Bitcoin 2020 vs 2024Hello, me dear-dear friends! Today, I have prepared a comparison chart of Bitcoin's price formation in 2020 and 2024 for You.
We can see a very interesting pattern on the chart! Specifically, after forming a triangle, the price broke upwards and then halted its ascent, starting to accumulate right at the support level.
That's an excellent signal, in my opinion.🚀
In the near future, we might see either reduced volatility in the market or a sharp upward surge, depending on market sentiment!🤞
Yesterday's chart is also useful, and I highly recommend You check it out :)
Thanks for Your attention and interest in my work🫶
Sincerely Yours, Kateryna
Rocketbomb
Notcoin + Hamster KombatHello, dear friends! Have you already leveled up Your hamsters today? 😁 My life will never be the same! That's so addictive! And to think I'm an adult 😂
⚠️ But seriously, let's talk about the new buzzworthy game, Hamster Kombat, and its connection with the equally buzzworthy Notcoin.
The listing of "Humster Kombat" on an exchange or platform can significantly impact the price of NOTcoin for several reasons.
Here’s how it might reflect:
🔶Increased Interest and Trading Volume:
A listing on a new platform or the launch of a new initiative like Humster Kombat usually attracts the attention of traders and investors. This can lead to increased trading volume, which, in turn, may positively affect the price of NOTcoin.
🔶Increased Liquidity:
Listing on a new platform increases the availability of NOTcoin to a larger number of users. Enhanced liquidity can contribute to the stabilization and potential rise in the coin's price.
🔶Increased Trust and Reputation:
The Humster Kombat listing can boost confidence in the project and the coin. If the platform is popular and has a good reputation, it can attract new investors, which may also drive the price up.
🔶Integration and New Use Cases:
If Humster Kombat provides new features or ways to use NOTcoin, it can increase the demand for the coin. For example, if NOTcoin becomes the main currency for participating in the game or purchasing in-game assets, it can significantly increase its value.
🔶Marketing Effect:
The launch of Humster Kombat may be accompanied by marketing campaigns, which will draw attention to NOTcoin and increase its visibility. Extensive coverage in media and social networks can attract new users and investors, positively impacting the price.
🔶Speculative Expectations:
Traders may speculate on the upcoming price rise of NOTcoin in anticipation of the Humster Kombat listing. This can cause a short-term price increase before the listing and in the first few days after it.
It’s important to remember that the cryptocurrency market is volatile, and the price of NOTcoin can depend on many factors. Investors should always consider the risks and conduct their own research before making investment decisions.
In summary, the excitement surrounding Hamster Kombat is likely to have a positive impact on the value of NOTcoin. As more players engage with the game and the community grows, the demand for NOTcoin, used within the game, is expected to rise, potentially driving up its price. Keep an eye on this trend, as the intersection of gaming and cryptocurrency often leads to interesting market dynamics.
Thanks for Your attention and interest in my work🫶
Sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
More Than Money 💸Hello, friends! 😊 What do you associate trading with? 🧐 For most of us it's exchanges and investments are primarily associated with big money. However, trading in the financial markets not only provides opportunities for earning but also for significant skill development and personal growth.
Here are the top 4 qualities that trading helps to develop:
1. Strategic thinking 🧠
Systematic approach and having a well-thought-out strategy distinguish a professional trader from a gambler. Seeing that Bitcoin is rising and immediately buying it – that's not how it works: You need to follow rules to earn not situatively, but in the long term. First and foremost, adhere to risk management, which determines 90% of success.
The main rules of risk management in trading that are useful in any endeavor:
In trading: Invest no more than 1-2% of your deposit in one trade.
In life: Don't put everything at stake for short-term gain: soberly assess what you can risk so you won't regret it later.
In trading: It's not so important how much you earn. It's more important how much you lose or don't lose.
In life: Weigh the pros and cons of every serious decision.
In trading: Diversify risks, invest in different instruments so that potential losses from one asset are offset by profits from another.
In life: Always have a plan B, and preferably plan C as well, to achieve your goal. Because if something can go wrong, it will.
In trading: Cut losses to a minimum, let profits grow.
In life: Don't waste energy, time, and resources on what doesn't bring benefits or doesn't work out. Strengthen what's strong: focus on what You do best.
2.Stress tolerance 🫨
Trading is not the easiest way to earn a living: you need to be mentally prepared for both profits and losses, not succumb to emotional impulses, and maintain self-control. Sometimes you have to " rise from the ashes " and start over from scratch. However, just like in life. Only 2-3% of traders have natural resilience: the rest need to develop it.
Here are some tips from me, which I have formulated from my own experience:
"To develop resilience, allow yourself to make mistakes, take on challenges, and solve complex problems. In doing so, you become stronger."
"Learn to be flexible, not confined to your internal boundaries. "
"Don't be afraid to be yourself, to develop internal freedom and individuality, so you can accept your mistakes without criticism. A successful trader is confident, free from societal judgment, and doesn't need to be perfect: they pursue their own goals, not dreams imposed by others."
3. Independence 🕊️
One of the main advantages of trading is freedom : there are no bosses above you, you manage your own time and resources, and you are solely responsible for your actions. You decide how, where, and how much to invest, what risks to take, and so on.
The ability to take responsibility for oneself, not blame others for one's mistakes, and be independent in decision-making is a quality that is valued not only in trading. Independent, self-aware individuals progress faster in their careers, build harmonious relationships, and establish large-scale businesses.
4. Developing 🎓
You can't learn trading once and for all: the market is not static, it's constantly changing. Yesterday, for example, only a few knew about cryptocurrencies, and today fortunes are made on them.
So don't miss the opportunity to learn more , interact with like-minded individuals. Thanks to the Trading View platform for providing such an opportunity. Here You can create your own charts, see what others think, and study educational content.
In conclusion , folks, trading is a unique simulator that develops discipline, forecasting skills, responsibility, independence, psychological resilience, and a drive for self-improvement. All You need is diligence, discipline, and a community of like-minded people! Wishing You success!😘
🫶If You found this post interesting, hit the like button or as it's called now (boost) and subscribe so You won't miss out!
Always sincerely yours, Kateryna💙💛
Could Bitcoin be worth $600,000?😱Hello, friends!🫶 Could Bitcoin be worth $600,000?😱
🧐Today, let's take a look at the weekly logarithmic chart of Bitcoin and try to identify similarities and patterns in its movement to discuss the future price development.
I've highlighted support levels with green 🟢 lines (looking at the overall chart, these levels represented accumulation zones for future growth), and resistance levels with red 🔴 lines (where bullish trends typically ended).
💡 Pay attention! The lower support line was touched twice in 2015-2016, and the next time this happened was in 2023-2024! Looking at the chart, it strongly resembles an accumulation zone!🔋
Could there be a longer cycle?🤩 Let's say, not a 4-year cycle (from halving to halving), but a cycle lasting 10 years? Could Bitcoin be worth $600,000?😱
I'm so interested to hear your opinions and expectations for the upcoming halving and the following year.😏
The world situation is worrisome and doesn't inspire optimism.😔 But if we remember the times of the coronavirus pandemic, then similar sentiments prevailed.🤪
What are your expectations? Let's discuss!😇
Thanks for Your attention!
Sincerely yours, Kateryna💙💛
Altcoin Market Cup 🚀 up to $3T 🔥Hello, dear friends! 👋🏻 Take a look at what I've prepared for you today!
💥 Coin Market Cup (Total3 - excluding Bitcoin and Ethereum) 💥
The chart displays the total market capitalization of altcoins.
What can we see here? At first glance, the cyclic nature of price behavior is striking! 🧐By overlaying several Fibonacci tools, we clearly see the potential!🚀
It can confidently be assumed: the altcoin market is ready to surpass the $3 trillion limit by the end of 2024. Sustainable cycles, demonstrating repetitive circular motion, confirm this confident forecast.
What we've seen confirms not only the technical component of the market but also its fundamental aspects. Repetitive cyclical movements serve as an indicator of structural changes in investment behavior, reflecting a wave of interest in alternative assets. This signifies growing confidence in the altcoin market and its important role in the global economy.
What can You say? If you found it interesting, stay tuned for more updates and subscribe to stay with me!🫶
Thanks for Your attention
Always sincerely
Yours Kateryna💋
Moon is near 🚀Hello, everyone! 🩷Have we finally made it? Is Bitcoin really about to surpass all previous highs? 🙏We’ll find out very soon, and I think it’s quite possible! Fingers crossed! 🤞
Bitcoin is rapidly gaining momentum, and this is a great signal that we are on the right track!
Many of you have seen my chart where I analyzed some price movement algorithms, and we are currently continuing the growth phase. For those who haven’t seen it yet, make sure to check it out by clicking on the post.👇
As for the current situation, what do we see on the chart?
The price broke out of the triangle upwards and tested it, indicating an organic movement, followed by further growth.
What can we expect next? We anticipate continued growth to levels of 🟢 74,000 - 78,000 in the short term, and in the medium term, 🟢 82,000 - 87,000!
If You’re also interested in learning how to trade the triangle pattern, You can find a detailed description in my post below. Learn and trade smart! 👇
Thanks for Your attention🫶
Always sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
Ethereum 1d by RB🧐
Hello, dear friends! Today, let's take a look at the Ethereum/Dollar chart!💥
On February 25th, the last line of the descending trend was broken upwards, as indicated by the blue circle - that's serves as an excellent signal for further growth.
The question now is when to expect a correction? And how deep will it be?🧐
The next strong resistance levels are 3590 - 3980! Reaching these levels, the price may start a correction for further growth. The depth of the correction will depend on further price formations, so I will update the chart accordingly!
Thanks for Your attention.
Stay tuned!🫶
Sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
BTC Gaining Momentum💥Hey guys, Keep an Eye on the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern!💥
It's time to stay vigilant as Bitcoin gains momentum. The inverted head and shoulders pattern remains in play, signaling potential bullish movement ahead.
If Bitcoin manages to break through the crucial 65,650 level, it could serve as a significant signal for the bullish trend, indicating a possible victory over the bearish trend. We can see 70 000 - 71 000 soon!
Don't forget to keep an eye on this fractal for potential insights into market behavior. 👇
Stay tuned for more updates and analysis!
Always Yours, Kateryna💙💛
BTC on 9 h vs 1h charts💥Hello, friends! 🩷 Bitcoin is once again hovering and teasing us with its movement. 😏You might think it's stuck just like it was a few months ago, when we anticipated a price drop, but in my view, there are some differences that I'll try to describe in this post.👇
For clarity, I divided our chart into two parts - the left side showing the 9-hour timeframe, and the right side showing the hourly timeframe.
👐On the longer timeframe - the left side - we see that the price has broken out of the triangle upwards. Many of You, seeing a fake breakout from the same triangle before, might rightfully ask,<< could this be another fakeout?>> In my opinion - no, because the price has already consolidated sufficiently above. So, we have a breakout of the triangle.
👐Now, let's move to the chart on the left - the hourly one! There we see our breakout with the price formed in more detail! We can observe impulsive movements and the formation of a short-term channel, looking at which we can expect the price to rise to the 67,500 level. Then, we may either continue forming this channel by lowering the price to 66,100 and then rising again to 67+.
I think this will be the accumulation period before the moon flight:))
What do You think?😎Write Your thoughts in the comments.
Also, here's my educational post on trading channels, by the way, take a look😘
👇👇👇
Thanks for Your attention💋
Always sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
▶️▶️▶️ What is Wyckoff method? ◀️◀️◀️▶️▶️▶️ What is Wyckoff method? ◀️◀️◀️
This trading method was developed by Richard Wyckoff in the early 1930s. It consists with series of principles and strategies originally designed for traders and investors. Wyckoff devoted much of his life experience for studying market behavior, and his work still influences much of modern technical analysis (TA). Currently, the Wyckoff method is applied to all types of financial markets, although initially it was focused only on stocks.
Richard has conducted a large amount of research that has led to the creation of several theories and methods of trading. This article provides an overview of his work and includes three fundamental laws.
✔️ Three Laws of Wyckoff ✔️
1️⃣ Law of supply and demand
The first law states, that the value of assets start rising when demand exceeds supply, and accordingly falls in the opposite direction. That's one of the most basic principles in the financial markets, that Wyckoff doesn't rule out in his writings. We can represent the first law as three simple equations:
📍 Demand > Supply = price Max;
📍 Demand < supply = price falls;
📍 Demand = supply = no significant
price change (low volatility).
In other words, Wyckoff's first law suggests, that an excess of demand over supply causes prices to rise because there are more buyers than sellers. But in a situation where there are more sales than buyers, and supply exceeds demand, it indicates a further drop in value.
2️⃣ Law of Cause and Effect
The second law states, that the differences between supply and demand are not a coincidence. Instead, they reflect preparatory actions resulting from certain events. In Wyckoff's terminology, an accumulation period (cause) eventually leads to an uptrend (effect). In turn, the distribution period (cause) provokes the development of a downtrend (consequence).
3️⃣ The law of connection between efforts and results
Wyckoff's third law states, that changes in price are the result of a collective effort that's reflected in trading volume. In the case when the growth in the value of an asset corresponds to a high trading volume, there is a high probability that the trend will continue its movement. But if the volumes are too small at a high price, the growth is likely to stop and the trend may change its direction.
❗️❗️❗️ For example, let's imagine that the Bitcoin market starts consolidating with very high volume after a long bearish trend. High trading volumes indicate great effort, but sideways movement (low volatility) suggests little result. If a large amount of bitcoin changes hands and the price does not fall significantly, this may indicate that the downtrend may be ending and there will be a reversal soon.
You can find more my educational posts by hashtag #rocketbombeducational (You can click it under the pic of this post)
Thanks for your attention
I'll be glad to see your feedback
Sincerely yours Kateryna💙💛
3 Tips Can Help You Boost Your Trading Whether we're tinkering with our demo accounts or playing with a few dollars in our live accounts, it's never been far from our minds that our accounts will go big in the future.
Unfortunately, many traders struggle with taking the next step and trading larger positions.
Some find it difficult to risk losing the small profits they've worked hard for over the last few months, while others simply can't stomach risking larger positions.
Taking on more risk has its benefits. But be cautious...!!!
While increasing your risk can result in bigger wins, it can also magnify your losses and wipe out your entire account.
To help you avoid the pitfalls of big trading, I'm sharing three simple tips for increasing your risk:
📌 1. Be sure that you are in the green zone.
Don't even consider increasing your risk if you're not consistently profitable with small trades.
If you can't trade small positions successfully, what makes you think you'll be able to trade larger ones?
If you believe you are prepared but your account is still in the red, prioritize getting it back into the black. That's why demo and small accounts exist.
Continue to trade small positions until your performance justifies trading larger ones. After all, you don't want to compound your losses by taking larger positions.
📌 2. Go slowly and steadily.
Just as you wouldn't rush into fighting elite world champions after your first boxing lesson, you shouldn't rush into increasing your trading size.
Do you want to bite off more than you can chew?
The key to becoming comfortable with taking a larger risk is to gradually increase the size of your positions.
If you're not completely comfortable with the level of risk you're taking, it will most likely be reflected in your account balance.
Rather than making a big jump, aim for small, steady increases. It will have a less negative impact on your trading mindset and will allow you to adjust to larger risks more smoothly.
📌 3. Pay attention to percentages rather than dollar amounts.
I'll reveal a little trading secret that will assist you in adjusting to larger trading sizes:
Concentrate on percentages rather than dollar figures.
A 1% risk on a $10,000 account is the same as a $100 risk. Risking 1% on a $100,000 account, on the other hand, is equivalent to risking $1,000. You can trade larger by risking the same percentage on a larger account.
When you focus on percentages, it also helps to put profits and losses into proper perspective.
Losing 1% on a $100,000 account will feel very similar to losing 1% on a $10,000 account. However, when expressed in raw dollar terms ($1,000 versus $100), it is much more difficult to swallow.
If you take it slow and steady, and focus on percentages rather than dollar amounts, you should be able to smoothly transition to trading larger trading positions. Above all, don't increase your risk if you're not already consistently profitable trading small.
Thanks for Your attention!
Always yours Kateryna💙💛
XRP cool opportunity🚀
Hey traders! Let's dive into an exciting opportunity on XRP. It appears that XRP has been forming a triangle pattern since 2017. This signals potential for a significant breakout!🚀
🎯 Buy-In Levels: 0.5 - 0.6 🎯
Considering the current market dynamics, it might be a strategic move to accumulate XRP within the range of 0.5 to 0.6. These levels offer favorable entry points for traders looking to capitalize on the impending breakout.
💰 Profit Targets: 0.93 - 1.23 - 1.57 - 1.89 - 2.8 💰
Once XRP breaks out of the triangle pattern, we anticipate notable price movements. Set your profit targets at 0.93, 1.23, 1.57, 1.89, and 2.8 to secure gains at various levels.
🛑 Stop Loss: Below 0.13 🛑
As with any trade, risk management is crucial. Place your stop-loss orders below 0.13 to protect your capital in case the market moves against us.
Remember, trading involves risks, so always perform your own analysis and use risk management strategies. Stay informed, stay disciplined, and seize the opportunities!
Happy Trading! 🚀
Thanks for Your attention 🫶
Always sincerely with You, Kateryna💙💛
The key to understanding movements🔐Hello, traders and investors!🫶 I'm glad to welcome You to my page!
Today I wanna share with You a possible key to understanding Bitcoin's movements. In the world of finance, there are often questions about why asset prices behave the way they do. Some seem chaotic and unpredictable, but there is always a certain logic behind them, the main thing is to want to see it. And that's what we'll do together now.😊
Let's take a look at the weekly Bitcoin chart👀
Every trader can see something of their own. The most striking thing is the ascending trendline under which triangles are depicted. Each triangle is a cycle. In it, I discovered an interesting pattern, that I want to share with You.
I have highlighted the pattern on a white background on the left side of the chart.📊
Even before the formation of the triangle, the price forms an accumulation zone (orange 🟠 color), then goes through a distribution phase (red 🔴 color), then there is a 100% growth 🟢, after which the price corrects by 30%, and then comes the final phase - parabolic growth. This is where the bull market ends. Then comes the bear time, and the price forms a descending triangle trend for several years.
In addition to what I have depicted on the chart, it is important to consider such factors as:
▪️ Fundamental analysis: Understanding economic, political, and social factors influencing the market helps predict its movement. This may include data on interest rates, inflation, unemployment, geopolitical conflicts, and other events.
▪️ Technical analysis: Analyzing charts and statistical data helps identify patterns and trends in price behavior. This includes using various indicators, chart patterns, and support and resistance levels.
▪️ Market sentiment: Understanding the moods and emotions of traders also plays an important role. Market sentiment can be optimistic, pessimistic, or neutral, and this affects trading decisions.
▪️ Manipulations: Sometimes prices may be subject to manipulations by large players or institutional investors. Understanding their strategies and tactics can help determine possible price directions.
Understanding the key factors that determine market movements is an important tool for successful trading. Whether you are a novice or an experienced trader, continuous learning and analysis will help improve your results. And remember, the market is always full of opportunities if you can recognize them. Happy trading!
Sincerely yours, Kateryna
🟣 Channel Trading Strategy 🟣
Hello, friends! 👋🏻Today I'll wanna share with You my knowledge about channel trading strategy.
❗️ Channel Trading Strategy ❗️ is a classic form of trading in both crypto and other markets.
This is a trend trading strategy , so accuracy and safety are very high. Today, I will present all of you about the Channel pattern and how to trade with it in the most complete and detailed way.
❓ What is a Channel Pattern? ❓
The Channel pattern is a development of price following the trend which consists of two parallel support and resistance levels. Prices will fluctuate and create trends along the corridor created by these two levels.
⚡️This pattern ends when the price breaks out of either the resistance or support and creates a new trend . The breakout direction is often in the opposite direction to the direction of the pattern.👇
Two Common Types of Channel Patterns
With two parallel and horizontal resistance and support levels, this is a rectangular price pattern.
Channel Up or Ascending Channel
This Channel pattern type has two parallel and upward levels of Resistance and Support . The breakout of this pattern will usually be at the support. After the breakout, the price will reverse down. In some cases, the price may retest this support.
Channel Down or Descending Channel
In contrast to the Channel Up pattern, we have the Channel Down pattern with two parallel and downward levels of resistance and support. After creating this pattern, the price usually breaks out upwards (resistance breakout) and goes up. It is possible for a strong uptrend to appear after this breakout.
Trade Effectively with the Channel Pattern
There are two types of trading using the Channel pattern: trading within the price channel and trading as per the breakout of the pattern.
💡With this type of trading, You should remember clearly: In a Channel Up, only open UP orders. Conversely, in Channel Down, you can only open DOWN orders.
How to Open an Order?
🔺 For a Channel Up: 🔺
Entry Point: When the price hits the support of the price channel.
Stop-Loss: At the previous position where the price touched the support.
Take-Profit: When the price hits the resistance.
If the previous order wins, the stop-loss of the following order will be the entry point of the previous order.
🔻 For a Channel Down: 🔻
Entry Point: When the price hits the resistance.
Stop-Loss: At the previous position where the price touched the resistance.
Take-Profit: When the price hits the support.
Trade After the Breakout
The trading strategy is based on the breakout point of the price channel. This is a very good signal of a trend reversal. You open an order as follows.
🔺 For a Channel Up: 🔺
Entry Point: When the candlestick breaks out of the support.
Stop-Loss: At the previous position where the price touched the resistance.
Take-Profit: When price re-touches the support levels it creates within the pattern.
🔻 For a Channel Down: 🔻
Entry Point: When the candlestick breaks out of the resistance.
Stop-Loss: At the previous position where the price touched the support.
Take-Profit: When price re-touches the resistance level it creates within the pattern.
The article is a bit long. However, I have covered everything I know when trading with price channels. Thank you for reading. Do you have any tips for trading with price channels? Please help me improve myself.
Subscribe to stay updated!🫶
Thanks for Your attention💋
Sincerely yours, Kateryna💙💛
Explaining Dow Theory - Does it Deliver Results?
Dow theory stands out as one of the most revered theories in the history of financial markets. Whether you're engaged in intraday trading, short-term trading, or long-term investment, understanding this theory is bound to help you formulate diverse strategies.
Originally crafted by Charles Dow in the late 1800s, Dow Theory, also known as Dow Jones Theory, has stood the test of time. Charles Dow, the founder of the Dow-Jones financial news service WSJ (Wall Street Journal) and Dow Jones and Company, developed this trading strategy.
Even after a century, Dow theory remains influential and is considered one of the most sophisticated studies in technical analysis.
I trust this will be beneficial to anyone involved in trading or investing in financial markets.
What is the essence of Dow Theory?
In an article published in the Wall Street Journal on January 31, 1901, Charles H. Dow likened the stock market to the ebb and flow of ocean tides.
He stated, "A person observing the rising tide and wishing to determine the precise moment of high tide places a stick in the sand at the points reached by the incoming waves until the stick reaches a position where the waves no longer reach it and eventually recede enough to indicate that the tide has turned." This approach proves effective in monitoring and predicting the rising tide of the stock market.
Dow believed that analyzing the current state of the stock market could offer insights into the current state of the economy.
Indeed, the stock market can serve as a valuable gauge for understanding the underlying reasons behind upward and downward trends in both the economy and individual stocks.
How Does the Dow Theory Operate?
The Dow Theory operates based on several principles, which include the following:
1. The Averages Account for Everything:
Market prices incorporate all known or unknown factors that may impact supply and demand. It is believed that the market reflects all available information, including information not yet public. This encompasses various events such as natural disasters like droughts, cyclones, floods, or earthquakes.
Major geopolitical occurrences, trade conflicts, domestic policies, elections, GDP growth, fluctuations in interest rates, and earnings forecasts or anticipations are all already factored into market prices. While unforeseen events may arise, they typically influence short-term trends while leaving the primary trend intact.
2.The Market Exhibits Three Trends:
a)The primary trend:
This trend can extend from one year to several years and represents the dominant movement of the market. It is commonly known as either a bull or bear market. The bullish primary uptrend sees higher highs followed by higher lows, while the bearish primary downtrend witnesses lower highs and lows.
The challenge lies in predicting when and where these primary trends will conclude. The goal of Dow Theory is to leverage known information rather than making speculative guesses about the unknown. By adhering to Dow Theory guidelines, one can identify and align with the primary trend.
b)The intermediate trend or secondary trend:
This trend typically lasts from 3 weeks to several months and is characterized by reactionary movements. In a bull market, these movements are viewed as corrections, whereas in a bear market, they are seen as rally attempts.
For instance, during a primary uptrend, a stock may retrace from its high to establish a low (known as an intermediate trend or correction). Conversely, in a primary downtrend, a stock might experience a temporary rebound after a prolonged decline (known as bear market rallies).
c)The minor trend or daily fluctuations:
This trend, lasting from several days to a few hours, is the least reliable and is often disregarded according to Dow Theory. Long-term investors should perceive daily fluctuations as part of the corrective process within intermediate trends or bear market rallies.
These fluctuations represent the noise in the market and can be susceptible to manipulation. While daily price action is important, its significance lies in the context of the broader market structure.
Analyzing daily price movements over several days or weeks can provide valuable insights when viewed alongside the larger market picture. While individual pieces of the structure may seem insignificant, they are integral to completing the overall picture.
3.Major Trends Comprise Three Phases:
Dow focused extensively on major trends, identifying three distinct phases within them: Accumulation, Public participation, and Distribution.
These phases occur cyclically and repeat over time.
a) Accumulation Phase:
This phase occurs when the market is in a bearish trend, characterized by negative sentiments and a lack of hope for an upcoming uptrend. For instance, we witnessed steep declines in mid-cap stocks in the Indian share market, with new lows being made frequently.
While many investors anticipate this trend to persist indefinitely, this is actually when significant investors, such as large fund houses and institutional investors, begin gradually accumulating these stocks.
This period is known as "smart money" investing for the long term. Despite ongoing selling pressure in the market, buyers are readily found.
b) Public Participation Phase:
During this phase, the market has already absorbed the negativity, with "smart money" investing. This marks the second stage of a primary bull market and typically sees the most significant rise in prices.
At this point, the majority of the public (retail investors) also considers joining in as prices rapidly increase. However, many are left behind due to the speed of the rallies and the upward trend in averages.
Traders and investors may experience regret for not participating in the rally. This phase follows improved business conditions and increased stock valuations.
c) Distribution Phase:
The third stage represents excess, eventually transitioning into the distribution phase. In this final stage, the public (retail investors) becomes fully engaged in the market, captivated by the bull market rally.
Some investors who previously felt left out may still seek opportunities to join the rally based on valuations.
However, this is when "smart money" begins to sell off shares at every high point. Meanwhile, the public attempts to buy at these levels, absorbing the selling volumes from large investors.
In the distribution phase, whenever prices attempt to rise, "smart money" unloads their holdings.
This marks the onset of a bear market, where sentiments turn negative, bankruptcy filings increase, and economic growth shifts.
During a bear market, frustration levels rise among retail investors as hope dwindles.
4.Confirmation Between Averages is Essential:
Dow used to say that unless both Industrial and Rail(transportation) Averages exceed a previous peak, there is no confirmation or continuation of a bull market.
Both the averages did not have to move simultaneously, but the quicker one followed another – the stronger the confirmation.
To put it differently, observe the image above, as you can see both the averages are in bull market, trending upward from Point A to C.
5.Confirmation of Trends Through Volume:
Volume serves as a metric indicating the amount of shares traded within a specific timeframe, aiding in trend and pattern analysis.
According to Dow theory, a stock's uptrend should be supported by high volume and exhibit low volume during corrections.
While volume data alone may not be comprehensive, integrating it with resistance and support levels can provide a more comprehensive understanding.
6.Trend Persistence Until Clear Reversal Signals:
Similar to Newton's first law of motion, which states that an object will remain at rest or in uniform motion unless acted upon by an external force, market trends are expected to persist until a significant external force, such as changes in business conditions, prompts a reversal.
Signs of trend reversals become apparent when impending changes in trend direction are observed.
7.Signal Recognition and Trend Identification:
A significant challenge in implementing the Dow theory is accurately identifying trend reversals. Adhering to the Dow theory requires not only assessing the overall market direction but also recognizing definitive signals of trend reversals.
A key technique employed in identifying trend reversals within the Dow theory is analyzing peaks and troughs, or highs and lows. Peaks represent the highest points in a market movement, while troughs signify the lowest points.
According to the Dow theory, markets do not move in a linear fashion but rather oscillate between highs (peaks) and lows (troughs), with overall market movements trending in a particular direction.
An upward trend in Dow theory consists of a series of progressively higher peaks and troughs, while a downward trend is characterized by progressively lower peaks and troughs.
8.Market Manipulation:
Charles Dow believed that manipulation of the primary trend was improbable, while short-term trading, including intraday movements and secondary movements, could be susceptible to manipulation.
Short-term movements, ranging from hours to weeks, may be influenced by factors such as large institutions, speculators, breaking news, or rumors, potentially leading to manipulation.
While individual securities may be manipulated, such as artificially driving up prices before reverting to the primary trend, manipulating the entire market is highly unlikely due to its vast size.
Why Dow Theory Is Not Foolproof:
Dow Theory is not a fail-safe method for outperforming the market, as it is not without its flaws. Critics argue that it lacks the depth and precision of a formal theory.
Conclusion:
Understanding the Dow Theory enables traders to identify hidden trends that may elude more seasoned investors, empowering them to make informed decisions about their positions.
The Dow theory aims to pinpoint the primary trend and capitalize on significant movements. Given the market's susceptibility to emotion and tendency for overreaction, the goal is to focus on identifying and following the prevailing trend.
Is This the Start of a New Bull Run?Hey traders! Taking a brief hiatus to recharge and gain fresh insights from the market, I stumbled upon a fascinating observation.
🔍 Upon closer examination, I noticed a striking resemblance between Bitcoin's recent price behavior and a small fractal pattern dating back to late February. Overlaying this pattern on the current chart, the resemblance is uncanny!
💡 What does this mean? If this similarity in price movement persists, we could be on the brink of witnessing Bitcoin surging to $71,000 in the near future.
💥 Brace yourselves, because the Bull Run might be closer than we anticipate!
Stay tuned for more updates and insights as we navigate the exciting world of trading together. Keep those charts close and your strategies sharper than ever!
Happy trading!🫶
Thanks for Your attention 🫶
Always sincerely with You, Kateryna💙💛
📉 Bitcoin Price Update: Medium-Term Downtrend Continues 📉Hello, fellow traders and investors! 😊Let's dive into the latest analysis of Bitcoin's price movement.
As we assess the current market conditions, it's evident that we remain within a medium-term downtrend. Despite recent attempts to break above the main descending trendline, the price has failed to sustain upward momentum. This failure to breach the trendline resistance suggests that further downside movement is likely in the near future.📉
What can we expect next?👀 With anticipated minor pullbacks along the way, it's reasonable to project a descent towards the key psychological level of $60,000. However, the journey doesn't end there. Once we reach this level, it will be crucial to closely observe price action for potential further developments.
While my bias leans towards a continuation of the downtrend with a target of $58,000 and potentially lower, it's important to exercise patience and vigilance. Market dynamics can change rapidly, and it's essential to adapt our strategies accordingly.📊
Stay tuned for more updates as we navigate through these market movements together! Don't hesitate to share your insights and observations in the comments below.🩷
Happy trading!🫶
Thanks for Your attention 🫶
Always sincerely with You, Kateryna💙💛
Ripple up to 3$ this year?👀Hello, dear friends!
Ripple (XRP) has been forming a massive triangle pattern since 2018, indicating a potential breakout to the upside towards the $2-3 level. This makes holding Ripple in your portfolio particularly relevant.
The prolonged consolidation period reflected in Ripple's price chart suggests a significant accumulation of market forces. This triangle pattern typically signifies a period of indecision, with buyers and sellers balancing each other out. However, as the pattern nears its apex, pressure builds, often resulting in a breakout. In Ripple's case, a breakout to the upside is anticipated, given the historical bullish momentum of the cryptocurrency market and the positive sentiment surrounding Ripple's technology and partnerships.
💥To confirm the typical price movement of Ripple, it is worth examining the formations and breakouts from similar triangles in the past.
2017👇
2018 👇
For traders and investors, the breakout from this triangle pattern could present a lucrative opportunity. A decisive move above the upper trendline of the triangle, coupled with strong volume, would confirm the bullish bias. Traders may consider initiating long positions targeting the $2-3 range, while investors could view this as a validation of Ripple's long-term potential and consider increasing their exposure to the cryptocurrency.
It's important to monitor key levels and indicators to confirm the breakout and manage risk effectively. Additionally, staying informed about developments in Ripple's ecosystem, regulatory changes, and broader market trends will help navigate the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency investing. Overall, the formation of this triangle pattern on Ripple's chart underscores the importance of technical analysis in identifying potential trading opportunities and optimizing portfolio allocation strategies.
Thanks for Your attention 🫶
Always sincerely with You, Kateryna💙💛
BTC: short term perspectiveHello, dear friends!🩷 Let's quickly review the short-term perspective of Bitcoin.
What do we see on the hourly chart?🧐
The price hasn't reached the upper main medium-term resistance line; we're still within the descending trend. The price has formed a small head and shoulders pattern, indicating that the price will likely decline in the short term.
Possible levels are: 61,100; if it manages to hold and bounce off this level, it's a good sign. If the price will continue falling, the support level will be 59,800.
Take a look at the weekly chart and add the MACD indicator to it.🤫 It will surprise You!😱 What do You see there? Write in the comments!
Which charts are You more interested in? Short-term or long-term?
Thanks for Your attention🤗
Yours sincerely, Kateryna💙💛
$ 59 500 soon?
Hi! The "Bart" pattern in trading is named after a specific type of price movement on an asset's chart, resembling the contour of Bart Simpson's head from "The Simpsons" cartoon series.
Characteristics of the Bart pattern include a sharp price surge (vertical spike), followed by a rapid decline (horizontal consolidation), and finally a return to the initial level (second vertical spike). This pattern is often associated with market manipulation or anomalies, where large players such as traders or crypto exchanges may create the illusion of rapid price movement to induce other traders to enter trades and then exit with a profit.
The name "Bart" was coined for this pattern within the trading community due to its resemblance to the head of the character Bart Simpson.
Sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛
What do we have this time?Hello, dear friends! 🩷In your opinion, does the price formation look like it's heading upwards or downwards?🧐 Let's disregard the halving event and the moonshot hype.
🤷🏽♀️To be honest, in 2020 everything seemed quite obvious to me:
🟢there was significant accumulation;
🟢all possible indicators were giving bullish signals;
🟢chart patterns were also quite positive;
🟢additionally, there was the halving event.
What do we have this time?
🔴The price is moving in a downward trend;
🔴Indicators are bearish;
🔴Chart patterns seem to indicate uncertainty in the medium-term perspective;
🔴The halving event has occurred.
I'm so interested in Your opinion. Bitcoin cycles have been stretched in time (each subsequent one has been longer than the previous), so it's quite plausible to expect a price decrease followed by further growth, possibly not very rapid. What do You think?
Thanks for Your attention 🫶
Always sincerely with You, Kateryna💙💛
Bitcoin on 4h chart💥
Hello, dear friends! I think many of us were cheered up by a little Bitcoin pump. In fact, nothing unusual, it's seen within the framework of a descending trend. It's very important to monitor the price behavior, which may approach 63,000.
I see several possible scenarios:
📌Scenario 1: The price will rise to 63,000+ and test the descending trendline, then go back down to the lower part of the wedge.
📌Scenario 2: The price will rise to 63,000+ and test the descending trendline, then start a consolidation process (this will be an excellent signal for growth).
📌Scenario 3: The price will rise to 63,000+ and test the descending trendline, then sharply drop to around 62,000.
Which of these scenarios will unfold, there may be other unexpected ones for me, but the MACD indicator has crossed the lines indicating a price decline.🤫
Exciting times ahead!👏🏽
What are Your thoughts? I'm very interested to read Your thoughts, write in the comments!👇
Thanks for Your attention
Sincerely Yours, Kateryna💙💛