ICE EU:RC Robusta Coffee forecast, Buy, Target 1995 (+45.73%)Robusta Coffee Futures (ICE EU: RC)
Trade : Buy
Entry : 1369
Target : 1995 (626, +45.73%)
Stop : 1290 (-79, -5.77%)
Posted on Sunday, December 27, 2020
Note : Coffee prices are likely to rise. The price flow is very stable. It seems that someone is managing the price well. If my prediction is right, resistances (targets) could be 1627 and 2007. Support could be 1290. If they break out 2110 and secure that line, there will be a high possibility of a very big move. As said many times, commodity prices will rise very high in 2021-2025, and coffee will be one of them.
Robusta
Robusta hit the target after 2 years at $28.00I don't know about you but I prefer Arabica Coffee to Robusta.
It's sweeter, it's fuller and it's not that bitter.
Anyways, I sent out this trade idea in September 2021!
The price broke above the Falling Wedge and there were strong signs of upside.
This trade idea was a slow pace and anyone who held onto this trade, most likely would have made very little money due to the daily interest expense charges.
It really does add up. And unfortunately, we traders can't treat these markets like medium to long term investors who deal with derivatives.
Anyways, the target hit at $28.00 and the price looks to be consolidating here before further upside. Hopefully, a new pattern forms and we can get wired back into the trade.
INTERESTING FACTS ABOUT THE ROBUSTA COFFEE COMMODITY
Second Most Traded Coffee:
Robusta is the second most traded type of coffee, following Arabica, in terms of global market demand and trade activity.
Price Determination:
Robusta coffee prices are influenced by factors such as weather conditions, crop yields, global supply and demand dynamics, currency exchange rates, and geopolitical events.
Use in Blends:
Robusta coffee is often used in coffee blends, alongside Arabica, to provide a stronger and more full-bodied flavor profile.
Coffee Exporter Revenue:
Robusta coffee exports contribute to the revenue of major coffee-producing countries such as Vietnam, Brazil, Indonesia, and Uganda, driving economic activity and foreign exchange earnings.
COFFEE - Short (again)I was stopped out on that last attempt but the technical picture is getting stronger! I have re-entered.
note: this is end of day data, that's why the profit/loss tool is in the particular place it is. Current price as I post this.
This is a scalp, a little less than 2:1 RR
I will most likely be out by that 50% Fib, my fav location. Quick to break even, quick to take profits, loads of Bullishness in this futures contract.
Happy Trading!
Need a frost to get this market moving.... doubt it will happen this year. last year we had three severe frost scare days/weekend.
IMHO this market is where it is merely because of cautious buyers ahead of the season.
I see rangebound through July and if no frost happens more downward potential.
Technically speaking, the bull market appears to be over.
130 target areaLooking for 130 area as a target of the recent decline in coffee prices.
Overall uptrend as indicated in upsloping orange trendline hasn't been broken yet
Spreads are weak as well.
Note quite yet, KC longCoffee nearing the orange support line around 122 (2nd month continuation, about 119-120 front month ).
Interesting fact about this correction lower from 134 to 122 is that this is the first time in a couple years that we actually have an up-sloping support line (orange line).
If the orange support holds this could mark a longer term trend reversal.
On the downside further targets remain the lower Bbands as well as the previous lows around 113.
IMHO selling put spreads out in Sep16 might be a good risk reward once we reach the orange line (U16 110/100 p spread). The U provides some decent premium over the other contracts as this is the frost scare month.