Trade with Confidence: 5 Day Trading Psychology Rules to Embrace Set clear goals and limits:
Before you begin trading, it's important to have a clear idea of what you hope to accomplish and how much risk you are willing to take on. This will help you make informed decisions and avoid making impulsive trades based on emotions.
Control your emotions:
Day trading can be stressful, and it's easy to let emotions like fear or greed influence your decisions. It's important to stay level-headed and stick to your pre-determined trading plan, rather than getting caught up in the heat of the moment.
Use stop-loss orders:
A stop-loss order is a type of order that closes a trade automatically once it reaches a certain price. This can help you minimize losses if the market moves against you.
Diversify your portfolio:
Diversification is a risk management strategy that involves spreading your investments across a variety of asset classes. This can help you manage risk and potentially earn higher returns over the long term.
Continuously educate yourself:
The world of day trading is constantly evolving, so it's important to stay up-to-date on the latest trends and techniques. This can help you make informed decisions and improve your chances of success.
Riskreward
Triangle Break-Out in 1 DTF//HGINFRA+++The Triangle is broken with good candle and also sustained in today's session.
++The Supports(+) and Resistances(-) are also perfectly respected.
+Lets follow the Price Action in keeping the SL(Under 14 Dec candle) and Target R:R should be (2.5)> .
Happy #Christmas Trading Mates!
PVRPVR made cup n handle pattern on hourly/daily charts & broke out of it with very good volumes.
Could be bought with mentioned stoploss & targets.
Divi's Laboratories Long Term Technical Analysis :
-- Strict Stop Loss = 3150
-- Risk : Reward = 1 : 3
-- Target - 1 = 4059
-- Target - 2 = 4597
-- Target - 3 = 4988
-- Strong support at 3039.
-- Re enter the trade at 3185
-- Touching 200 EMA
Fundamental Analysis :
-- Divi's Lab has a healthy ROE.
-- Over the last 5 years, revenue has grown at a yearly rate of 17%
-- ROCE: Maintaining healthy ROCE of 31.64% (1 year), 28.31(3 years), and 26.9% over the past 5 years.
-- Healthy dividend payout
-- Debt-to-Equity: Divi''s Lab has a Debt to Equity ratio of 0.00
-- CAGR: 10 years - 19%
-- Cash Flow: Positive cash flow over the last 5 years
-- P/E ratio: 10 years PE is close to the average PE. So Stock is not overvalued
Expectations and TradingExpectations and Trading
When you trade, you look at chances that either come true or don't. You can't expect or demand anything from the market or from other people who take part in the market. No one owes anyone anything in this world, and trading is no different.
In trading, you have complete freedom of expression; you can do almost anything and however you want. This freedom will show you how irrational people are and how they can't just control their thoughts, feelings, and actions.
All traders lose money because they take too many risks and don't have enough self-control. How long does it take for a trader to lose control of himself? A feeling of being left out It all starts with the idea that money has been lost. This feeling is exactly what makes people want to take more risks.
You open the chart and see that the price of your favorite asset has been going up for more than a day. Then you start thinking about how much you could make and where you could spend that money. This makes you want to buy an asset with a larger volume so you can make more money. You make a trade that is set up to have the best possible outcome, but you have no idea or acceptance of the possible consequences.
Revaluation
Take a look at what you have done so far. Are you ready to put everything on the line? If the answer is no, you should ask yourself, "Why do I want to put everything I have at risk?" Most likely, you feel this way because you want to make a big change in your life. But do you really know what's at stake?
"Filter of perception" or what are the risks of expectations?
What happens after you have set up the expectation that the trade will go well for you? When you go into a trade with more money than you need, you somehow set yourself up for a good result. Your mind starts to ignore information and signals from the market that don't fit with what you already think, as if you were wearing blinders. You won't know for sure how this filter works until you close the deal and stop having false hopes.
Is trading something that everyone can do?
Trading is not something that everyone should do. To get good at this craft, you have to work on yourself all the time, get over your emotions, control your thoughts, and question your own decisions while always following the rules. Don't give up on trading if you think it's not for you. You can be successful if you only do what you really want and work to improve yourself and show off your inner potential.
What is it to trade?
Trading is a game of chances, and you should have the right mindset for it. You shouldn't feel bad when a stop loss happens, because if you use a method that has a certain chance of working, you know that in the end, you'll still have made money. It's just a matter of time. You can survive and put off the so-called "trader's cycle" only if the trading process makes you feel good.
System trading
System trading means that you only make a trade under a certain set of rules. Your system could include chart patterns, candlestick formations, indicators, a certain astrological date, and more. No matter what, it's important that the chance of success and the risk vs. reward are both high. As soon as you make your own trading system, start keeping a trade diary, write down the rules of your trade, and answer when you enter a trade, you will be in the big leagues of traders, and nothing can stop you from making money on the market. If you stick to your own rules, you'll be happy with both your take profit and your stop loss, knowing that you did things in a planned way. It is not your fault that the stop loss worked or your credit that you got a take profit.
Worry and concern
Before making deals, many traders are afraid and have doubts. These feelings are bad for you, so don't give in to them. They will only get in the way. You might be scared to open trades because the amount of money you risk in each trade is too high. Let's draw an analogy. You and a friend make a bet on the flip of a coin. The coin is strange, so it comes up heads 70% of the time. If it comes up heads at least once, you lose. If it comes up heads twice in a row, you win. Can it happen that heads come up twice in a row by accident? What's four? Yes, it sure can! Your task is in increasing the number of coin flips to win the bet as often as possible over time. The same is true of the business you do. When you act in a systematic way on the market, you might get four stop losses in a row. But at the same time, you shouldn't lose a lot of money that will change the way you live. One to two percent of your capital is the best amount to put at risk in a single trade. Getting a stop loss only won't throw you off your emotional balance and let you fall into the "trader's cycle" if you have so much used volume. If you don't think this is enough, ask yourself, "Is the goal of your trading to try to increase the size of your capital no matter what, or to keep it and grow it?"
How often you trade ?
Overtrading, which leads to "trading burnout," is not a small mistake made by new traders. Your job is to wait in a humble way for a new system to set up on the chart. You don't have to look at the chart every ten minutes. Instead, decide on your own what timeframes you will use to trade, and keep in mind that the longer the timeframe, the more reliable the signal.
Take profits and stop losses in a row
The most important thing to remember is that you must keep acting according to your trading system, no matter how many stop losses you get in a row, and you must keep not acting against your trading system, no matter how many take profits you get in a row. The market can be irrational, and technical analysis may stop working at those times, but that doesn't matter. What matters is whether you are acting in a systematic way and whether you are in control at this moment. We can get several stop losses in a row if we only follow our trading system, but we don't have to worry about losing a lot of money or feeling bad about ourselves because we know that over the course of a few years, we are statistically certain to succeed if we trade on system entry points that have a 70% chance of working out and a ratio of possible profits to possible losses of at least 2:1, which guarantees us a profit even if we lose.
Conclusion
Real traders trade probabilities based on market signals in the moment instead of building expectations, because they know that expectations lead to unfulfilled expectations and missed opportunities. You can only make money with a system, self-control, and time.
WHY MONEY MANAGEMENT IS THE MOST IMPORTANT RULE OF TRADING!Hey Traders here us a quick video that explains why money mangement is essential to trading success. Regardless of what level of trading education and experience you are this can benefit your trading. Without proper risk management it is very difficult if not impossible to protect your investment capital. Trading is a game of probabilities and in order to come out ahead I think it's important to know when to risk more or when to risk less. Especially when you are on a role in a winning streak vs waiting for the tides to turn during a losing streak.
Enjoy!
Trade Well
Clifford
KRTX - Has potential to reach new highs giving up to 6RA move above 238$ could take this to new highs
giving a R/R of more than 3.5R.
If price goes above 262$ (78.6% Fib retracement), it's likely it can go towards the 127.2% level around 300$.
JS-Masterclass: Risk Management #1JS-Masterclass: Risk Management #1
Risk Management in Trading – What does it mean ???
Risk management in trading is following a set of principles for minimizing losses. It’s an essential part of a trading plan that helps to minimize the losses and capture sustainable profits.
One of the biggest mistakes traders make is focusing on maximizing profits while overlooking the potential for loss. Unfortunately, that’s the best way for losses to get out of control. Traders need to leave this notion of greed behind them and always think risk first. Once a trader has mastered this principle, the successes will follow.
Implementing risk management techniques into your trading strategy can mitigate your risk when the market moves in the opposite direction.
Fundamental risk management principles for minimizing losses
Whether you are new in trading or an experienced trader, you always need to consider the following principles. They need to be a central part of your trading plan and strategy.
The 1% rule
The 1% rule in trading is a crucial principle of position sizing. It refers to risking no more than 1% (absolute max. for pro-traders is 2%) of your capital on a single trade.
For instance, if you have $50,000 in your account, applying the 1% rule would mean you won’t risk more than $500 on a single trade.
Some traders use the 2% rule to increase potential profits, but that amplifies potential losses, too. Sticking to the 1% rule will limit your risk on any given trade and help you preserve your equity. New traders should start with even lower risk levels.
Stop-Losses
Stop-loss orders are sell orders that trigger automatically when a traded security’s price reaches a lower, pre-specified price. They can help you mitigate losses on trades that don’t pan out the way you hoped.
For instance, if you buy a particular stock at $32 per share, you could put a stop-loss order at $30 to close the trade if the price drops below $30 per share.
Amateur traders should work with stop loss orders that will automatically trigger when your pre-defined stop-loss is being hit. This avoids a mistake that every trader tends to do – go in with a stop-loss plan but then deviate from it when things go against you.
Using stop-loss orders is key to having complete control over your positions, particularly when engaging in day trading.
The risk/reward ratio
The risk/reward ratio is a measure for calculating expected returns for every dollar you risk on a particular trade. For instance, if your risk/reward ratio is 1:2, you could earn $20 for every 10 dollar you risk.
It’s crucial to calculate the ratio after you’ve decided on your stop-loss and take-profit orders. If the ratio doesn’t match your requirements, you need to wait for a more profitable trade.
Here’s how to calculate your risk/reward ratio:
RRR = (Entry price – Stop-Loss) / (Profit Target – Entry price)
If dividing the potential risk with the possible reward results in a value below 1.0, your potential profit is more significant than your potential loss.
Make sure you maintain a favorable risk/reward ratio and look for ways to improve it consistently. IN order to be able to do that, you need to have a trading log book.
The Batting Average
The Batting Average helps you compare your winning and losing trades. Dividing your total number of wins by the total number of trades will help you analyze your past performance and identify areas for improvement. A ratio above 0.5 (or 50%) shows your trading strategy is working.
Suppose you had 60 winning trades and 40 losing trades. Your Batting Average is 60%, which means you have more winners than loosers.
Combining your Batting Average with your risk/reward ratio will help you manage potential losses more effectively.
Here is a table which helps you better understand the relationship between the risk/reward ratio and the Batting Average:
The table shows that you should have a minimum batting average or 40% or better. Many traders would consider themselves as so called ’2:1’-traders. This means they always try to have a profit of their winners at least 2x their pre-defined risk (stop-loss). As you can see in the table, ‘2:1’-traders have built in failure in their trading strategy as they can be wrong more often than right and still make tons of money – a ‘2:1’-trader can be incredibly successful at a batting average of only 40%. This means the ‘2:1’-trader can only have 4 winners out of 10 trades and still be highly successful.
WHERE IS THE BITCOIN BOTTOM?? IS IT ALREADY IN??So the FTX mess really destroyed the potential that crypto had to rally. The DXY broke down as we predicted hitting our third target on Friday, letting the stocks and currencies rally against the dollar.
However, crypto was left out of this rally because of the FTX mess. So where is the next opportunity??
After not holding 19600 and breaking the 18500 support that we held for over a month, BTC looks to head lower and is in the middle of nowhere.
- As long as we're below 18500- 19600 we are bearish until we reach 12200- 13000. THERE IS NOTHING IN BETWEEN, any long from here would be pure gambling and not a profitable strategy in the long run. \
WHAT TO DO?
- Hold on to your money until a trade opportunity arises, which will either be a bullish edge at around 12k or a bearish edge between 18500-19600.
Moreover,
- We have massive support as shown around 12k. We also have the PCZ of a massive bullish sark around 11.2k, where we could wick to should we head to 12k.
❗️THE BIGGEST LIE ABOUT RISK REWARD RATIO❗️
What is risk-reward ratio — and the biggest lie you’ve been told:
📚The risk-reward ratio (or risk return ratio) measures how much your potential reward (or return) is, for every dollar you risk.
📚For example:
If you have a risk-reward ratio of 1:3, it means you’re risking $1 to potentially make $3. If you have a risk-reward ratio of 1:5, it means you’re risking $1 to potentially make $5. You get my point.
⚠️Now, here’s the biggest lie you’ve been told about the risk reward ratio:
“You need a minimum of 1:2 risk reward ratio.”
This statement is incorrect! Because the risk-reward ratio is meaningless on its own.
📚Here’s an example:
Let’s say you have a risk reward ratio of 1:2 (for every trade you win, you make $2).
But, your winning rate is 20%. So out of 10 trades, you have 8 losing trades and 2 winners.
Let’s do the math…
Total Loss = $1 * 8 = -$8
Total Gain = $2 * 2 = $4
Net loss = -$4
By now I hope you understand the risk reward ratio by itself is a meaningless metric. Instead, you must combine your risk-reward ratio with your winning rate to know whether you’ll make money in the long run (otherwise known as your expectancy).
📍THEREFORE:
The key to success is the combination of the RR and Win Rate in such a fashion that yields a positive return.
📙Example:
🔘If your RR is 1:1 then you start making money with 51% win rate and above.
🔘If your RR is 1:1,5 then you start making money with 41% Win rate and above.
🔘If your RR is 1:2 then you start making money with 34% win rate and above.
🔴The higher the RR the lower is the breakeven Win Rate!
Hope You get the idea, guys.
Thanks for your time, see you in the next article😉
🏆 10 Trading Rules For Success 🏆🏆 Accept the losses . Losses are inherent in trading. There is no earning trader who will not suffer a loss from time to time. In the case of trading, a mistake involves a loss of capital, which can be painful at the very beginning of learning, but as you develop your skills and expand your range of competencies, you begin to understand that it is impossible to successfully win against the market without occasionally incurring a cost for this struggle in the form of losing trades.
🏆 Don't Risk Money You Can't Lose . Playing the financial market involves constant risk in which the most at risk is our capital which we trade. We can't afford to bet with money we can't lose, by which I mean money meant for living, savings, family money, selling usable items to fund an account with a broker. There is always the temptation that if only we had a bigger trading account we would play better and take less risk, which is of course nonsense. No matter how much money we trade with, whether it's hundreds, thousands or even hundreds of thousands we will always be tempted to play with even more money to make profits even bigger, unfortunately, most likely the only thing that increases is the loss on the trading account. Each of us must find the right amount of money for him, I would suggest at the very beginning to operate with money that we are able to recharge the broker in a few weeks, for some it will be 10% and for some 30% of monthly income.
🏆 Treat Trading Like a Business . Trading is such a business venture of ours, starting with the capital we have to put up to get into it, then developing a strategy that will bring us profits, after protecting ourselves from losses, including costs such as (cost of opening a trade, swap, spread), taxes. We can't treat trading as a hobby or as a job from 8-8. Profits on the financial market are not so predictable that we can say with a clear conscience how much we'll earn next month, and what's more, it may turn out that instead of earning, we'll lose. As for the fact that trading should not be considered a hobby, I can only add that trading requires much more focus and commitment than typical hobby activities, inherent in it is the theme of making and losing money, which for most is a very emotional subject.
🏆 Control Your Emotions . Control of emotions is a key issue in any field if we talk about the master level, from many interviews of professionals in their fields we can repeatedly hear about how control of emotions is of great importance in their field especially on the results they get. As trading is a competitive field. Someone wins someone loses. As our earned money is at stake, I don't need to stress that this doesn't make the whole thing any easier. The most important thing is to realize that emotions will occur and instead of suppressing this fact we should accept it. In order to control emotions, the most important element is to realize that we are under its influence. Because taking action under the influence of some extreme emotions is simply a mistake and it is best in such a case to step away from trading for a day and sometimes even a week to simply cool down. One of the best ways to reset your emotions is to sleep, take a nap and even meditate, and for all those who think that meditation is not for them, but only for tree huggers, I would like to introduce you to one of the famous personalities from the world of investment, which is Ray Dalio, who since 1985 has served as co-head investment director of the world's largest hedge fund Bridgewater Associates. Whose fortune amounts to $19.1 billion and has repeatedly mentioned that transcedental meditation was the best investment he made in his life.
🏆 Manage risk . Such a broad topic that I will prepare a separate post for it, in short, we need to determine what % of capital we can devote to one concluded transaction, in my opinion we should not risk more than 1 to 2% of capital per position. In my opinion, we should not risk more than 1 to 2% of capital per position. We must also take into account the possibility of correlation, because what does it matter if we open 10 transactions with a rate of 2% if all of them are concluded on correlated markets such as forex or stocks. Then our risk is no longer 2%, but in the worst case 20%.
🏆 Stay disciplined . Learning to trade should be perceived more as a marathon rather than a sprint, on our way we will meet many disappointments and failures that are inherent in learning any field, we must not give up, we must remain disciplined and focused on the final result, in trading there is no room for distraction and making decisions on the spur of the moment. Markets are not forgiving of any mistakes or distractions, sometimes one moment of absentmindedness can affect the state of our portfolio. As traders, we must remain in a constant circle of learning and acquiring new skills. We will not achieve any results if we approach trading once a quarter. Taking up trading should be considered in the category of a future source of income about which we want to learn as much as possible.
🏆 Know your strategy . We need to know and understand perfectly the reasons and the way to trade, we need to be 100% aware of when to take trades and when we are remote from the market. We need to know what risks we can take on a given taransaction when we close it and what we will have to do (if).
🏆 Forget The Holy Grail . Just forget about it, if you are still looking for an idle indicator that will only give you profitable signals with your only right parameters, forget about success. Trading is something much more broad and deep than just the intersection of two moving averages. There are so many factors at work on traders' decisions that affect price movement that we can't even comprehend with our brains. I'm not saying here that it's not worth using indicators or fundamental data. I mean only not to base your decisions on them and not to get stuck in a vicious circle of testing a new strategy every week.
🏆 Trend is Your Friend . I'm not going to elaborate here. You simply have a higher probability of success playing with the trend and that's it.
🏆 Never stop learning . Never but never stop learning, read everything that falls into your hands and you find valuable at any given time. Watch, listen read about trading meet other traders ask questions and never stop learning. Remember follow my profile fits perfectly into the circle of continuous learning :D
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💸 AUD/CAD Breakout time 💸💸 In today's analysis we look at an interesting opportunity on the aud/cad pair.
💸 Since the beginning of today's session, we can see the strength of the Austarlisian dollar against the Canadian dollar.
💸 Most of the technical analysis indicators signal the possibility of a breakout and divergence from the previous moment when we were at the same price level.
💸 I sense a breakout from the double bottom
💸Risk/Reward ratio: 4.52 (excellent)
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