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Apple: Why I'm SellingA look at quarterly iPhone sales for the past 3 years tells its own story: 2015 2016 2017 Q1 74.5 Million 74.8 Million 78.3 Million Q2 61.2 Million 51.2 Million 50.7 Million Q3 47.5 Million 40.4 Million 41.0 Million Q4 48.0 Million 45.5 Million 40.7 Million Total: 231.2 Million 211.9 Million 210.7 Million Jumping straight to competition, notably by Samsung (SSSMF) in the premium smartphone market, we see declining market share in 2 of the world's largest smartphone markets - China - Down to 13.7% and The US - Down to 34%. The reason for the quarterly breakdown is the significance of diving in to one of Samsung's biggest mishaps - The Note 7 failure. The recall initially began in September of 2016 and lasted until the Galaxy S8 was released on April of 2017. It's no secret that the lack of a better option boosted iPhone sales for Q1 2017 and Q2 2017, slowing the decline in sales on a global scale. Assessing a continued downtrend from the lackluster performance of the iPhone 7 and 7 Plus, which disappointed, brings us to conclude that Samsung Note 7 Defectors Aided iPhone Sales for those quarters which would have been significantly lower if there was a viable replacement for the bi-annual (or annual) smartphone upgrade cycle. With expected continuation of market share loss in China and a yet-to-be-seen penetration into India's smartphone market, we believe those woes will weigh heavily on the company's sales performance. iPhone sales constitute over 62% of the company's revenues for 2017. A 5% decline in iPhone sales constitute a nearly complete wipe out of 2018 revenue growth expectations, where analysts are expecting Apple's Sales to Increase Roughly 15% to $254.32B. Services - Upside? The company's Services segment is Rising over 22% in Q3 alone with efforts to boost its offering in the Apple Store and other services. The segment comprised 11.29% of the company's 2016 revenues and is expected to be 12.77% in 2017, growing nearly $5B for the year. Its recent foray into Streaming is a worthwhile expansion with companies like Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) dominating the Expected $7.5B Market. Assuming Apple will be able to capture quite a significant chunk of market share with its massive user base; this can amount to over $1B of annual revenues, on a conservative note. It is safe to assume that Others segment including Mac, iPad, iWatch and others will remain constant but stagnant growth rate in the upcoming years. To Conclude the Upside vs. Downside of the aforementioned factors, with Services continuing their 20% upside ($5B annually), Streaming captures a 50% market share (an unlikely $2B annually) and Others continue to perform stagnantly, it will amount to only 4% of iPhone sales revenues, not keeping up with current sales decrease. Average Sales Price & Cash Flow Penetrating markets like India and improving China's market share requires lower phone prices, like the iPhone SE, which in turn hurts revenues with an overall lower Average Sales Price (NYSE:ASP). Chinese and Indian smartphone markets are increasingly Dominated by Lower Cost Advanced Companies. Apple's cash flow and pile, however large on paper, will remain under pressure as sales from its iPhone brand shrink and its foray into new technologies such as AI (Artificial Intelligence), AR/VR, Autonomous Vehicles and others increase Research & Development (R&D) expenses. I belive that Apple will do well looking forward with its massive R&D and new technology penetration. But declining iPhone sales and the somewhat problematic iPhone 8 & iPhone X release will weigh far more on sales then new technologies will provide for the time being. A better ROI can be found elsewhere. I'm starting Apple with a short term Sell rating & a $135 - $145 Price Target for 2018. Context Article: seekingalpha.com
NASDAQ:AAPLShort
by TraderDanER
5
ETC like a Phoenix Marketcap were dropping big last Days , ETC got a good short-mid therm feature and probably we found a higher bottom today , without leverage no doubt an exellent possibility for short or mid therm gains ... Risk reward ration is IMPRESSIVE and if urent aiming for the Stars i recommend a take profit under the 20 $ mark ;) with leverage kinda risky , so know ur risk and dont take that as an advice - and be rdy to close the position if the marketcap will drop again ~ unpredictable times at the moment... Good Luck :)
BITFINEX:ETCUSDLong
by y0gi
1
GBP/JPY ShortI bought GBPJPY the last week of August/ first week of September. I've been selling it all month, expecting it to hit 129.400 again (hoping price continues to fall past it as well, but well see). 68/69 trades have been closed in profit across two accounts. While taking profits on one account the other was left to run, so there are 7 active trades in drawdown, and 2 trades hovering in profit. since I don't us S/L's 132.340 is the resistance level I'm watching to determine whether I bail or try to mitigate losses. I'll get a warm and fuzzy feeling about my abandoned trades in drawdown if price drops below and rechecks 130.674. At this point I'm just trying to close them all in profit, so that I don't take losses due to not paying attention, but overall I'm stoked about the ROI I've managed to rake in this month.
Short
by Hvn_Cnt_Trd
USDJPY Still going short 3.6:1 ROI so farFor those who went short last week on this bearish Price action pinbar, you should be over 3:1 ROI, the aim is still to reach 101.2 for a nice 4.5:1 ROI. You can move you Stop loss and keep an eye on Bullish Price Action to get out of this trade. Happy Trading Price Action tracker Skype: PriceActionTool PS: Guys, as you all know, at the moment we can only share ideas via Twitter and Stocktwits, i ve asked Tradingview to add Facebook and Linkedin. . If you d like them to add those 2 extra social media options please show your support here getsatisfaction.com thx
Short
by PriceActionTracker