Roundingtop
Take advantage of volatility spike: Sell puts.FUNDAMENTALLY COMPELLING
BUY rated by the consensus
+47% average target upside
Morningstar rating * * * *
TECHNICALLY: COULD BE REBOUNDING SOON?
GG is down 35% since the intermediate top above $20 reached in early July
This is 2.5X more than the consolidation in Gold (-13.74% since July)
Such negative performance has brought a spike in volatility
The stock has also just completed a perfect rounding top
It has also been forming a consolidation base at 12.65
Too early to buy outright, as the direction in Gold needs confirmation
However...
...OPTIONS STRATEGY TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF VOLATILITY: SELL (SHORT-DATED) OTM PUTS
FOR AGGRESSIVE TRADERS
Sell 16Dec16 $13 put at $0.32/share (indicative) for a yield of 2.38% (54.32% annualized)
FOR MORE RISK AVERSE INVESTORS
Sell 21Apr17 $12 put at $0.79/share (indicative) for a yield of 5.88% (15.11% annualized)
Index ready to pause before final dip?A BEAUTIFUL ROUNDING TOP FOR MR. TRUMP
Index seemingly forming a nice, even rounded top (a reversal formation)
What I particularly like about this one:
It's nice and even
It has been building for quite some time (4 months)
It is built around a fresh historical high (this makes it more relevant)
It completed yesterday a few points off the critical MA200 support
It contains symmetrical breakouts (green circles) and breakdowns (red circles) on either side
It completes at the end of the week and just before a major catalyst (elections)
MOMENTUM: DOWN-PAUSE-DOWN
The index is down 7 sessions out of the previous 9
Of those, the past 6 have been sequential down days
We are now approaching oversold territory (RSI <30) but not dramatically
Expect some "breathing space" ahead of the week-end
Expect a break below the MA200 and rounded top neckline (2,082) some time next week
If the support is broken, expect further downside
NEXT LEVELS
Potential rebound to 2,122 from here (+1.6%)
Main support at 2,082
If broken, head straight to 2,074 and then 2,063
HOW TO TRADE
Short SPY
Buying SPY puts
Buying VXX
Bull market at risk: an ideal short setupRounding top formation is developing for S&P 500.
Even if a bullish Bat is nearly complete, given the recent strong momentum to the downside I would rather prefer to wait for a retracement to a significat structure level and get involved short.
If price break below the rounding top neckline we may see the beginning of bear market.