BTC/USD - daily chart divergence showed the wayThe divergence was strong with this one.
Both the RSI and MACD showed huge Divergence from the Price.
Divergence is a very good way to try and prevent your buy trade from being someone else’s exit liquidity at the top.
It'll be interesting to see if those Liquidity Voids below get filled up.
Divergence:
Liquidity Voids:
Rsi_divergence
Quick Rally For 3030 Has Fallen to a High volume trading area reaching the point of control that could act as a strong support, added There's also a strong Hidden Bullish Divergence on the RSI that gives great indication that we could see a rally up from this daily support lvl (42,300) back to the "trend line" break & previous structure low,(Filling the sell side imbalance -FVG)
Confluences on This Trade
- Rejecting Daily support lvl 42,266
- Rejecting Demand zone
- @ 38.2 Fib Retracement
- Hidden Bullish Divergence (RSI)
- Buy Side imbalance fill
- Daily Volume Support
Lock in with your LTF Bullish Entry Signal,
WAIT FOR YOUR CONFIRMATION AND
**RISK ACCORDINGLY
Intro to the next possible move:
After this bullish move - price could reject the Trend line and previous structure low, then continue down.
**This bullish to bearish move would give price action a "Head and shoulders ish" Pattern on a HTF.
Caution on the Bearish Sell- we have high volume right below the 41,000 bank lvl that could act as a support.
with all of that being said the one thing that gives me great hesitation on the 2nd part of this move The "Bearish Sell" is the fact that this current pull back only brought price down to the 38.2 Fib lvl, so this could just be a minor pull back for a big Bullish continuation move.
Mastering RSI: The Complete and CORRECT Way to Trade ItThe Relative Strength Index (RSI) is one of the most popular and widely used indicators in trading.
Despite its prevalence, many traders misuse it or are unaware of its full potential. RSI isn't just about identifying overbought and oversold conditions; when applied correctly, it becomes a robust tool for trend confirmation, reversals, momentum acceleration, and much more.
This guide explores how to unlock the full power of RSI and avoid common pitfalls.
What Is RSI?
Developed by J. Welles Wilder Jr., RSI measures the speed and magnitude of price changes over a specified period. It oscillates between 0 and 100, with the following traditional zones:
Above 70: Indicates overbought conditions, where the price may reverse or consolidate.
Below 30: Indicates oversold conditions, where the price may rebound or reverse upward.
However, it’s important to note that RSI above 70 or below 30 can sometimes indicate trend acceleration rather than an immediate reversal—especially in strong trending markets, discussed in #6
The real reversal signal comes after RSI crosses back below 70 (for overbought) or back above 30 (for oversold). Understanding this distinction is critical to using RSI effectively.
1. Overbought and Oversold Conditions
The classic use of RSI involves identifying overbought and oversold levels:
Overbought: RSI rises above 70 and then drops back below it, signaling potential selling pressure.
Oversold: RSI falls below 30 and then moves back above it, indicating potential buying interest.
These signals are more effective when combined with tools like support/resistance levels or trendlines.
2. Centerline Crossover
The 50-level on RSI is a reliable trend indicator:
Above 50: Bullish momentum dominates.
Below 50: Bearish momentum dominates.
Use these crossovers to confirm trends:
Enter long trades when RSI is above 50.
Enter short trades when RSI is below 50.
3. Divergences
Divergences between RSI and price can signal potential trend reversals:
Bullish Divergence: Price makes lower lows, but RSI forms higher lows.
Bearish Divergence: Price makes higher highs, but RSI forms lower highs.
These divergences highlight weakening momentum and often precede reversals.
4. RSI Patterns
RSI can form recognizable chart patterns, such as triangles, head-and-shoulders, or double tops/bottoms. These patterns often precede price moves:
Triangles: A breakout on RSI often signals a strong price move.
Double Tops : A topping pattern on RSI warns of potential price declines.
5. Failure Swings
Failure swings occur when RSI enters an extreme zone (above 70 or below 30) but fails to sustain momentum and reverses. This is a strong reversal signal and can precede significant price moves:
Bullish Failure Swing:
RSI dips below 30.
It rises but dips again, staying above 30.
RSI breaks its previous high, signaling a bullish reversal.
Bearish Failure Swing:
RSI rises above 70.
It falls but rises again, staying below 70.
RSI breaks its previous low, signaling a bearish reversal.
How to trade it:
For a bullish failure swing, enter long when RSI confirms the higher low and breaks above the previous swing high.
For a bearish failure swing, enter short when RSI confirms the lower high and breaks below the previous swing low.
6. Momentum Acceleration Strategy
While RSI is traditionally used for spotting overbought and oversold conditions, it can also identify momentum acceleration during strong trends:
Above 70: In strong uptrends, when RSI rises above 70 and stays there, it signals upward acceleration, indicating buyers are in control.
Below 30: In strong downtrends, when RSI dips below 30 and stays there, it signals downward acceleration, with sellers driving the market lower.
How to trade it:
In uptrends, treat RSI staying above 70 as a sign of strength and look for pullbacks to enter long positions.
In downtrends, use brief rebounds as opportunities to short while RSI remains below 30.
7. Multi-Timeframe Strategy
Analyzing RSI across multiple timeframes enhances accuracy:
Use the higher timeframe (e.g., daily) to identify the overall trend.
Use the lower timeframe (e.g., 1-hour) to time trade entries.
Example:
If RSI on the daily chart is above 50 (bullish trend), look for hourly RSI dips below 30 to enter long trades.
If RSI on the daily chart is below 50 (bearish trend), wait for hourly RSI to reach overbought levels above 70 to short.
Tips for Advanced RSI Use:
Adjust RSI Settings: Shorter periods (e.g., 7) make RSI more sensitive, while longer periods (e.g., 21) smooth out signals for longer-term trends.
Combine RSI with Other Tools: Use RSI alongside moving averages, Fibonacci retracements, or Candlesticks.
Risk Management: Always pair RSI signals with a stop-loss strategy to manage risk effectively.
PRO TIP: As I like to say "Trade the price, not the indicator."
Use RSI as a confirmation tool, not the main signal.
For example, a price reversal from resistance or a bullish engulfing candle becomes far more reliable when backed by RSI signals.
Conclusion
RSI is far more versatile than many traders realize. While it’s traditionally used for identifying overbought and oversold levels, strategies like momentum acceleration and failure swings add depth to its utility. By combining RSI with centerline crossovers, divergences, multi-timeframe analysis, and chart patterns, traders can pinpoint entries, reversals, and momentum shifts with more precision and trade more confidently.
Key Takeaways:
- RSI staying above 70 or below 30 in trends signals momentum acceleration.
- Failure swings offer reliable reversal signals when RSI breaks key levels.
- Combining RSI strategies with other tools and proper risk management leads to more confidence
All Time Highs on the Horizon!!!Price is on a Bullish Up trend In a Current Retracement.
This Thesis uses several different concepts. Based off of Market structure, support & resistance, RSI Divergence, Fib lvl's, ICT Concepts,
Daily: Bullish, Price is Rejecting Bullish TL and Testing structure , 61.8 prz (Daily Breaker Block forming)
H4: Bullish, Morning star R Pattern at H4 lvl
H1: Bearish (Wait for price action to return Bullish before entering)
Thesis:
Looking for price to bullish break H4 lvl to order block
and retest back to daily lvl 20595 / previous structure high zone, for bullish entry.
Notes:
price has a overall retracement 61.8 prz
Price rejecting off bullish Trend line
Price rejecting 4H FVG
H4 Hidden Bullish Divergence
Daily Bullish Breaker Block
Cons:
-4H could be a Head and shoulders Pattern if price rejects and doesn't break through Daily lvl 20595
Wait for H1 Time frame and Execution time frames to line up with macro Bullish Trend before Executing!
TP1: 21,150
TP2: 21,468 (ATH)
TP3: 22,242 Stretch Goal (ATH)
AUDNZD Analysis - Bullish - Trade 07AUDNZD Analysis Overview
---
1. Seasonality
AUD: Strong **buy** signal for the first week of December, suggesting upward momentum.
NZD: Range-bound signal, indicating weaker performance compared to AUD.
Seasonality Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
---
2. COT Report
AUD:
COT RSI : Decreasing from the top but still indicates bullish positioning.
COT Index : Near the top, signaling strong institutional interest in AUD.
Net Non-Commercial : Increasing, aligning with a buy sentiment.
NZD :
COT RSI : At the bottom (0%), but overall positioning is weak.
COT Index : Bottomed at 0%, reflecting limited institutional support for NZD.
Net Non-Commercial : Decreasing, suggesting bearish momentum.
COT Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
---
3. Fundamental Analysis
Leading Economic Indicators (LEI) :
AUD : Increasing, pointing to improving economic conditions.
NZD : Increasing, but weaker overall impact compared to AUD.
Endogenous Factors:
AUD : Mix to decreasing, but seasonal strength supports AUD’s buy case.
NZD : Increasing, but weaker compared to AUD.
Exogenous Factors :
AUDNZD exogenous signal supports a buy AUD, sell NZD bias.
Fundamental Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
---
4. Technical Analysis
RSI Divergence: Bullish divergence spotted on the 4H timeframe, signaling potential upward movement.
Parallel Channel : Price is at the bottom of a bearish parallel channel, indicating possible reversal to the upside.
Daily Support : Currently holding above a strong daily support zone, reinforcing the bullish setup.
Technical Bias: Buy AUDNZD.
---
Final Bias: Buy AUDNZD
All factors—seasonality, COT data, fundamentals, and technicals—align in favor of a BUY setup for AUDNZD. This pair shows potential for upward movement, supported by strong economic and technical signals.
Analysis of NBCC (India) Limited ChartOverview:
The daily price chart of NBCC (India) Limited indicates a recovery phase after a significant correction from its 2024 highs. Key support and resistance levels are identified, along with a potential pattern that suggests consolidation followed by a breakout.
Key Observations:
1.Trend Analysis:
The stock was previously trading within an ascending channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows, indicating a bullish trend until August 2024.
Post-August, the stock broke below the channel, resulting in a sharp correction of approximately -30%.
2.Support Levels:
₹84.25: Strong support zone, as highlighted by multiple touches and a bounce from this level. It acted as a demand zone during the correction.
The stock formed a short-term base in the ₹84–₹90 range, leading to the current recovery.
3.Resistance Levels:
₹102.10: Immediate resistance, corresponding to the 100-day moving average (acting as a dynamic resistance).
₹111.44: The next major resistance from previous highs and the upper boundary of the consolidation zone.
4.Potential Pattern Formation:
A possible W-shaped reversal pattern is forming. If the stock sustains above ₹93.09 (mid-level support) and breaks ₹102.10, the next target could be ₹111.44.
The pattern suggests a consolidation phase before a potential breakout above ₹111.44.
5.Volume and RSI Analysis:
Volume: Increased buying interest near the ₹84 zone, indicating accumulation.
RSI: Currently recovering from oversold levels, indicating improving bullish momentum.
6.News Catalysts:
The Housing and Urban Development tie-up to develop a land parcel in Noida could provide a fundamental boost, aiding positive price action.
Projection and Strategy:
Bullish Scenario: Sustained breakout above ₹102.10 may lead to ₹111.44 and beyond. Traders could consider this level as a pivot point for long positions.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold ₹93.09 may lead to a retest of ₹84.25, where buyers could step in again.
Conclusion:
The stock is in a recovery phase, supported by strong fundamentals and technical patterns. Traders and investors should monitor key levels like ₹93.09 (support) and ₹102.10 (resistance) for confirmation of further trends.
Class A/B RSI Bearish Divergence on SPY Futures?Really posting here to see if anyone would validate this for me but I was looking on the chart and this idea came about. On the weekly chart for ES1!, there seems to be class A or B Bearish Divergence developing on the Weekly timeframe.
Listen, of course we all know SPY trends upwards over time but is this an indicator of a larger sell the market needs to go higher every once in a blue moon? This is guarenteed a macro trend and I probably will have to wait a year for this analysis to play out but hey, at least we're here. (***ponders on how I charted Gamestop at $10 but never traded because of lack of knowledge***) Anyways, this is something I will of course monitor but let me highlight instances in history this has happened. Please feel free to give your input on this analysis!
Jan 1998 thru Apr 2001 (News Driver: Dot-Com Bubble)
Price makes higher highs from Jan 98' thru Mar 00'
From Mar 98' thru Mar 00', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) on Sep 00'. Fails to make new all-time high
From Sep 00' to Apr 01' price moves down as much as 30% over the next 224d
Jan 2013 thru Feb 2016
Price makes higher highs from Jan 13' thru May 15'
From May 13' thru Jun 14', the 3 peaks formed on the RSI leading to price establishing a lower high (SMT) Jul 15' and a following lower high on Nov 15'
From Jul 15' to Aug 15' (42d) (News Driver: Lagging China Market) price moves down as much as 14% and as much as 14% on the Nov '15 lower high to Jan 16' (78d) (News Driver: Oil Prices)
Current: Jan 24' thru Nov 24'
Price has been making higher highs all year
From Mar 24' thru , the RSI has been making lower highs while price is making higher highs
We are now at a point where price is pushing to go higher but what I would want to see based off of historical data is for price to consolidate or some type of Bearish Turtle Soup forming. If this happens and the RSI returns to Fair Value, we could be in for a sizeable sell of for at least a couple of weeks in the near future.
I will come back to this in the next few months. Happy Trading!
RENDER LongRender is currently experiencing volatility as it undergoes price discovery. Despite recent fluctuations, the chart continues to align with a long-term upward trend line, indicating sustained bullish momentum. After a recent dip, Render saw a soft bounce but will require significant buying volume to challenge resistance levels. Render appears to be in a favorable position for long-term investment. A continued upward trend is expected, with potential gains likely in October.
Support - $5.16
Resistance - $5.90
RSI - Neutral
Fear & Greed Index (Binance) - Neutral 49 ( as of 10/8/2024)
United Spirits Ltd. (NSE: MCDOWELL-N) - Technical AnalysisKey Observations:
1️⃣ Bullish RSI Divergence:
The RSI indicates a bullish divergence, suggesting potential reversal or upside momentum.
2️⃣ Breakout from Descending Channel:
After a period of consolidation within the descending channel, the stock has broken out, supported by improving momentum.
3️⃣ Volume Profile Support:
Strong accumulation zone observed between ₹1,440-₹1,490, indicating demand at these levels.
4️⃣ Fibonacci Levels:
Resistance levels are identified at ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591, and ₹1,634 based on Fibonacci retracements.
5️⃣ Moving Averages:
The stock is trading above key short-term moving averages, reinforcing the positive trend.
Trading Strategy:
🚀 For Long Positions:
Entry Zone: ₹1,440–₹1,460 (if price sustains above breakout level).
Targets: ₹1,491, ₹1,541, ₹1,591.
S top-Loss: ₹1,430 (below support zone).
⚠️ Risk Management:
If the stock re-enters the descending channel, it could invalidate the bullish outlook. Monitor price action and volume closely.
Outlook:
With the RSI divergence, breakout confirmation, and strong support at ₹1,440, United Spirits Ltd. presents a promising bullish setup for short- to medium-term gains. Watch for sustained volume as the price approaches resistance levels.
💬 Your Thoughts?
What’s your take on this setup? Share your views below! 🚀
The chart appears to analyze copper CFDs on a daily timeframeThe copper market is showing bearish tendencies, with price breaking below a critical symmetrical triangle pattern. Here are the key insights:
1.Technical Breakdown:
Price recently broke the lower boundary of the triangle, signaling a potential continuation of the downtrend.
Strong selling pressure is reflected by increased volume.
2.Support Levels to Watch:
Immediate support: $4.00 (psychological level near the 50% Fibonacci level).
Key support: $3.85 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement and ascending trendline).
3.RSI and Momentum:
RSI still hovers above oversold levels, leaving room for further downside.
Moving averages suggest sustained bearish momentum.
4.Risk and Opportunity:
Traders should watch for a retest of the triangle's lower boundary (~$4.20) as potential resistance before further declines.
Break below $4.00 could open doors for $3.85.
📊 What are your thoughts on copper's next move? Let me know in the comments!
Educational post BTC bullish divergence.You need to use RSI indicator. That's how I spotted the reversal.
Bullish divergence.
Bullish divergence happens when the price makes lower lows, but an indicator (like RSI or MACD) makes higher lows, suggesting weakening downward momentum and a potential upward reversal.
GME 15 min Bull Pennant Watching the 15 min on GME, and it seems that it has formed a pretty substantial Bull Pennant on the 15 min. This comes just after the Cup & Handle breakout earlier this week. We can also see that, the Ultimate RSI has Oversold, while setting a higher low withing the Pennant.
I believe that once this Pennant starts to breakout, GME is going to stretch into the 30s, and with no current supply above $29, this may very well see it's way into the $60s real quick. This is only the 15 mind you. We still have a much larger Pennant on the 4hr, another Cup & Handle on the 1 day, and a Golden Cross on the weekly. Pretty much every timeframe is showing a bullish pattern right now. If you ask me, I would say it's go time.
Remember, the last time GME broke out from a Golden Cross on the weekly, was back in July of 2020 and lasted until Jan of 2021. And we saw a 12,000 percent run over the span of 6 months.
If you're currently short, you better say a prayer. To everyone else, let the games begin! 🤙
USD/CAD Bearish CorrectionKey 4HR Resistance Coming up. Expecting up to a .010536 correction before pushing through 1.39500. Bear Divergency presenting itself on RSI. Expecting correction to take place. Will enter trade at break of rising wedge pattern. Will not think trade is gone if liquidity grab pushes price above the wedge.
PGR (Long) (Weekly Income)Asset Class: Stocks
Income Type: Weekly
Symbol: PGR
Trade Type: Long
Trends:
Short Term: Down
Long Term: Up
Set-Up Parameters:
Entry: 246.66 (Confirmation Entry)
Stop: 234.70
TP 282.53 (3:1)
Trade idea:
A price pin into a daily demand zone , Buying the breakout on the 1H TF as the price pullback and the SL at the distal line of the DZ (Conservative) . The trade setup also use the Elliot wave analysis, where the price is likely to form wave 5 next. The setup has a 3:1 RRR with a potential for 4:1. The RSI is oversold on the 4H , showing divergence, and heading up.
!!Be aware of pending Economic Reports. If price is within 20 pips of proximal value at time of major impact report, then Confirmation entry.
Trade management:
-Split the TP to 3 orders at each TP
-when price hits 1:1 , consider moving stop to entry in case of pullback. So your trade is risk free.
-After TP2 hit, you might consider canceling the TP3 and trail the SL to maximize your profit.
**Disclaimer**:
The trading strategies, ideas, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, currencies, or financial instruments. You should do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from following these trading ideas.
Short setup on SPX (x2)After the most recent upward move, the SPX shows clear signs of weakness, suggesting a potential short setup.
Since mid-July, the SPX has been moving upward and it's now near its all-time high. However, the RSI Exhaustion at the bottom of the chart has significantly declined and hasn't recovered much, establishing a downtrend.
This divergence between the price and the RSI Exhaustion is the first major signal of a possible short configuration.
Three additional signs support this setup:
The RSI Exhaustion shows recent bullish exhaustion (indicated in green), signaling that further price increases are unlikely.
The price has formed a top just shy of its all-time high, as identified by the Bottoms Tops Signal indicator.
A major level has formed, as indicated by the Levels and Zones indicator. While this level turned into support, it originated as resistance and could well revert back to it should be price start to drop further.
Is the bull run over? Only time will tell, but for now, it's crucial to remain patient and always seek confirmation from the indicators.
Titan Company Ltd. Technical AnalysisTitan has been trading within a consolidation phase recently, suggesting that buyers and sellers are in balance. Let’s look deeper at the technical levels and indicators that might guide us in the coming sessions:
1. Support and Resistance Zones:
Key Resistance Levels: The immediate resistance sits around ₹3,452.50 and further up at ₹3,557.05. These levels could act as barriers if the stock attempts a breakout from current levels.
Key Support Levels: Titan has notable support at ₹3,233.95. A drop below this could signal further downside pressure.
2. Trendline Analysis:
A descending trendline has been in place, connecting recent lower highs. If Titan breaks above this trendline with sustained volume, it could indicate a potential bullish reversal.
Meanwhile, a smaller, rising support line (forming a wedge pattern) offers a bullish signal if the price manages to hold above it in the short term.
3. MACD Indicator:
The MACD is currently in negative territory, indicating that the stock is under some bearish momentum. However, if we see a crossover above the signal line soon, it could hint at a possible bullish shift.
3. Volume Insights:
Volume has remained relatively stable, showing no major spikes that would suggest a strong trend continuation or reversal. A rise in volume, especially near support or resistance levels, may validate any potential breakout or breakdown.
Conclusion: Titan appears to be in a consolidation phase, with the possibility of a breakout in either direction. Traders might look for confirmation at key levels, such as a break above the ₹3,452.50 resistance for bullish momentum or a fall below ₹3,233.95 support for bearish sentiment. Monitoring the MACD signal line crossover and volume trends will be crucial to anticipate the next movement.
Bharat Electronics Ltd: Key Support Zone and Potential Breakout Technical Overview
Descending Triangle Pattern:
The price action appears to be forming a descending triangle, which is typically considered a bearish continuation pattern. The triangle's resistance line is a downward-sloping trendline connecting the series of lower highs, and the support is horizontal around the 270-265 INR level.
Support and Resistance:
Immediate Resistance: The first resistance is at 289.60 INR, as indicated by the horizontal line.
Major Resistance: Above this, significant resistance exists around 312.70 INR and 340.25 INR.
Support Zone: The highlighted yellow area between 265-270 INR indicates strong support. The price has tested this zone multiple times without breaking down, suggesting that it is a key area to watch for either a bounce or a breakdown.
Moving Averages:
50-Day Moving Average: The price is currently close to the 50-day moving average. A breakout or breakdown from this average could provide a signal for further price movement.
200-Day Moving Average: The 200-day moving average is trending upwards and acts as long-term support. It's a key indicator for identifying the overall trend, which remains bullish in the long term.
RSI (Relative Strength Index):
The RSI is showing a bullish divergence. Even though the price has made a lower low, the RSI has formed a higher low, signaling a potential reversal or bounce from the current levels.
Volume:
There is a noticeable drop in volume over the recent sessions, suggesting that traders are waiting for a decisive move. If the price breaks either the support or resistance lines, a spike in volume will likely confirm the direction of the move.
Target Price:
Bullish Target: If the price breaks above the descending triangle and crosses the resistance at 289.60 INR, the next target could be 312.70 INR, with a long-term target around 340.25 INR.
Bearish Target: A breakdown below 265 INR could lead to further declines, with the next significant support level around 240 INR.
Conclusion:
The stock is currently trading near a critical support zone in a descending triangle pattern. Given the bullish divergence in the RSI, there's potential for a bounce. However, traders should wait for a breakout above the 289.60 INR level for bullish confirmation or a breakdown below 265 INR for bearish continuation.
Risk/Reward Tip: Use stop-loss strategies close to support and resistance levels to manage risk effectively, as either scenario (breakout or breakdown) can lead to significant moves.
DQ Elliott-Wave analysisDQ looking great on the 4h.
Beautiful RSI-Divergency, followed by a healty push to the upside after the bottom was formed.
Now we are experiencig a normal pullback:
Im expecting an (a-b-c)-type corrective pattern. Price find the bottom in pricerange of the blue box. (this can consume a while, so pls be patient)
#USDJPY #Elliot #Sell#USDJPY
sell-4h-elliot-clasicpattern-supplyzone_RD-
#In the 4-hour time frame, Elliott price has completed and is now falling. Our fifth wave consists of 5 micro-waves, the fifth wave of our micro-wave is formed in a short form.
#Also, in this time frame, the price has formed a classic reversal pattern and at the same time, the price has also reacted to our supply zone.
#Divergence of the indicator with the price is also a confirmation of our entry.
#SL:149.782
#TP1:146.252
#TP2:143.630
#R/R:1/7