$100, $1,000, $100,000 — When Numbers Become Turning PointsHey! Have you ever wondered why 100 feels... special? 🤔
Round numbers are like hidden magnets in the market. 100. 500. 1,000. They feel complete. They stand out. They grab our attention and make us pause. In financial markets, these are the levels where price often slows down, stalls, or makes a surprising turn.
I’ll admit, once I confused the market with real life. I hoped a round number would cause a reversal in any situation. Like when I stepped on the scale and saw a clean 100 staring back at me, a level often known as strong resistance. I waited for a bounce, a sudden reversal... but nothing. The market reacts. My body? Not so much. 🤷♂️
The market reacts. But why? What makes these numbers so powerful? The answer lies in our minds, in market dynamics, and in our human tendency to crave simplicity.
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Psychology: Why our brain loves round numbers
The human mind is designed to create structure. Round numbers are like lighthouses in the chaos — simple, memorable, and logical. If someone asks how much your sofa cost, you’re more likely to say "a grand" than "963.40 dollars." That’s normal. It’s your brain seeking clarity with minimal effort.
In financial markets, round numbers become key reference points. Traders, investors, even algorithms gravitate toward them. If enough people believe 100 is important, they start acting around that level — buying, selling, waiting. That belief becomes reality, whether it's rational or not. We anchor decisions to familiar numbers because they feel safe, clean, and "right."
Walmart (WMT) and the $100 mark
Round numbers also carry emotional weight. 100 feels like a milestone, a finish line. It’s not just a number, it’s both an ending and a beginning.
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Round numbers in the market: Resistance and support
Round number as a resistance
Imagine a stock climbing steadily: 85, 92, 98... and then it hits 100. Suddenly, it stalls. Why? Investors who bought earlier see 100 as a "perfect" profit point. "A hundred bucks. Time to sell." Many pre-set sell orders are already waiting. Most people don’t place orders at $96.73. They aim for 100. A strong and symbolic.
At the same time, speculators and short sellers may step in, viewing 100 as too high. This creates pressure, slowing the rally or pushing the price back down.
If a stock begins its journey at, say, $35, the next key round levels for me are: 50, 100, 150, 200, 500, 1,000, 2,000, 5,000, 10,000…
Slide from my training materials
These levels have proven themselves again and again — often causing sideways movement or corrections. When I recently reviewed the entire S&P 500 list, for example $200 showed up consistently as a resistance point.
It’s pure psychology. Round numbers feel "high" — and it's often the perfect moment to lock in profits and reallocate capital. Bitcoin at $100,000. Netflix at $1,000. Tesla at $500. Walmart at $100. Palantir at $100. These are just a few recent examples.
Round number support: A lifeline for buyers
The same logic works in reverse. When price falls through 130, 115, 105... and lands near 100, buyers often step in. "100 looks like a good entry," they say. It feels like solid ground after a drop. We love comeback stories. Phoenix moments. Underdogs rising. Buy orders stack up and the price drop pauses.
Some examples:
Meta Platforms (META)
Amazon.com (AMZN) — $100 acted as resistance for years, then became support after a breakout
Tesla (TSLA)
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Why round numbers work for both buyers and sellers
Buyers and the illusion of a bargain
If a stock falls from 137 to 110 and approaches 100, buyers feel like it’s hit bottom. Psychologically, 100 feels cheap and safe. Even if the company’s fundamentals haven’t changed, 100 just "feels right." It’s like seeing a price tag of $9.99 — our brain rounds it down and feels like we got an epic deal.
Sellers and the "perfect" exit
When a stock rises from 180 to 195 and nears 200, many sellers place orders right at 200. "That’s a nice round number, I’ll exit there." There’s emotional satisfaction. The gain feels cleaner, more meaningful, when it ends on a round note.
To be fair, I always suggest not waiting for an exact level like 200. If your stock moved through 145 > 165 > 185, don’t expect perfection. Leave room. A $190 target zone makes more sense. Often, greed kills profit before it can be realized. Don’t squeeze the lemon dry.
Example: My Tesla analysis on TradingView with a $500 target — TESLA: Money On Your Screen 2.0 | Lock in Fully…
Before & After: As you see there, the zone is important, not the exact number.
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Round numbers in breakout trades
When price reaches a round number, the market often enters a kind of standoff. Buyers and sellers hesitate. The price moves sideways, say between 90 and 110. Psychologically, it’s a zone of indecision. The number is too important to ignore, but the direction isn’t clear until news or momentum pushes it.
When the direction is up and the market breaks above a key level, round numbers work brilliantly for breakout trades or strength-based entries.
Slide from my training materials
People are willing to pay more once they see the price break through a familiar barrier. FOMO kicks in. Those who sold earlier feel regret and jump back in. And just like that, momentum builds again — until the next round-number milestone.
Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B) — every round number so far has caused mild corrections or sideways action. I’d think $500 won’t be any different.
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Conclusion: Simplicity rules the market
Round numbers aren’t magic. They work because we, the people, make the market. We love simplicity, patterns, and emotional anchors. These price levels are where the market breathes, pauses, thinks, and decides. When you learn to recognize them, you gain an edge — not because the numbers do something, but because crowds do.
A round number alone is never a reason to act.
If a stock drops to 100, it doesn’t mean it’s time to buy. No single number works in isolation. You need a strategy — a set of supporting criteria that together increase the odds. Round numbers are powerful psychological levels, but the real advantage appears when they align with structure and signals.
Keep round numbers on your radar. They’re the market’s psychological mirror, and just like us, the market loves beautiful numbers.
If this article made you see price behavior differently, or gave you something to think about, feel free to share it.
🙌 So, that's it! A brief overview and hopefully, you found this informative. If this article made you see price behavior differently, or gave you something to think about, feel free to share it & leave a comment with your thoughts!
Before you leave - Like & Boost if you find this useful! 🚀
Trade smart,
Vaido
Roundnumber
100% Gains in Walmart! What’s Next at This Key Level?Hello readers,
Back in July 2023, I pointed out a major breakout in Walmart (WMT) after years of struggle around the $150-$154 zone. Fast forward, and here we are – Walmart has doubled in price! 📈
Of course, this isn't the raw $300 we might expect because of the 3-for-1 stock split, but the percentage gain remains a solid 100%+ from our entry.
What Now?
$100 is a round number, and historically, NYSE:WMT has reacted to these psychological levels. The market has started to range in these level, suggesting some hesitation.
Taking partial or full profits could be a smart move – but as always, the choice is yours!
This is just a reminder and a heads-up to stay aware of price action. Trade smart! 💡
Let me know your thoughts – are you holding or booking profits?
Cheers,
Vaido
Tue 11th Feb 2025 GBP/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Thu 6th Feb 2025 GBP/AUD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/AUD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Thu 16th Jan 2025 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Buy. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Tue 26th Nov 2024 BTC/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a BTC/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
BTC at $98K: Counting Down to $100K!Bitcoin is on the verge of a historic milestone, currently trading around $98,000 – and I’m celebrating a bit early because we’re just a stone's throw away from $100,000! 🌟
📈 BTC's Journey to 6 Figures
From humble beginnings in 2009 to becoming a trillion-dollar asset, Bitcoin's growth has been fueled by technological innovation, global adoption, and its status as digital gold.
Key levels along the way: MIL:1K , $10k, $50k – and now approaching $100k!
🌐 The Broader Impact
This milestone isn't just about numbers; it represents Bitcoin's growing legitimacy in traditional finance, its adoption as a store of value, and its integration into global markets.
💬 What’s Next for Bitcoin?
Could this be the start of another bullish phase, or is it time to consolidate?
Let’s discuss potential scenarios and key levels to watch.
🚀 To the moon and beyond!
Let’s celebrate this iconic moment together (a little early).
Share your thoughts, charts, and ideas below! 💬👇
Fri 1st Nov 2024 GBP/JPY Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a GBP/JPY Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
ETH - Two Levels to Long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📔Here is a practical example on how to find your edge.
According to our last educational post:
Where is ETH now?
It’s currently in the middle of nowhere, a no-trade zone, as we don’t have an edge.
Here are the possible areas where we’d be interested in trading:
1️⃣ $2000 is a round number that intersects with a structure and trendline, making it an attractive zone to consider medium-term longs.
2️⃣ $2900 represents the previous major high and structure that the bulls need to break above to take full control.
Until then, we wait!⏱️
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NEIRO - Following the Hype...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈NEIRO has been overall bullish , trading inside the flat rising channel in orange.
Moreover, it is approaching a massive round number $0.001.
🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the $0.001 and lower orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NEIRO approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
AUDJPY - Strong Round Number Ahead!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDJPY has been bullish trading within the flat rising channel in orange.
However, currently AUDJPY is approaching a strong supply zone and round number $100.
Thus, we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes, to be confirmed after breaking below the short-term red channel.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Understanding Price Clustering in the Bitcoin Market█ Understanding Price Clustering in the Bitcoin Market
Price clustering is a phenomenon where certain price levels, particularly round numbers, tend to appear more frequently in financial markets. This study focuses on how price clustering occurs in the Bitcoin market, providing insights that can be valuable for traders.
█ The Psychology Behind Price Clustering
One of the primary reasons behind price clustering in the Bitcoin market is the psychological impact of round numbers. Market participants often perceive prices ending in 0 or 00 as significant, which leads to a concentration of buy and sell orders around these levels. This behavior is not unique to Bitcoin; it has been observed across various financial markets, from stocks to foreign exchange.
For instance, when Bitcoin prices approach a round number like $30,000 or $50,000, traders might expect strong resistance or support at these levels. This expectation can lead to increased trading activity, causing prices to cluster around these key levels. The psychological importance of these numbers can also cause traders to place stop-loss or take-profit orders around them, further reinforcing the clustering effect.
█ Key Findings from the Study
⚪ Clustering Around Round Numbers: The study highlights that Bitcoin prices tend to cluster around round numbers, such as $10,000, $20,000, or $50,000. This is primarily driven by psychological barriers, where traders view these round numbers as significant price levels, leading to an increased concentration of trading activity.
⚪ Impact of Time Frames: The extent of price clustering varies significantly with the time frame. In shorter time frames (like 1-minute or 15-minute intervals), price clustering is less pronounced due to the randomness of price movements. However, as the time frame lengthens (hourly or daily), the clustering effect becomes more apparent, suggesting that traders may be more likely to anchor their strategies around these round numbers over longer periods.
⚪ Differences in Open, High, and Low Prices: The study also finds differences in clustering patterns between open, high, and low prices. High prices tend to cluster around the digits 8, 9, and 0, while low prices cluster around 1, 2, and 0. Open prices generally show less clustering, suggesting they are less influenced by immediate market psychology. This pattern suggests that traders should pay particular attention to high and low prices during trading sessions, as these are more likely to show clustering around key levels.
High Price: This is the highest price that Bitcoin reaches during a specific time period (for example, during a day or an hour). The study found that high prices cluster more around certain numbers, especially numbers ending in 0 or 9. So, high prices often end in numbers like $10, $100, $1,000, or $9,999 because traders tend to react to these round numbers.
Low Price: This is the lowest price Bitcoin hits during a certain time period. Similar to high prices, low prices also cluster, but more around numbers ending in 0 and 1. So, low prices might end in numbers like $10, $1,001, or $5,001.
Why is there a difference?
High prices tend to cluster at numbers ending in 0 or 9 because those feel like natural stopping points for traders.
Low prices tend to cluster at numbers ending in 0 or 1 for similar reasons.
⚪ Price Level Influence: The study highlights that clustering behavior changes with the overall price level of Bitcoin. At lower price levels (e.g., below $10,000), there is more clustering around multiples of 5, such as $25, $50, or $75. As the price increases, the significance of these smaller increments diminishes, and clustering around larger round numbers becomes more dominant.
█ Practical Insights for Retail Traders
Understanding price clustering is crucial for traders because it sheds light on how market participants behave, particularly around psychologically significant price levels. These insights can help traders anticipate where the market might encounter resistance or support, allowing them to make more informed decisions.
⚪ Identify Key Psychological Levels: Retail traders can benefit from identifying and monitoring round number levels in Bitcoin prices, such as $10,000, $30,000, or $50,000. These levels are likely to act as psychological barriers, leading to increased trading activity. Understanding these levels can help traders anticipate potential support or resistance areas where price reversals may occur.
⚪ Adjust Trading Strategies Based on Time Frame: The study suggests that the effectiveness of using price clustering in trading strategies depends on the time frame. For short-term traders, clustering may be less reliable, but for those operating on longer time frames, clustering around round numbers could provide actionable signals for entry or exit points.
⚪ Focus on High and Low Prices: Retail traders should pay particular attention to clustering in high and low prices during a trading session. These prices are more likely to exhibit clustering, indicating areas where traders might place stop-loss orders or where price reversals could occur. By aligning their trades with these clusters, traders could improve their risk management. If you’re setting stop-loss orders, for instance, placing them just beyond a cluster point could help you avoid being stopped out prematurely by normal market noise. Similarly, identifying clusters at high prices could offer better opportunities for taking profits.
⚪ Consider the Overall Price Level: The level at which Bitcoin is trading also affects clustering. For example, when Bitcoin is at a lower price, traders might find opportunities by focusing on price levels ending in 5 or 0. However, as Bitcoin’s price increases, clustering becomes more concentrated around larger round numbers. Adjusting trading strategies to consider the current price level can enhance decision-making.
Price Clustering at Low Levels (<$10 USD):
There is significant clustering at prices ending in 0, but also notable clustering at prices ending in 5, which acts as a psychological barrier at these lower levels. Prices ending with 50 are also frequently observed as significant psychological barriers. Clustering is weaker overall at these levels compared to higher price ranges, but still noticeable at certain intervals.
Price Clustering at Mid-Levels ($100–$1,000 USD):
Clustering becomes more focused on round numbers like 00, 50, and 25. As prices increase, clustering around smaller numbers like 5 or 10 reduces. Larger psychological barriers, such as 100 and 500, emerge as significant points of clustering.
Price Clustering at Higher Levels (≥ $10,000 USD):
At these price levels, clustering becomes even more prominent around major round numbers like 10,000, 20,000, etc. The last two digits 00 become much more frequent, and there is almost no clustering at digits like 5 or 1. Clustering becomes very strong at larger round figures, with a strong psychological barrier hypothesis at play.
Summary of Clustering at Different Levels:
Low Prices (<$10): Clustering at 5, 10, 50, and 100.
Mid Prices ($100–$1,000): Strong clustering at 00, 50, and 25.
High Prices (≥$10,000): Dominant clustering around 00 and multiples of 1,000 (e.g., 10,000, 20,000).
█ Conclusion
Price clustering is more than just an academic concept; it’s a practical tool that can significantly enhance your trading strategy. By understanding how prices tend to cluster around psychological levels, adapting your approach based on time frames, and recognizing the impact of Bitcoin’s price level, you can make more informed trading decisions. By integrating these insights into your trading plan, you’re not only aligning your strategy with the behavior of the broader market but also positioning yourself to capitalize on key price movements. Whether you’re a seasoned trader or just starting out, the knowledge of price clustering can help you navigate the volatile Bitcoin market with greater confidence and precision.
█ Reference
Xin, L., Shenghong, L., & Chong, X. (2020). Price clustering in Bitcoin market—An extension. Finance Research Letters, 32, 101072.
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Disclaimer
This is an educational study for entertainment purposes only.
The information in my Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems does not constitute financial advice or a solicitation to buy or sell securities. I will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on such information.
All investments involve risk, and the past performance of a security, industry, sector, market, financial product, trading strategy, backtest, or individual's trading does not guarantee future results or returns. Investors are fully responsible for any investment decisions they make. Such decisions should be based solely on evaluating their financial circumstances, investment objectives, risk tolerance, and liquidity needs.
My Scripts/Indicators/Ideas/Algos/Systems are only for educational purposes!
BTC - Key Checkpoint...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, BTC rejected the $50,000 support zone and surged by over 25%.
What's next?
Currently, BTC is hovering around a key rejection level and round number $60,000.
For the bulls to maintain control and push towards $70,000, a break above the $60,000 level is needed.
📉 Meanwhile , the bears can still kick in for one more correction phase especially if the $59,000 support is broken downward.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
BTC - Make or Break Zone!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 After rejecting the $70,000 round number, BTC has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel marked in red.
Currently, BTC is hovering around the lower bound of the channel which is lining up perfectly with the $50,000 round number.
🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong rejecting area to expect the bulls to kick in from.
📉 However, if the $50,000 fails to hold, a bearish continuation towards the $40,000 demand zone would be expected.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Never bet against America - But it is time for a correction!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
It is true that the legend Warren Buffett says: "Never bet against America"
But it is time for a correction in my opinion.
I find the daily chart for US500 to be interesting as it appears to be forming one of my favorite patterns. What I call TRIO RETEST
1️⃣ => Non-Horizontal Resistance
US500 has been overall bullish from a long-term perspective, trading within the rising channel in orange and currently hovering around the upper bound / orange trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
2️⃣ => Overbought
From a medium-term perspective, US500 has been trading inside the rising channel in red, and it is currently hovering around its upper bound / red trendline acting as an over-bought zone.
3️⃣ => Round Number
Moreover, the $5,500 is a massive round number.
Thus, as long as the $5,500 mark holds, I expect a bearish correction towards the lower bound of the red channel.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EUR/USD Eyeing Possible WhipsawFollowing yesterday’s FOMC-induced advance from daily support between $1.0726 and $1.0739, chart studies on the daily timeframe demonstrate the scope to navigate higher terrain until reaching a resistance zone between $1.0920 and $1.0883.
Given the daily structure and having seen H1 price trading within striking distance of $1.08 support, this could prompt buyers at this level. However, with support positioned below the big figure at $1.0795, a whipsaw below $1.08 into the said support could be seen before buyers attempt to make a show.
GOLD - Wait For It ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
On Daily: Left Chart
GOLD has been bullish trading within the flat channel in blue and it is currently hovering around the upper bound.
On M30: Right Chart
📈 For the bears to take over, we need a momentum candle close below the last major low highlighted in gray.
📉 Meanwhile, XAUUSD would be bullish short-term and can still trade higher to test the $2100.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTC - Next Stop => 60,000 📍Hello TradingView Family and Fellow Traders,
This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📉 BTC has shown an overall bullish trend, trading within the rising broadening wedge pattern highlighted in orange.
It's evident that BTC has been respecting significant round numbers, particularly the 10,000 marks.
📍 Therefore, following its breakthrough above 50,000, our next target is 60,000, coinciding with the upper boundary of the wedge pattern.
📚 Always adhere to your trading plan, especially regarding entry points, risk management, and trade execution.
Wishing you all the best of luck!
Remember, All Strategies Are Effective When Properly Managed!
~Rich
ETH - Be Careful - OverBought Zone Ahead 🛑Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #ETH.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
XRP - Wait For It 🏹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
XRP has been overall bearish trading inside the falling channel in red.
However it is currently approaching the lower bound of the channel and a strong support at 0.54.
📈 As long as the support holds, we will be looking for short-term buy setups on lower timeframes.
🏹 For the bulls to take over from a medium-term perspective, we need a break above the last major high at 0.625.
📉 If the 0.54 support is broken downward, we will expect further bearish movement till the 0.5 support where we will be looking for new short-term buy setups.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
BTR - Detailed Top Down Analysis 📹Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #BTR.
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and Why?
📚Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich