterday’s daily candle was truly impressive and showed the strength of buyers. Under normal market conditions, I would have bought with this candle, anticipating the start of an uptrend. However, this candle was mainly driven by emotions and FOMO, and many traders still don’t fully grasp the consequences of their decisions—they might realize it in the coming days. That’s why this candle doesn’t convince me, and I’m not buying based on it. Now, you might think, “What if this is the best entry point?” Personally, I would be much happier if price makes a sharp move up to 0.6487 with momentum—this would provide a more confident entry with a tighter stop-loss. In that scenario, both positions would reach their risk-to-reward targets up to 0.9178, but my entry would be more secure, and I could allocate more capital. If the daily candle closes below 0.4792 and RSI enters the oversold zone, ARB’s situation will worsen significantly, potentially forming new lows. That wouldn’t be good and could lead to deeper corrections. 📝 Final Thoughts Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities! This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice. Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Long
by tradecitypro
16
TRADING LEVERAGE | How to Manage RISK vs REWARDFor today's post, we're diving into the concept " Risk-Reward Ratio " We'll take a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. You've all noticed the really helpful tool " long setup " or " short setup " on the left-hand column. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. It looks like this : 💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position. Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ? The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite, but your gains are not guaranteed. The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk. For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...) Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk. Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL. Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example: Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3. Another way to express this visually: In the first chart example I have a really large increase for the long position and you can't easily simplify 7.21 so; here's a visual to break down what that looks like: If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable. Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy, which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. Dollar cost averaging is another helpfull way to further manage your risk. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post.
by CryptoCheck-
2