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NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/30/2024 SessionCME_MINI:NQU2024 - PR High: 19237.50 - PR Low: 19206.75 - NZ Spread: 68.75 Key scheduled economic events 10:00 | CB Consumer Confidence - JOLTs Job Openings Maintaining previous week end range - Showing potential to roll over below 19100 Evening Stats (As of 10:15 PM 7/29) - Weekend Gap: N/A - Session Gap 7/24: -0.32% (open > 19946) - Gap 10/30/23 +0.47% (open < 14272) - Session Open ATR: 329.53 - Volume: 20K - Open Int: 254K - Trend Grade: Bull - From BA ATH: -8.8% (Rounded) Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges) - Long: 20954 - Mid: 19814 - Short: 18675 Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions. BA: Back Adjusted BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone NZ: Neutral Zone
CME_MINI:NQU2024Short
by mv3trader5
Kroger stock is investor's safehaven in a volatile period.Hi everyone, Today I want to raise an interesting topic of stock market sector rotations. NYSE:KR is a great example to demonstrate that. Since late November broad risk assests have been selling off. When investors see the rise in volatility and sell their tech stocks, where do they put their money? They reinvest their money into low risk assets. NYSE:KR stock recently fired off a signal for a great buy opportunity . That's because Kroger represents Consumer Defensive stock sector and money has been flowing in from all the risk assets selling. And indeed, we can see that since November 22 stock gained around 25% in price. Now it is making all time highs, while all major indexes are nowhere near their tops. As the cycle continues, money will outflow from the stock, which will cause it to retrace back. But do not forget that Kroger is an established business with decent earnings and a long history of dividend payments. It won't crash like tech stocks tend to do. Instead, it will retrace to around 40-43 level. And when the tech recovers and we reach peak of bullish euphoria once again, just buy some Kroger stock . Trade wisely and good luck! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclaimer!!! This is not financial advise
NYSE:KR
by AyBe_Invest
A Study of Sector Rotation during year 2021 [Market Rotation]Sector Rotation Analysis starting from Jan 2021 While 2020 was a wonderful year for many investors, 2021 has been riddled with changes in the stock market thus far. In this analysis, I compared multiple ETFs that track different specific sectors in the market in order to visualize these changes. The periods and commentary are broken down month by month with the sector leaders and losers of that month. A little about Sector Rotation: Sector rotation in the market tends to follow the stages of business cycle—recovery, expansion, slowdown and recession. Recovery During the Recovery stage, feds will keep interest rates low while long-term rates rise. The material, financial, and industrial sector tends to take the lead during this phase. Expansion During the Expansion stage, the economy will expand at a stable pace while fed take a neutral stance on rates but credit conditions will ease. Again, long-term rates increase. Financials, Industrials, Technology, and Consumer Discretionary sectors will excel in this phase. Slowdown During the Slowdown phase, the economy peaks then starts to stagnate as inflation grows. At this point, credit conditions will be strained and stocks may fall. The sectors that do best in this phase are Consumer Staples, Energy, Health Care, and Materials. Recession During a Recession, the economy shrinks and feds cut rates. Long term rates decrease. Healthcare, Utilities, and Consumer Staples will do best in this phase. 2021 Sector Rotation Commentary During January , we tested all-time highs for the most part. Several events that occurred were the Senate run-off, the inauguration of President Joe Biden, and even the GameStop Frenzy. In world news, the number of Covid-19 cases were spiking and investors were optimistic that the vaccine would become available and help open the economy back up. Chair of the Federal Reserve, Powell pledged that the central bank will leave interest rates near zero. During early January, Energy was king of the sectors but mid-way through was overthrown by Real Estate and Communication Services. The sector losers of January were Energy, Financials, and Materials. February kicked off Earnings Season and we saw higher-than-anticipated numbers with a lot of companies beating Earnings expectations. One of the main events that occurred during February was the Treasury Yield started increasing significantly, this sent growth and tech stocks plummeting down (as they would be impacted more than established companies with well-balanced sheets and already sustainable revenue). A lot of low to mid cap stocks were significantly impacted by the rising yields and even up to today as I am writing this, still has not recover fully ($FUBO, $NIO, $PLTR, $SPCE). We saw a rotation from growth to value stocks. The Energy sector took reign over Real Estate while Communication Services rose steadily too. The sector losers of February were Materials, Health Care, and Consumer Staples sectors. Early March was the bottom of the sell-off that started towards the middle of February. Some notable events were the Suez Canal mishap, several banks getting slapped with margin calls worth Millions of dollars due to exposure from Archegos, and the $1.9 Stimulus was finally passed! The stimulus benefited the banks, airlines, and other consumer discretionary stocks so we saw a slight rally in cause of the news. Real Estate, Energy, and Finance continue to lead amongst the other sectors while Technology, Consumer Staples, and Healthcare continued to remain sector losers. It's Early May now and the market is starting to look both frothy and toppy. You can see a slight decline/curve from all sectors in the most recent period. Earnings Season is still going on but we saw many companies that met or exceeded expectations, sell-off after reporting earnings. We have also seen an increase in the VIX (volatility indicator) as a reaction on several news such as President Joe Biden's proposal to increase tax on corporations as well as the wealthy. The sector leaders today are (1) Energy, (2) Financials, and (3) Real Estate while the Sector Loser goes to Technology. I hope this analysis is able to give insight on the current market in regards to different sectors. If there's one thing that is apparent in this analysis, it is that the rotation from growth stocks to value stocks continue. While Tech stocks were a favorite during the Covid-19 lockdown, Tech has been overthrown in favor of everyday necessities like Energy and Financials this year. -Natalie Garces, OptionsSwing Analyst
AMEX:SPY
by optionsswing
6
Growth Portfolios did not perform great today.The Investors Business Daily 50 ETF (FFTY) was down 0.5% while the major indexes were setting new records. The rotation was not friendly to growth stocks. Today's rotation was a bit strange because it was not a particular switch in Industry sectors (like Tech to Utilities) but rather a rotation from Mid Cap to Small, Large and Mega cap. Actually VOT (mid-cap) still had a small gain, but trended down the entire day. Why? There are two factors in my opinion. 1) The post-pandemic economy. Small Caps continue to get energy as they will benefit from a recovered economic situation in the US and have a high potential to be the next growth stock. 2) The weakening US Dollar. Large Caps (and their big sibling mega caps) would be the most likely to benefit from a weakened dollar as exports will become cheaper in foreign markets, increasing sales while and multinational subsidiaries revenues are more valuable as the repatriate to a cheaper US dollar. I could be misinterpreting but just trying to make sense of a day when the entire market goes up but a growth portfolio goes down. Thankfully, I still have my XLE (the new growth ETF lol) in play.
AMEX:VOT
by drewby4321
3
Study of Sector Rotation During 2020 Market CrashFor Growth Investors, there were a few shocking days over the past months where the indexes went up but our portfolios went sideways or down. There's no worse feeling than having the market go up and have your portfolio go down. The cause was sector rotations as investors moved into "discounted" stocks that were hit the worst during the market crash of 2020 and hopes were they would recover sharply. This chart is a visual history of the last several months and confirmation of the rotations occurrences. I'm using Select Sector SPDR ETFs: XLK, XLY, XLV, XLC, XLB, XLP, XLRE, XLU, XLI, XLF, XLE. The base chart is a composite price index of all the ETFs listed. The other lines are % change comparison of each ETF starting just before the market made all-time highs and then turning downward. Please post in the comments if you see other insights in the chart. Here's hoping for a continued recovery and a safer world over the rest of 2020.
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AMEX:XLC
by drewby4321
58