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RIVN

Story of Bubbles! George Soros: Stock market bubbles don't grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality as distorted by a misconception. I started my article with George Soros's quote and will continue with his great wisdom about bubbles! I think he was the one who benefitted from stock market bubbles the most! and this happened because of his approach to identifying and trading these bubbles! George Soros: “When I see a bubble forming, I rush in to buy, adding fuel to the fire,” Most people rushed into buying RIVN or LCID because they think this could be the next Tesla, and they did not want to miss this opportunity! This story is very similar to Workhorse's story in the past 3 years! I published 14 articles about workhorse between September 8th, 2020, and May 6th, 2021. 7 Bullish articles when the price was between 19.78-28.5, and target price of 40-42! WKHS reached 42.96 and closed at 41.32 on Feb 4th, 2021, priced made a top formation, and on Feb 11, 2021, I published a Short analysis when the price was 37.21. My first target price for WKHS short was 20-21 and then modified it to 10-11 and after that 5-4 in my last analysis! WHKS reached 4.92 and closed at 5.01 after 6 months! I wrote about this practical example because I want to mention: 1- The Bubble story repeats based on the same or different misconception that seems real! 2- The price Pattern moves Exponentially in both directions, either the inflation phase or the deflation phase! 3-Less experienced investors think prices will always be back at the previous highs or lows, which is not the case in many cases! 4- If you can not distinguish the different phases of a bubble, you will lose a big percentage of your trading capital! 5- Average Volume Price is the best tool to monitor speculative bubbles. 6- I strongly recommend reading about Reflexivity What Is Reflexivity? Reflexivity in economics is the theory that a feedback loop exists in which investors' perceptions affect economic fundamentals, which in turn changes investor perception. Conclusion: Please review Lucid and Rivian plans for the future! The Lucid goal is to manufacture 400K cars each year! BUT Casa Grande, AZ, is operational with a production capacity to deliver up to 34,000 vehicles per year. Rivian: The company says its factory in Illinois has the capacity to produce up to 150,000 vehicles per year. About 65,000 of those should be R1T pickup trucks and SUVs, and about 85,000 should be the company's RCV commercial delivery vans, Rivian said in financial filings. Delivery so far 154 ..! If you are looking at these numbers, you easily understand that they even don't have any plan to be the next Tesla..! Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site. Reference articles: www.investopedia.com
NASDAQ:RIVNEducation
by Moshkelgosha
9
$RIVN Elliott wave I don’t trade based off news events, like earnings, but I was doing the chart and when I finished I didn’t realize earnings come out today. I’m still going to enter my trade, just smaller. I went back and forth on different count set ups… I finally just picked this one as I think it is most consistent with EW rules theory. Green = overall primary structure I’m looking at as the fib points align with the EW impulse counts upwards. 5 blue waves give us a Green wave “i” up and a retrace wave “ii” down to the .618 fib, which falls into a demand zone. *Orange = this came from part of a different count, but keeping it in here. I think it supports completion of Green “ii” down as it supports an ending abcde pattern. I think we are starting Green wave “iii” upwards. Wave 3’s are most powerful. Only “news” I’ll throw into this is it could be a supporting catalyst that with a good earnings outlook, it could really boost the wave 3. Targets upside are $130; $140; and $150
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by PT_Marche
4th biggest Automaker has just deliverd 154 pickups so far!Rivian Automotive reached a 132 Billion dollar market cap which placed it as the 4th biggest automaker in the world after Tesla, Toyota, and Volkswagen. However, in premarket, it has passed Volkswagen and it seems today it will be named as 3rd biggest automaker in the world. It will be as big as General Motors and Ford combined! The question is how long it will hold this market cap??? I remember last February I talked about the EV sector Bubble! This bubble will last for a while and then will blast! So far with 10 billion dar Price volume/day it has enough power to go further, but it will not last very long! and I think we are 1-3 days away from top formation! In the 1930s, economist John Maynard Keynes said: “Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent." Best, Moshkelgosha DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor nor a certified financial analyst nor an economist nor a CPA or an accountant or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVN
by Moshkelgosha
12
SPY - RIGHT ANGLED BROADENING WEDGE- WILD THEORY - BIG BULL RUN?All, Yes, given the nature of the world this is a stretch, however throw away news and say its priced in. Follow me, right angled or any broadening descending wedge usually bullish aka oversold yadda yadda. One of the most powerful patterns out there by a long shot. Anyways of course they have large dips similar to what we see now. Why this pattern? Notice pattern current (wedge bullish angled) -> next pattern (wedge/falling wedge) extremely bullish patten (only if both wedges hold/break then are powerful). So when you combine these + trend that is what makes a bullish descn wedge possible. because it goes half way up drops down but holds onto a strong trend and takes it the rest of the way. Just follow this and lets see what happens I think most big stocks are way way over sold 30-60% retraced. I think this makes a ton of sense to make a bull run here and then I think most likely fail and break trend. Once again just noticing the patterns/theory. 1000000% be careful but worth watching.
AMEX:SPYLong
by DigitalData
PYPL- SPEED FAN BOUNCE - TRADE OF THE YEAR- BE PATIENTAll, This is almost too perfect. Weekly everything lining up. WATCH THE SPEED FAN BOUNCE AT BOTTOM. This Speed fan bounce and trend line bounce is going to be EPIC. This is a $200-$210 PT. Then bounce down on speed fan down to 190s 180s again then it should break 220+. How you want to play that is up to you I am aiming for 200-210 the second it gets 185-180. Risk I am willing to take. I see this as easily 200%+ considering IV is in the shi**er. Probably long term 400-600% assuming market doesnt tank or something news related. Fib trend bounce here Fib retracement here Stoch RSI literally dead at 0 reg RSI sub 20 WEEKLY holy hell long term trend line underneath $180
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by DigitalData
4
$RIVN Rivian Motors TA Upcoming Week$RIVN Rivian Motors Technicals for upcoming week. NOTES: - Rivian Motors has had ATH @ $180/s last week with a break correction currently at $128 - WATCH RVIN line at $120: -- IF The lines breaks the stock can have a down-trend towards $95/s range -- IF There is a bounce, stock will continue up-trend towards $180/s range --Crucial that you watch that line within the next few days FUNDEMENTALS: - We typically only do technical here, but important to know that as of writing this the stock futures are -200pnts currently.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by MARKETLYTICAL
Polestar is better then Rivian!Compare the market cap of Rivian at $125B vs Polestar at $15B. Now google search Rivian and Polestar. Rivian EVs look worse then their IPO evaluation! Granted they do have Polestar beat with their T-shirt revenue. Jokes aside, I think Polestar is in for some more hype before this run is over. The chart shows GGPI filling out nicely at these levels and looks like its will extend gains Friday or into next week. Looks like an easy 25% gain to me.
GLong
by importedAprico5944
1
Game Over..!Yesterday I published my analysis and mentioned we are 1-3 days away from the bubble blast! and we see the price is -22% today! I think it would be unrealistic to think about prices higher than 180, but moving toward 100 and below could be the more possible scenario! DISCLAIMER I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
10
$RIVN Rivian Motors Technical Analysis $RIVN Rivian Motors Technical Analysis Although $RIVN has had an IPO in the past few weeks without much data to do a technical analysis, but we are already seeing patterns. TAKE AWAY: - Rivian Motors has broken the ATH Resistance line and it now became the support line as shown on the chart. - The Analysis shows us the stock has massive potential of Up Trend. - No other Technical Red Flags shown. - In unlikely scenario the stock will bounce off the NEW support line if there is a correction. KEEP AN EYE on a small correction to make your market move. But remember it is unlikely the stock will move lower the new support line. ANY comments appreciated.
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by MARKETLYTICAL
4
Rivian 5th biggest Automaker with 125 billion dollars Market CapIt may sound crazy but Rivian is 5th largest automaker in the world ..! Above Daimler, General Motors, and Ford..! I may know nothing about cars and Ev makers, But I know what a bubble looks like! Rivian:125 Billion The Illinois plant currently has an annual capacity of 150,000 vehicles and Rivian has said it intends to increase that to 200,000 by 2023 as it adds new vehicles. Daimler: 107 Billion is one of the world's largest conglomerate automotive groups. Mercedes-Benz Cars and Daimler Trucks units are among the world's largest Premium Car & Heavy Truck biz, respectively. Vans, Buses and Financial / Mobility Services complete the portfolio. Daimler has reorganized into three independent legal entities sitting under Daimler AG: 1) Mercedes-Benz AG (Premium Cars & Vans), 2) Daimler Truck AG (Trucks & Buses) and 3) Daimler Mobility AG (Financial Services & Mobility Services). Mercedes-Benz Cars, Daimler's passenger car manufacturing subdivision, sold between 2.4 and 2.5 million vehicles in 2020. Daimler also produces buses and trucks. General Motors: 91 Billion GM is one of the world's largest automakers, with an annual volume of almost 9mm units. The company reports its operations in four segments, North America, International, GM Financial, and GM Cruise. It has made significant strides in restructuring its business since the last trough in 2009, positioning it well to deal with cycle swings and the evolving industry landscape. Ford: 76 Billion Ford Motor is one of the world's largest vehicle manufacturers, with over 6mm units manufactured/sold globally. In our view, the company has made significant progress executing its One Ford plan and delivering best-in-class vehicles. The company also remains committed to positioning itself well within the evolving auto industry through balanced investments across electrification, autonomy, and mobility services.
NASDAQ:RIVNShort
by Moshkelgosha
12
Some Thoughts About The Craziest IPO I've Seen (Rivian)Rivian is worth over $100 billion at the time of this writing. That's a lot of money. BTW, they don't generate any revenue. Actually in their press releases they write that on any given quarter, they expect to generate $0 – $1 million in revenue. But never over $1 million. No more than $1 million. From my research and understanding they are the first pre-revenue company to be worth $100 billion. I get it - EVs are hot. And they are backed by Amazon and some Saudi money. Maybe they have an awesome roadmap. But my goodness, at $100B they basically need to be flawless in execution. It took Tesla some 10+ years to get to where it is and A LOT of controversy. I have no position and don't plan on having one. It makes no sense to me. So best to stay away. Writing this down just for fun and to see what others think. The chart I attached above is a 30-minute chart of Rivian since its IPO, which happened this week. Thanks for reading!
NASDAQ:RIVN
by scheplick
14
RIVIAN is finally here! $RIVN backed buy Amazon and Ford - LIVE!Rivian is an automotive technology company that develops products and services to advance the shift to sustainable mobility. The company creates solutions that redefine traditional automotive economics and remove the pain points of conventional ownership. It also manufactures autonomous electric vehicles intended to offer a comfortable and eco-friendly drive experience. Robert J. Scaringe founded Rivian in Plymouth, Minnesota in 2009. Amazon currently holds a roughly 22% stake in Rivian. Amazon founder Jeff Bezos showed off his commitment to the company as he prepared to go to space in July; he and fellow astronauts rode to the launch site in a Rivian SUV!
NASDAQ:RIVNLong
by jeffreytesterman