RIVIAN Is this EV maker dead??Rivian is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.757, MACD = -0.170, ADX = 26.255) as it is extendint today yesterday's massive rejection on the 1D MA200. The long term pattern is a Channel Down and we are on the latest bearish wave and about to form a 1D MACD Bearish Cross. The two previous bearish waves of the pattern reached the 1.618 and 2.0 Fibonacci extension respectively, so a progressive lower low is identified there potentially. In any event, we expect at least the 2.0 Fibonacci level to be tested (TP = 8.65).
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Rivian
RIVIAN 25 COMING.... 🎉 Why Rivian's Stock Price Could Hit $25 🎉
Innovation and Product Appeal: Rivian has been making waves with its innovative electric vehicles like the R1T and R1S. The anticipation around new models and features, like the Gear Guard live cam and Tri-zone climate control, keeps the brand's allure strong among tech-savvy consumers and environmental enthusiasts. The unique selling points of these vehicles could drive demand, positively impacting stock value.
Strategic Partnerships and Market Positioning: The relationship with Amazon for electric delivery vehicles positions Rivian as a key player in not just the consumer EV market but also in commercial applications. This could lead to steady order flows and visibility, crucial for investor confidence.
Production Scale and Cost Reduction: Rivian's focus on scaling production, especially with the introduction of its in-house Enduro drive unit, aims to reduce costs significantly. As production ramps up, achieving economies of scale could lead to better margins, making the stock more attractive.
Investor Sentiment and Analyst Predictions: Despite variations, there's a notable optimism among analysts with a mix of hold and buy ratings, suggesting that many see potential for growth. The consensus price targets around $17.68 with highs up to $28 indicate that reaching $25 isn't far-fetched, especially if Rivian meets its production and innovation goals.
Market Expansion and Brand Loyalty: Initiatives like The Good Project, where Rivian vehicles are used for community service, not only enhance brand image but also foster loyalty. Exclusive offers for existing customers to upgrade to newer models could retain and grow the customer base, indirectly supporting stock price through sustained demand.
Technological Advancements: Rivian's development of proprietary technology, including its own chips and operating system, could insulate it from supply chain issues and offer competitive advantages. Innovation in software updates like dynamic headlamp leveling shows a commitment to continuous improvement, which could excite investors.
Market Sentiment Towards EVs: The broader trend towards electric vehicles continues to gain momentum. As more regions implement policies favoring EVs, companies like Rivian, which are pure-play EV manufacturers, stand to benefit from this shift, potentially driving up stock prices.
Financial Health and Investment: While Rivian has significant cash reserves, managing these effectively for growth without excessive dilution could reassure investors. The strategic use of funds for R&D and scaling could pave the way for profitability, a significant milestone for stock valuation.
RIVIAN giving highly accurate signals within this Channel Down.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) couldn't have been giving us more accurate signals since May (see charts below), as not only did we get a timely entry at the bottom (chart 1, May 17) but also sold at the very top (June 26 chart 2) of the Channel Down:
Right now we face a technical similarity with September 2023, exactly 1 year ago, where the price failed to utilize the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support and started a new long-term Bearish sequence.
However we do realize the potential long-term trend changing effect that a potential new cycle of interest rate cuts might have in two weeks, so again our trading plan will prepare for both scenarios with clear break-out signals and levels.
Obviously as long as the price remains within the 2-year Channel Down, the trend is bearish and the action will be 'sell on every high'. The Sell Signal on the September 2023 fractal was given when the 1D RSI hit the 60.00 level (red arrow, Sep 14 2023). Naturally we will wait for another such trigger to sell and Target 10.55 on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where last year's sell signal bottomed (October 30 2023).
If on the other hand, the price closes a 1W candle above the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line), we will buy that clear long-term bullish break-out signal and Target 28.00 (just below Resistance 2). This could emerge as a Channel Up pattern.
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RIVN DOUBLE TOP SHORT TO $7.54 AHEAD OF EARNINGS DECLINEThe chart has reached a new short-term high. The RSI on the 2 hour chart is over 70. Perfect short to $12 or lower.
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TESLA 300 AFTER EARNINGS ? 3 STRONG REASONS !!
Strong EV Market Position:
Tesla’s electric vehicles (EVs) remain popular, with the Model Y and Model 3 ranking among the top-selling vehicles in the U.S. in 2023. Even as legacy automakers enter the market, Tesla’s success suggests continued consumer preference for its vehicles.
Cybertruck:
Tesla’s long-awaited Cybertruck could be a game-changer. Pickup trucks have high gross profit margins, and if Tesla prices the Cybertruck right, it could boost their overall profitability1.
Regulatory Credits and Rebates: As Europe tightens regulations on internal combustion engine (ICE) cars, Tesla may receive more regulatory credits (from competitors like Fiat) going forward.
Full Self-Driving (FSD) Technology: Analysts estimate that Tesla’s FSD technology could potentially raise earnings per share by $1-$2 annually through the end of the decade.
RIVN Rivian Automotive Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold RIVN when they started to recall vehicles due to loose fasteners:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RIVN Rivian Automotive prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 10usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $3.05.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
TESLA 300 BY DECEMBER ? NASDAQ:TSLA TESLA 300 BY DECEMBER
Tesla had a challenging first half of 2024, with its stock facing headwinds. However, there are signs that the electric vehicle (EV) maker could be on the path to recovery. Here’s what Wall Street analysts and experts are saying:
Q2 Deliveries: Tesla reported second-quarter deliveries of 443,956 vehicles, surpassing analysts’ estimates of 436,000. While this is a decline from previous quarters, it’s better than expected. Investors view this as a positive sign for the company’s future prospects.
Energy Storage Boost: Tesla increased its energy storage capacity to an all-time high during Q2. This development is particularly significant because it suggests that Tesla could benefit from increased energy demand driven by the AI boom. As artificial intelligence accelerates, energy demand and electricity generation are expected to rise, potentially benefiting Tesla Energy.
AI Developments: Investors are closely watching Tesla’s advancements in artificial intelligence. The company’s Robotaxi and other AI initiatives could be the next growth drivers. Morgan Stanley strategists have even speculated about Tesla getting its mojo back, with clients asking about positive catalysts for the future.
Rivian: Bullish Momentum and Strong Support Following VolkswagenI am bullish on Rivian following the significant news catalyst of Volkswagen investing up to $5 billion in the company. Despite closing the day with a bearish shooting star, the impact was minimal as we remain well above the 9 EMA and reclaimed the 200 EMA. For four consecutive days, Rivian has failed to close the gap since the news broke, indicating strong support.
On the daily timeframe, we successfully broke the 10 fractal downtrend, which is a positive technical signal. Over the past three days, we've observed higher bull volume and weak bear volume, reinforcing my bullish thesis. I believe Rivian has a lot of potential to run further based on these observations.
Rivian Makes the Right Moves & the Stock Rebounds to Key TechRivian had a tough couple of years, as unprofitable startups are more vulnerable to the adverse external environment from high interest rates and lingering inflation. This has softened EV demand and deliveries have been disappointing in recent quarters. Highlighting the challenges, executives believe 2024 production will not surpass that the last year. But the large output-delivery gap of Q2 shows that Rivian is offloading its inventory.
Rivian is making the right moves to turn things around and it will be launching two smaller EVs, starting in 2026. These are crucial for its future, as they will help it increase its customer base, stop the cash burn and eventually make money. The recently announced cash injection from auto giant Volkswagen can help it whether the storm and accelerate its progress.
These developments have helped the stock to relief rally from the April record lows, bringing it to a critical technical juncture. RIVN tries to take out the 38.2% Fibonacci of the slump for the end of 2023 and the EM200 (black line). Surpassing them would shift momentum to the upside and facilitate further gains.
Despite the turnaround plan and promising developments recently, the off-road EV maker is not out of the woods yet. On the technical front, a rejection of the aforementioned critical resistance cluster would reaffirm the bearish bias and enhance risk of lower lows.
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Volkswagen AG to invest 5 billion USD in Rivian AutomotiveVolkswagen AG is set to invest 5 billion USD in Rivian Automotive Inc., marking a strategic move to solidify its position in the electric vehicle (EV) market. This investment aims to optimise Volkswagen’s business processes and production efficiency by leveraging Rivian’s expertise in electric vehicle technology.
Despite being regarded as the future of the automotive industry, the electric vehicle sector is facing challenges such as slowing demand. The fact that even industry leaders like Tesla are compelled to implement aggressive price cuts to attract buyers highlights the intense competition and price wars affecting the newer, loss-making entrants like Rivian and Lucid Group Inc. particularly. This landscape poses new challenges for Volkswagen as it seeks to enhance its market stance through this strategic investment.
Examining potential investment opportunities, let’s review the stock chart of Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ: RIVN) from a technical analysis perspective:
On the Daily (D1) timeframe, Rivian’s stock has broken the resistance level at 12.15 USD, with support now established at 9.85 USD. An uptrend is beginning to form. Should a downtrend initiate, a potential downside target could be 5.50 USD.
If the current uptrend continues and the stock price rebounds off the resistance level, there could be a buying opportunity with a short-term target of 19.50 USD. For those considering a medium-term investment strategy, the stock price might rise to 24.45 USD if the positive momentum persists.
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Risk Warning: CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69.88% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
RIVIAN Time to get bearish despite the VW $5 billion investment?Rivian Automotive (RIVN) reached today as high as $16.35 following Volkswagen's $5 Billion investment and got just shy of our $17.00 long-term target, as we called on our last analysis (May 17, see chart below):
Despite the excellent news, we have to call for caution this time as the technicals come in center stage. As you can see, the prevailing long-term pattern remains a Channel Down since the September 2022 High and unless the 1W MA100 (yellow trend-line) breaks and closes a 1W candle above it, we won't continue buying.
We change now our outlook to medium-term bearish and expect a rounded top to be formed below the 1W MA100 in the next 3 weeks, which we will sell and target the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level at $13.50. Check also how the 1D RSI sequences between the current and the previous Lower High formation in July 2023 are similar.
Add to the bearish mix the fact that today's rise stopped exactly on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). In any case, as mentioned, we are only willing to buy after a 1W MA100 break, in which case we will target $28.00 (just below Resistance 2).
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NVIDIA 176% YTD GAINS 2024 NASDAQ:NVDA 🚀 NVIDIA’s Stellar Ascent: A 176% YTD Surge! 🚀
In the high-stakes world of tech stocks, NVIDIA has emerged as the year’s undisputed champion, boasting a jaw-dropping 176% increase in its stock price year-to-date. Here’s a snapshot of why NVIDIA is the talk of Wall Street:
Market Cap Milestone: NVIDIA has not only skyrocketed in stock value but also achieved a monumental market cap of $3.335 trillion, surpassing tech giants like Microsoft to become the most valued company in the world.
Stock Split Magic: The company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split has made its shares more accessible to a broader range of investors, fueling the fire of its already impressive rally.
Generative AI Gold Rush: NVIDIA sits at the forefront of the generative AI revolution, with its GPUs being the powerhouse behind the scenes. This sector is projected to reach a staggering $967.6 billion by 2032, and NVIDIA’s leading-edge technology is poised to reap the benefits.
ETF Rebalance: A leading tech ETF has shifted its balance, significantly increasing its stake in NVIDIA. This strategic move involves a massive $23 billion stake exchange, highlighting the confidence investors have in NVIDIA’s future.
Wall Street’s Vote of Confidence: Analysts are bullish, with predictions that NVIDIA’s stock could soar to $200. The consensus is clear: NVIDIA is expected to dominate the computing market for the next decade.
NIO 8 AFTER EARNINGS !! NYSE:NIO
Record Delivery Expectations: NIO shares soared over 9%, hitting $5.40 on record delivery expectations. Analysts foresee surpassing last year's high due to discounts. This indicates a positive market response to NIO's potential performance, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Market Sentiment: The market's response to NIO's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if NIO continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $8.
Strong Quarterly Earnings: NIO has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its stock price rising after reporting strong earnings. This indicates a positive market response to its financial performance, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future.
Increased Price Targets by Analysts: Analysts have increased their price targets for NIO, with some predicting a potential rise to $8. These optimistic forecasts suggest that the market and analysts have confidence in the company's future growth and performance.
Positive Industry Outlook: The electric vehicle industry is expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing need for sustainable transportation solutions. As a leading player in this space, NIO is well-positioned to benefit from this industry growth, which could lead to a higher stock price.
Innovative Product Line: NIO is poised to add two sedans to its offerings this year. This expansion of its product line could drive sales and revenue growth, potentially leading to a higher stock price.
Rivian Joins Pivot Energy to Build Community Solar in IllinoisPivot Energy has partnered with American electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) to build community solar in Illinois. Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) will purchase Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) generated from 50 MWdc of solar and subscribe to 10 MWdc of community solar from Pivot Energy for its Illinois manufacturing facility. This partnership aims to channel clean energy resources into regions poised for new solar development and contribute to local community initiatives. The region of the electric grid where the solar projects will be located is 67% dirtier than the U.S. grid as a whole, meaning that the region emits two-thirds more greenhouse gases from fossil fuels than other areas.
The new community solar projects are expected to generate an average of 79,000 MWh of clean electricity per year, equivalent to powering 10,892 households annually. The two companies will invest $5,000 per MW built in local community organizations, with donations tied to each MW constructed going to support local community-based organizations working to reduce energy burden for low-income families and develop workforce development pathways into the solar industry for local residents and groups working at the intersection of agriculture and energy production.
This partnership serves as a template for how to scale renewable resources to match growing demand from electric vehicle growth. Rivian's decarbonization strategy includes plans to enable 2 gigawatts of renewable energy in support of EV charging, enough to power at least 7 billion miles of renewable driving with R1 vehicles every year. Pivot Energy is committed to accelerating the transition to clean energy and positively impacting local communities.
Technical Outlook
Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) stock is up 6.47% as of the time of writing trading with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 56.04 which is quite stable. The stock has been on a "Falling Wedge" pattern since the 1st Quarter of 2024.
RIVIAN Accumulation before mega rally.Last month (April 18, see chart below), we called for a short-term buy on Rivian Automotive (RIVN) but expected one more pull-back before the absolute bottom:
Since however the price broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and closed a 1D candle above it too, we have to revise it and we consider April's low to be the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the 1.5 year Channel Down pattern.
As a result, we expect a short-term Accumulation Phase, similar to May - June 2023, before an aggressive rally towards the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the pattern. Our target is $17.00 (just below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level).
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$RIVN 15 DOLLARS AFTER EARNINGS ? NASDAQ:RIVN 15 DOLLARS AFTER EARNINGS ?
Rivian Automotive has confirmed that its next quarterly earnings report will be published on Tuesday, May 7th, 20241.
The earnings conference call is scheduled for 5:00 PM Eastern on the same day1.
Stock Price Movement:
As of now, Rivian’s stock price stands at $9.21 per share1.
The stock has been volatile, and investors are closely watching its performance.
Market Expectations
While Rivian has faced challenges, including supply chain disruptions and production delays, the market remains optimistic about its long-term prospects. The company’s plans to expand its fast-charging network and its innovative electric truck and SUV models have garnered attention.
Keep an eye on Rivian’s stock price after the earnings report. If the company delivers positive surprises, we might see movement toward your mentioned target of $15 per share. However, stock prices are influenced by various factors, so it’s essential to stay informed.
RIVIAN Last bounce before the bottom. Be ready to buy.Rivian Automotive (RIVN) has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the September 15 2022 High. The price action has been below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for more than 3 months (January 11) and with such aggressive selling, the price is approaching the bottom of the pattern.
With the 1D RSI on Higher Lows (Bullish Divergence) we expect a dead-cat-bounce towards the 1D MA50 on the 0.236 Fibonacci Channel level and then structure bottom around 7.80. That will be the time to go heavy on buys and target $17.00 (Fibonacci 0.618, which is where the last Lower High was priced at).
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How to Trade RIVIAN $RIVNPer EW, this is in wave4 consolidation wave, fell till exactly high of wave1, If this follows EW, then this should take reversal from here onwards to 15.6.
Another analysis with trendline support can come at 11.3 and then rise again towards atleast 13.68
FYI, i took few at 11.8 with a Stoploss at 11.28
Rivian Introduces Affordable R2 SUV and R3 CrossoversRivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ), the innovative electric vehicle (EV) maker, unveils its latest offerings - the smaller and more affordable "R2" SUVs and "R3" crossovers, signaling a strategic shift in response to changing market dynamics within the EV industry.
Key Highlights:
- Rivian's ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) introduction of the R2 SUVs, priced at $45,000, aims to address the slowdown in EV demand exacerbated by high interest rates.
- The decision to produce the R2 at Rivian's existing facility in Illinois reflects a strategic pivot to ensure timely deliveries by 2026 while reducing capital expenditure and mitigating launch risks.
- Rivian anticipates saving over $2.25 billion through this decision, reaffirming its commitment to fiscal prudence and operational efficiency.
- The R2, a five-seater variant offering over 300 miles of range, is poised to play a pivotal role in Rivian's success amidst intensifying competition in the EV market.
Challenges and Opportunities:
Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) acknowledges the hurdles in ramping up production and stimulating demand beyond early adopters, particularly in the SUV and pickup segment. The unveiling of the R3 crossover and its more potent variant, R3X, underscores Rivian's proactive approach to diversifying its product lineup and appealing to a broader customer base. With SUVs and crossovers gaining traction in the U.S., Rivian's strategic focus on affordability and versatility positions it to capitalize on evolving consumer preferences and foster widespread EV adoption.
Future Outlook:
Rivian's foray into the mid-priced EV market signifies a pivotal moment in its growth trajectory, signaling its commitment to democratizing electric mobility. As Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) navigates the complexities of production scalability and market penetration, its ability to offer compelling EV solutions at scale will be instrumental in reshaping the automotive landscape.
Conclusion:
Rivian's ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) unveiling of the R2 SUVs and R3 crossovers marks a significant milestone in its quest to redefine the EV market. By prioritizing affordability, adaptability, and innovation, Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) demonstrates its unwavering commitment to driving sustainable mobility and shaping the future of transportation.
Rivian ($RIVN) Rebounds From Record Low In Premarket MoveShares of Rivian Automotive, Inc. ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) rose in premarket trading on Monday after the battering they received last week in the aftermath of the electric vehicle startup's quarterly report.
The stock plummeted by about 38% in the week ended Feb. 23 and closed at a record low after the company announced 2024 deliveries guidance that fell notably below Street expectations. Following the earnings, sell-side analysts lowered their forward estimates for the company and, as an extension, their price targets for the stock.
Rivian Inc. ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) also suffered downgrades in the hands of JPMorgan, UBS and Truist Securities. JP Morgan downgraded the stock from Neutral to Underweight and reduced its price target from $20 to $11.
UBS downgraded the stock from Buy to Sell and lowered the price target from $24 to $28.
Truist cut its rating on the stock from Buy to Hold and took down the price target from $26 to $11.
Monday's rebound could be because the sell-off may have been overdone. Following last week's dismal stock performance, Tesla investor Gary Black defended the company. He flagged the company's likelihood of emerging as a credible number two to Tesla by 2030.
The company has a key catalyst in the near term as the Irvine, California-based company gears up to launch its second-gen R2 low-priced EV on Mar. 7.
For a reversal, the stock should fill the gap formed when it gapped down following the quarterly results and go past a key resistance around the $16 area. The stock is currently in oversold territory, going by its relative strength index.
In premarket trading, Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) rose 1.09% to $10.18 and suddenly plummeted by about 2%.
Rivian Plans Cut to 10% of Salaried Staff
Rivian Automotive Inc., ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) to cut 10% of its salaried workforce and set production guidance well below Wall Street’s expectations as the maker of electric vehicles grapples with stagnant demand and economic turbulence.
Rivian Automotive Inc., ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) will build 57,000 vehicles this year, roughly in line with its 2023 output, according to a statement Wednesday that also detailed fourth-quarter results. The forecast fell far short of analysts’ average estimate of more than 80,000 units in 2024.
“Our business is not immune to existing economic and geopolitical uncertainties,” Chief Executive Officer RJ Scaringe said on a conference call. “Most notably, the impact of historically high interest rates, which has negatively impacted demand.”
Rivian’s shares fell 16% to $12.98 as of 6:32 p.m. after regular trading in New York. Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) had already tumbled 34% this year through Wednesday’s close.
Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) expects an adjusted loss before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization of $2.7 billion for the full year.
That outlook underscores the challenge of scaling production and stemming losses in an environment of waning consumer demand for battery-powered vehicles. The automaker has aimed to challenge EV market leader Tesla Inc. following Rivian’s blockbuster stock listing in 2021, but it has since dealt with supply-chain woes and other challenges.
The layoffs, part of an aggressive cost-cutting effort, follow job reductions last year and in 2022. Capital expenditures this year will rise to more than $1.7 billion, Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) said, up from a little over $1 billion in 2023. It had initially forecast spending on the order of $2 billion last year.
Rivian ($RIVM) builds two consumer EVs and a battery-electric delivery van at a sole plant in Normal, Illinois. There’s a second factory in the works near Atlanta, where it plans to build its first mass-market, lower-priced EV starting in 2026.
Rivian Automotive Inc., ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) reported an adjusted loss last quarter of $1.36 a share, compared with an average $1.33 deficit in estimates. Revenue of $1.32 billion narrowly topped expectations.
Rivian ( NASDAQ:RIVN ) lost more than $40,000 on every vehicle it delivered in the last three months of the year, more than the loss of a little over $30,000 per vehicle in the third quarter. The company attributed that, in part, to delivery of fewer lower-cost vans to Amazon.com. The quarterly loss showed improvement compared with the $124,000 it lost on every vehicle a year ago due to supply chain issues.