USDCAD: A Run Into Resistance w/RSI OverextendedKeeping a close eye on USDCAD this morning as price action makes it's way into previous structure resistance. I like to call these areas of the market "Decision Points" because depending on how price action reacts at this level, I'll know whether to look for a long or short opportunity.
If you take a look at the RSI we've become massively overextended (above the 80 mark). This DOESN'T mean a reversal is on the way, but it's certainly something that we can use to help build a case when combined with other factors.
Unless we get a higher high higher close above resistance I'll be looking for a short to add to my current GBPJPY & EURJPY long positions.
Hope this was informative traders!
Rsi_overbought
DXY Long term trade Interesting scenarioTaking into consideration the longer term view, we notice that prices has seen a reliable support being established near the 94 level. where we can see abcdpattern completed and a possible formation H&S
the US Dollar could see another attempt to the upside 97.50.
Let's see how the market reacts at this levels for further indications.
Great Risk reward structure tradeJust noticed this trade guys. I'm not taking it because it's not yet part of my plan but it looks promising so deemed it worthy of a share. The risk reward profile has the potential to be high.
Reasons: Big RSI divergence, Oversold RSI conditions, Doji reversal candle followed by good sized engulfing if current 15m candle remains as it is, Break of channel,we are at a strong resistance level, higher time frame trend is down.
SHORT POUND SWISSY GBP/CHF 1 HOURStrong downtrend indicated from past analysis. major bullish price action have taken indicated by the EMA. Remember these are the 'past' prices, anyway first target is 1.2854 level if the down trend continues for a longer term i think it can touch the 1.278 level for sure. stoch and RSI confirming short overbought like crazy.
USDCAD TREND CONTINUATION TRADE (TRADE WALK THROUGH)HELLO TRADERZ! SO THIS MORNING I IDENTIFIED A FEW KEY PRICE LEVELS THAT I POINTED OUT TO MY GROUP OF TRADERZ FOR A SHORT OPPORTUNITY. WE WERE LOOKING FOR A RETRACT BACK UP INTO PREVIOUS SUPPORT WHICH NOW SHOULD BE RESISTANCE. CONFLUENCE WITH THE 61.8 AND AN OVER BOUGHT CONDITION ON THE RSI. LET'S SEE IF WE HIT OUR FIRST TARGET AT AROUND 1.30300s.
EURUSD - Bearish 2618+++ Don't forget to LIKE & Follow+++I've spotted a Bearish 2618 setup(with RSI being OB+RSI DIV) at market here on 1H, EURUSD.
Stops above the higher high of that Double Top Formation and I'll be looking for a targets retest of the last cycle bottom.This setup is providing more than 1:1 Risk/Reward ration - a nice counter trend opportunity.
If you wait price going higher then you would get even better Risk/Reward.
-Alex
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USDJPY - Structure Trade+++ Don't forget to LIKE & Follow+++
I have my eyes on potential structure trade on 1H, USDJPY - looking for shorts.
If you look left you will see that price closed lower than PB (PullBack), confirming a bearish rotation in the market.
We can clearly see a kill zone(blue box) between previous PB and structure - and it should come as a surprise for you that price hit that kill zone and reversed.
I'm expecting price to test once again the that cycle top forming a Double Top with RSi being overbought on left top.
Stops will be based on that Double Top, for targets - retesting the NSL. We will get a little bit more than 1:2 Risk/Reward for that bearish rotation opportunity.
Good Luck!
-Alex
Professional Currency Trader & Owner of www.beaprofitabletrader.com
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gbpjpy bear trend continuation opportunity-Mkt broke down to new lows and is now
retesting broken support zone
-Mkt testing confluence of 50 retr & structure
with RSI reaching overbought
-Aggressive short opportunity at 134.00 area
-More conservative short opportunity within
Bear Cont Zone with Stops 1atr behind the
139.00 invalidation zone
-Expectation is retest of low of trend around
128.50 and potentially continuation to 121.00
NZDCAD Short: Wolfe Wave + Expanding Triangle at 50% RetraceAfter the RBNZ announcement cancelled the last NZDCAD short, a new opportunity has presented itself. A bearish WW has formed with the touch of the 2-4 parallel confluent with the 50% retracement level. We also have a potential E point of an expanding triangle complete which may mark a larger reversal from these levels. On the daily chart, the pair is contained within a bearish expanding triangle and this could present an opportunity to ride it down toward point E on the larger TF. The unhit pivot for June 2016 presents a nice target at which to take profit.
Bearish Confluence:
Bearish Wolfe Wave complete
Expanding triangle
50% retracement level
Descending expanding triangle on daily TF
Unhit June, 2016 pivot below price
Bearish RSI Divergence
RSI Overbought
Again, be mindful of news events. It is a good idea to wait until the Poloz speech at 11:15EST for entry as this may present significant CAD volatility. Happy trading to all!
NZDUSD - 2618 on DailyFor those of you swing traders there is a nice trading opportunity - there is bearish 2618 on NZDUSD, Daily time frame.
If you enter aggressively you will get more than 1:2 R/R.
Switch to Lower Time Frame(4H) and you will see that there is Double Top with RSI OB - look left and you will see a structure level.
On daily we are in bearish rotation with a NSL in late May.
You can go for 2618 on Daily Time Frame or take 4H counter trading opportunity.
As always trade according your trading plan.
Good Luck.
EURUSD: Double Top at Previous StructureLooking at a double top at previous structure resistance here on the EURUSD to continue our TCT on this pair. We've also had the RSI go overbought on the initial test while showing divergence on the second test.
We've been watching for this level all week in the Live Room and Jason Stapleton just added it to his radar as well. So Syndicate members, make sure you tune into this morning's Warroom Meeting to see his take.
Akil Stokes
Chief Currency Analyst & Head Trading Coach
www.TradeEmpowered.com -The Premier Online Trading Education Company
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Potential Short Opportunity GBPJPYHello Traders
On the daily timeframe we have a pennant pattern.
We are expecting price to react at the trend-line resistance and with confluence of a zone of structural resistance in this area.
Going into the 4hr timeframe, we have a Bat pattern which completes at 161.77. This is where we enter short.
Furthermore, we will be keeping an eye on RSI for continuing signs of overbought conditions or divergence.
TP1:158.78
TP2:156.81
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Sniper Trade Before Non Farm news releaseThis bearish gartley pattern talks by himself .The Rsi is overbought and have a divergence condition,the strong bearish trend and the doji candle in D chart is enough to get involve in this particular trade but leave just before the nonfarm news release just in case .
EURUSD Potential Shorting OpportunityHello Traders,
We have a potential Gartley pattern forming on this pair completing at 1.606.
Price has currently been moving sideways on the daily time frame.
Looking at the weekly time frame, in the near future I am expecting a break of this sideways movement and a continuation downwards.
We also have a few other confluence factors:
1. Minor resistance
2. Potential trend-line resistance
3. AB=CD harmonic move in our potential reversal zone
4. RSI approaching overbought conditions
I will be keeping a close eye on this pair.
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