Riskreward
EOS - Bullish only above 12$ - Outperforming BTCEOS - I'm not necessarily convinced by the wave counts here but what I do like is the fact that it's outperforming BTC.
Looking at Fib levels, I think if price can go and remain above ~13$ it could easily reach 23$ at which point I would also look for the 1.272 Fib level at ~50$ .
That's simply because when price tends to break above the 78.6% Fib retracement level, it has a tendency to at least touch the 127.2% level.
The Golden Rule of TradingOne of the fundamentals that every trader must know is how to evaluate the effectiveness of his trading methodology. In this article, we will explore core trading fundamentals that you must follow in order to survive and thrive in this business.
1. Never open a position without knowing the initial risk that you are willing to take. The initial risk is the point at which you will get out of the position to preserve your capital.
Very few people have the psychological makeup to keep a mental stop loss and respect it 100%, that’s why for the rest of us, there is the stop-loss that will automatically close our trade for us at a certain level.
2. Define your profit and loss in your trades as multiples of your initial risk.
These are the R multiples. If your risk is $1000 and you make $3000, you have a 3R win. If your risk is $1000 and you lose $1200, then you have a 1.2R loss. You must start to think in terms of risk/reward.
3. Limit your losses to 1R or less. If you don’t respect the stop loss that you have set and let a losing trade run then you are in real trouble.
This mechanism produces 4R losses or larger and can turn your great system into a losing system very easily.
4. Make sure that your profits, on average, are larger than 1R. Let’s say you have one 5R profit and four 1R losses.
If you add those up you have 5R in profit and 4R in losses, a net gain of 1R. Even though you lost money 80% of your trades, you still made money overall because your average gain was big. This is the power of having an average gain larger than 1R.
What is typically known as the golden rule of trading is a summary of these 4 rules:
“Cut your losses short and let your profits run.”
Here we are talking about doing your best to make sure your losses are 1R or less and that your profits are much bigger than 1R. In 2002, the Nobel prize for Economics was awarded to Daniel Kahneman, a psychologist and economist Amos Tversky for their development of “prospect theory”. This theory when applied to trading/investing showed that people have a natural bias to cut profit short and let their losses run, exactly opposite to the golden rule.
5. Understand your trading system in terms of mean (the average R) and the standard deviation (variability in the results) of your R multiples.
Your system, when you trade it, will generate a number of trades. The result of those trades can be expressed as a multiple of your initial risk or a set of R-multiples. You should know the properties of that distribution for any system that you plan to trade. And the majority of the people who trade the markets never know this. If you spend some time and calculate the mean and the standard deviation of your R multiples, you’ll know a lot about your system and what can you expect from it in the long run.
Trade with care.
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We have some good patterns here on Tesla!Tesla is at a nice support area right now, and the risk-reward ratio is pretty good at this level.
We see a double-bottom pattern in the 30 min, and a very strong RSI divergence. The 592 is the trigger for a good reversal ahead.
In the 4h chart Tesla is very oversold, and if the 30 min triggers the reversal, Tesla has the 626 as its first target.Let's remember that it has an open gap at 733. All these signs make a good trade thesis for Tesla, let's watch these points closely!
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See you soon,
Melissa.
Silver to outperform Bitcoin in the near termPrecious metals looks ripe for a move up, and looking relative to Bitcoin, it seems prudent to take some money off the table and reallocate to hard assets. Silver and gold have been stores of value for thousand of years and proven to protect against inflation.
Multiple good charts and fundamental stories out there as to why silver and gold are ripe for a move up. If you want crypto like moves go for junior miners.
Gold Revisits Yesterday's Lows (In Profit)Good day guys! I am still holding my long term sell position with gold. God has revisted yesterday low's and gone even further. This could be the continuation I have been posting about, since my entry last Friday. I am still patient and I did take profit a couple intraday positions yesterday. My intraday positions SL's were triggered at 1825. I do believe that the price could be going much lower, based on the Fed NOT wanting gold to go higher for it represents the lost of purchasing power of the US dollar. People can stomach Bitcoin going higher, because it is a risky asset. However, they cannot stomach gold going higher for the reality is much bitter than sweet. The irony is that Bitcoin reflects the same thing. People just do not know it yet. In conclusion, I will continue to update you all on this trade. If you made money on this setup or any setups I have provided, be sure to like, leave a comment and share it with others. It lets me know that I am doing a good job. Well we do appreciate you for checking out our post and remember, we will see you on the other side.
Rodrick (CEO)
Third Eye Traders
EMAMI LTD. - Looking BullishAs per my analysis, EMAMI LTD. is trading in a higher high - higher low formation on a weekly timeframe which confirms bullishness in the stock.
It is currently trading near the support trendline which can be a low-risk entry.
It has the potential of reaching the target of 550+ within the next 1-2 months with a stop below 460 levels.
DOGECOIN - where is the limit?Elon Musk will save your funds? I don't think so!
Analysis:
Doge is one of the most trending coin on the market and it has some more potential to grow since the "DOGEFAM" community is in an exponential growing tendency. The main goal of the DOGE community is to reach the 1$/coin level. If you are planning to invest into DOGE, or you are already own a "bag" of DOGE you need to take into consideration that the market will became choppy once the large speculators will exit the market. It will come a day when buying the dip will fail, and there will be a sudden crash on the market. I
also think that the market will turn back before reaching the 1$ level, somewhere around 0.95$, so I advise you to get out from the market sooner than later in order to keep your funds/profits safe. If you are planning to go long on DOGE there is an opportunity to make a low risk reward trade, buying around the 0.40$ level with a stop loss of 0.35$ + exit plan around 0.95$. ( potential 130% profit ).
Do not forget the fact that this kind of an exponential growth needs a stable supply-demand curve to be sustained on the long run. Once the demand cannot overperfom the supply, the whole smoken mirror mirror speculative game will collapse. If everyone wants to exit at 1$, you need to exit around 0.90$ to find somebody who believes that the price will go above 1$...
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ZM - Bullish only if can go above 340ZM - This wave 4 correction I talked about a few months ago turned into a combination it seems and reached equality of wave W vs Y.
Price also bounced off the anchored VWAP from the wave 2 low.
But I don't recommend blindly buying right now, unless using tight stops of course, but rather wait for a confirmation that price really wants to turn first.
DAX - Going higher once more before stalling end May and June ?Price has been pretty easy to ready up to now as you can see an impulsive move up where wave (iv) is a clean Zigzag correction with a Triangle for orange wave b.
This indicates that this move down is counter and not establishing a new down trend.
Therefore we can expect price to go higher once more to finish blue wave (v).
As you can see there's a nice Fib cluster around the 15700/15900 zone, so be aware of that as it could act as resistance and might be the turning zone.
This setup is of course invalidated if price drops below 14845.
-> Buying here with a stop at invalidation gives a Reward/Risk of a bit less than 2:1 so, try and find a better place for your stop if you want to improve your R/R ratio. (Hint look at smaller time frames)
YEARN FINANCE - YFIUSD - Next big 1000% rally ?!YEARN FINANCE - YFIUSD
We have a nice big base here and the wave count suggests a potential Leading Diagonal with a very shallow wave 2 which indicates lots of underlying strength here.
Otherwise, we might be in a Flat correction meaning we'll see price go below 37600-ish soon.
Personally I favor the bullish view because of how RSI has been always staying above 40 and sometimes even went overbought since that low in Novembre.
Tweezers Bottom on UBER?Hello Tradingview community! UBER is extremely oversold, and we have a
tweezers bottom above the support at 50.84. Also a good risk-reward trade!
Good luck!
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See you soon,
Melissa.
Will MSFT fill its gap? Good risk-reward ratio here!Hello Tradingview community! We have a RSI/price divergence on MSFT. If it breaks the 249.5 the gap at 261 is the next
stop. The risk-reward ratio is very good!
It is sitting right above the support area in the 1D chart too. Good luck!
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Melissa.
Trading idea on AMZN: Double bottom + RSI study.Hello Tradingview community! We have a double bottom confirmed by the
RSI/price divergence. The risk-reward is very good now!
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Melissa
Another good RSI divergence on NFLX!Hello traders! NFLX just hit its support around the 497! The stock is giving some signs of life, and we have a quite nice divergence on the RSI.
The stock will potentially reverse and seek the gap at 549, and we have a good risk-reward ratio.
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Melissa.
Is PLTR oversold? Maybe!Hi Tradingview community! PLTR is potentially oversold for two reasons: 1) The RSI is in very low levels; 2) PLTR hit the 20.87 today again, the same support zone it hit back on Mar 30 (red circles).
Now PLTR seems to be at a support area, and now is the perfect moment for a reversal to the $ 24. Good risk-reward.
If you liked this trading idea, remember to click on the “Follow” button to get more trading ideas like this, and if you agree with me, click on the “Agree” button 😉.
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Melissa.
Gold! It's break out...!GOLD - XAUUSD - Bulls are gaining control....!
A short explanation for gold today...
Pattern: Broken out of wedge, the pull back will be key to show if the trade is fully confirmed - how do you know the trade is confirmed? It really depends on your own trade plan!
Enjoy!
Trade Journal
3x ETF SOXL vs other 1x semi ETFs over various time horizonsI compare SOXL returns with SOXX, SMH, and PSI, all ETFs in the semiconductor space.
CONCLUSIONS AND FINDINGS:
YTD 2021 SOXL has not provided any net benefit over it's peers. And if you use stop loss orders you've probably lost money on it due to its extreme volatility. Smaller quant ETF fund PSI is the better performer on most/all time horizons YTD or more recent, especially from a risk/reward perspective. Only when comparing SOXL against the others on a time horizon of 1 yr or longer does SOXL outperform it's peers.
Importantly however, charts mimic real life only to the extent we make the purchase the entire position at once and don't touch it over the entire time frame. But this is not what most traders do. Thus, I recommend holding SOXL only if you're going to buy it and not set any stop loss orders, touch it, trade it, or even look at it for a year or more. But you probably can't handle that. I can't either. Thus the better, more realistic strategy for most traders is to get PSI or one of the other primary ETFs covering this space.