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Riskreward

NFLX Falling into a Dark Pool Buy Zone?While we all wait on the highly anticipated NASDAQ:NFLX earnings report at the close today, let's study the weekly chart to study the downside potential since the stock gapped down today on expectations of a weak report. Netflix’s percentage of shares held by institutions has recovered to a respectable 79%, which is more consistent with a company that is in favor with the Buy Side Institutions. There has been accumulation going on since the lows of 2022. Selling Short is problematic due to the support levels not far down from the current price and the risk of a hidden Dark Pool Buy Zone starting at the highs of the U-shaped bottom formation. The current run down is at a technical support level, which is where pro traders often nudge the price to trigger HFTs. Beware of the risk of an extreme reaction at the open tomorrow. During earnings season with a report at the close, pro traders often take profits either in the final minutes of the day to avoid the risk of a surprise, or shortly after the open to capitalize on the reaction to the report.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
How I manage risks?We all know that trading is a game of probability, we cannot have a 100% winning rate. => Therefore, it will be better when we have a strict way of managing capital. This is the way I often use when managing my capital. I manage according to the Risk/Reward ratio. There are many theories about this method on Google, you can find and read through. Here I'm just talking about how simply I apply it. I mainly trade futures. For each order I will use 10% of my capital. And my maximum stop loss ratio is 30% (20% for high risk orders). If applied like this, if that order loses, I only lose 3% of my total capital. If I win I usually take 3R. For example: - The win rate is 50% (pretty low) - Place 10 orders - Win 5 orders: 3R * 5 = 15R - Lose 5 orders: 1R * 5 = 5R => Profit: 15R - 5R = 10R In total, I still made a profit of 10R . 50% win rate is quite low but still win 10R. That is the power of capital management!! Enjoy!! DYOR
Education
by crypto_pumpppp
8
🔥 Bitcoin Bears Still In Control: For How Long?In my last couple of BTC analysis I've had a fairly bearish outlook on Bitcoin's price action. See below: Seeing that BTC is currently experiencing a strong surge in price, I'm willing to look at the market with a more bullish perspective if BTC manages to break through the top purple resistance. For now, I'm anticipating a rejection from said resistance because bears are still in control, and it's more likely that it will stay that way. An aggressive bear might want to make an entry from the top resistance and ride the wave down to the September lows.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by FieryTrading
18
NVDA Bullish Pump Incoming?!NVDA had a huge sell off over the past few weeks and looks like the bulls are ready to take over for a 3% pump to the next resistance. If we manage to blast though the Golden Pocket 3% away, my next target will be 11% away at the next Golden Pocket. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Navitility
RISKY 1:4 RATIO Today's chart analysis Reliable data services Ltd Microcap Company has very high risky stock The company belongs to IT field, providing complete customized services to various banking, financial services and other manufacturing industries in the field of back office processing Technically analysis 1) stock near-lifetime high and above listing price 2) Stock is above listing price so this can be taken as support The chart has ascending triangle pattern 4) It takes 5 years to move above listing price 5) so now Stock have heavy potential to move to a lifelong high 6) Lifetime high 72 may act as resistance and also 63-65 level 7) above 63-65, definitely move 72. 8) below 60, take as stop loss for reaching a lifelong high level 9) risk-reward ratio is 1:4 10) very risky stock 11) no recommendation for buying and selling 12) only education purpose
NSE:RELIABLELong
by investigationofchart
🔥 My BEST-CASE Scenario For Bitcoin's 2025 TopOver the last two bull-runs, Bitcoin has been trading in a relatively predictable pattern. In this analysis I want to take a closer look at this pattern and discuss my BEST-CASE scenario for the next bull-run. * BTC has been trading within the bullish channel Since July 2017 (more than 6 years). Every time the support was touched it produced a local low, every time the resistance was touched it produced a local top. * Bitcoin topped (green) between 74 and 78 weeks after the halving (yellow) took place. Knowing this, we can predict the next Bitcoin top with relative certainty. Naturally, assuming that this pattern will continue to hold. * The next BTC top will be somewhere between 15 Sept 2025 and 13 Oct 2025, 74 and 78 weeks after the next halving. * The next BTC top will touch the top resistance of the channel somewhere between 300,000 and 320,000. An argument can be made that Bitcoin is experiencing diminishing returns over the years, invalidating this analysis. However, the move from (roughly) 3k > 69k is bigger than the move from 15.5k > 320k. The returns are not diminishing as fast as before, but it's still diminished. Personally, I don't think this outcome is likely. Market conditions have deteriorated significantly with rising interest rates and inflation. Hence I call this my "best-case" scenario. I'd be surprised if the next bull-run will bring us above 150k, but time will tell. Where and when do you think Bitcoin will top? Share your analyses below.🙏
INDEX:BTCUSD
by FieryTrading
37
🔥 ZIL At The Verge Of Breaking Out: New Moonshot SignalZIL has been trading below the top resistance for around 18 months. The 0.0155 support held strong all this time. A break out on either side was expected after the support and resistance converged. If we can close the week above 0.018, I'm treating it as a successful break out of the triangle pattern. In my view this could be the definite low of this token with much more upside ahead. It's a risky long-term bet with a very good R/R ratio of 52, which can be a massive boost for the trading balance if it plays out. As always, patience is key.
Long
by FieryTrading
15
Long ETH - Adapting to a successful backtested strategyCurrent position is Long at 1640. Stop loss 3.5% The RSI and ATR on multiple timeframes has indicated a trend reversal from short to long. Thus we adapt. No Bias, no emotion. Pure TA and risk management. Is the current position down a few percent? yes... does it matter? No! The entire portfolio is up over 4400% since 2020 (Substatiated by the backtest). We stick to the gameplan, the intermediate market moves are irrelevant. Our risk profile is planned for. We follow the strategy that has consistently had major net profits year on year (Substatianted by the backtest) and we don't get swayed by emotional bias. Adaptation is a fundamental component of implementing a proven and backtested strategy. In financial markets and various other domains, adhering to a well-researched and tested approach is essential for achieving consistent success. The dynamic nature of these environments necessitates the ability to adapt when circumstances change. Therefore, recognizing the importance of adapting to current market realities while still adhering to a proven strategy is paramount for long-term sustainability and success.
BITFINEX:ETHUSD
by TradingAlgorithms
Has GOLD made its low?It seems that GOLD might have made its low. -Price turned 200EMA back to support (red moving average) -Showing rising demand on the three lows I marked, and last one is the highest (rising demand). -RSI break? (White arrow) When/If this lower high is broken then the price structure changes from lower highs to first time making higher high since may. Which gives me more conviction for a trend change. (ofc price has to stay on top of this level for keeping this valid) The higher low break on 200EMA works as stop loss for me I have around 2.5% of my net worth on Gold/Silver. I'm planning to make it bigger cause Gold will possibly run around 2.5k-3.5 in 2-3 years, and silver $50-$100 Good investment for years to come as quantitive easing etc will keep going harder than ever.. Check out my june BTC Dominance analysis here which hit spot on! :) ETH -16%, BNB -30%, ADA -33% against BTC since that call If you are starting out trading "post about great mentors I follow and respect" here 1st mistake novice traders do is that they don't use stop losses, doesn't calculate their RIsk/Rewards and gets their ass burned cause of that. Always use them! -PalenTrade
TVC:GOLDLong
by PalenTrade
5
Role of Risk Management in Trading and How to calculate riskThe Foundations of Solid Risk Management 🛡️📊: Risk management in trading involves a series of strategic decisions aimed at minimizing potential losses. It revolves around understanding the risks associated with each trade and employing measures to mitigate them. Whether you're a novice or an experienced trader, risk management remains a non-negotiable aspect of sustainable trading. 👍 Pros of Effective Risk Management: Shields your trading capital from significant losses. Provides a structured framework for decision-making. Fosters discipline and rationality in the face of market fluctuations. 👎 Cons of Neglecting Risk Management: Exposes your portfolio to undue risks that can lead to substantial losses. Increases the likelihood of emotional decision-making driven by fear and greed. The Emotional and Financial Benefits of Risk Management 🧘‍♂️❤️: Effective risk management isn't just about preserving your financial resources; it's also about maintaining emotional equilibrium. When traders implement robust risk management strategies, they reduce the psychological stress and anxiety that often accompany trading. This enables traders to make more logical decisions, avoiding impulsive actions triggered by heightened emotions. Calculating Position Size and Setting Stop Losses 📈🛑: Two key elements of risk management are calculating the appropriate position size and setting stop-loss levels. These practices are integral to controlling the amount of capital at risk in each trade. By determining the position size based on a percentage of your capital and setting stop-loss orders to limit potential losses, traders ensure that no single trade can significantly erode their account balance. Comparing Potential Losses and Gains for Different Risk Management Scenarios 💹📉: Let's explore how the 2% rule affects potential outcomes for different risk management scenarios: Risking 2% of a $1000 Deposit: Maximum Risk per Trade: $20 (2% of $1000) Potential Loss: Limited to $20 per trade Potential Gain: Can vary, but the focus is on maintaining risk control Risking 5% of a $1000 Deposit: Maximum Risk per Trade: $50 (5% of $1000) Potential Loss: Larger at $50 per trade Potential Gain: Higher, but the risk of significant losses is elevated Risking 10% of a $1000 Deposit: Maximum Risk per Trade: $100 (10% of $1000) Potential Loss: Considerably larger at $100 per trade Potential Gain: Higher compared to 2% risk, but risk of capital depletion is significant How to calculate your position size ? You can easily calculate risk directly in TradingView using the built-in calculator! Choose the direction of your position - long or short. The next step is to set up according to your deposit and risk per trade. After that, simply drag it onto the chart in line with your stop loss and take profit (more on this in the upcoming article), and it will automatically calculate the position size for you!
Editors' picks
Education
by Yaroslav_Krasko
11
🔥 Watch This Short-Term Bitcoin Break Out Pattern!In continuation of my previous bearish BTC analyses, I spotted this triangle pattern which has been formed over the last couple of days. Whilst it's a risky trade, the potential short-term gains are big enough for it to share with the rest of the community. I'm waiting for the price to fall through the support, which can potentially signal a further fall in price. Stop above the most recent local high, target at 24.000
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by FieryTrading
21
🔥 NEAR Big Upside Break Out Potential: Patience!NEAR has been consolidating inside this pattern for well over a year on this point. I'm anticipating big volume to appear once we will break out. Keep in mind that we will wait for the price to confirm the break out of the triangle. This signal will get invalidated once NEAR falls through the support. Stop just below 1$, target at the August 2022 highs. This results in a trade with big upside potential and a very nice risk-reward of 15.61
Long
by FieryTrading
9
🔥 ARBITRUM Bearish Support Break OutAs of yesterday, ARB has fallen through a strong area of support which held the bull trend going for over a month. In my view, there's a high possibility that ARB will continue to fall, potentially even retesting the June lows around 0.92 ARB is quite oversold at the moment, so we're going to anticipate a bullish correction towards 1.19 or so. Stop just above 1.21 for an optimal risk-reward ratio. A more risk-averse trade would be to take (partial) profits around 1$.
Short
by FieryTrading
8
VTRS - Potential U-MLH breakout to the CenterlineThe Orange down sloping Fork did it's job very good so far. Even the (yellow) sliding parallels gave us good information how wide the shift is. And we even got some confirmation from the divergence Now VTRS is nagging at the U-MLH. Also nice to see how this stock is stair stepping towards the Center line (orange lines). Is it too late to jump in? In my trading it's never too late, if I have a good risk/reward. However, we must be aware that the "Last Sellers Zone" is right in our way. Are the sellers still sitting there? Let's see if the U-MLH will break out, smack the sellers and rockets to the Center line.
NASDAQ:VTRSLong
by Tr8dingN3rd