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Riskreward

Risk management lessonI mentioned it on another day already, but this topic is very important so I decided to share it again to reach as much as possible. Hope it will help some! The last weeks it happend again, I saw some traders with less knowledge (young and old) who crashed their accounts very hard. They lost a lot of money and for some it was very dreadful! It is hard to watch this people how they burn money and bring even his own family in financial danger. That´s why I decided to share one important chapter from my book here to you. May be some will find very helpful, or some will remember this rules again. I will keep it a bit shorter here as in my book, but the main points are still mentioned! I can´t say it often enough, keep the important rules in trading. Trading is not the way to get rich quick, it is a serious and hard business! It take a lot of time to learn, it requires a lot of patience and it will happen a lot of failures. This failures are even more important than your success! Success will not open up how it will not work, failures will. Let´s talk about risk management! For each investment you have to consider you take for each trade the risk to lose money, that´s why it is mandatory to handle each investment with a good risk/reward distribution. You have to keep in mind, the determined risk/reward is only theoretically and can result complete different. But with knowledge you can dedicate a good entry for your trades to keep your risk as low as possible. Determine important support and resistance levels and think about all situations what could happen and what will you do if you are going into the red or into the green? Which levels are the best entry and exit? This all will help you to determine your riks/reward ratio. What is the Risk/Reward Ratio? Successful day traders are generally aware of both, the potential risk and potential reward before entering a trade. The goal of a day trader is to place trades where the potential reward outweighs the potential risk. These trades would be considered to have a good risk/reward ratio. A risk/reward ratio is simply the amount of money you plan to risk, compared to the amount of money you believe you can gain. For example, if you think a potential trade may result in either a $400 profit or $100 loss, the trade would have a risk/reward ratio of 1:4, making it a favorable setup. Contrarily, if you risk $100 to make $100, the trade has a risk/reward ratio of 1:1, giving you the same type of unfavorable odds that you can find in a casino. Which ratio should you desire? Like described above, finding trades with high risk/reward ratios (1:2 or higher), will help you maintain higher average profits and lower average losses, making your trading strategy more sustainable. The common suggestion between traders is a distribution of minimum 1:2 ratio. In reality there are often even better ratios available, if you do your technical chart analysis. But what should you do if you have to cut losses? We have to place our stop loss right below our support or other important levels we determined before. The purpose is to cut losses before they grow too large. Stopping out of a losing trade can be one of the hardest things for traders to do consistently. However, failing to take stops can result in margin calls, unnecessarily large losses, and ultimately account blowouts. How big should I enter a position? To lower your risk I recommend to think about your size to enter a position. Overall you shouldn´t risk money you need, only deposit money in your broker you can afford. Entering small can be the smartest way to safe your account. I suggest that because of four reasons, the first reason is, you don´t risk to much of your funds and your stop loss should be tight anyway. The second reason is, you can average down if the price is going in the other direction, but consider this option only if you are sure what you are doing. The third reason is, you can buy the dips/pullbacks if the trend is strong and still heading in your desired direction. In addition, the fourth reason is, your emotional control is stronger if the price movement is heading in the wrong direction. That brings me to another topic. Should you use leverage? Yes I know, big leverage will give you big gains...but as a beginner you will not have the experience to know which trade has a very big potential or not. Even experienced traders use only a small amount to enter a position and not the whole fund. If you use leverage the losses can be much higher and the problem with that is, if you lose money, your leverage will also decrease significantly and the losses are harder to recover after each loss. So the answer of the question, if you should use leverage: For beginners we can easily answer: Take your hands of a big leverage! You can so hardly blow up yourself with that tool, it is ridiculous. Your way back into the profit zone will probably take years. But you have to save yourself and after a period of time, a period of taking profits and cutting losses you will gain knowledge until you feel much more comfortable on the market and you understand how trading really works, then you can consider to use leverage. Conclusion: As I said, I want to share only some big points about this topic, because I think many new investors don´t understand how important that topic is! Safe yourself and have fun in trading and learning! Sincerely, TradeandGrow Trade safe!
NYSE:AMCEducation
by TradeandGrow
2
The bull case for wish I do not want to get into details about fundamentals etc we all saw wish quarterly results but with some much retail in this stock i was expecting a huge decline, the fact that retail investors all over the web are so pissed about wish and start panicking and exiting their positions is a + for me as i hold a long position. Now there are some interesting things i want to point out. There was a Wish pump on reddit based on the story that there is a 50% short float, which led to a 100% increase in price in 2days!!! at the same time Peter Thiel's founders fund start liquidating their positions together with galileo and temasek holdings which all were VC's that were with wish from the beginning. (www.nasdaq.com) Now why did these guys sold? 1. They already had a good return on investment since they were wish first investors 2. With so much publicity on wish stock and the pump to $15 they had they chance to sell so many shares instantly (insane demand from retail) 3. ***I am not sure about this one but a general rule of thumb on VC's is that they sell roughly 75% of their shares when a company does IPO. (makes sense because they need liquidity to look for other Startups) Now let's look at wish itself and where it could go from here. 1. We have rsi divergence on daily chart 2. Macd is higher than the previous drop 3. DMI is also in divergence 4. The company is worth right now $3.9b with $1.5b cash and $2.5-$3b in sales 5.They are losing users which is a very bad sign long term but even if they decide to close the business they could easily sell it for 2-3x sales meaning a market cap close to $8-10b 6. If they were to go bankrupt as many people say why did they hire new C level people , why did they spend so much money on logisticis and why did they get a banking license in Europe ? 7. I hear a lot the phrase "wish sells crap" well what most people that play the markets do not understand that wish customers are the majority of the population out there, what they do not understand is the fact that people are looking to buy cheap things from china because they do not have money to afford buying from amazon,etsy,shop etc... There are no wish buyers that trade stocks, this is the one thing you all have to understand! Wish buyers are people who used to buy on traditional brick & mortar, on illegal sales on the streets , on chinese stores etc.. These people have started to explore the web with Covid and still do not have much presence online as customers of amazon and others. 8. Wish #1 competitive advantage is that even people who never bought from it have heard about it. If they manage to improve delivery times and merchants quality they are about to address the largest % of the population out there. 9. Even if they do not manage to do that , even if they drop to $2b in sales , even if they are about to get out of business i cannot imagine that there is no one big player out there that is willing to buy them for a mediocre multiple of sales. 10. IF they execute right i believe this is easily a $100b+ company in the next 3-5years stop whining and either sell and admit you were wrong or hold tight and wait.
WLong
by Philoslother
4
Today I want to share some very important points in trading!The last weeks it happend again, I saw some traders with less knowledge (young and old) who crashed their accounts very hard. They lost a lot of money and for some it was very dreadful! It is hard to watch this people how they burn money and bring even his own family in financial danger. That´s why I decided to share one important chapter from my book here to you. May be some will find very helpful, or some will remember this rules again. I will keep it a bit shorter here as in my book, but the main points are still mentioned! I can´t say it often enough, keep the important rules in trading. Trading is not the way to get rich quick, it is a serious and hard business! It take a lot of time to learn, it requires a lot of patience and it will happen a lot of failures. This failures are even more important than your success! Success will not open up how it will not work, failures will. Let´s talk about risk management! For each investment you have to consider you take for each trade the risk to lose money, that´s why it is mandatory to handle each investment with a good risk/reward distribution. You have to keep in mind, the determined risk/reward is only theoretically and can result complete different. But with knowledge you can dedicate a good entry for your trades to keep your risk as low as possible. Determine important support and resistance levels and think about all situations what could happen and what will you do if you are going into the red or into the green? Which levels are the best entry and exit? This all will help you to determine your riks/reward ratio. What is the Risk/Reward Ratio? Successful day traders are generally aware of both, the potential risk and potential reward before entering a trade. The goal of a day trader is to place trades where the potential reward outweighs the potential risk. These trades would be considered to have a good risk/reward ratio. A risk/reward ratio is simply the amount of money you plan to risk, compared to the amount of money you believe you can gain. For example, if you think a potential trade may result in either a $400 profit or $100 loss, the trade would have a risk/reward ratio of 1:4, making it a favorable setup. Contrarily, if you risk $100 to make $100, the trade has a risk/reward ratio of 1:1, giving you the same type of unfavorable odds that you can find in a casino. Which ratio should you desire? Like described above, finding trades with high risk/reward ratios (1:2 or higher), will help you maintain higher average profits and lower average losses, making your trading strategy more sustainable. The common suggestion between traders is a distribution of minimum 1:2 ratio. In reality there are often even better ratios available, if you do your technical chart analysis. But what should you do if you have to cut losses? We have to place our stop loss right below our support or other important levels we determined before. The purpose is to cut losses before they grow too large. Stopping out of a losing trade can be one of the hardest things for traders to do consistently. However, failing to take stops can result in margin calls, unnecessarily large losses, and ultimately account blowouts. How big should I enter a position? To lower your risk I recommend to think about your size to enter a position. Overall you shouldn´t risk money you need, only deposit money in your broker you can afford. Entering small can be the smartest way to safe your account. I suggest that because of four reasons, the first reason is, you don´t risk to much of your funds and your stop loss should be tight anyway. The second reason is, you can average down if the price is going in the other direction, but consider this option only if you are sure what you are doing. The third reason is, you can buy the dips/pullbacks if the trend is strong and still heading in your desired direction. In addition, the fourth reason is, your emotional control is stronger if the price movement is heading in the wrong direction. That brings me to another topic. Should you use leverage? Yes I know, big leverage will give you big gains...but as a beginner you will not have the experience to know which trade has a very big potential or not. Even experienced traders use only a small amount to enter a position and not the whole fund. If you use leverage the losses can be much higher and the problem with that is, if you lose money, your leverage will also decrease significantly and the losses are harder to recover after each loss. So the answer of the question, if you should use leverage is: For beginners we can easily answer: Take your hands of a big leverage! You can so hardly blow up yourself with that tool, it is ridiculous. Your way back into the profit zone will probably take years. But you have to save yourself and after a period of time, a period of taking profits and cutting losses you will gain knowledge until you feel much more comfortable on the market and you understand how trading really works, then you can consider to use leverage. Conclusion: As I said, I want to share only some big points about this topic, because I think many new investors don´t understand how important that topic is! Safe yourself and have fun in trading and learning! Sincerely, TradeandGrow Trade safe!
NYSE:NIO
by TradeandGrow
8
AMD: Pullback + Low Volume = Dow Theory 5th Tenet.Hello traders and investors! Yes, AMD finally hit the 21 ema in the daily chart, which is something we were already expecting since our last study, but is it a good time to buy? We’ll see. This analysis is another real-life example of how to apply Dow Theory in our chart reading. Last week I said to you and I’ll just quote myself: “I would prefer to see it at the 21 ema , and there’s still a good chance that we’ll see this happening.” This analysis is public, and the link to it is below this post. But there’s something else, as it is not only the 21 ema which is holding the price, but the 50% Fibonacci’s Retracement too. Therefore, we are sitting at a very strong dual-support level, and now it is the best place for a bullish reversal pattern. The fact that AMD dropped with low volume confirms that the recent drop was just a correction. According to the 5th tenet of Dow Theory , the volume must increase when the movement favors the primary trend, and decreases when the price goes against it. Clearly, the primary trend on AMD is bullish, and drops are just corrections. Not only the odds favor the bulls, but the Risk/Reward ratio too. The price was above the $ 120 recently, and now it is a terrible time to sell. If I were shorting it, I would probably be buying it back right now at the dual-support level, as the chances of a reversal are high, and there’s not much more downside potential. In the 1h chart, we don’t have a clear bullish structure, but if AMD defeats the $ 106.17 it’ll bring something new , and might be the beginning of a bullish reversal. Personally, I’m not convinced that AMD will fly again so soon, and I would rather prefer to see more sideways movement for a while. However, I agree that now it is the best place for AMD to find its bottom and start doing bullish patterns again. If you liked this analysis, remember to follow me to keep in touch with my daily updates. Thank you very much!
NASDAQ:AMD
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
2
BTCUSDT good sell opportunity!Based on the chart price have dropped two times and a support area have broken. This can be a good sign of increasing supply at this area and the weakness on buyers is observable at this area. Based on the change of polarity of support and resistance levels, the previous support now acts as a resistance area and a rejection is about to happeining. So based on this scenario I prefer to be seller at this area and it can provide a good risk reward for bearish traders at this zone. Note: First I have to say I'm not a Crypto trader (I work as a Forex trader) but just saw this opportunity and want it to share with other traders at this field. Please take all risk management rules into consideration before opening any position on the market! Good luck!
Short
by Brian_Philips
2
PLTR: Complete Multiple Time Frame Analysis after Earnings!Hello traders and investors! Today PLTR reported its earnings, and the volatility increased, as expected. There are some key points we can use, and we’ll talk about them in this complete Multi Time Frame Analysis (MTFA) . First, now it is too late to buy. The time to buy was during the Ignition Bar evidenced in the 1h chart, which was a classic bullish candlestick pattern, just above the support at the purple trendline. What’s more, PLTR just filled the first Breakaway Gap , which was my first target since the analysis I did on July 20, “PLTR: A very Technical Bullish Thesis”, which is public, and the link to it is below this post. If you buy now, it feels like you’ll buy from someone who bought at the Ignition Bar down there, and will use you to book profits. Always try to buy from who’s panicking, not with the herd. If I were out, I would wait for the Risk/Reward ratio to make sense again, probably after a correction, near a support level. This wouldn’t change the bullish bias seen on PLTR, as I still believe we’ll seek the next gap at $ 26.32. The daily chart reinforces the bullish thesis: The daily chart suggests that we can seek the $ 27.47. We just defeated the 38.2% Fibonacci’s Retracement , which worked as a resistance at least 2 times (Jul 12 and Aug 10). We also defeated the 21 ema, and the situation is clearly bullish. It would be good if it corrects again, but we can’t count on that. It is interesting to notice that PLTR has been doing many good and technical movements. The bottom seen last month was just a pullback to the 61.8% Fibonacci’s Retracement, and it did a perfect Piercing Line candlestick pattern on Jul 19. However, I have one more key point for you, and this time it is in the weekly chart: Although the $ 27.47 is the target in the daily chart, this is a bullish pivot point in the weekly chart . If triggered, PLTR has a good chance of retesting its All-Time High again. To sum up, if you aim for the short-term, you have an opportunity to book profits now, as we just hit the first target in the 1h chart. If you aim for the mid-term, the $ 27.47 is the target for you. In a longer-term perspective, if PLTR triggers the pivot point in the weekly chart, the $ 45 is where you should aim. In addition, if you still don’t follow me, I invite you to do so ! I write daily analysis here on Tradingview, and I’m sure you’ll find something interesting around. Take care, my friends!
P
by Nathan_The_Finance_Hydra
6
GBPUSD in bulls control!Based on the chart, price reached a major support area and a strong rejection have happened recently. This happening can show the strength of buyers at this area and on the other side a weakness on sellers because their attempt to pull down the market was failed by a strong Engulfing Candlestick. So based on this scenario I opened a buy position with a good risk reward ratio to me (about 1:3) Note: As always please take risk management rules into consideration before opening any position on the market. Good Luck!
Long
by Brian_Philips
2
AUDUSD long valid 👍📈ntry details are shown on the chart. Working the M30 time frame on this strategy. We're only looking for TP3. Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency. ------------------------------------------ I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily. Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way. ------------------------------------------ Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏 Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌 No one likes missing out, do they? Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this. The stats for this pair are shown below too. Thank you. Darren.
Long
by pow_removetheguesswork
Can we create the strategy that can wining the market??Hi guys, im guaddi min homie. I will give you two options: 1. Have stable profits in the market on a regular basis 2. Get rich quick in a short time but potentially lose all your profits quickly You will definitely choose the first option,right?. You've heard a lot of people make hundreds of thousands of dollars a day, but that's just the surface,maybe make a profit today, but the next day they will lose more than your profit. In fact, anyone can make money from trading but there are quite a few people who make a steady profit. When people enter their trades on impulse, they can make a profit for a while but can't make a profit in the long run.If you want to be a professional in trading, you must create your own trading strategy. Are professional traders good predictors of the future??? That's definitely not the case. We think we have to learn a lot of this, a lot of that, this indicator, this candlestick pattern To be able to accurately predict the next direction of the market. And of course that's not the case. The key of succes trading is the trading strategy have a good RR ratio and reasonable winrate with that RR. Or perhaps, in some cases your win rate can be very high along with the profit is also very large. To create a stable trading strategy according to the price action method or indicator, the first job is to identify the trend. You can use moving averages or draw trendlines. You can refer to strategies on youtube, forums or create your own strategies with indicators, or simply just resistance, support,...Remember no one strategy can has a 100% win rate,like I said, the win rate is just enough and the RR rate is good. I have a position with 100 USD account, if I win I get 1.5 USD if I lose I lose 1 USD but the win rate of this order is 50%,For every 100 orders like that, my average profit is 25 USD. However in trading, we can raise 50% win higher or 1.5 USD profit to 2 USD profit. You can set a fixed stop loss for example 2USD ,5USD and set the take profit 1.5 times the stop loss.Your risk should only be from 2-4% of your account. Doing so, in the short term you may lose, but in the long term, you will definitely make a profit. I don't rate strategies with high win rate but low return/profit .I just need a strategy that has a 50% win rate with a RR ratio of 1/2 or 1/1.5 Your trading strategy may have a losing streak of up to 5 even 7, but your win rate is 50% with RR ratio 1/2.So in the long term you will never lose.Such losing streaks are extremely normal and you don't need to worry because you still have a long term advantage. I have met people who every time they lose 2-3 in a row the emotional side kicks in and they start trying to develop a better strategy, despite having thoroughly tested their strategy and knowing that It is very beneficial.Because they don't stick to that really good strategy. If you have created a really good strategy for yourself then congratulations, you have a formula for winning the market, all you need to do is be patient and patient,the ratio is quite high in the case that you should not break the trading principle(In cases, you will have to make decisions and those will help you to grow up), and remember just follow the trend. See you in my other posts, thanks.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by UnknownUnicorn24937010
GBPNZD good opportunity for sellers!Based on the chart, price reached a major resistance area and a rejection happened on Friday. This rejection can show us the weakness on buyers and on the other side It can be a good sign of entering new sellers at this area which can weight the sellers. So based on these scenarios it can be a good opportunity for selling at this area which can provide a good risk reward ratio. Note: As always please take risk management rules into consideration before opening any position on the market. Good Luck!
Short
by Brian_Philips
📚EDUCATION: THE BASICS OF TRADING EXPLAINED📚 Hello, Traders! The basics of what it takes to be a successful trader are simple and obvious Yet daily, I see traders who fail at one or multiple KEY points that sink their performance and they keep losing accounts even though these people do have the understanding of the market that would have been sufficient enough for them to be profitable if they followed the basic rules. Trading is as much about pattern recognition and capacity for abstract thinking as it is about the personality type, self-discipline, and specific mindset. The lucky few are born fit for trading, but others might train themselves. Below, is the breakdown of the basics behind the day trading! ✅TRADING IS A BUSINESS NOT GAMBLING 99% of the new traders have unrealistic expectations of the kind of returns trading might deliver. To make matters worse, they do not realize that it will take years of trial and error before they can make trading Their only source of income. These delusions make the newbies treat trading like gambling. To AVOID this, please follow these 4 easy steps: 🔥SET AND KEEP YOUR RISK-REWARD. I recommend risking no more than 1% of the deposit per each trade, which also implies using a variable lot size for every trade, so that no matter the SL size in pips, or the pair you are trading, the dollar value of the RIKS remains the same with each trade. That way, you are in full control of the risks you are taking. 🔥DO NOT GO ALL IN. Sounds obvious, but I’ve seen it so many times. New traders, who lost 70% of the account, GO ALL IN on one trade that they think might help them recover the balance. That is NEITHER a way to trade, nor a way to learn. Slowly losing your account while learning how to trade, is simply a fee that you are paying the market for your education. Accept it or fail. 🔥PROTECT CAPITAL=USE SL I can’t stress this enough and I BEG YOU to use SL. Do NOT enter the trade thinking that if the SL level that you had in mind is hit you will close manually. You will NOT close the position, and the longer you hold it the more is the temptation to wait a bit more because it seems that the reversal is coming soon. 🔥CUT LOSSES Set a daily loss limit. For example, you can Ban yourself from trading for the rest of the day if you lost more than 3 trades in a row. You will enter what is called a tilt most likely, and you will NOT be productive that day. The same goes for a week. Lost more than 10% of the account in a week? Next week NO TRADING for you. Watch the market passively, or trade on the demo! By the way, That can be helpful even for professional traders too! ✅KEEPING A COOL HEAD IS KEY The ideal trader is the one who can set all emotions aside as a robot would, while simultaneously keeping the versatility of the human mind and the intuition, that the machines lack(yet). It is of utmost importance for the new traders to understand that being right about the direction but entering too early or too late is the same as being WRONG because the result will be a LOSS. Here is how to keep cool: 🔥CONTROL YOUR EMOTIONS. Both euphoria and a panic attack are your enemies so the more detached you are, the better. Emotions are for the casino, and we are doing business here, remember? 🔥AVOID FOMO( FEAR OF MISSING OUT) That one applies mostly to the trades that you are not so sure about, but still want to take them, in fear of not making money. And the early entries are determined by FOMO too( what if the price does not reach my limit order, and the trade plays out well, but without ME?) FOMO is Incredibly counterproductive, don't let it control you! 🔥DON’T FOLLOW OTHERS Avoid herd mentality! 99% of traders lose money, so doing what everyone does inevitably lands you in the 99% category. 🔥BUILD A WATCH LIST A LOT of the beginners try to PREDICT behavior of the particular instrument that they decided to trade for some reason, instead of going through the pairs looking for a ready setup that you KNOW works. The former approach leads to finding patterns, key levels, and setups that just aren’t there. Naturally, the result of trading these is an inevitable LOSS.You should Build a watchlist big enough for your to have a choice, and go through it at regular intervals, looking for opportunities but NOT INVENTING them. ✅ CONSISTENCY OVER BOOM-BUST STYLE Consistent trading is the only way to make trading a reliable source of income. Slow but steady gains always beat leap-like boom-bust performance. The psychological pressure of the latter will most likely break you sooner or later, and who needs gray hair in their 30es anyway? That is how you achieve consistency: 🔥FIND A STRATEGY Do the research on multiple trading strategies and pick those that you understand and that are compatible with your personality. 🔥USE PAPER TRADING AND BACKTESTING To select which strategy is right for you, use backtesting to see how the strategy performed in the past. And use paper trading to see how the strategy works in real-time.Once you chose the strategy, go back to paper trading and backtesting to polish it. 🔥TRACK YOUR TRADES Keeping track of your trading! Working with that data is an invaluable tule for the trader, that helps identify your strengths and weaknesses, while also helping you notice patterns in your trading that would have been left unrecognized otherwise. 🔥FORMALIZE YOUR RULES Objectivity is KEY for consistent trading because during the rough patches of the market, being sure of your rules helps you stay in the market, waiting for the tailwind, instead of questioning your strategy or your implementation of it. Create a strict ALGORITHM and follow it step by step. In order to do that, you need to define every element of your strategy as precisely as possible. For example, a level for you is a daily horizontal level with at least 3 touchpoints, a breakout is valid only if the 4H candle closed above the level, etc... The less vague the terms, the fewer emotions will be involved in deciding whether to enter the trade or not. ❗️IN CONCLUSION: If you want to become a trader, remember: 1- It will take YEARS to learn how to trade. 2- You will lose a TON of money in the process 3- You will FAIL with 95% probability. 4-Realistic returns from trading are WAY lower than you think 5-BUT when you succeed, you will set yourself free! Please SUPPORT This Idea By A LIKE and COMMENT!
Education
by TopTradingSignals
2