BTC 83k in Q1 2022Bitcoin looks like it is about to enter a 3 months of bull-run. Wave theory and hidden bullish divergence on rsi with a positive overall sentiment around the world after the omicron panic indicates that bitcoin is going to have a really good quarter. My personal price estimation is close to 83k.
Rsi_oversold
The RSI Comeback Story Part II; Bears Sold Too Much.So the USD looks ugly...... Sure.
BTC /ETH or BTC / Perp not your cup of tea....Fine
TOTAL looks like $hit and the 200 is drowning everything.....Yup
We've got a couple tricks left up our sleeve....... Allow us to introduce to you Mr. RSI!
Hint: Look what happens when we oversell ;)
When in doubt, zoom out.
W.E.D.C.
Anatomy Of The Trade | The Perfect Turning Point Signal (NQ)What a fantastic week for range trading!
Today, on a very red Friday session, we had the perfect Extreme Turn Buy signal. Let's break it down.
Note: The Extreme Turn Signal featured in this video is generated from a custom, hybrid indicator, build with love and passion, from my team here at the tradersdevGROUP ("TDG" among friends). But you can recreate the signal by applying an RSI indicator to your chart with the settings (5 period, 84 upper, 16 lower).
Stay Green & Trade Like You Mean It!
EURUSD approaching support zone.EURUSD has been trending lower for a while. It should bounce around 1.1390/1.1420 zone close to the harmonic potential reversal zone from the ABCD pattern and the extreme impulse wave. The RSI is diverging with the currency pair arguing for the exhaustion of the bearish move.
USDSGD reacting from the resistance area and approaching supportUSDSGD is reacting from its channel and the first part of the Extreme Impulse Wave harmonic pattern which should lead us towards 1.3440 from where a long opportunity could be established. Hopefully the RSI-ATR indicator should be close to support by the time we reach 1.3440 the potential reversal zone of the harmonic pattern and the lower part of the channel.
H&S break of neckline and retestA very promising shorting opportunity at EUR JPY after a recent H&S pattern formation. Targets above the right shoulder and targets around the 130.91 level as this is a level where the price consolidated in the past. We also have the 50% retracement confluence after taking into consideration the most recent swing high to swing low. If we pay attention to the RSI we can also notice the price has recently went into the oversold territory which relates to a push to the upside and a retest of the neckline is likely - this will offer a better opportunity for entry.
Walmart should lead the way over the next month of reboundBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on October 1, 2021 with a closing price of 137.05.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 139.28 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 4.63% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 7.686% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 22.321% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 19 trading bars; half occur within 28 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 35 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
Crown Castle historically rides much higher; Will it happen now?The full analysis is well worth the read. CCI signaled BUY 2 days ago. The delay in upward movement is between 1-3 days (the median delay is 1 day). We are beginning the third day today which means upward movement should be imminent. Of the 15 times the RSI algorithm has signaled on the daily chart has lead to the stock rising a minimum of 11% over the next 35 trading days. If history holds true, that means the stock could rise to at least 195 which is a significant jump. Of course this may also be the occasion for the stock to move up and the minimum movement be more around the area of just a few percent.
Based on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on September 28, 2021 with a closing price of 175.06.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 195.49 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 15.451% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 18.955% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 28.996% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 35 trading bars after the signal. A 1% rise must occur over the next 35 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 12 trading bars; half occur within 28 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 32 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
GANN THEORY Strategize UPDATEWanted to post a couple of pictures about editing and cleaning up the strategy and make it more SIMPLE to understand the thought process of behind it. I had to Remove a couple of indicators names CM_SLINGSHOT and DREADBLITZ DRSI from the indicator am replacing these indicators w/ a 100 (p) exponential moving average to filter weather we should go long or short. Adding the Bull vs Bear Power by DGT. setting i have on this indicator is 13 check SUM, histogram, 1 smoothing, 0 recall, drop-down box to LEAST. 'This indicator and the CM_ULTIMATE_RSI MULTI TIME FRAME by Chris Moody works very harmoniously together. The following pictures will explain why. Also the alert can be set on the 70 30 lines of the RSI.
this picture shows the BULL vs BEAR POWER telling us the trend so we know what direction we should DIRECT it outwards to 'Project.'
based on the Direction of the trend on the Daily we alerts on the 70 30 lines of the RSI. and the 2 GANN-Fib lines ' usually its the .618 and .75 lines. (yes i rename my ALERTS as 70 30 and GANN FIB ALERT) easy tooltip to reference you already know what your looking at when you set something to crossing. i want to be sure to look at the Right thing when i get to the chart. '' focus '' type strategy.
example of one of my favorite trades to take with GANN---- its a RISK off (means if it goes the other way you only loosing a small fraction of profit.) But if it goes well like the example it can give 28 risk reward ratio. The second trade that is using the MTF_RSI, support resistance MTF, and BULL vs Bear power in all in sync.
this is on a 5min chart sorry for the resolution... but explaining the harmonious sympathy that these indicators make.
this is y i rather use the 5min chart with the 15min chart___ look at the that Blue line on the BULL VS BEAR POWER on the 5 min. perfect exit for full profit. If you use the EXIT 'last chance' you would of only had a small gain.
To sum this up, I take 2 different types of trades RISK OFF trades with GANN FIBS ___ you will see the S/R lvl to support the move. Then trades off the MTF_RSI after a pullback with conjunction of the BULL VS BEAR. My requirements are longs over 100 ema and shorts under 100 ema and the bull vs bear power has to say STRONG TREND __ADX RISING___ if it says ADX_FALLING then be warned.
Thanks for taking the time to read this i really appreciate any feedback.
GBPCHF long is live and running 💪📈This strategy is working the 15M time frame.
Trade has been running for 45 minutes at time of writing this idea.
Seeking the green line which is take profit target.
Trade label shows entry values and purple line is stop loss.
Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
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Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren
Mulitple Timeframes Signal Buy for FLSBased on historical movement, the trough could occur anywhere in the larger red box. The final targets are in the green boxes. The pending top should occur within the larger green box as has been the historical case. Half of all movement has ended in the smaller green box. In this instance, the signal indicated BUY on August 9, 2021 with a closing price of 39.20 on the 2 Hour chart and at 39.15 on the 3 Hour chart.
If this instance is successful, that means the stock should rise to at least 39.49 which is the bottom of the larger green box. Three-quarters of all successful signals have the stock rise 2.1% from the signal closing price. This percentage is the bottom of the smaller green box. Half of all successful signals have the stock rise 5.315% which is the end point of the black dotted arrow. One-quarter of all successful signals have the stock rise 8.183% from the signal closing price which is the top of the smaller green box. The maximum rise on record would see a move to the top of the larger green box. These are the same concepts for the levels in the red boxes as well.
The ends/vertical sides of the boxes are determined in a similar fashion. The peak of the rise can occur as soon as the next trading bar after signal close, while the max rise occurs within the limit of study at 40 trading bars after the signal. A 0.5% rise must occur over the next 40 trading bars in order to be considered a success. Three-quarters of successful movement occur after at least 9 trading bars; half occur within 22 trading bars, and one-quarter require at least 34 trading bars.
The black dotted arrow represents median historical movement. Medians are a good metric, but they are just one of many I use when forecasting future movement.
As always, the stock could decline the very next bar after the signal without looking back (therefore the red boxes would not come into play) or the stock may never decline (and the green boxes may never come into play).
The RSI explained ! how to identify buy and sell signals Hello everyone , as we all know the market action discounts everything :) I have created this short video to explain what is the RSI and how to use it to identify buy and sell signals with this oscillator , everything you need to know about this indicator is right here.
Its been around since the late 70s so its probably one of the more established oscillators out there .
So lets check out the formula and how the RSI works :
RS=100 -100/1-RS
RS (relative strength) average X day up / average X day down
So simply lets say we are using a 10 days average so we check how many days the price closed up and we add them and we divide by 10 which would give us the average X days up.
And we do the same for the average X days down but we calculate how many days the price closed down and then we add them and divide by 10 ,And after all of that has been calculated we will always get a value between 0% and 100%
And that's why the RSI is considered a bounded oscillator it means that the value will always be between 0 % and 100%
The oscillator has 2 major zones which are the overbought and oversold zones. Anything above 70% is considered overbought and anything below 30% the market considered oversold .
So when the market reaches overbought zone it tells us that the market has gone up to far and its due a bounce back down , and the same when it reaches oversold zone it means that the market has gone to far down and its due a bounce back up.
So looking to buy or sell when the market reaches oversold and overbought is one strategy .
But because the market moves a lot and reaches these levels so much this way is not as reliable that much , the better way to use the RSI is to check if it has a divergence with the market price.
what is a divergence you may ask !!!
A Divergence is when the price of the market is moving in the opposite direction of a technical indicator, such as an oscillator, Divergence warns that the current price trend may be weakening, and in some cases may lead to the price changing direction.
These signals of divergences doesn’t happen that often but they do give us a better way to use the RSI .
And there is it that’s everything you need to know about the RSI and how it works it’s a really simple oscillator and its one of the most popular oscillators used by technical analysts.
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EURNOK seeking to 3 out of 3 🎯💪Our RSI reversal strategy has enter a long trade running on EURNOK overnight.
This is a new strategy script we are trialling at the moment based on reversal trading using RSI as a one of the main contributing confluences.
New trade details are shown on the chart and we are working the 15M time frame.
Take profit is the green line. Pink line is stop loss.
Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
Last trade was shared as an idea only yesterday before a new long presented overnight.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
------------------------------------------
Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren.
EURNOK long seeking to make it two out of two 🎯Our RSI reversal strategy has a long trade running on EURNOK.
This is a new strategy script we are trialling at the moment.
Last trade included on the chart to show how this works which hit the desired TP target.
New trade details are shown on the chart and we are working the 15M time frame.
Take profit is the green line. Pink line is stop loss.
Trade history can be seen below this trade idea too for full transparency.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
------------------------------------------
Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren.
Could BTC Rise??? YES!!!I Have anticipated that BTC is bearish, and it was true.
BTC got rejected from 41 k down to 28k.
But right now the RSI indicator is what that concerns me.
I think that BTC must see prices under 28k in near future because of my last analysis, but, right now there is a small chance that Bitcoin rise again for higher targets.
XRP is right on track to make a new ATH this year!My last chart's thesis has not changed (). I called for XRP to reach ~$1.50 (when it was at $1) followed by a large retrace back down to the $0.75-$0.50 range which would set up a move toward (and beyond) the previous ATH.
In this chart, I'm highlighting the only 3 times the daily RSI has closed below 30 since XRP bottomed in March 2020. The previous 2 occurrences have acted as springs to start an upward trend. I expect this 3rd occurrence to be no different and to act as a signal to let us know the $0.75-$0.50 retrace target has completed.
**Not Financial Advice
Trading gold on the 15M part two✌️Evening again traders.
This part two of my trade ideas on how I've trade the gold drop on the 15M chart in the last 24 hours.
Part one can be found here.
The strategy shared in part one was a trend based strategy with solid returns based on following the trend with a stop loss.
The strategy only had a 24% win rate but still had a proven record based on 100 trade sample.
As humans we are not easy with the thought of losing money and it can impact on your trading psychology massively.
If a 24% win rate isn't what you are comfortable with here we have a relative strength index reversal strategy which is still in early stages of development.
RSI settings can be set individually to each instrument then the back test data sample of trades shows us how profitable a strategy has been.
This back test data provides us with the necessary information to plan for probability in our method of trading.
The strategy applied on gold 15M this time is a reversal strategy based on RSI working within in a set period of hours.
As with every idea the trade history can be found at the foot of the idea.
The strategy has a much higher win rate at 64% over more trades, but also profit is less. However we still have a proven edge.
Note the strategy has already alerted to a potential long trade already today before presenting this next long opportunity.
As traders we have to understand that no strategy will win all the time. Gold could well continue downward but this reversal strategy is saying its time to go long.
The big choice we have to make as traders is picking a plan and style that suits us as individuals but also what we emotionally feel comfy with.
Two contrasting styles shown on the two ideas tonight. Comment below which style would suit you the most.
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I try and share as many ideas as I can as and when I have time. My trades are automated so I am not sat in front of a screen daily.
Jumping on random trade ideas 'willy-nilly' on Trading View trying to find that one trade that you can retire from is not a sustainable way to trade. You might get lucky, but it will always end one way.
------------------------------------------
Please hit the 👍 LIKE button if you like my ideas🙏
Also follow my profile, then you will receive a notification whenever I post a trading idea - so you don't miss them. 🙌
No one likes missing out, do they?
Also, see my 'related ideas' below to see more just like this.
The stats for this pair are shown below too.
Thank you.
Darren.
Difference between fast & slow moving RSI |Use in crypto tradingQuick glance: In our last tutorial analysis, we discussed RSI Divergences. In this tutorial, we discuss the difference between a fast and slow moving RSI and how to effectively use this in crypto-trading.
First let us understand what is meant by "lookback" period?
Lookback is the period under consideration. For example, typically RSI is calculated on a 14-period consideration.
2-period lookback is highly volatile and a 20-period lookback RSI would be smoother than a 14-lookback RSI.
2-RSI is a fast moving RSI and 20-RSI is a slow moving RSI.
Lookback period and timeframe are totally different. In both these charts, we have used a 1-day timeframe.
How to use fast and slow moving RSI in trading cryptos
Using fast and slow moving RSI we can place aggressive low risk trades. The key to achieving this is by determining the predominant market trend. In both the charts, we have used the 200 day - SMA to determine the trend.
Price of the underlying > 200day SMA == Predominantly Bullish trend
Price of the underlying < 200day SMA == Predominantly Bearish trend
Buy when:
Price > 200-SMA
2-RSI < 5
Sell when:
Price < 200-SMA
2-RSI > 95
Please note:
One of the most best ways to catch the trades on fast moving RSI could be using algo-trading. It would ensure that accurate signals are not missed!
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Any feedback and suggestions would help in further improving the analysis! If you find the analysis useful, please like and share our ideas with the community. Keep supporting :)
- Mudrex
The DXY Should Have A Strong Opening Week From These LevelsNearing the PCZ of a second Bullish Cypher on the Daily at Monthly Support/Resistance while showing MACD Hidden Bullish Divergence on the Daily, a slightly Oversold RSI, and a Stoch RSI the looks like it will have no choice but to cross upwards very soon.
I think so long as we manage to stay above the 0.886 Fibonacci Retrace, the trend should stay intact but if we break through this Danger level then things could get really bad for the DXY.
We will likely test these zones immediately upon the open of the DXY today. Ideally we will respond positively to these levels throughout the current night and tomorrow morning and the momentum we get will continue on into the coming weeks.
As for Bullish Targets i think it will hit the resistance zone of 94-94.50 from here and if we're lucky it will break that level and go even higher