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Rsi_oversold

Bitcoin's Ultimate Reversal is about to ensue.For the first time in years, we have witnessed a diversion in Bitcoin's RSI, which could possibly mean a huge reversal in BTC's price. Here is my point of view about this: This is the RSI Multi-Length, which is a type of RSI that varies its length. For simplicity's sake. I’ll be referring those as just RSIs, because they behave as an RSI, just a bit different. As you can see, Bitcoin's RSI is currently diverging, which possibly means a huge reversal is about to happen. The last time this has ever happened on a downtrend was in late 2018 - early 2019: Bitcoin's price skyrocketed after this divergence, which likely means it’s happening again. Now onto the candlesticks: As you can see, the trend is currently weakening, and that’s why it caused the 3 months of ranging market. When it broke downwards, it hit a new lower low, but this time even weaker than before. You can even see the volume weakening over time. Because of the RSI Divergence, Bitcoin has so much potential to explode and pump to the moon. You can even see that at the end of the 2018 crash, there was a lot of ranging. In conclusion, we might see a reversal in BTC's trend, and finally prove that Bitcoin is not going to zero. As a final side note: Even the rainbow chart says Bitcoin is super undervalued. This is not financial advice, and you are free to give your opinion about my research and do your own. Thank you for reading this study. :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by lorinstocksinvesting
1
Everything I've learned about the RSI BINANCE:BTCUSDT In this post, I'll make an attempt to share everything I've learned over the Relative Strength Index (RSI) Over the past 24 months. Nothing described in this post is financial advice, it's just me, sharing thoughts and ideas with you. nb: this post is more suited for traders and investors that are already educated about the RSI Indicators. A brief introduction about the indicator itself : The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis. RSI measures the speed and magnitude of a security's recent price changes to evaluate whether it's better to buy, sell, or wait. The RSI is displayed as an oscillator (a line graph) on a scale of zero to 100. The RSI is probably the most used oscillator in finance nowadays, by both retail traders and institutions, hence meaning that when used well , it can be used as a great edge to profitability. RSI popular uses : - An asset is usually considered overbought when the RSI is above 70 and oversold when it is below 30. - The RSI can give us insights on a potential trend's loss of momentum or validity when the price pivots levels are diverging with the RSI indicator (hidden and regular divergences) - The most popular RSI length is 14 periods. My findings 1. Overbought and oversold: myth or reality? RSI's 30 and 70 levels never proved themselves to be a strong enough edge for me to be used as a standalone signal for trade entries. As an example, just look at the irregularity of the results you would get when using just these zones : My take on it is that as a price oscillator when it crosses into extremes, it simply means price momentum is at extreme levels. To me it's basically like a mountain cyclist in the middle of a race: he might very well go faster and higher, however, the quicker and higher he goes the more unlikely he is to keep up with that speed. Eventually, he might either decrease its speed or even go backward. What does this tell us ? The RSI 30 and 70 levels seem to be better used when used as timing indicators. For example, the 70 and 30 levels could be used as a filter for a trader to eliminate market noise when using a trend reversal strategy (mean-reversion). For trend traders, the levels could be used to timing signals where they'll start looking for price to do a pullback (consolidation) to get in the trend. My experience using the 30 and 70 levels as exit signals however has been better (when it comes to using it as the only signal for a trade exit). Say you are long on BTCUSD, in profit, and you get an RSI closure above 70. Well, in that case, you could exit 50% of your position and wait for the oscillator to cross down the 70 levels to exit the rest (as the overbought and oversold zones are rarely a defining factor for trend reversals and corrections). 2. Divergences in the overbought and oversold zones : The lower the time frame you are trading on is, the higher the noise when it comes to divergences, especially with volatile assets such as BTCUSD. So you might want to filter out most of the ones you see to only take the best ones. On the 15M and 5M timeframes, on BTCUSD, I find that on average about 1/3 of the divergences I see play out. However, we are not expected to take every divergence we see. Here's what has helped me get better results with divergences : - When approaching supply and demand zones, especially the higher timeframe ones, we might want to be more aggressive with the divergences we enter into. As the hit rate is not always amazing, the R:R is usually much better, and if the trade works out, it might give you great results which accounts for the low win rate. - If you want to increase your win rate, I also find that going for higher timeframes is usually better when it comes to divergences. - Take only divergences where RSI divergence's first pivot point is over 70 or under 30. Ideally, you don't want the noise to go below 60, or above 40, so that your trade has the necessary momentum to play out. - For extra confirmation, wait for a break of the noise level to enter the trade. - Regular and hidden divergences play hand in hand creating a form of momentum equilibrium. Hidden divergences always create regular divergences and vice versa. Hence a hidden divergence can be considered an early pullback warning to get in a bigger-picture trend. - Regular divergences tend to play out better than hidden divergences. This is especially true when the volume is decreasing, or after a longer period of consolidation when volatility has been contracting and might be about to expand soon. - Regular divergences in strong trends can be both a disaster and a treat. "The trend is your friend". This saying is especially true here. However, 2-3 drives of regular divergences are a great indication of a potential reversal, with enough confirmation factors to produce (often time) a great entry. - The angle of the trend line between divergences pivot points, both on the price chart and the RSI, can be a good indication of the severity of the divergence occurring. - The ideal lookback period for detecting divergences for me has proved to be between 5 and 28 bars. (Below 5 bars is not enough to confirm a true pivot point for me and above 28 bars has probably already played out in past price movements). - Like all edges, using a divergence strategy always produces better results when used in confluence with other signals. I find the best confluences happen when divergences occur: alongside a stochastic cross, near medium-slow moving averages, near horizontal supply and demand zones, alongside volatility expansion, when the volume is decreasing (meaning market makes are in disagreement with the move occurring), near Bollinger bands 2.5 to 3 standard deviations (period 20). - Convergence between your timeframes and higher timeframes is key to understanding how to better choose your trades. Try to play the big divergences but enter smaller timeframes divergences. - When you lose a divergence trade, don't get disappointed. Jump back in because often time, and price will need to do several divergences before getting in your desired direction (however, be careful not to jump in tilt mod. Know your win rate and R:R and keep your money management serious. You'll get blown out if you start tilting on this, especially if you trade reversals with divergences, as it's difficult to get the right timing every time). 3. RSI as a trend filter? - I've found that in trending markets, when RSI's Exponential Moving Average (EMA) crosses above the 50 line, it's an indication of an uptrend and vice versa. However, this is less effective in ranging markets as there's more noise, hence more invalid crosses. - I've found that in trending markets when the RSI line crosses above the EMA (I use a 12 period), it's an indication of an uptrend and vice versa. However, this is less effective in ranging markets as there's more noise, hence more invalid crosses. - As an indication of the trend's direction, I don't find any value in using bullish and bearish control zones. The only use I can find them is when using them for divergence levels filters. This is the end of the first post of this 2 parts series. There's just so much more you can discover about this indicator that it simply cannot be constricted to a few lines of writing. However, you are welcome to take a few of my findings and go test them out using replay and backtesting. See for yourself, and find your balance. Most of my learnings have been made through screentime, trial, and error, backtesting, mistakes, and research. Have a good day, Arthur Girard
Education
by arthurgirard15
BTC 4H perspectiveHello everyone. today im going to show you an ending correction pattern i seen in BTC chart. as you can see in my chart , an excellent Elliot triangle shaping. with ABC branches and longer C wave. according to triangle rules maybe this pattern ends with a little triangle too as i iilustrate in my chart with White color. after that its important where the price go. i mean it will breakdown the triangle but the path i show on chart is my guess. tomorrow we have some important economic indexes in canada and australia that may lead the market or crash it down in short term indexes like Australian Balance of Trade and Canada Retail sales. forecasts are hopeless but if they come out better its good news. in addition you see RSI indicator below my chart and it bounce back to its 200MA and become stronger. and like any time , dont forget to set a good SL to manage your risk. trdaes without SL are already failed hope you like this post please share me your opinion. please notify me about my mistakes and grow my experience. thank you all for reading my idea
Long
by TraderAmin-KZ
4
$USDJPY | Potential 100 PIP Move To The DownsideHere we have the Yen reacting negatively to the CPI data just released and if you are shorting you may have nice opportunity here. As you can see from the blue lines, USDJPY has been on a downtrend consistently with lower highs from the top. In addition to that, it recently blast through a key DAILY demand zone along with a 200 EMA and closed underneath. Typical move in correlation with the down trend is more downside ahead with "effort" to the upside knocking on the swapped now demand-turned-supply zone but eventually being rejected. A safe landing would be the demand zone off of the 4hr.
Short
by CryptoHotep
2
$NZDUSD | Back To Top Levels?The New Zealand dollar seems to be unphased by the FOMC meeting this afternoon unlike the rest of the markets. Yes it moved up sharply but eventually settled back in its prior position with a little momentum to push back to top resistance points. Let’s zoom in. Several items to note here that are brought to light: – The New Zealand Dollar is currently still above the 200EMA and 365EMA respectively displaying an upward trend which constitutes a BUYing trend. – EXTREME RSI oversold levels reaching 29 and 30 levels displaying almost a double bottom pattern – Multiple broken lower Bollinger Bands instances – Higher highs and higher lows pattern exhibited As soon as I saw this based on my set up rules, this was a natural BUY order for me. My suggestion is to place your take profit should be below the nearest resistance point 0.58660 levels and your stop loss, I’d put under the 200 EMA for good measure near the 0.57990 line. Not financial advice. Hotep & Build (wealth).
Long
by CryptoHotep
Deep value trade on $METAAfter $META's earnings were released today, META dropped around 25% in the premarket. This brings META's current valuation to the valuation it had in 2015 (despite the fact that META's latest quarter produced a net income over 6 times what it had earned in 2015). Evidently, META is currently trading at a large discount, at roughly 2 times its book value, with a heavily discounted price-to-earnings ratio of 8.31, and an RSI of 24.45 on the weekly chart. The bearish argument for the company is that it is burning cash on its recent pivot to the metaverse, which many see to be a failed venture, but this argument was clearly priced in prior to the release of earnings, so in my view, the crash from earnings is very superficial and could revert easily and quickly. I opened a long position at around 100, and aim to close my position around 125
NASDAQ:METALong
by spiritualhealer117
Too fast, too furious for Natural Gas?After a sharp drop in August, Natural Gas futures is now sitting close to the long-term uptrend support which has marked key reversal points since June 2020. Our question is whether prices have fallen too fast and too soon? We question “too furious” when we look at the RSI which currently points to oversold levels. Hitting a low close to 24, the last time RSI reached such an oversold level, in February 2017, prices rallied close to 35% over the next 2 months. We also note the formation of RSI divergence now, like the one we observed during the 2017 period. If history is any guide, from a technical perspective we can expect some upside for Natural Gas in the coming 2 months. We question “too fast” as we are at the dawn of the seasonality trade. With demand for Natural gas used for heating generally rising as winter months are approaching, we can reflect on the seasonality behavior of Natural Gas prices over the past winters. A simple strategy of buying in the middle of October and waiting for the winter months gives a 70% win-rate when we look back at the past 10 years. Could we expect the same this winter? On top of these, we think there are a few structural factors that might boost natural gas demand in the US over a longer-term horizon. 1) The recent announcement by the Biden administration that ruled out a ban or curbs on natural gas exports this winter, and Europe’s struggle with the energy crisis spell good news for Natural Gas’s demand. 2) Current Natural gas storage levels are also below the 5-year average as reported by the US EIA . 3) A move away from coal as agreed in the COP26 means alternative energy sources are bound to replace coal. With many coal-powered plants being refurbished to work with natural gas, we see structural demand rising as more of these plants come online. Natural gas’s current technical levels point oversold to us, with the seasonality trade potentially on the cards and an overall supportive macro backdrop, we lean bullish on Natural gas. As Natural Gas is considered a highly volatile contract, we can use the Average True Range (ATR) to set our stops. In this case, we follow the rule of thumb to multiply the ART by 2, which sets our stop at roughly 4.550. Entry at 5.200, stop at 4.550. Target at 6.400. The charts above were generated using CME’s Real-Time data available on TradingView. Inspirante Trading Solutions is subscribed to both TradingView Premium and CME Real-time Market Data which allows us to identify trading set-ups in real-time and express our market opinions. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com Disclaimer: The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios.
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by inspirante
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BTC bottom range based RSI indicator, 24-period based on highsINDEX:BTCUSD RSI is a trend indicator... Based on the RSI period 24 based on the high of each candle, being oversold at 30 and overbought at 90, we have incredible results in anticipating bull runs, and always buying in the bottom range, As well as taking the operation to optimal sales values In 2017, the sale indication was at the exact top, in 2020/2021, on the other hand, the sale was well anticipated, but still very profitable, but the repurchase came at much better values ​​than the sale is soon a success.
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$PEP Pepsi: RSI Suggests We Go to ATHPepsi has key earnings this week which should receive a nice tailwind from it's RSI setup. The 100 session RSI on large timeframes indicate the stock is highly oversold relative to usual times. Historically, such levels on the RSI produce a 15% rally in the following three months. furthermore we are trading at the bottom of a channel, giving me further confidence in a long to retest the highs of the channel. yellow dotted lines: Key volume support white dotted lines: Key technical support blue lines: channel
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by zimeaBlue
Realty Income Corp Set To Move Up Prior To Inflation ReportBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 23, 2022 with a closing price of 61.81. If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 63.129999999999995 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.728% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 6.7065% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.6685% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well. The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 15.5 trading bars; half occur within 28.0 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 33.5 trading bars. The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement. As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
NYSE:OLong
by StockSignaler