Risk to Reward ratio is the QUEEN - Number two reason to tradeWhen i want to take a trade, I look for ODD ENHANCERS, the more odd Enhancers I have the more likely the market will turn in my favour.
One of the most important Odd Enhancers is proper Risk to Reward ratio. Rs/Rw means how much am willing to risk if the trade goes against me, divided by how much Reward is trade gives if it is profitable. A properly weighted Rs/Rw ratio yield a factor of 4 to 5.
In this trade on QSR traded on the NASDAQ, am risking a little over a dollar for a reward of four dollars & much more if the new formed downtrend continues.
now, we got the Rs/Rw ratio out of the way of teachings. why would i Enter this trade. If Risk to Reward is the Queen then identifying the Trend is KING.
You must of heard people say, trade the trend, swim with the current not against it & you flow.
- first step Identify the Trend on any longer term chart. (there are many techniques for this)
- Second step trade the trend corrections on the Short term chart (this is the chart I use to identify my ENTR price & my STP losses)
This is it! identify the trend on the bigger picture & look for opportunities to join.
In this Trade. according to my Trend identification technique, I observed the Week (W) long term trend to turn into a downtrend after it broke the last LH of the previous week uptrend. now the trend is down. am looking to short.
I ENT my SHRT at 59.80 with a tight STP above 61.03 my risk is tolerable when compared to my Reward if the downtrend was to continue. well, it is struggling. my trigger STP was triggered & am out. simple as that. I will take my small loss & walk away holding my head high in respect for my trading plan that does not work all the time but works enough that i can make a living doing this.
Riskreward
Poker Hands Relating To Trading (((FTM APRIL 2022)One major similarity between poker and trading is that they both involve incomplete information. A poker player may have a strong hand, but he or she is still not 100% sure of what cards other opponents hold. The same thing applies to an investor/trader who may predict a good return but may not be 100% of it. So, decisions in poker and trading are often based on incomplete information.
Once the market has dealt the hands (provided us traders with information of market behaviour) we can play the hand, stronger the hand the higher the probability of the trade becomes.
How much do we want to risk ??
With due diligence, we need to know the EV+ ( Positive Expected Value) and RMultiple expectancy and with this information we can assume a 60-70% chance of making money and now its up to how much we are willing to risk on the trade.
Risk Management
Position size of £100 with a 10x leverage = £10.00 Risk Per Percentage
With a 2/1 RR, the Reward Per 2% = £20.00
US30 SHORT IDEAI've already called US30 short on that breakout, Price been making HH and HL since there, now its looking forward to retest that zone and keep the down trend...
AMZN: Buying the dip? Watch these key points carefully!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how AMZN is doing today!
In the 1h chart we see that it is trading near the support level of a Descending Channel. This is a good place for a bullish reversal, but so far, we don’t have a meaningful reaction.
The black line at $ 3,175.42 is the key point that could trigger a reversal, and the first target would be the 3,265.35. What’s more, it must break the 21 ema for good, which is another resistance for it.
Let’s see the daily chart for more clues:
In addition to the support in the 1h chart, the daily chart shows another important support level: The 38.2% Fibonacci’s Retracement. For now, AMZN is holding at this support area nicely, but it must break the $ 3,175 for some bullish confirmation.
AMZN is not one of my favorites right now, but it is looking interesting. Since it is near support levels, the Risk/Reward ratio becomes attractive again, and it is worth to trade it. The key point it must not lose in order to trigger a clear bullish sign is the 38.2% retracement in the daily chart.
Let’s keep our eyes open! I’ll keep you guys updated on this, as usual, so remember to follow me to not miss any of my future daily analyses!
AMD: This is the most important support level!Hello traders and investors! Let’s see how AMD is doing today!
First, in the 1h chart, it is very bearish, and we don’t see any bullish sign on it yet. We are doing lower highs/lows, and we are trading under the 21 ema.
The most important resistance in the short-term is the $ 106 area, as it was the previous support level, and it is where the 21 ema is trading right now. If AMD wants to turn bullish again, this is the first resistance to break.
In the daily chart we don’t see any bullish candlestick/chart pattern as well, however, it is close to the support level at $ 99, which is a quite important one. If we look at the weekly chart, we can see it better.
The $ 99 area was a top level in January 2021, and it worked as a support level multiple times since then. It won’t be easy for AMD to lose this level.
The volume is increasing, which is interesting, and any bullish reaction could be an excuse to buy, as the R/R ratio makes a lot of sense. If it triggers a bullish sign, the gap at $ 118 (1h and D charts) would be our next target.
Let’s pay attention to this support level! I’ll keep you guys updated on this, so, remember to follow me to not miss any of my future analyses!
NASDAQ buy setup based on multiple rejections, waiting for price to get down to the POI and reject on the 1min
entry will be taken on the 1min, 15min entry is 1:40
9 Millionth Bitcoin Has Been Mined, Could We See a Pump?Monthly Time-frame
We have closed a green candle on March. Rejection area or the supply zone is at $47,100. Good to open short position at the moment. a test to the demand zone is also possible for stronger pump to the upside. Demand zone is waiting at $37,700. This is possible if the stock market starts crashing.
Weekly Time-frame
We still have 1D and 21 hours left for the next weekly candle. $42,486 is a test of the demand zone. We are currently in the low volume node in VPVR which is easy to break to the downside.
1D Time-frame
We are about to form double top as Bitcoin and Stocks usually does it to get more retailers to be greedy and fearful. then gets dump again. Awesome Oscillator is still bearish with red volume ripe for correction.
4H Time-frame
Our Long signal in the afternoon made us good profit. our signal in the evening is too early to short most have hit their stop loss already. The market usually makes double top to liquidate the short and long first before continuing the downtrend. We can expect more to the downside in the following days. Supply zone is being respected we can start opening short position at $46,517, $47,440 and keep stop loss above the previous high. SL at $48,548 to make sure not to hit the sl.
We will discuss more on the possibility on our Live. Stay tune and check with us!
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HYMC High Risk playNASDAQ:HYMC
STAKK analysis on the HYMC stock (www.hycroftmining.com)
Chart 1 Day
EMA (Exponential Moving Average): Bullish, as the 20EMA has crossed the 50EMA and 100EMA
Red line (20)
Orange line (50)
Blue line (100)
White line (200)
TTM Squeeze: Trending down, meaning momentum is low. Traders may be taking profits. Also notice that gap down on Nov. 9th has been filled.
Fib Levels: Above 2.618. The price has gone parabolic. Price action has to stay above this levels for the bullish trend to continue.
Candle Stick: Last few candles are bearish candles. last day candle is a "Bearish Pin Bar"
Pattern: Current pattern is an Ascending Triangle. This is a bilateral pattern with could result in either a bullish or bearish price action.
News: Hope coming earnings. On March 15th, AMC bought into the company ($194 Million)
History: Price have crashed on earnings report.
Bullish case: Price action could move to the $1.48 to $1.85 to $2.62 (each are major resistance areas).
Bearish case: Price could drop down to $.93 (1 fib) or $.73 (0 fib)
ETH swing trade So far so good.
we saw the squeeze in the end of the triangle.
We have seeing so gains already. This is for the middle term.
I posted new trade ideas don’t miss them out. Great risk and reward. Don’t forget to like very much appreciate it.
If YOU NOT a hater and support others like this post! It does MAKES A DIFFERENCE
This one Falls In our research on swing set ups with a good ratio of Risk and Reward.
As always er put quality over quantity, don’t forget to follow us for SWING trades research on risk and Reward Ratio.
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Swing trading is great because you can create a lot wealth in % by risking less $$. Compound Gains.
Thank you for the Love, I really appreciate those likes, makes a difference and pushes me to keep on posting more of these!
SOLANA Sol, it’s amazing REWARD ratio.
It can pay of really good. Breaking 50 MA.
Don’t forget to check my others trade ideas. Don’t miss out new ideas like and subscribe.
If YOU NOT a hater and support others like this post! It does MAKES A DIFFERENCE
This one Falls In our research on swing set ups with a good ratio of Risk and Reward.
As always er put quality over quantity, don’t forget to follow us for SWING trades research on risk and Reward Ratio.
Subscribe and don’t miss OUT the next research.
Swing trading is great because you can create a lot wealth in % by risking less $$. Compound Gains.
Thank you for the Love, I really appreciate those likes, makes a difference and pushes me to keep on posting more of these!
MATIC swing trade Great set up breaking 50 MA.
Looks like it will continue the run.
We relaxed for the las weeks waiting of price action.
Don’t miss out the next trades I will be posting today. Check them out and please like them. Helps a lot
If YOU NOT a hater and support others like this post! It does MAKES A DIFFERENCE
This one Falls In our research on swing set ups with a good ratio of Risk and Reward.
As always er put quality over quantity, don’t forget to follow us for SWING trades research on risk and Reward Ratio.
Subscribe and don’t miss OUT the next research.
Swing trading is great because you can create a lot wealth in % by risking less $$. Compound Gains.
Thank you for the Love, I really appreciate those likes, makes a difference and pushes me to keep on posting more of these!
AVGO: POTENTIAL 11% SWING TRADEAVGO :
I like the setup here with a well-defined risk .
Nice sort of ascending triangle that started forming in January.
Strong support of the ichimoku cloud at 596.
Can we break 610.40 and push to the previous high at 678 in the next few weeks?
No one knows. But the risk vs reward ratio is good, as you can set your stop for a 3% max loss (below 596) and your profit target to 678 (11% profit).
Swing trade for me.
Trade safe!
BTC-DAILY-WARNING DARK CLOUD COVER !Looking briefly at the ongoing weekly time frame picture we can see a TRIANGLE PATTERN IN PROGRESS and a recent price action attempting to downside breakout the WEEKLY CLOUDS SUPPORT LEVEL (37'516) intraweek low being @ 37'169.
RSI is below 50,@ 41.76
LAGGING LINE is roughly in the middle of the CLOUDS
UPCOMING WEEKLY CLOSING LEVEL WILL BE VERY IMPORTANT AGAIN TO LOOK AT AND WILL VALIDATE OR INVALIDATE ONCE AGAIN THE THIRD ATTEMPTING IN A ROW TO BREAKOUT THE BOTTOM OF THE WEEKLY CLOUDS SUPPORT
DAILY (D1)
Yesterday's price action triggered a DARK CLOUD COVER (BEARISH SIGNAL) with a closing level (39'444), below :
1) the clouds
2) the Tenkan-Sen
3) The Kijun-Sen
AND LAST BUT NOT LEAST BELOW "MY BAROMETER", THE MID BOLLINGER BAND (39'658)
The intraday low so far @ 38'244 also coincides with the ongoing uptrend support line and may be seen as a short term minor support
RSI @ 45.34
LAGGING LINE , below the clouds, the Tenkan-Sen, the Mid Bollinger Band and the Kijun-Sen
Overall, following the failure before yesterday to recover and hold sustainably above 42'524 ( have a look at my yesterday's analysis) and the yesterday's bearish price action, the GLOBAL DAILY PICTURE REMAINS HEAVY SUPPORTED BY THE ONGOING PERSISTING DOWNWARD PRESSURE ON THE WEEKLY TIME FRAME...
4 HOURS (H4)
The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement extension @ 38'329 has been filled.
Currently, below the clouds, Tenkan-Sen, Kijun-Sen and Mid Bollinger Band.
RSI @ 39.89
LAGGING LINE below all the important indicators !
No signal of short term reversal yet, in this H4 time frame
1 HOUR (H1)
Potential short term potential recovery (RSI bullish divergence) with an upside move, f or the time being pretty limited towards 39'000-39'500 , the latter level being the KIJUN-SEN and also the bottom of the H4 clouds resistance area.
CONCLUSION :
STRATEGIC PICTURE REMAINS GLOBALLY BEARISH and for the time being any recovery should be seen as a CORRECTIVE MOVE ONLY in a BROAD BEAR TREND and therefore, TACTICAL EXPOSURE (countrertrend ! ) should be managed accordingly in adopting a disciplined RISK REWARD APPROACH in having always in mind : IN WHICH TIME FRAME AM I TRADING, very short term, short term, medium or long term !
This methodology will allow you to put in place a trading plan which will be in perfect adequation with your objectives in terms of time horizon and targets.
On the upside I reiterate what I told yesterday, in that only a sustainable move above 42'524 on a daily closing level would force to a view reassessment of my strategic bearish scenario calling for lower levels, with, of course, due to this high volatility current environment, plenty of TACTICAL TRADING OPPORTUNITY which should, as previously mentioned, managed accordingly in placing trailing stop losses to protect your potential profits.
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Have a nice trading day and may your long goes up and your short goes down.
All the best and take care.
IRONMAN8848 & Jean-Pierre Burki