Get started

Riskreward

UsdJpy off to the Races or 1 more Retest 🏎 UsdJpy increases this week despite significant retail imbalances from last week failing to take price lower with notable inlfation data. We may observe a move to go down now after jumping up with news release volatility from last week. Otherwise, UsdJpy is currently testing a Daily Resistance level for the first time. We may anticpate a move down early in the week but consequential upside movement laster in the week. The Monthly candle has confirmed an upside breakout to our next monthly zone at 158. We may observe initial retest of 148.71 once more before seeing more upisde movement.
by ShrewdCatfx
1
Will GOLD go test ATHs?GOLD is showing some clues of possible trend change. If price stays on top of the last highs the price structure changes from making lower highs to making a higher high. This can indicate from a accumulation and growing bull force. As long as we stay on top of these previous highs I'm short term bull. Ofc there is also the huge 12 year cup and handle pattern which would indicate of higher prices probably around 24-25. Targets 2500-3000 per ounce (I'm Long Term Bull) Tell me if you would like a more in depth update about the 12 year GOLD cup and handle structure -Jebu
TVC:GOLDLong
by PalenTrade
4
🔥 The Last Hurdle Before The Bull-Market: EthereumLike most alts, ETH has been seeing very decent gains over the last few weeks. However, ETH has not yet broken out of the bear market range, which is well defined below the purple resistance area. This resistance area ranges from $2000-$2150. If ETH does not manage to break through this resistance, we can't call the bear market over. On the contrary, if this resistance manages to hold there's a potential for the entire crypto market to fall. Since the market has shown exceptional strength lately, there's a potential that ETH will break through this resistance. If it does, there's little holding back crypto from starting a new long-term bullish trend. Keep your eyes focused on this range, since it might prove to be an important one in the near future.
Long
by FieryTrading
3
DYDX/USDTPossible break and retest happening on DYDX. Let's see if this key level can hold and buyers show that they are in control, or will it break and they need more time. If there will be new crypto bull market, I think Dexes like GMX, GNS and DYDX will perform well, as they will start to bring profitable revenue in and share it with holders of their tokens If you are surprised that altcoins got whacked for the last 4 months against Bitcoin you shouldn't be Post from june about alts No trade is risk free! 1st mistake novice traders do is not having risk management and get their ass burned! -PalenTrade
Long
by PalenTrade
4
Solid Small Caps for EarningsAnyone finding interesting setups in small caps this earnings season? These often have more reliable patterns for swing trading. Since they are largely under the radar of the retail crowd, institutional patterns can be clearer. NASDAQ:CERE is an example of a stock coming up in TechniTrader scans today. It has 88% institutional holdings. A compression pattern is developing. HFTs have been in it recently, possibly due to intermittent accumulation. The strengthening of the sideways action is particularly visible with the RSI indicator. Dark Pool accumulation tends to cause controlled sideways patterns like this, a key ingredient for what we call Relational Technical Analysis at TechniTrader. Because this has had a swing-style run out of the last compression pattern at a low in this longer trading range, a swing trade could be considered on the breakout, either above today's high or above the last resistance level for a more conservative entry. (Green lines on the chart) My target would be 31, but of course I'd be watching for exit signals or an extreme pattern to take profits early. Stop loss at the red line on the chart. A more aggressive trader could look at an entry ahead of the close today if pro trader patterns emerge in the last 15 minutes with an exit shortly after the open if a run or gap up develops for an EOD to FOD trade. Happy Trading! Guest author: Mele Ainuu, Senior Technical Analyst, Student Support @ TechniTrader
CLong
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
1
OrderID BTCTHB-RR1.3-230510 Trading System = Discretionary using FIB and Pitchfork Side = Short/Sell Position = Closed Volume = All Order type = Exit TP = Fib Proj. 0.618, 1, 1.618 Problem & Anomaly = After the volatility peak at the previous highest high. Price has been climbing with exhaustion. Trader Emotion = Neutral Mistake & Error = Non Remark = Using a red downward slope median line to add short positions if the price has reached the 0.618 percent Fibonacci level. Ideas = This is a classic play shorting at the lower high to expect a lower low. Let's see how the price folds out.
Short
by ProDukeSadudee
Risk ControlRisk control stands as the core of any trading system, and the primary objective for every trader or investor is to safeguard their trading capital. The focus should always be on capital preservation before aiming for substantial gains. In the trading world, losses are part of the game, which is why each trade should be rigorously capped with a predefined potential loss to manage positions effectively. A stop order emerges as the paramount rule of position management. The extent of risk per trade can fluctuate from 0.5% to 2%, contingent on factors like the trading system, personal ambitions, chosen timeframes, and goals. It is essential to select a risk level for each transaction that aligns with the probabilistic forecast of your trading model. For example, counter-trend trades carry higher risks compared to scenarios where trading is synchronized across timeframes and employs a high-probability model. One of the most common mistakes made by novice traders is gauging profit or loss in fiat terms. Instead, it's prudent to view your trading capital as the full 100% and perceive profit and loss as percentages, regardless of their monetary value. To maintain effective risk control and manage the entire trading system, maintaining detailed statistics and a trading log is crucial. Recording your transactions in a format that suits you best and meticulously analyzing your market actions allows for progress and the identification of errors in your trading strategy. The temptation to aim for higher profits than your trading system suggests should be avoided, as this can lead to excessive risks and should not undermine the value of low-risk transactions in growing your deposit. When it comes to risk management, controlling your position size is pivotal in safeguarding your capital. It's essential to use a stop order for every trade. The cornerstone for steady growth in a trading account is the risk-to-reward ratio (risk:reward). This ratio specifically outlines how many profitable trades are needed to offset a single unsuccessful trade. The table above clearly illustrates the probability of depleting your deposit in relation to the risk-reward ratio and the trade win rate. It becomes evident that even with a 40% win rate and a Risk: Reward ratio of 1:4, the likelihood of depleting your account over the long term is merely 5%. If the Risk: Reward ratio is maintained at 1:4 with a win rate of at least 50%, the possibility of liquidation becomes nearly implausible. It's important to remember that the same trading setup can be approached in various ways. Employing entry refinement techniques on lower timeframes enables a significant reduction in the stop order area, thereby increasing the Risk: Reward ratio. Nevertheless, this may lead to a lower win rate. To strike a balance, use the "golden ratio" rule and select a trading model that resonates with your unique style and psychological type
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by Crypto4light
ARBITRUM MAJOR BREAKOUT INCOMING!! Lets take a moment to look at this beautiful chart and see the opportunity that lies in front of us. I can see a major breakout incoming with this project. People need to realize that this has one of the most active networks in the entire crypto ecosystem. #2 to be exact behind ETH. Once this project start to pump, it will really pump. Personally I will be DCA-ing this project leading up to the next bull run. If all goes as planned, I will be a happy camper. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
Long
by Navitility
Risk/Reward Ratios 101In trading, the risk/reward ratio stands as the beacon guiding every trader's decisions. But what exactly is this ratio, and how does it define your success in the market? In this article we will describe how risk/reward ratio affects your trading performance. If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜💜 Understanding the Risk/Reward Ratio: At its core, the risk/reward ratio quantifies the balance between the potential gain and the potential loss in a trade. It’s a critical tool that aids traders in choosing trades wisely, ensuring they opt for opportunities that promise high rewards while keeping risks minimal. Calculating the Ratio: The calculation itself is straightforward. By dividing the potential loss by the potential profit, traders can gauge the attractiveness of a trade. For instance, if a trade has a potential loss of $5 and a potential profit of $15, the risk/reward ratio would be 1:3, indicating that for every unit of risk, there's the potential for three units of reward. Implementing the Ratio in Trading: Successful traders plan their trades, setting predetermined entry and exit points. This strategy allows to calculate the risk/reward ratio accurately, ensuring trades with favorable ratios. For instance, consider a scenario where a trader aims for a 15% profit and sets a stop-loss at 5%. By maintaining a discipline of setting targets based on market analysis rather than arbitrary numbers, traders can achieve a consistent profits. The Synergy with Win Rates: Combining the risk/reward ratio with win rates elevates a trader's strategy. A higher win rate indicates more successful trades, further enhancing the overall profitability. For instance, a trader with a 60% win rate can afford a lower ratio, say 1:1 minumum, as the majority of their trades are profitable. The Power of the Risk/Reward Calculation: The true power of the risk/reward ratio lies in its ability to provide traders with an asymmetric opportunity. This means that the potential upside is significantly greater than the potential downside, leading to more profitable trades over the long term. Keeping Records for Improvement: Maintaining a trading journal is crucial. By documenting trades, traders gain a comprehensive understanding of their strategies' performance. Analyzing these records aids in adapting strategies for different market conditions and asset classes, leading to refined decision-making. In conclusion, mastering the risk/reward ratio is paramount for every trader aiming for consistent profitability. By understanding, calculating, and implementing this ratio alongside win rates, traders can make informed decisions, mitigate risks, and ensure sustainable success in the volatile world of trading. So, remember, in the world of trading, it's not just about how much you win; it's about how much you win concerning what you risk.
Education
by Vestinda
NFLX Falling into a Dark Pool Buy Zone?While we all wait on the highly anticipated NASDAQ:NFLX earnings report at the close today, let's study the weekly chart to study the downside potential since the stock gapped down today on expectations of a weak report. Netflix’s percentage of shares held by institutions has recovered to a respectable 79%, which is more consistent with a company that is in favor with the Buy Side Institutions. There has been accumulation going on since the lows of 2022. Selling Short is problematic due to the support levels not far down from the current price and the risk of a hidden Dark Pool Buy Zone starting at the highs of the U-shaped bottom formation. The current run down is at a technical support level, which is where pro traders often nudge the price to trigger HFTs. Beware of the risk of an extreme reaction at the open tomorrow. During earnings season with a report at the close, pro traders often take profits either in the final minutes of the day to avoid the risk of a surprise, or shortly after the open to capitalize on the reaction to the report.
NASDAQ:NFLX
by MarthaStokesCMT-TechniTrader
How I manage risks?We all know that trading is a game of probability, we cannot have a 100% winning rate. => Therefore, it will be better when we have a strict way of managing capital. This is the way I often use when managing my capital. I manage according to the Risk/Reward ratio. There are many theories about this method on Google, you can find and read through. Here I'm just talking about how simply I apply it. I mainly trade futures. For each order I will use 10% of my capital. And my maximum stop loss ratio is 30% (20% for high risk orders). If applied like this, if that order loses, I only lose 3% of my total capital. If I win I usually take 3R. For example: - The win rate is 50% (pretty low) - Place 10 orders - Win 5 orders: 3R * 5 = 15R - Lose 5 orders: 1R * 5 = 5R => Profit: 15R - 5R = 10R In total, I still made a profit of 10R . 50% win rate is quite low but still win 10R. That is the power of capital management!! Enjoy!! DYOR
Education
by crypto_pumpppp
8
🔥 Bitcoin Bears Still In Control: For How Long?In my last couple of BTC analysis I've had a fairly bearish outlook on Bitcoin's price action. See below: Seeing that BTC is currently experiencing a strong surge in price, I'm willing to look at the market with a more bullish perspective if BTC manages to break through the top purple resistance. For now, I'm anticipating a rejection from said resistance because bears are still in control, and it's more likely that it will stay that way. An aggressive bear might want to make an entry from the top resistance and ride the wave down to the September lows.
INDEX:BTCUSDShort
by FieryTrading
18
NVDA Bullish Pump Incoming?!NVDA had a huge sell off over the past few weeks and looks like the bulls are ready to take over for a 3% pump to the next resistance. If we manage to blast though the Golden Pocket 3% away, my next target will be 11% away at the next Golden Pocket. Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade. Every day the charts provide new information. You have to adjust or get REKT. Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts below! This is not financial advice. This is for educational purposes only.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Navitility
RISKY 1:4 RATIO Today's chart analysis Reliable data services Ltd Microcap Company has very high risky stock The company belongs to IT field, providing complete customized services to various banking, financial services and other manufacturing industries in the field of back office processing Technically analysis 1) stock near-lifetime high and above listing price 2) Stock is above listing price so this can be taken as support The chart has ascending triangle pattern 4) It takes 5 years to move above listing price 5) so now Stock have heavy potential to move to a lifelong high 6) Lifetime high 72 may act as resistance and also 63-65 level 7) above 63-65, definitely move 72. 8) below 60, take as stop loss for reaching a lifelong high level 9) risk-reward ratio is 1:4 10) very risky stock 11) no recommendation for buying and selling 12) only education purpose
NSE:RELIABLELong
by investigationofchart
🔥 My BEST-CASE Scenario For Bitcoin's 2025 TopOver the last two bull-runs, Bitcoin has been trading in a relatively predictable pattern. In this analysis I want to take a closer look at this pattern and discuss my BEST-CASE scenario for the next bull-run. * BTC has been trading within the bullish channel Since July 2017 (more than 6 years). Every time the support was touched it produced a local low, every time the resistance was touched it produced a local top. * Bitcoin topped (green) between 74 and 78 weeks after the halving (yellow) took place. Knowing this, we can predict the next Bitcoin top with relative certainty. Naturally, assuming that this pattern will continue to hold. * The next BTC top will be somewhere between 15 Sept 2025 and 13 Oct 2025, 74 and 78 weeks after the next halving. * The next BTC top will touch the top resistance of the channel somewhere between 300,000 and 320,000. An argument can be made that Bitcoin is experiencing diminishing returns over the years, invalidating this analysis. However, the move from (roughly) 3k > 69k is bigger than the move from 15.5k > 320k. The returns are not diminishing as fast as before, but it's still diminished. Personally, I don't think this outcome is likely. Market conditions have deteriorated significantly with rising interest rates and inflation. Hence I call this my "best-case" scenario. I'd be surprised if the next bull-run will bring us above 150k, but time will tell. Where and when do you think Bitcoin will top? Share your analyses below.🙏
INDEX:BTCUSD
by FieryTrading
37
🔥 ZIL At The Verge Of Breaking Out: New Moonshot SignalZIL has been trading below the top resistance for around 18 months. The 0.0155 support held strong all this time. A break out on either side was expected after the support and resistance converged. If we can close the week above 0.018, I'm treating it as a successful break out of the triangle pattern. In my view this could be the definite low of this token with much more upside ahead. It's a risky long-term bet with a very good R/R ratio of 52, which can be a massive boost for the trading balance if it plays out. As always, patience is key.
Long
by FieryTrading
15
Long ETH - Adapting to a successful backtested strategyCurrent position is Long at 1640. Stop loss 3.5% The RSI and ATR on multiple timeframes has indicated a trend reversal from short to long. Thus we adapt. No Bias, no emotion. Pure TA and risk management. Is the current position down a few percent? yes... does it matter? No! The entire portfolio is up over 4400% since 2020 (Substatiated by the backtest). We stick to the gameplan, the intermediate market moves are irrelevant. Our risk profile is planned for. We follow the strategy that has consistently had major net profits year on year (Substatianted by the backtest) and we don't get swayed by emotional bias. Adaptation is a fundamental component of implementing a proven and backtested strategy. In financial markets and various other domains, adhering to a well-researched and tested approach is essential for achieving consistent success. The dynamic nature of these environments necessitates the ability to adapt when circumstances change. Therefore, recognizing the importance of adapting to current market realities while still adhering to a proven strategy is paramount for long-term sustainability and success.
BITFINEX:ETHUSD
by TradingAlgorithms