$RIVN wants lower. Low to mid-20s? Or even lower?If we look at the chart, $RIVN seems to be making lower highs and lower lows.
This recent move up was just a retest of resistance at $47. On top of that, on lower timeframes (2hr), we seemed to have formed a double top.
This leads me to believe we're about to see another leg lower. If Rivn falls from here and loses the $37 support, I think it's likely that we'll see the low to mid 20 range. Supports on the chart.
After that, I can see RIVN bouncing, but eventually I think it could see the $8 range before reversing it's trend back to bullish.
Let's see how the next few weeks and months play out.
Rivianmotors
How long will it take Rivian to get back to its IPO price?Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN), the budding electric vehicle maker, initially bank-rolled by the likes of Ford (NYSE: F) and Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN), is currently trading 80% lower than its peak since listing on the Nasdaq stock exchange.
Bear in mind that Rivian was listed on the Nasdaq in November 2021, when you had to be very unlucky not to make money in the stock market, especially as a company working in the electric vehicle domain. In a sign of the jubilant (and bygone?) era, within days of listing, investor exuberance had pushed RIVN up by 115%, to US $170 per share. RIVN’s market electricity has fizzled in the following five months and could do with a recharge.
The Rivian stock price is currently trading very close to an all-time low, at US $37.00, 80% lower than its all-time high. In contrast, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA), a company which Rivian investors hope can be emulated, is trading 25% lower than its all-time high (US $1,200 vs US $900), which it reached in November 2021 (roughly the same time Rivian reached its all-time high).
RIV only just begun
As illustrated by its latest earnings call, Rivian has a momentous scope for growth.
In its Full Year 2021 earnings call, which was released on March 10, 2022, Rivian reported its first bout of revenue, a tiny US $55 million against a cost of revenue of US $520 million and other operating expenses (mainly R&D and administration) of US $3.7 billion. Consequently, Rivian reported a total net loss (inclusive of all costs) of US $4.7 billion for the full year.
The massive discrepancy between the company’s revenue and costs is a natural part of its growing pains. The automobile industry’s huge barrier to entry means that Rivian expects to be making a net loss for some time. However, it does expect to be profit-neutral by the end of the next financial year, and this might be what is more important for investors following the company.
No fast-charging solution
Rivian is still valued at over US $30 billion and far from a bust. However, it will perhaps take years for the company to charge its stock price back up to its IPO price of US $78.00. Even in the age of outsized valuations for EV companies and some residual investor exuberance in the market, investor confidence is butting up against obstacles such as the infamous chip-shortage affecting numerous car companies and tightening monetary policy from the US Federal Reserve.
To hasten the process and to overcome some of these obstacles on its way back to its IPO price, Rivian may have make better use of its US $18 billion cash reserve and carve out more than its planned 10% takeover of the EV market by 2030.
As it stands, Rivian’s total theoretical capacity at its two factories (600K) could garner 10% of the 2021 electric vehicle market. However, By 2030, electric vehicles sales are predicted to account for 1-in-2 vehicles sold, from a current 1-in-10. To account for 10% of all EVs sold in 2030, Rivian will have to boost production capacity to approximately 3 million vehicles per year.
For interest, Rivian generated its 2021 revenue of US $55 million on delivery of 2500 electric vehicles. The company’s guidance for 2022 expects to deliver 25K vehicles, which is a huge increase on its current production numbers, but fantastically far from the number of pre-orders on its books (83K) and unimaginably far from its 10% goal of 3 million.
Buy RIVN cheaper than George SorosBillionaire investor George Soros bought a $2 billion stake in electric truck startup Rivian in the quarter ended Dec. 31.
His average should be around $100.
RIVN 52 Week Range $37.50 - 179.47, today hitting all time low.
I see this as a potential buy opportunity.
My price target is $65.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
Rivian Stock RIVN Strength SignalsRivian stock RIVN has rallied 5.87% Wednesday to close at $64.53. The stock has shown some strength recently aiming for the downward trend’s reversal after confirming the formation of both; higher low, and a bottoming reversal pattern.
The stock RIVN could extend its rally hitting 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level that corresponds to the reversal pattern’s minimum target at $80.60 point on the short term.
RIVN BULLISHRIVN is a stock that most people now go Bearish on and smart money see this as an opportunity to drive the price up to bring it down I think. If the price goes over 124 I don't think we will see any Bearish moves. I see liquidity from people shorting RIVN and that needs to be filled and take people out of the game before going down.
RIVN is very volatile and you should not spend any money on this stock if you don't know what you are doing.
$RIVN Rivian Motors TA Upcoming Week$RIVN Rivian Motors Technicals for upcoming week.
NOTES:
- Rivian Motors has had ATH @ $180/s last week with a break correction currently at $128
- WATCH RVIN line at $120:
-- IF The lines breaks the stock can have a down-trend towards $95/s range
-- IF There is a bounce, stock will continue up-trend towards $180/s range
--Crucial that you watch that line within the next few days
FUNDEMENTALS:
- We typically only do technical here, but important to know that as of writing this the stock futures are -200pnts currently.
$RIVN Rivian Motors Technical Analysis $RIVN Rivian Motors
Technical Analysis
Although $RIVN has had an IPO in the past few weeks without much data to do a technical analysis, but we are already seeing patterns.
TAKE AWAY:
- Rivian Motors has broken the ATH Resistance line and it now became the support line as shown on the chart.
- The Analysis shows us the stock has massive potential of Up Trend.
- No other Technical Red Flags shown.
- In unlikely scenario the stock will bounce off the NEW support line if there is a correction.
KEEP AN EYE on a small correction to make your market move. But remember it is unlikely the stock will move lower the new support line.
ANY comments appreciated.
Important Trend Line!Money Makers!
Rivian has finally been launched on the NYSE. This trend line shown will be very important over the next few days, especially when we're able to use options. If it breaks below, that will be one of the first bearish signs and I'm sure there's a lot of bears waiting to take advantage. This project is currently backed by Amazon & Ford. With that being said with the pettiness between Elon and Jeff. I wouldn't be surprised if this project keep moving higher. Tesla is currently 10x Rivians price and I'm sure Jeff wants to catch up but that's just my opinion.
Love it or hate it, hit that thumbs up and share your thoughts!
It's all about Market structure, Area of value, and Entry Trigger.
Don't trade with what you're not willing to lose. Safe Trading Calculate Your Risk/Reward & Collect!
This is not financial advice.
RIVIAN is finally here! $RIVN backed buy Amazon and Ford - LIVE!Rivian is an automotive technology company that develops products and services to advance the shift to sustainable mobility. The company creates solutions that redefine traditional automotive economics and remove the pain points of conventional ownership. It also manufactures autonomous electric vehicles intended to offer a comfortable and eco-friendly drive experience. Robert J. Scaringe founded Rivian in Plymouth, Minnesota in 2009.
Amazon currently holds a roughly 22% stake in Rivian. Amazon founder Jeff Bezos showed off his commitment to the company as he prepared to go to space in July; he and fellow astronauts rode to the launch site in a Rivian SUV!