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Riskmangement

CNH JPY Short Suggestion: Trade For Monday 9 Sept.24 This is the Daily chart for the Chinese Yuan & Japanese Yen. You can see following along the trend line how strong the Yuan was until a month or two ago - when it sharply sold off - 50 EMA diving under the 200 EMA creating a 'death-cross' which can signal a trend change. Even the last couple of Daily candles resumed this weakness down. So, I see the Yuan falling some more and perhaps quite swiftly down to the levels and take-profit levels I have clearly marked. One thing to be aware of is that the Yuan is heavily oversold at the moment & I see demand coming back into it very soon after this final 'flush-down' plays-out. Then we might trade it back up when I see enough demand coming back into it. easy_explosive_trader Chris
Short
by Easy_Explosive_Trading
BTCUSDT.P Range Preparing For BreakoutBased on technical analysis of the candlestick charts, I believe that BTCUSDT is in a range period, where it's continued to fluctuate around 56-62K for weeks. It's accumulating liquidity to produce a large breakout move. The key to mastering this move is watching and waiting to see big volume candles either breaking out of support or resistance, then tailoring your entry based on the outcome of the move. It is definitely NOT advisable to trade during this range, always look for a big volume candle('s) before entering any trade, otherwise you're entering in the dark. ALWAYS HAVE AN EXIT PLAN before you enter a trade, whether it's a SL or another tactic, risk management is super important.
by I3ig_Trades
4
Jesse Livermore: Trading Lessons From an Iconic Trader● Jesse Livermore, a successful stock trader, built a fortune of $100 million in 1929. He operated independently, using his own capital and strategies. Livermore preferred trending stocks and used price patterns and volume analysis to decide trades. ● Livermore's Trading Principles (1) Trade with the trend A well-known saying is "The Trend Is Your Friend." Livermore preferred to trade stocks that were trending and avoided sideways market. (2) Get confirmation before entering any trade Hold off until the market shows clear signs before making a move. Being patient can lead to significant profits. (3) Trade with a strict stop-loss It is crucial to set a strict stop-loss for every trade, and it's important to know the stop-loss level before starting any trade. This approach can help a trader avoid significant losses. (4) Trade the leading stocks from each sector Livermore liked to trade stocks that were leaders in their industry. He thought this approach could increase his chances of winning. (5) Avoid average down losing trades He chose to exit the position rather than averaging it down. (6) Avoid following too much stocks It's quite challenging to monitor numerous stocks simultaneously. Focusing on a smaller number of stocks could lead to better trading opportunities.
Education
by NaranjCapital
RISK MANAGEMENT IN TRADINGRISK MANAGEMENT IN TRADING: Why It's More Important Than Win Rate 🔵 INTRODUCTION In the world of trading, many newcomers fixate on finding the "perfect" strategy with the highest win rate. However, experienced traders know a secret: risk management is the real key to long-term profitability. In this post, we'll explore why managing your risk effectively is more crucial than your win rate, and how it can make the difference between success and failure in your trading career. 🔵 UNDERSTANDING RISK MANAGEMENT Risk management in trading refers to the process of identifying, analyzing, and accepting or mitigating the uncertainties in investment decisions. It's about protecting your trading capital from excessive losses and ensuring you can survive to trade another day. Key concepts in risk management include: Position sizing: Determining how much of your capital to risk on each trade Stop-loss orders: Predetermined points at which you'll exit a losing trade Risk-reward ratio: The potential profit of a trade compared to its potential loss Diversification: Spreading risk across different assets or strategies Effective risk management is like wearing a seatbelt while driving. It won't prevent accidents, but it can significantly reduce the damage when they occur. 🔵 THE MYTH OF WIN RATE Many novice traders believe that a high win rate is the holy grail of trading. After all, if you're winning most of your trades, you must be making money, right? Not necessarily. Consider this example: Over 100 trades: Trader A: (90 x $100) - (10 x $1000) = $9000 - $10000 = -$1000 (Loss) Trader B: (40 x $300) - (60 x $100) = $12000 - $6000 = $6000 (Profit) This demonstrates that a high win rate doesn't guarantee profitability if your risk management is poor. 🔵 HOW RISK MANAGEMENT CONTRIBUTES TO PROFITABILITY Effective risk management contributes to profitability in several ways: 1. Capital Preservation: By limiting losses on each trade, you ensure that you don't deplete your trading capital during inevitable losing streaks. 2. Maximizing Gains: Proper risk management allows you to size your positions appropriately, maximizing gains when your analysis is correct. 3. Emotional Stability: Knowing that your risk is controlled reduces stress and emotional decision-making, leading to better trading choices. 4. Consistency: A solid risk management strategy provides a structured approach to trading, leading to more consistent results over time. 🔵 RISK-REWARD RATIO The risk-reward ratio is a fundamental concept in risk management. It compares the potential profit of a trade to its potential loss. For example, a risk-reward ratio of 1:3 means you're risking $1 to potentially make $3. Here's why it's crucial: A favorable risk-reward ratio allows you to be profitable even with a lower win rate. It forces you to be selective with your trades, only taking those with the best potential outcomes. Example: (40 x 2) - (60 x 1) = 80 - 60 = 20 (units of profit) 🔵 RISK-REWARD AND WIN RATE CHEATSHEET Understanding the relationship between risk-reward ratios and win rates is crucial for long-term profitability. Here's a quick reference guide to help you visualize how different combinations affect your overall results: 1:1 Risk-Reward Ratio - Breakeven Win Rate: 50% - To be profitable: Win rate must exceed 50% 1:2 Risk-Reward Ratio - Breakeven Win Rate: 33.33% - To be profitable: Win rate must exceed 33.33% 1:3 Risk-Reward Ratio - Breakeven Win Rate: 25% - To be profitable: Win rate must exceed 25% 1:4 Risk-Reward Ratio - Breakeven Win Rate: 20% - To be profitable: Win rate must exceed 20% Key Takeaways: Higher risk-reward ratios allow for profitability with lower win rates Consistently achieving risk-reward ratios above 1:3 can lead to substantial profits even with win rates below 50% Always consider both win rate and risk-reward ratio when evaluating a trading strategy Remember: A high win rate with poor risk management can still result in overall losses Use this cheatsheet as a quick reference when planning your trades and assessing your overall trading strategy. It reinforces the importance of maintaining favorable risk-reward ratios in your trading approach. 🔵 MATHEMATICAL DEMONSTRATION Let's look at a more detailed example to show how risk management impacts profitability: Scenario 1 (Poor Risk Management): Win Rate: 60% Risk per trade: 5% of capital Reward per trade: 5% of capital Starting Capital: $10,000 Number of trades: 100 Result after 100 trades: 60 winning trades: 60 x ($10,000 x 5%) = $30,000 40 losing trades: 40 x ($10,000 x 5%) = $20,000 Net Profit: $30,000 - $20,000 = $10,000 Ending Capital: $20,000 Scenario 2 (Good Risk Management): Win Rate: 40% Risk per trade: 1% of capital Reward per trade: 3% of capital Starting Capital: $10,000 Number of trades: 100 Result after 100 trades: 40 winning trades: 40 x ($10,000 x 3%) = $12,000 60 losing trades: 60 x ($10,000 x 1%) = $6,000 Net Profit: $12,000 - $6,000 = $6,000 Ending Capital: $16,000 Despite a lower win rate, Scenario 2 still results in significant profit with much lower risk to the trading account. 🔵 PRACTICAL TIPS FOR IMPLEMENTING RISK MANAGEMENT 1. Always use stop-loss orders: Determine your exit point before entering a trade and stick to it. 2. Follow the 1% rule: Never risk more than 1% of your trading capital on a single trade. 3. Calculate position sizes based on your stop-loss: Adjust your position size so that if your stop-loss is hit, you only lose the predetermined amount. 4. Maintain a favorable risk-reward ratio: Aim for a minimum of 1:2, preferably 1:3 or higher. 5. Diversify your trades: Don't put all your capital into one trade or one type of asset. 6. Keep a trading journal: Track your trades to identify patterns and areas for improvement in your risk management. 🔵 CONCLUSION While a good win rate is certainly desirable, it's clear that effective risk management is the true foundation of trading success. By focusing on controlling your risk, you can achieve profitability even without an exceptionally high win rate. Remember, the goal in trading isn't to be right all the time—it's to be profitable over time. Prioritize risk management in your trading strategy, and you'll be well on your way to long-term success in the markets. Take action now: Review your current trading approach and assess how you can improve your risk management strategies. Your future trading self will thank you!
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by BigBeluga
How to Apply a Position Size Calculator in Forex Trading In this educational article, I will teach you how to apply a position size calculator in Forex and calculate a lot size for your trades depending on a desired risk . Why do you need a position size calculator? Even though, most of the newbie traders trade with the fixed lot , the truth is that fixed lot trading is considered to be very risky . Depending on the trading instrument, time frame and a desired stop loss, the risks from one trade to another are constantly floating . With the constant fluctuations of losses per trade, it is very complicated to control your risks and drawdowns. A lot size calculation , however, allows you to risk the desired percentage of your capital per trade , limiting the maximum you can potentially lose. A lot size is calculated with a position size calculator . How to Measure Lot Size for Trades? Let's measure a lot size for the following trade on EURUSD. Step 1: Measure a pip value of your stop loss. It is the distance from your entry level to your stop loss level. In the example on the picture, the stop loss is 35 pips. Step 2: Open a position size calculator Step 3: Fill the form. Inputs: Account currency, account balance, desired risk %, stop loss in pips, currency pair. Let's say that we are trading with USD account. Its balance is $10000. The risk for this trade is 1%. Step 4: Calculate a lot size. The system will calculate a lot size for your trade. 0.28 standard lot in our example. Taking a trade on EURUSD with $10000 deposit and 35 pips stop loss , you will need 0.28 lot size to risk 1% of your trading account. Learn to apply a position size calculator. That is the must-use tool for a proper risk management.
Education
by VasilyTrader
8
Kira!& Captain Renzo In a bustling town nestled by the sea, there was a young trader named Kira. Her dream was to navigate the vast and unpredictable market waters, much like a seasoned fisherman seeking the best catch. Her mentor, an old trader named Captain Renzo, often spoke of the market as a treacherous sea full of challenges and opportunities. "Ahoy, Kira!" Captain Renzo would say with a twinkle in his eye. "The market is our battlefield, and our money is our ammunition. Every trade we make is like casting our net into the ocean." Kira was eager to conquer this sea of opportunities, but she soon learned that dangers lurked beneath the surface. Captain Renzo taught her about the enemies of trading: Fear, Greed, Rush, and Hesitation. "Fear can paralyze us, making us doubt our decisions," Captain Renzo warned. "Greed tempts us to chase after more, even when we've already secured a good catch." Kira nodded, absorbing his wisdom. "And Rush," she asked, "what does Rush do?" "Rush," Captain Renzo explained, "makes us act hastily without considering the currents of the market. And Hesitation? It causes us to miss out on great opportunities while we stand idle." As Kira embarked on her trading journey, she encountered these enemies time and again. Fear whispered in her ear during market downturns, urging her to abandon ship. Greed beckoned her to hold on for just a little longer, risking everything for more profit. But Captain Renzo had taught her well. He emphasized the importance of risk management above all else. "Just like a skilled sailor who knows the tides," he said, "a trader must understand risk. It's the compass that guides us through stormy seas." Kira learned to beat Fear by calculating her risks before setting sail on a trade. She countered Greed by setting clear profit targets based on risk management principles. Rush was tamed through diligent technical analysis, ensuring she weighed her risks and rewards before casting her net. One day, Kira shared her struggles with Captain Renzo. "Captain, sometimes I feel like I'm missing out on bigger opportunities." Captain Renzo smiled knowingly. "Ah, Kira, remember the fisherman's tale. If you catch a fish, be grateful for your catch. Don't throw it back into the sea in pursuit of more. Those who master this patience and discipline become the whales of the market." Kira nodded, her determination renewed. With each successful trade managed with discipline and risk awareness, she grew wiser and more confident. She knew that mastering these skills was the key to navigating the tumultuous market waters. And so, armed with Captain Renzo's teachings and her own newfound resilience, Kira set sail each day, ready to face the enemies of trading and emerge victorious in the ever-changing sea of opportunities. The Being of your story! we ask Allah reconcile and repay
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by HamadaMark
10
A Trading Plan MUST Include A Sound Risk Management StrategyOne of the biggest mistakes a trader can make is to neglect the aspect of risk management. In this video, I divulge the most pivotal lesson I’ve gleaned from my experience in trading. During the initial years of my trading journey, I disregarded the importance of risk management, which proved to be detrimental in a significant way. The watershed moment of my trading career came after incurring substantial financial losses. This experience was a stark revelation of the imperative nature of a robust risk management strategy for trading success. It was an excruciatingly costly lesson. Should you have bypassed dedicating time to understand risk management, you might be on the brink of a potential calamity. By watching this video, I hope you can sidestep the blunder I once made in the nascent stage of my trading endeavors.
Education
by fxtraderanthony
Trading Psychology and Your Losses Hey traders, In this post, we will discuss a common fallacy among struggling traders: overestimation of a one single trade . 💡The fact is that quite often, watching the performance of an active trading position, traders quite painfully react to the price being closer and closer to a stop loss or, alternatively, coiling close to a take profit but not being managed to reach that. Fear of loss make traders make emotional decisions : extending stop loss or preliminary position closing. The situation becomes even worse, when after the set of the above-mentioned manipulation, the price nevertheless reaches the stop loss . Just one single losing trade is usually perceived too personally and make the traders even doubt the efficiency of their trading system. They start changing rules in their strategy, then stop following the trading plan, leading to even more losses. ❗️However, what matters in trading is your long-term composite performance . A single position is just one brick in a wall. As Peter Lynch nicely mentioned: “In this business, if you’re good, you’re right six times out of ten. You’re never going to be right nine times out of ten.” There are so many factors that are driving the markets that it is impossible to take into consideration them all. And because of that fact, we lose. The attached chart perfectly illustrates the insignificance of a one trading in a long-term composite performance. Please, realize that losing trades are inevitable, and overestimation of their impact on your trading performance is detrimental. Instead, calibrate your strategy so that it would produce long-term, consistent positive results. That is your goal as a trader.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by VasilyTrader
1
A Trader's Guide to Profitability and SuccessGreetings, fellow traders! As a seasoned veteran of the financial markets, we've witnessed firsthand the transformative power of trading, its ability to elevate individuals to new heights of financial freedom and fulfillment. Yet, we've also observed the struggles of many aspiring traders, their goals & dreams marred by a lack of guidance and a clear understanding of the intricacies involved. So, let's delve into the five key aspects that underpin long-term trading success: 1. Crafting a Trading Plan: Your Compass in the Market Storm. A well-defined trading plan serves as your beacon, guiding you through the turbulent waters of the markets. It's not a rigid set of rules but a dynamic roadmap that adapts to changing market conditions. 2. Unveiling Market Secrets: To make informed decisions, you must become an astute market detective, meticulously analyzing market trends, economic factors, and company fundamentals. This involves mastering technical and fundamental analysis, and always staying abreast of market-moving news and events. 3. Taming the Risk Beast: Risk Management – Your Shield Against Trading Perils Risk management is the cornerstone of trading success, shielding you from the perils of impulsive decisions and excessive losses. It's about setting stop-loss orders, limiting position sizes, and diversifying your portfolio – strategies that safeguard your capital and ensure long-term sustainability. 4. Conquering Emotions: Mastering the Emotional Rollercoaster The financial markets are a psychological battleground, where fear and greed can lead to disastrous trading decisions. To emerge victorious, you must cultivate emotional control, adhering to your trading plan and avoiding impulsive actions driven by fleeting emotions. 5. Embracing Continuous Learning: The Path to Perpetual Trading Prowess The financial markets are a dynamic entity, constantly evolving and presenting new challenges and opportunities. To stay ahead of the curve, you must embrace continuous learning, stay updated with market trends, explore new trading strategies, and adapt to changing market conditions. Continuously refine your knowledge and skills to improve your trading performance. Stay tuned for more educational content and don't forget to trade with care!
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by financialflagship
24-01-24 AUDUSD Long Entry Signal on 4H Chart 24-01-24 AUDUSD Long Entry on 4H Chart Entry Price: 0.65700 Stop Loss Price : 0.65300 / 40 Pips Take Profit: 0.66300 / 60 Pips Risk To Reward : 1 for 1.5 Trade Grade: b + CONS: - Momentum more bearish + upside down v-shape (price usually likes to continued in the 2nd leg) of the V) PROS: - The price levels have made a solid support zone - Could be lots of Buy Side Liquidity in the stop loss area - For every Buy order there needs to be a sell order A. this is critical for the trade due to the potential shift in the market to bullish B. The lows have a higher probability to hold due to large Central Banks, Hedge Funds , ETC wanting to hold the lows. So they can buy against the trend to fluid enough liquidity C. They might Induce market participates into selling in order to produce enough liquidity to cause a bullish leg of momentum to the upside. D. I accept the risk and I will place a pending order. Main Goal: -Increase Win Rate this Quarter. Currently at 44%- I have Placed a pending order. If anyone needs ideas with trade management please leave a comment.
Long
by Trader_Miles
AUDUSD: Daily Long Signal tagged In on 24-01-23 : UPDATEAUDUSD: Daily Long Signal - 24-01-18 Tagged In on 24-01-23 Entry Price: 0.65700 Take Profit: 0.66780 125 PIP gain Stop Loss: 0.65100 50 PIP Stop Loss Risk To Reward: 1 % For a 2.0 % Return -Placed Pending order and tag into the trade Trade Management - Steps if you taken the trade A. Place Take Profit at * 0.66555 * Risk To Reward is 1 % for 1.5% B. Place Stop Loss at * 0.65055 * * Max risk of Capital * 1 % MAX ... I Suggest 0.25% due to taking a random guys trade signals C. Wait Patiently and FULLY ACCEPT THE RISK
Long
by Trader_Miles
EURUSD - Update Jan 23rd #1 Short Trade Update Jan 23rd #1 Short Playbook 4H C.3 No Huge Fundamental News Trade Data: Entry Entry Price: 1.08842 Exit Take Profit: 1.08162 or 68 Pips Stop Loss: 1.09242 or 40 Pips Trade Management Step 1: Reduce Risk Once a old low was broken I moved my stop loss to follow the trend. Reduced Price: 1.09192 Pips : 5 PIPS Percentage Reduced: 0.05 Open Risk On trade from original: 0.95 % Take Profit 1: Take Profit: 1.08826 / Breakeven Percentage Gain: Trade at breakeven locked in with a stop loss in place *See Previous Analysis for more trade data* 1. Currently price is moving down with momentum and I am waiting for a higher Probability Trade Entry Scale In or to move my Take Profit for more percentage gain on trade once the lows are broken 2. Waiting for the price action to show its hand.
Short
by Trader_Miles
Update: EURUSD 24-01-18 Short Trade 1 Short Playbook 4H C.3Trade 1 Short Playbook 4H C.3 -I am in the trade short on a regulated broker (CMC Markets) - Lot size is 0.01 lots until I am consistently profitable. - My Entry prices are the same as below. - I have a take profit in place but I will reduced risk if the market structure present with breaking new lows on the Lower Time Frame - Grade of trade : c+ (with reading price action and with the current fundamentals news being more bullish than bearish plus it's a friday and they are usually lower probability trading days) Entry Price: 1.08842 Exit Take Profit: 1.08162 or 68 Pips Stop Loss: 1.09242 or 40 Pips 4. Price has shifted to the downside on the lower time frame 5. A valid entry model was formed 6. I placed A confirmation entry on the 15m Chart 7. I am waiting to reduce risk or place a take profit with a dynamic trend following risk management strategy -If you read this far then I really appreciate your support and drive to become a better trader or analysis. -If you would want me to include more info or a different asset class to trade please let me know. I Love analysing charts :) -Please follow or like my stuff or don't lol.... just trade safely and include a stop loss with a MAX RISK OF 1%. You can't blow an account in a day if you trade with the well thought out risk structure.
Short
by Trader_Miles
2
Update: EURUSD short 4h c.3 Trade 1 Short Playbook 4H C.3 Trade Idea 2 1. Price Has hit my area of value. I currently see no downward momentum. The fundamental news are also bullish. CPI: Positive 2. I will wait for a confirmation liquidity model to present on a lower time frame before placing a short trade. 3. If that happens I will place my trade with a decent size stop loss. 4. If price fully mitigates this resistance zone then I will change my bias to long Trade Idea 1: Entry Price: 1.08842 Exit Take Profit: 1.08162 or 68 Pips Stop Loss: 1.09242 or 40 Pips
Short
by Trader_Miles
RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - GLA EditionWelcome to RiskMastery's Breakout Stocks - Stocks with breakout potential . In this edition, we'll be looking at ASX:GLA ... I believe this code is at a point of potential volatility. If price can hold above $0.033 ... Bullish potential may be unlocked. My key upside targets include: - $0.048 (Conservative) - $0.057 (Medium) - $0.075 (Aggressive) If however price falls below $0.023 ... Bearish potential may be unlocked. (My key risk targets - C, M,& A - are as noted on the chart) Enjoy, and I look forward to being of further service into the future. If you'd like to connect, feel free to reach out and/or comment below. MR RM | Risk Mastery Disclaimer: This post is intended for educational purposes only - Publicly available RiskMastery information & content is not intended to be financial advice in any shape or form. Please do your own research and seek advice from a licensed professional before acting on any of the information contained within this post. This post is not a solicitation or recommendation to buy, sell or hold any positions in any financial instrument. All demonstrated trades are merely incidental to the educational training RiskMastery aims to provide. You are solely responsible for your own investment and trading decisions, of which should be made only according to your own opinion, knowledge and experience. You should not rely on any of the information contained on this site or contained in any RiskMastery material on any website or platform. You assume the sole risk of any trade or investment you elect to make. RiskMastery and affiliates shall not be liable to you for any monetary losses or any other damages incurred directly or indirectly, from your use, reliance or reference of RiskMastery materials, content and educational information. Thank you for your understanding and cooperation - We look forward to working with you into the future to navigate the fine line of trading and investment success.
ASX:GLALong
by Bullfinder-official