Riskreward
GBPUSD Long Set-up Signals Long Signal Trade
A.1 Set-up On the 4h chart
Entry Price: 1.26350
Stop Loss: 1.25850
Take Profit: 1.27200
Note: Alerts are for 2 long trades off previous zone.
Currently:
Trade 1: locked in with 0.14% Take Profit In Place
Trade 2: Open trade with 0.5% risk floating + waiting for a break of the alert to move to reduce risk.
RESULT ONE-WEEK GETTING REWARD-1In this post, you will see a week of receiving one-to-one rewards for all positions , which ended with a win-rate of 80%, and this is a strong strategy to get one reward, and in the second week, we will go to R/R-1.5 rewards and that too. We test with our strategy.
Thank you for your support and support🙏✨❤️
Avoid Forex Mayhem with Good Risk ManagemenTrading forex? Stop gambling with your capital! This video exposes the massive mistake new traders make - using inconsistent lot sizes. It's a recipe for disaster, blowing accounts and crushing dreams.
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Why fluctuating lot sizes blindfold you to risk and leave you exposed
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Say goodbye to trading nightmares and hello to controlled growth! Watch this video now and take control of your forex future.
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XAUUSD TO 2000$ 🤔 ?Gold price has faced a sharp sell-off after failing to recapture the weekly high of $2,062. The precious metal has dropped to near $2,030 and is expected to remain on tenterhooks before getting fresh cues about the timing of rate cuts from the Fed. The yellow metal has surrendered entire gains generated on Monday and has corrected below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around $2,039.
More downside could appear in the Gold price if it fails to defend the January 3 low of $2,030, which will expose it towards the psychological support of $2,000.
🧿How to be a Trader, not a Gambler⛔Hi.
✅Using technical analysis and fundamental analysis at the same time:
By combining technical and fundamental analysis, you pay attention not only to the patterns and behavior of price action traders in the past, but also to the fundamental and economic factors that act as the driving engine of market movements (macroeconomics). Together, these two approaches provide greater ability to understand market fluctuations and also create a harmonious relationship between charts and economic factors active in the market, allowing you to determine more effective entry and exit points and make your decisions using Take a more comprehensive and principled view.
✅Mastery of a strategy
A strategy for a trader is like a guide to a lost traveler. A trading style helps you stay on track and achieve your long-term goals.
With the strategy in sensitive market conditions, you will not get confused and incur irreparable losses. You also analyze your transactions more accurately.
There are different strategies in forex, but it is better to have a strategy that you completely trust and that is very efficient and profitable.
✅Accuracy of transactions with risk to reward greater than 1 :
A gambler doesn't care when it's the right time to enter a trade. Sometimes the markets do not have the conditions to enter into the transaction and they do not give you a good reward for the risk. Once you have analyzed the market as a professional trader and your entry triggers are activated, you actually have to wait until you can implement the rules of capital management.
In these cases, you should watch until the market gives you a risk to reward of 1 to 2 or 3 and the entry is allowed.
✅Capital management
As a trader, it is necessary for you to have risk management in trading to preserve your capital. Not using capital management may empty your entire financial account. Gamblers do not care about capital management and they may invest their entire assets in one trade. Therefore, it is better to determine the amount of your loss in each trade and exit when the trade does not go according to your expectations. Of course, loss is an inseparable part of the trading system; If the loss is small, a lesson will be learned from it and it will be helpful in the future.
🔔In the end, regardless of the above, like a gambler, your percentage of success versus loss is 50-50 in each trade, but if you follow the above, you can increase your win-to-loss percentage.
__ _______ _____ _________ _______ ______ ______ ______ ______ _____ _________ ________
❤️If this text was useful for you, please like it and share it with your friends
EURUSD-Daily Chart Trade Ideas and Analysis Jan 8th-12th 2024 Weekly Chart Analysis
Current Possible Trade:
Long: If Price stay around the doji candle and makes more market structure than I would take for confirmation entry long before I enter the trade.
A. This would increase the probability of the trade
Short Trades :
I would wait for price to move down to the c.1 demand zone and look to entry on the lower timeframes
Daily Chart Analysis:
1. Price is currently in between the weekly high strong (protected) swing range. Near the equilibrium of the Daily swing range.
2. During NFP on Friday Jan 5 price swept the strong lows and is currently giving us a long legged doji candle.
A. From my backtest experience price will likely range a bit after this candle formation.
EURUSD-Jan 8th-12th 2024 Weekly Trade Setup-SHORTJan 8th-12th 2024 Weekly Trade Setup-SHORT
See Purple short trade
1. Short Trade with a confirmation entry: A- Probability due to being pro swing and pro internal + It's at the extreme of the strong internal structure + the w d.1 zone (see *) is the supply that caused the bearish swing trend change = possible large investors have an interest to hold this level
or this might just induce traders and price will push higher
2. This would be an investor trade short.
Very Long Term
Entry Price: 1.11453
Stop Loss: 1.15144
Take Profit: 1.04069 or trail the trends and scale in when all risk is off the table
Risk to reward minimum: 1:2
Please Follow me: I would love to scalp live and tradingview
See Below for Analysis:
Jan 8th-12th 2024 Weekly Chart Analysis
1. Price is in the weekly internal break of structure (See Green 1 for Reference) and ranging between the equilibrium of the weekly Ibos strong (See 2 for Reference) and the weekly Ibos low Weak (See 3 for reference)
2. Price is currently in the weekly A.1 Supply Zone with momentum to the upside. (See 1 for reference)
3. Price has had a change of character to the bullish upside in the weekly I-Bos swing range (Between 2 & 3)
4. As of Jan 06rd 2024 the weekly i-bos (Green 2 for reference) is protected and is the strong structure .
5. As for my risk management framework price is more likely to us this supply zone (W A.1) to generate a move to the downside using the buy-side liquidity to induce market participates.
6. The Framework is to trade from strong protected orderflow (square zone with W on right hand side See black* to the left hand side) for reference)
EURUSD Jan 8th-12th 2024 Weekly Trade Setup-LONGJan 8th-12th 2024 Weekly Trade Setups
See blue long trade
1. Long Play: C- Probability due to being counter swing and counter Internal. The main reason to trade this would be the trade has momentum more bullish than bearish.
2. This would be an investor trade. Very Long Term
Entry Price: 1.08729
Stop Loss: 1.05789
Take Profit: 1.13105 or trail the trends and scale in when all risk is off the table
Please Follow me: I would love to scalp live on tradingview
Jan 8th-12th 2024 Weekly Chart Analysis
1. Price is in the weekly internal break of structure (See Green 1 for Reference) and ranging between the equilibrium of the weekly Ibos strong (See 2 for Reference) and the weekly Ibos low Weak (See 3 for reference)
2. Price is currently in the weekly A.1 Supply Zone with momentum to the upside. (See 1 for reference)
3. Price has had a change of character to the bullish upside in the weekly I-Bos swing range (Between 2 & 3)
4. As of Jan 06rd 2024 the weekly i-bos (Green 2 for reference) is protected and is the strong structure .
5. As for my risk management framework price is more likely to us this supply zone (W A.1) to generate a move to the downside using the buy-side liquidity to induce market participates.
6. The Framework is to trade from strong protected orderflow (square zone with W on right hand side See black* to the left hand side) for reference)
Weekly Chart Signal Trade idea- Multi-time frame AUDUSD Jan 04th 2024
1. The weekly swing is bearish on the weekly time frame. (See green 1 for strong market structure)
A. I expect price to move through my risk management strategy to move from 1 to the 2 on the weekly timeframe
2. Price is currently in the equilibrium between the weekly high strong (see green 3 & 4 for reference)
Price is more likely to move from strong market structure to weaker structure. This is how I based my phases of the market.
3. Price is currently in C.4 supply zone and is trending bullish for the Change of Trend (CHoCH)
4. Trade Ideas (Investor trade plan)
A. I could short trade with a risk entry at the short trade at Black 5
B. I Could also go to a lower time frame and wait for a confirmation entry for a higher probability trade
Happy New Year 2024| Learn Our Methods | Read Description|Happy New Year Everyone 2024:
Let's first talk about CHFJPY then we will talk about how you can improve and learn some tips.
CHFJPY in last six or seven months price overbought heavily due to JPY poor performance and government's zero intention to interfere in the market. However, many reports suggests that JPY will likely to be rebound in first quarter of 2024 in this case we can see a strong shift in price characteristics. Our first entry indicates, that we should expect price to continue the bearish momentum and drop from current area of the price. However, as we will having NFP in the first week of the month, it is likely to see some unexpected movement in the market. Second entry, is when price fill the gaps in the market and then drop smoothly, we will keep you updated.
We want all of you to succeed in the forex or commodities trading.
Here how you can improve:
Firstly find one or two pairs that suits you: meaning if you focus on every single instruments available to trade in the market, you will never succeed instead focus on one or two pairs and master them, know how and when these pairs move, what factors influence them in the market and trade swing highs and lows.
Secondly, use longer time frames to have a better vision, have a longer vision which will help you catch the big moves, yes, it is time consuming but if you are beginner then focus first in this and then along the way you will learn intraday trading.
Lastly, learn more about consolidation, accumulation and distribution: before the big reversal, price first will consolidate then accumulate and distribute, you should be looking to enter in phase of accumulation and take every enter when price consolidate which leads to a breakout.
If you learn above information in details and practice, your chances of becoming a successful trade increase. There is no overnight success, it is all hard work, if you believe in your self and focus on above things you will one day be proud of yourself.
Happy New Year and Trade Safe 2024.
We wish all of you all the best.
Team Setupsfx_
EURUSD ,. Looking Attractive Hello Guys . On EURUSD we Have a Good Day Trading Selling Opportunity, Which the Market Have Been Trending Up and Finally Switch to The Downside Plus The Support of The Higher Time Frame Reacting From a Strong Supply Area On The Higher Time frames and am Expecting a Pullback to One of The Supply Zone and Continue The Sell to The Down side.
Drop your Opinion on The Comments Section ..Thanks
#Tata chem, moving in tight range, R:R in favor, long at 950/968Tata chem is moving in a tight range Since Apr'23 and making higher low's but not higher high. In my opinion going long at 970 with small SL below 940. We can add till 950 also or enter at 947/950 to reduce risk in the trade, on upside targets can be 1) 1021 2) 1039 3) once 1039 is crossed bring SL to cost or 1021 to ensure no loss in the trade. I think spring effect is going to help bull's, there can be a scenario where flushing out of weak hands can happen below 965.
Personal Lookback 💜 November's Profits, Success Rate, RisksGreetings, fellow traders,
As we embark on the second day of December, I'm filled with immense pride to announce that our previous 12 market analytics from November have triumphantly achieved their respective target prices. This remarkable accomplishment spans a diverse spectrum of assets, including precious metals like gold, forex pairs like EUR, and the ever-evolving realm of cryptocurrencies, exemplified by Bitcoin. For your convenience, a comprehensive list of these TradingView analytics will be readily available in the description below.
While we've navigated the market with remarkable precision, avoiding any unfortunate stop loss hits, I wholeheartedly encourage the integration of safety measures into your future trading endeavors. Your well-being and financial security remain paramount, and implementing prudent risk management strategies is an essential cornerstone of success.
As I reflect upon this journey, I extend my deepest gratitude for the unwavering motivation and inspiration you have bestowed upon me. Your unwavering support has been the driving force behind my commitment to providing insightful market analysis and fostering a community of empowered traders.
Together, let us strive to maintain, if not surpass, this exceptional success rate. May our collective passion for market mastery continue to propel us towards new heights of financial prosperity.
I wish you all the very best in your trading endeavors, and may longevity fill your paths.
Happy trading, and long life!
Gold:
Gold Rush with AI: Analyzing a Bullish Trend
Managing Gold Long & SL - A Multi-Indicator Consensus Indicator
Gold's Story of Resilience and Strength
Gold's in the door of Breakout or Fakeout 🧈 EMA Analytics w/ AI
Gold Rush with AI: Is a Bullish Trend broken?
Cross-Checking Gold’s Supertrend Adaptively on MTFA
FOREX:
EUR's Retracement: ECB indicated Yield-Seeking on USD
Factors Contributing to the EUR's Decline Against the USD
An AI Analytics - 💶 EURUSD Trajectory: Bullish Market Dynamics
Video - Powerful EUR Fundamentals - AI suggests Technicals Align
An AI Analytics - 💶 EURUSD Trajectory: Bullish Market Dynamics
Crypto:
Deciphering the Charts: A Closer Look at BTCUSDT's Future
Kind regards,
Ely
Managing Gold Long & SL - A Multi-Indicator Consensus IndicatorDear Valued Investors,
O n the financial markets, we find ourselves immersed in the story of Gold (XAUUSD), a tale of resilience and growth. Since November 13, 2023, Gold has gracefully embraced a bullish trajectory, dancing its way from $1928 to a harmonious $2002. This surge reflects the prevailing positive sentiment within the market.
O ur cherished Multi-Indicator Consensus indicator , a guiding light in the complex world of trading, has been whispering about this bullish dance for the past two weeks. However, as we embark on this journey together, let us tread with both excitement and caution.
W hile the absence of a bearish signal is reassuring, prudence suggests that initiating a new long position at this juncture might be akin to stepping into the dance mid-performance. The prolonged bullish stride, unaccompanied by a recent confirmation signal, hints at the potential for a gentle retracement or a graceful consolidation period.
T o navigate the delicate balance of risk in our existing gold long position, we extend our hand to the wisdom of the trail profit stop-loss order. This order, a silent guardian in the realm of trading, elegantly adjusts the stop-loss level as the market rhythm unfolds. It allows us to savor the sweet taste of profits while gracefully curtailing potential losses.
F or our gold long position, consider setting the trail profit stop-loss order at a Fibonacci retracement level – perhaps the enchanting 0.382 or the harmonious 0.5 retracement level. These levels, like gentle notes in a melodic composition, often serve as supportive zones during the ebb and flow of market pullbacks.
A s we waltz with Gold's positive momentum, let us also be attuned to the nuances of increased risk that accompany holding a long position without a recent bullish signal. The overarching melody is one of positivity, but the absence of a fresh confirmation note calls for a measured and deliberate approach.
I n closing, while the Multi-Indicator Consensus indicator paints a portrait of optimism for Gold, the prolonged bullish journey without a recent signal and the elevated risk call for a symphony of risk management strategies. Consider the trail profit stop-loss order as a gentle partner, guiding you through the dance, protecting profits, and gracefully managing the inherent risks of the gold long position.
Disclaimer:
This heartfelt guidance is not to be construed as investment advice. As you waltz through the markets, remember that the rhythm of each trade is unique. We encourage you to perform your own due diligence or seek the counsel of a financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
With Warm Regards,
Ely
HINDPETRO - Falling wedge pattern - 38% ROIAll details are given on chart. If you like the analyses please do share it with your friends, like and follow me for more such interesting charts.
Disc - Am not a SEBI registered. Please do your own analyses before taking position. This post is only for educational purposes and not a trading recommendation
🔥 SAND Finally Breaking Out Through 1.5 Year Resistance?SAND has been trading below this bearish resistance line for well over 1.5 years. With the market going up in general, is it finally time for this token to break out?
I'm waiting for SAND to close a daily candle above 0.47, stop below the most recent swing low, target at 1.48. This way we can construct a very decent swing trade with a risk-reward of ~12.5.
Time will tell if SAND will show us long-term strength like last cycle. For now, we're keeping our long-term target relatively close.
How To Use RISK vs. REWARD RatiosHi Traders, Investors and Speculators 📈📉
Ev here. Been trading crypto since 2017 and later got into stocks. I have 3 board exams on financial markets and studied economics from a top tier university for a year. Daytime job - Math Teacher. 👩🏫
For today's post, we're diving into the concept " risk reward ratio " by taking a look at practical examples and including other relevant scenarios of managing your risk. What is considered a good risk to reward ratio and where can you see it ? This applies to all markets, and during these volatile times it is an excellent idea to take a good look at your strategy and refine your risk management. Let's jump right in !
You've all noticed the really helpful " long setup " or " short setup " on TradingView chart ideas. This clearly identifies the area of profit (in green), the area for a stop-loss (in red) and your entry (the borderline). It also shows the percentage of your increases or decreases at the top and bottom. This is achieved by using the tool you can find in your toolbar on the left, 7th from the top. The first two options are Long Position and Short Position. It looks like this :
💭Something to remember; It is entirely up to you where you decided to take profit and where you decide to put your stop loss. The IDEAL anticipated targets are given, but the price may not necessarily reach these points. You have that entire zone to choose from and you can even have two or three take profits points in a position.
Now, what is the Risk Reward Ratio expressed in the center as a number.number ?
The risk to reward ration is exactly as the word says : The amount you risk for the amount you could potentially gain. NOTE that your risk is indefinite, but your gains are not guaranteed . The risk/reward ratio measures the difference between the entry point to a stop-loss and a sell or take-profit point. Comparing these two provides the ratio of profit to loss, or reward to risk.
For example, if you're a gambler and you've played roulette, you know that the only way to win 10 chips is to risk 5 chips. Your risk here is expressed as 5:10 or 5.10 .You can spread these 5 chips out any way you like, but the goal of the risk is for a reward that is bigger than your initial investment. However, you could also lose your 5 and this will mean that you need to risk double as much in your next play to make up for your loss. Trading is no different, (except there is method to the madness other than sheer luck...)
Most market strategists and speculators agree that the ideal risk/reward ratio for their investments should not be less than 1:3, or three units of expected return for every one unit of additional risk.
Take a look at this example: Here, you're risking the same amount that you could potentially gain. The Risk Reward ratio is 1, assuming you follow the exact prices for entry, TP and SL.
Can you see why this is not an ideal setup? If your risk/reward ratio is 1, it means you might as well not participate in the trade since your reward is the same as your risk. This is not an ideal trade setup. An ideal trade setup is a scenario where you can AT LEAST win 3x as much as what you are risking. For example:
Note that here, my ratio is now the ideal 2.59 (rounded off to 2.6 and then simplified it becomes 1:3). If you're wondering how I got to 1:3, I just divided 2.6 by 2, giving me 1 and 3.
Another way to express this visually:
If you are setting up your own trade, you can decide at what point you feel comfortable to set your stop loss. For example, you may feel that if the price drops by more than 10%, that's where you'll exit and try another trade. Or, you could decide that you'll take the odds and set your stop loss so that it only triggers if the price drops by 15%. The latter will naturally mean you are trading at higher risk because your risk of losing is much more. Seasoned analysts agree that you shouldn't have a value smaller than 5% for your stop loss, because this type of price action occurs often during a day. For crypto, I would say 10% because we all know that crypto markets are much more volatile than stock markets and even more so than commodity markets like Gold and Silver, which are the most stable.
Remember that your Risk/Reward ratio forms an important part of your trading strategy, which is only one of the steps in your risk management program. There are many more things to consider when thinking about risk management, but we'll dive into those in another post.
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