Higher RRR, the higher the chances of profit & consecutive lossLower RRR = Low drawdowns (Lower consecutive losers)
Higher RRR = High drawdowns (Higher consecutive losers)
To not go against the prop firm's drawdown rule of > 10% rule, You should risk..
risk per trade = 10/consecutive loser
Example.
risk per trade = 10/7 = 1.4285%
So you should risk < 1.4285% per trade.
Riskreward
$EQNR coming up on the right side of its base!Notes:
* Strong up trend since 2020 on all time frames
* Good earnings in the recent quarters
* Pays dividends
* Basing for the past ~5 months
* Showing signs of coming up as the Energy sector shows strength
* Came back above its 50 day line with higher than average volume
* Lots of accumulation recently
* Also printed a Pocket Pivot indicating institutional demand
Technicals:
Sector: Energy - Oil & Gas Integrated
Relative Strength vs. Sector: 11.83
Relative Strength vs. SP500: 1.85
U/D Ratio: 1.15
Base Depth: 22.21%
Distance from breakout buy point: -8.12%
Volume 1.69% above its 15 day avg.
Trade Idea:
* You can enter now as the price is coming back up above its 50 day line
* If you're looking for a better entry you can look for one around 34.50
* This stock usually has local tops when the price closes around 15.28% above its 50 EMA
* Consider selling into strength if the price closes 15.08% to 15.48% (or higher) above its 50 EMA
* The last closing price is 3.34% away from its 50 EMA
USOIL SELLCONFIRMATIONS
- Market closed with double bottoms which is a sign of a possible uptrend.
- Drew out my fib & it so far makes sense, its showing me the major areas where price has been rejected. I am waiting for price to hit my 38.2% fib, then I will enter for a sell.
- I will be looking for double tops which typically signify price might drop.
- Also will be looking for a doji or shooting star candlestick .
-Price is officially under my 50 moving average
- Im looking for price to retest then drop.
- On Tuesday crude oil inventories will be released.
GBPAUD H4 - Targets of 1.73 short termGBPAUD H4
Little bit messy here with this pair, but we have also seen evident AUD strength in line with recent trade. Support at 1.75 has seen a break, we are simply waiting for a correction to this 1.74750-1.75000 region to look to jump in with the next wave short. GBP not looking to great in current climate.
EXIT STRATEGIES: Money ManagementHey traders,
Today I wanted to dive into exit strategies. A lot of you will already have a very clear understanding of what an exit strategy is and how you usually go about it. Most of you are probably automatically thinking of stop losses and take profits, which is fair enough. Today however, I wanted to dive into some more advanced techniques. I want to have a look at what you need to be thinking about prior to entering a trade, during the trade, and then finally when it's time to get out. Yes, we use stop losses. Yes, we use take profits. But I know from my experience personally, it's very rare that I actually get my full stop loss hit. I'm usually out of the position prior to those levels.
This all falls under money management, which is by far the most important aspect of your trading ability that you need to understand. We are money managers as traders. When we are risk on, we have money live in the markets. It is our job to manage it accordingly. Win or lose, the success comes down to if we are managing position and risk correctly.
Now, this blog is a little bit more directed to our day traders or people who are constantly having positions with the whole idea of set stop losses and take profits. For investors, it does differ a little bit and I'll touch on that now. When it comes to buying a stuck or an asset, it is very easy come up with a trade idea. You find the idea, you buy, simple. What makes it really difficult is actually finding the appropriate time to sell. That's what actually makes the good investors. Because equity, yes, it is still extra cash in your pocket, but you don't get that cash actually in your pocket until you have hit that sold button and realized your profits. My biggest outlay to anyone in any type of investing is have an exit plan prior to entry. Have a minimum requirement, have a maximum requirement, and what to do in those scenarios. I've seen it many many times before, especially with the recent cryptocurrency boom that people just get in expecting it to go up with no exit strategy, so they never exit because it's constantly moving up. Then, Unsurprisingly, the market pulls it back in and they lose all of their equity profit. They find themselves trying to close out of their position before it's a big loss. Always have an exit plan.
Now lets dive back into more of the day trading market. When it comes down to exits of the market. Most people use stop loss orders or take profit orders. These are orders you can set on your brokerage platform, which essentially, when that asset reaches a certain price, the server will read that and automatically pull your position at your requested price. These are the most common ways to manage risk. It's a very beginner friendly. It's very easy to find an area where to put your stop loss, put your stop loss, put your take profit, walk away and let the trade unfold. However, today, let's get a little bit more advanced.
There are a few questions you need to ask yourself prior to entering a position. Regardless of looking at the profit potential (which is the biggest pull). Start associating yourself with the risk you are taking in order to open this position.
The first question I want you to ask yourself is, how much are you willing to risk on this trade?
Risk is an important factor when investing right to determine your risk level. You need to understand what is not going to affect or hurt you, but still generate enough profits to make it worthwhile in your eyes. Finding that medium balance of what you can handle when you go and drawdowns is going to be highly beneficial to risk the right amount and not go emotionally insane every time you're in a position. Once you understand what dollar value you're willing to risk, then you just position size accordingly and have a stop loss on your chart and there you will know your maximum risk. That is what you are going to lose if all goes against you on this position.
Once you have the basic understanding of how much you're risking per position, you want to try and avoid hitting that stop loss at all costs. So while you're managing your position (this is something I like to do personally) if everything is going against you, it's usually a sign that it's going to continue that way. Yes, statistically, there's going to be sometimes it may be reverses. That's the beauty in backtesting your strategy so you have an in-depth understanding on what it is capable of. I look to start scaling out of my position, which means selling off my position size as we move towards the stop loss. As I mentioned above, it's very rare that I actually hit my Max loss stop loss statistically. Looking back at my journal, I've actually scaled more than 75% of my position out prior to hitting a full stop loss if not all of the position. This is giving me an incredible advantage when it comes down to statistics, because while I can still hit a full take profit and a full position in profits. But I am not hitting a full loss, so my risk to reward has actually rapidly increased, even though it's still very similar when I'm entering the trade.
The second question I want you to ask yourself is, where do you want to get out?
Where is your take profit? Where is your stop loss? But also look within those areas where realistically are key indications on where this price is going to move. Do you have to get through four or five support levels to reach your take profit? Should you start looking at scaling out some of the position in the profits around those levels? The more you have to go through, the harder it is going to be to actually achieve the profit. Have an exit plan. Where are the levels you want out?
And finally, and this is probably the biggest one, how long you are planning on being in the trade?
If you're trading down on the five minute chart, do you really want to hold this trade for two days? If it takes that long, do you only want to be trading during this market hours? Where do you want to cut this trade? This is really important because most people, especially the set and forget traders, they don't have a time limit on their trades. They allow it to just run over multiple sessions. But The thing is, the longer it runs, the less than analysis becomes true. Have a look at the time frame you're trading. If you're investing, look at the yearly outlook. How long do you really want to be holding this stock before it actually does something? I know we're not options traders. Some of you, maybe, but it is a good idea to have kind of a time scheme that you don't want to be holding any longer than. I personally look to start scaling out of the position, taking risk off the longer the trade takes, especially if I'm trying to trade on volatility.
These are three questions to ask yourself and a little bit of tips and tricks when it comes down to scaling an managing risk on a more advanced level. Remember, as traders and investors, we are risk managers. We are money management specialists. Our job is to not lose money. When we stop losing money, profits will come in. Focus on your risk, focus on what you can afford to lose, and then focus on your positions and try and stop yourself from ever hitting that Max stop loss that you give yourself.
I wish you all success!
-Jordon Mellor
USOIL BUYCONFIRMATION
- Found a nice consistent 3 retracements which end up resulting in a buy position. A couple things can happen either I'm right and the buy was a good trade or the market is trying to fake me out when in reality a sell is the right trade.
- Price is bounce off of one of the prime fib numbers 38.2
- Double bottoms are forming
- Looking for a shooting star candlestick to confirm buy entry.
- Price is officially over my 50 moving average which is a possible indicator of a buy position.
- Set my stop loss under previous support
- Set my take profit at my golden 61.8
PETRONET has retested , and showing BULLISH movement hey guys ,
PETRONET stock has shown signs of bullish movement
this stock was moving in a fixed downtrend ,
and first also ,
this stock has crossed it's resistance ,
but was not able to stand there for a long time ,
and it lead to BULL TRAP for traders ,
and after that ,
this stock has again crossed it's resistance,
and now retested.
There are several reasons to buy this stock ;
1. A LONG GREEN CANDLE IS MADE
2. THIS STOCK HAS RETESTED AND TAKEN SUPPORT ON IT'S RESISTANCE
3. MORNING STAR HAS BEEN MADE BY THIS STOCK
due to these reasons ,
i suggest you to buy this stock and earn high returns ,
I have marked the TARGET and STOP LOSS for y'all,
the RISKREWARD RATIO is 1:3
BUT PLS CONSIDER THE GLOBAL MARKET SITUATIONS;
1. INFLATION
2. WAR
3. RISING BANK RATES
4. INCREASED EXPORT DUTY ON CRUDE OIL
AFTER CONSIDERING THESE SITUATIONS
YOU CAN BUY THIS STOCK
PETRONET
😀😀
CADCHF short setup ahead of BoCI believe that the expected increase in rates from the BoC tomorrow has already been priced into the pair, I opened a sell limit around the 0.618 fib retracement considering the volatility that might happen tomorrow. COT shows bearish strength increasing for CAD while CHF remains on the bullish side.
DR REDDY LABS , has crossed it's ASCENDING TRIANGLE pattern hey guys ,
DR REDDY LAB , stock was moving in a downtrend from a long time,
but now , this stock was moving in a fixed pattern called ASCENDING TRIANGLE PATTERN
at present , this stock has crossed it's RESISTANCE
and taken SUPPORT
as you can see that ,
on previous day , this stock has made a long GREEN CANDLE
and today , this stock has made a candle called DOJI
which has taken SUPPORT on its RESISTANCE
THERFORE , in my opinion you can buy this stock and get high returns ,
I HAVE MARKET THE TARGET AND SL
TO MAKE IT EASY FOR Y'ALL
BUT PLS CONSIDER THE GLOBAL MARKET SITUATIONS
1, INFLATION
2. WAR
3. RISING BANK RATES
4. RISING DUTIES OF CRUDE OIL EXPORT
AFTER CONSIDERING THIS SITUATION
YOU CAN BET ON THIS STOCK
DR REDDY LABS
😀😀
BTC capitulation?, Long19.2k-17.5k for max pain capitulation on this downtrend.
good buy zone for spot long-term portfolio ~16k-23.5k taking into account feasible scenarios of could go. Though,16k-17k will put BTC literally down to the wire of max pain, and maybe create a generational bottom.
w/ institutions being more public in their interest w/ BTC I suspect more ranging for a long time ~20k-37k. Mean rev. indicators are printing a good bottom so far today, but not yet confirmed w/ BBWP not crossing over its MA. VZO indicator also printing green. I'd only consider BTC to be out of a bear market until it closes over ~38k on a daily candle, so if you want to be giga-safe I'd wait for there. Breaking out of 32k gives some confidence of an uptrend, but thats only if we continue going up from here. Have some self-control and try not to capitulate.
Fundamental market risk factors are noted here thanks to WifeyAlpha. Only would add that there are a lot of put options expiring this Fri./June 17th on SPY that could squeeze tradFi for part 2 of a bear market rally, so hedge your open shorts. That and monkeypox, which falls under the currency wars.
Trying out 5R trades instead of the safer 2R, I have two of them out JIC the #1 gets stopped out
Trades:
#1
Entry: 21.6k
SL: 18.3K
TP: 39k
#2
Entry: 17.5k
SL:15.2
TP:29k
RR > 20 , Risk < 1%based on previous analysis which is linked below, I'm sure about bearish market and losing bottom (26.7 k)
for catching an interesting opportunity, I suggest this long position ....
bermuda on 29K is a strong level to support BTC, in addition the yellow trend line make a tempting liquidity for big boys to fill their buy orders
I expect reversal pivot on purple level above, so 35k would be first terget
Risk:Reward Ratio. What is it?Risk to reward ratio. What is it? What does it mean and how do we use it?
Now, if you made it to the point where you're here on TradingView, there's a good chance that you have heard about Risk to Reward ratio. Today, I want to dive into what it really means and how to actually utilize it. I see so many beginners missing out on huge profits and opportunities because of their risk reward ratio and I want to share my knowledge of this tool and how to actually use it in the future.
Firstly, let's dive into what is the risk/reward ratio? The RR ratio is a tool that can accurately predict by expected returns based off of previous results. This tool measures how much reward you are estimated to gain based off of the dollar amount you risk. For example, if you have a risk to reward ratio of 1:3, it means for every $1 you risk, you will gain a return of $3 in the event of a positive trade. Using the same example in the FX market, let's say you're risking 10 pips on EURUSD, your take profit is at 30 pips. This means you gain 30 pips in the event of a win, lose 10 pips in the event of a loss, giving you a 1:3 risk/reward ratio.
This is a very powerful tool because compared with the win rate and in correlation, you can actually predict based off of your previous results, you're expected returns on investment. Being able to predict what you're expected returns are are great way of giving you milestone targets, but also when you're looking at getting funded with prop firms, you also know what you are actually able to achieve in what time frame.
Now, it goes without saying, the higher your risk to reward ratio, the less you need to win in order to maintain profitability. The opposite, the lower your risk reward ratio, the higher win rate is required to maintain profitability.
But this is where we get into where I find beginners struggle. A lot of people will base their strategies on their risk/reward ratios, which is understandable if you're building the strategy from scratch. If you're using a prebuilt strategy or something that doesn't really correlate with risk/reward ratio. Then it makes it obsolete and just confusing. Going back to my first point, risk to reward ratio is a tool that you can use to estimate future potential returns based off of previous results. Let's say you have 100 trades worth of data. You can accurately have a look at what is your risk to reward ratio is and compare that with your win rate. From there you can make a decision whether or not that is a profitable strategy. On top of that, you can then start to look to improve either your win rate and risk to reward ratio, knowing that that is an area that needs improvement.
When it comes to improving your risk to reward ratio, one thing that always grinds my gears with traders, is when they enter a trade, they'll set their stop loss and take profits based on their risk to reward ratio not based on the actual analytics of the trade. While I understand this and with some strategies, this can work. For most, they end up setting those take profits in areas that is just realistically is going to be really hard for the price to get to. What professionals do when trying to improve the risks of reward ratio is only take those setups where a good take profit is viable around that level of risk to reward.
For example, in this chart, we are looking at buying the USDCAD over the next couple of weeks. We like this setup. We've had our entry signal and we're going to place a stop loss below that recent low, which was created early last week. We are not happy with our risk to reward ratio. We think we're leaving too much profit on the table and want to increase our overall results. So I'm only taking trades that have close to a three to one risk to reward ratio. But as you can see by this chart that dotted lines are areas of resistance which we are going to have to break in order to achieve that level of profitability. There are 5 different zones we are going to have to get through in order for my take profit to be hit, it is fair to say the odds are not in my favor.
Now a beginner Trader will still enter this trade with the same take profit and the same stop loss and just hold on. The reason they'll do that is because they want the 1:3 risk reward ratio. They don't care where the profit target is. What matters is it is 3 times worth what they're risking. On the other hand, A professional trader will actually either let this trade go and not enter it, or look for another entry point later on on smaller timeframes to where you can fit that risk to reward ratio and you're not going to hit the high levels of resistance.
To sum up what my point is, risk to reward ratio is a very powerful tool to understand what you are capable of the trader and also where you can improve. It is not a valid take profit selection strategy. Yes, it can definitely help with guidelines on where to set your take profit, but it should not be the sole reason your take profit is set at a certain price just because it is X amount whatever you are risking. Have a look at what the chart is telling you and what your analysis is telling you. Then, only take the trades which coincide with the risk to reward ratio. You want to achieve.
I hope you enjoyed this insight and I hope it was beneficial to you. I recommend highly diving into your previous trading data. Have a look at your win rate. Have a look at your risk reward ratio and understand what your profitability expectation really is and base your future decisions off of that data. Have a fantastic trading we can I look forward to seeing your comments.
- Jordon
A little something to help others beginners market is in a gully new retail traders are coming to trade let me tell you something important even if you know technical analysis that is not enough
what you need is a proper risk management rules and get rid of all your psychological issues I suggest that if want to become a trader first thing you
do is work on your psychology only books will not help you in that you need a mentor who will guide you in developing a system and help you understand
different types of market and help you make no mistake in executing your system lots of people have system but they do not trust there system and
because of that they lose money always have learning mindset it will help you because market trends always change
Trading what am seeingA flat is complete as a countertrend move. Expecting the downtrend to resume or we could make another corrective structure. Hence two TP levels. Risk reward shown on both tp levels.
Trading Advice = Never risk more than 2% of your account on a trade. Means your stop loss should never be more than 2% of you account value.
How much leverage should I be using?Understanding how to trade forex requires detailed knowledge about economies, political situations, all the individual countries, global macroeconomics, the impact of volatility, it goes on and on. But the reality of the situation is this isn't what makes most new traders fail. What makes most traders fail isn't the lack of knowledge or understanding of what it is they're actually trading. It's the lack of knowledge and understanding on leverage.
As most of us would have heard, there is very obvious statistic out there that majority of retail traders fail. Now, most people will see this as a lack of competence and just purely not willing to put in the effort to be successful. But a lot of the time it is people not understanding the risk their undertaking and what it is they're actually doing with their money when they enter the market. It really highlights this when traders come to a firm like ours, and question leverage or they have so many questions about leverage that even though they've been trading for three to four years, they still don't fully understand the actual risks that are at hand when they are opening certain positions that they really can't afford to open.
Today I wanted to jump into leverage. Let's really dive into depth what it is, why we have it, how we can use it. Then, finally touch on what is the right amount of leverage for you as a trader. So you can be exponential in maximizing your profits, but also ensuring that you're not damaging yourself long term.
LEVERAGE RISK
Firstly, I think it's important for us to have a look into leverage. Leverage is the process in which an investor or trader borrows capital in order to invest or purchase something. Typically we borrow capital from a broker and we buy into positions with money that we didn't have in order to be able to gain more profit from those positions. Most traders are blindsided and constantly think the more money I have, the more profit I can make, which is true, but they fail to recognize that the more risk it carries.
Carrying higher leverage is an exponential increase in risk. Most brokers out there will probably offer you something like 50:1, 100:1 or even 500:1 leverage. This giving you a buying power of 50, 100 or even 500 times whatever the amount of money you have in your account. Which means a trader with just $100 in a brokerage account could open a position with $50,000 in the market. Now, while that may sound advertising, believe me, that's a trap and we're going to chat about that today.
HIGH LEVERAGE EXAMPLE
So let's dive into an example. Let's imagine we have a trader who has a $10,000 account. They decide to use 100:1 leverage, which now means with that $10,000 cash, they can trade up to $1,000,000 in the forex market. Let's assume that the trader opened a position with the full available capital which would relate to 10 lots, and they opened the position on a currency with the USD being the quote currency. That means that each PIP movement is equal to $100. So for a simple equation, if they were to enter a trade and that trade went against them by 50 pips, they would have lost 50% of their account because that 50 pips would have been equal to $5000. So in one wrong trade they lost 50% of their account.
So many people in this industry is so quick to look at what the realized gains could be, but they rather tend to ignore the actual risks that come with that. If you don't have sufficient evidence that your investment strategy is going to provide consistent and stable gains long term, do not look to trade with higher leverage, as you will be gambling and it is extremely risky.
LOW LEVERAGE EXAMPLE
Now let's use the same example, but in a lower leverage situation. The trader has $10,000 cash only this time he is trading on an account with 5:1 leverage, resulting in a buying power of $50,000. This means on a pair with the US dollar as the base currency that you can open a maximum size of 0.5 lots. Let's go ahead and take the exact same trade, only this time with a 0.5 lots, each pip is equal to $5. Should the investment or trade fall the same 50 pips this time the trader will only lose $250, which is a mere 2.5%. Same trade, different leverage, one lost 50% the other lost 2.5%.
It is a common trick out there that traders feel they require more leverage to really make money in the market. It's not true. Yes, it can help you get more profits from those smaller moves. Yes, it is really beneficial if you have a proven strategy. If you are still coming to grips with trading or you're fairly new and you haven't achieved consistency and profitability yet, focus on lower leverage. What it will actually do is make you focus on long term goals. Focus on the process this giving you more sustainability in the market and therefore more maturity.
CHOOSE THE RIGHT LEVERAGE
Choosing the right leverage is a very important step in Forex trading. You can be tapered in by fancy numbers and big brokers trying to get you in, Or, you can realistically dive into what it is you actually need and what's going to benefit you more in the future. There's no right answer to how much leverage you need each strategy in each individual require different things, but what I will do is share some tips and some knowledge on how to choose the right one that benefits you.
1. Always try and maintain the lowest leverage you possibly can for your strategy. If you manage to pull it right the way into where you can only just open the positions on the risk you have allowed yourself, and you can't open more than, lets say three positions, what you actually do is limit yourself to focus on only the good positions. You've prevented over trading from occurring and you can really focus on your risk management.
2. When you open positions or you talk about opening positions instead of going to people saying, "yes, I opened 0.35 lots." Use the actual dollar value when you open a 0.35 lot position. Instead, say "I opened a $35,000 position." Talking in that language that you have placed your bets with $100,000 or $1,000,000 will make you realize how much risk you're actually exposing yourself to and the capacity of what it is you are trading.
3. Limit your overall risk, at absolute Max, I risk 0.25%. This allows me to go into large drawdowns and it not be an issue. I can still manage it accordingly in it actually keeps me nice and calm and focused on the analysis rather than the running profit and loss.
The bottom line is selecting the right Forex leverage depends on the traders experienced risk tolerance and comfort when operating in the market. You want to ensure that it's not out there to harm you, but rather it's there to help. You do not want be trying to get really high leverage so you can make large profits, when you know realistically, there is no evidence to prove that you will make those high profits. Start small, gain consistency, gain exposure and gain experience, and then you can start looking to expand your equity and buying power.
How the higher time frames help you to avoid unnecessary losses Hello everyone:
Today I want to discuss the importance of higher time frame analysis.
Doesn't matter what type of trading strategy, method or style you use,
the higher time frame often will help us to strengthen our bias overall and give us a good perspective of the possible direction for the price to go.
In addition, it helps traders to avoid unnecessary losses and mediocre entries that will eat up your profits.
More often I hear traders will execute trades on the lower time frames, and not factor the overall higher time frame bias and perspective.
Although entering on the smaller time frame can potentially give you more Risk:Reward, it's often more risky and trades can easily reverse, then hit the stop loss.
This often creates stress, negativity, and revenge trading psychology for traders which ended up blowing accounts.
I want to give a few examples of higher time frame analysis, how they can help traders to avoid “traps” on the lower time frames, avoid unnecessary losses, and keep the emotion at bay to trade another day.
When having a bullish bias on the HTFs, its good risk management to not consider any short term, bearish sell setups.
These sell setups may form on the LTFs, but they can easily not continue to your desired target, and reverse up before you have time to react.
In addition, traders hate to see profit come and go.
So if a trader has a short position running in some profit, but decides to hold onto the trade, and once the position reverses, traders don't want to exit, and then end up holding a losing position to its SL.
Examples:
AUDUSD:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: Many LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, they ended up with losses
NZDUSD:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: Many LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, they ended up with losses
AUDCHF:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, ended up with loss
NZDCHF:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, ended up with loss
NZDCAD:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, ended up with loss
SILVER:
HTF: Overall bias and perspective in bullish
LTF: LTF bearish setups/development, but due to going against the HTF, ended up with loss
Risk/Reward Tutorial - The Holy GrailThe traders who learn to view and think about trade setups in terms of risk/reward are the ones who end up making consistent (albeit massive) amounts of money.
My personal strategy looks something like this:
Using the 4-minute chart as the earth rotates 1 degree every 4 minutes.
𓃭 0.50% stop-loss measurement
𓃭 1/2 profits at 1.30% level and move stop to break even.
𓃭 2/2 profits at 1.50% :: (or 1.70%)
𓃭 Wait to enter trade at the previous 2nd candle base break up/down and skip trades that are in consolidation where the direction is not 100% clear.
Keep in mind that my signals are so precise (indicating near exact future pivots) that I am able to use such a tight stop-loss, but this wont necessary work for the average trader. This video is merely meant to serve as an example of how to work out ratios for yourself.
Knowing when not to take a trade is just as important as when to take a trade. Don't enter a trade if you are not confident, as it will only damage your equanimity. Don't let greed or fear destroy a good thing. Those emotions + impatience and lack of self-discipline are obstacles that prevent 97% of novice traders from ever succeeding in maintaining a long-term professional career.
You should be operating as any casino or business would, do not gamble with your business.
At the same time, allow yourself to make endless mistakes with ease and grace, knowing that if you want to succeed baldy enough and you never give up, you will find a way to realize your dreams!
Mistakes are a right of passages. Excruciating lows and euphoric highs are what everyone experiences on the road to success.
The 97% will give up along the way or never even attempt to begin with.
Do you have a Reward to Risk ratioIn the world of trading, do you know what a Rw/Rs (Reward to Risk) ratio is? if you dont this article will be beyond your understanding. I suggest you read up on Reward to Risk ratio & come back to read this. If you do know what a Rw/Rs ratio & assume most of you do, we can continue our merry trade discussion ;D
My Rw/Rs ratio for Swing trades that i take on a Weekly (W) chart is factor of 4 to 6, am happy to see more. with my Day trading strategy; am a little more aggressive & will settle for a Rw/Rs factor of 3-4 to take on a day trade.
Once a while, a trade opportunity arises that offer such a large room for Reward to run, as in this (W) chart of WMT WalMart Corp. if the trades goes my way, look at this room for profit to run, with no resistance of supplyzone in sight this can go up.....sweet mama, she got my attention.
First; (Disclaimer) I will never take a trade solely based on a sweet Rw/Rs the odds are not in my favour. Back to the trade. So i have a sweet Rw/Rs ratio what else is going on? Price is crashing into a DZ from the (M) & this DZ happens to be the HL of the month (M) uptrend. This is good, The week (W) price chart is into the long-term chart DZ (Demand zone). This qualifies only if the (M) is still in a technically defined in uptrend. This is a Classic trade set-up I love.
Like a Snipper I set my LNG (long) entry at 117 level slightly above the lower band of the DZ, my entry was so low that my risk was less than a dollar before my STP triggers. I took the Long position, the market rallied & so did WMT, & I closed 1/2 my position once price reached 128, I took a good 10 Rw (Reward) pressure if off. already the trade made its money. & I let the 1/2 of the position run. Lets see how it goes when the market is open on Monday. This was a swing trade using the (W) chart to identify the setup. Long-term would be the (M) chart & I used the (D) daily chart to enter & set my STP.
Risk management in tradingWhen trading on the stock exchange, you need to know at least the basics of risk management, but it is better to understand it professionally, because the main attribute of any transactions made in the financial markets is risk. Without competent, professional management, without risk management, it is impossible to stay in such markets for a long time. To be a successful trader, you must learn to assess risks, balance and reduce them. Only in this case, the capital will not only be saved, but also increased.
Fundamentals of risk management
To properly manage capital, you need to know about the following principles:
1. You should not invest even in the most tempting project more than half of the total capital.
Among financial experts, this principle is also called "don't put your eggs in one basket" or "diversification." That is, in order to successfully continue your activities in the financial market, it is best not to invest all your funds in only one undertaking. More than half of the money must be left for other projects and for the continuation of their work
2. Invest in one position no more than 10-15% of the total amount of funds you have.
Another advice from the category of diversification, which insures against ruin. He warns that one cannot invest a lot of one's funds at once, it is better to distribute them correctly and limit one's risks, and make the profit more stable.
3. The rate of risk in the transaction must not exceed 5% of the total amount of funds you have.
If you follow this principle, then the loss ratio of any trader will be less than 5% of the total capital. Depending on which market and which strategy is used to trade, the percentage of risk can be reduced to 1%.
4. There must be a balance between diversification and concentration.
While diversification is one of the most reliable risk management techniques for reducing risk, even its application must be measured. It is necessary to balance the diversification and concentration of funds. There is no need to turn your portfolio into a "stuffing" of investment instruments, you will only need to open positions in 5-7 groups of instruments. Before compiling a portfolio, it is necessary to determine the correlation between trading instruments. It may be zero, but it is preferred that it be negative. In this case, the future fall of one group of instruments will be compensated by the growth of other groups.
5. Place stop orders.
In order to avoid large losses if the price change is not in your favor, it is best to take care in advance and set Stop Loss. It makes the price fixed, which will allow the trader to close the position at this price. The way the Stop Loss will be set is influenced by market analysis, as well as the personal readiness and ability of the trader to make dangerous, risky, but profitable transactions.
When placing a Stop Loss, you need to correctly assess not only the totality of technical factors, but also the characteristics of personal qualities, in particular, your ability to take risks.
6. Determine the rate of return.
For any operation in the market, it is necessary to determine what the ratio of profit and loss will be. Such a forecast is necessary so that, in the event of undesirable phenomena on the market, the risks are balanced.
In the financial world, a good ratio is 3:1.
The simplest example: if a trader risks $100, then his profit from the transaction must be at least $300 (300:100 is the same as 3:1). If for some reason such a ratio cannot be achieved, then it is better to refuse the deal.
EURJPY SELL/SHORT TRADE IDEAEURJPY has been downtrending. Still within 4H range, liquidity left behind to get swept.
Entry is based on 4H institutional move, mitigation out of last buy position that manipulated price, fibonacci snipe zone 78.5-88.6% and liquidity also known as retail traders "double tops".
Two positions in case the higher snipe isn't activated. Risk : Reward is worth the trade!