How to Read the RSI Indicator: The Market's Lie DetectorAttention TradingViewers, market gurus, and Instagram influencers, this one indicator goes hard whenever it’s onto something. Let's talk about the RSI — the Relative Strength Index . This bad boy is like the lie detector test of the market, calling out overhyped moves and under-the-radar opportunities.
What’s RSI All About?
The RSI is a momentum-based oscillator that captures the speed and change of price movements. It operates on a scale of 0 to 100, and if you know how to read it, it’s like having X-ray vision into the market’s moods. The best part? It’s super easy to use — slap it on any chart, any time frame and let it do its thing.
The Numbers
Above 70 : Overbought alert! If the RSI shows a reading above 70, the trading instrument may have been partying a little too hard. Anywhere above 70 means that it’s flashing “overbought” – like a sugar rush that’s about to crash. Traders who follow the RSI usually interpret this as a signal to sell and move out of the asset before the line reverses course and dives back under the high-water mark. Sometimes, however, the price keeps climbing well above 70.
Below 30 : Now we’re in “oversold” territory – it’s like spotting a hidden gem in a bargain bin. When RSI drops below 30, the market’s saying, “This thing’s been beaten down, but maybe – just maybe – it’s time for a comeback.” Keep in mind that sometimes the dip may keep dipping.
How It’s Calculated
RSI is all about relative strength — it compares the magnitude of recent gains to recent losses. Picture a tug-of-war between bulls and bears. The RSI score tells you who’s winning the battle right now, but also hints at who might be running out of strength.
Trading with RSI
Overbought? Maybe Sell (obligatory DYOR) . When RSI hits 70 and above, you might be looking at a market running out of fuel. You may start thinking about trimming your position, or at least keep an eye out for a reversal. After all, what goes up must come down (except maybe Bitcoin BTC/USD ?)
Oversold? Maybe Buy (obligatory DYOR) . If the RSI drops to 30 and below, it could be a signal to start looking for a buying opportunity. The market is going through a meltdown and sometimes that’s your cue to go bargain hunting and snap up some discounted assets. Just make sure that your stock or crypto of choice isn’t falling for a specific reason — no indicator can save you from an actual rug pull.
The Sweet Spot — Divergences: Ever notice when the RSI and price action don’t agree? That’s called a divergence, and it’s like catching the market in a lie. If the price is making new highs but the RSI isn’t, or vice versa, it’s a clue that something fishy’s going on and you may want to be on the lookout for a sur- price reversal.
Bonus Tip: RSI in Different Timeframes
Wanna get fancy and earn some bragging rights? Use RSI across different timeframes. A stock might be oversold on the daily but overbought on the weekly. By spotting the trend across different time frames, you can pick your desired time frame to trade in and follow closely. The higher the time frame, the longer the time horizon for the move to actually pan out.
So, there you have it – the RSI. It’s not a crystal ball, but it’s pretty close.
Use it wisely, and you might just outsmart the market — or at least stay ahead of the next big move. Keep those charts hot, continue learning about technical analysis and go smash those trading goals of yours. 🔥
Rsidivergence
Elliott Wave DemonstrationDemonstration of Elliott Wave Principles using Bitcoin chart:
Rules:
Wave 2 never goes below end of Wave 1 => checked
Wave 3 is not the shortest of Wave 1, 3 and 5 => checked
Wave 4 never goes below end of Wave 1 => checked
Guidelines:
Guideline of Alternation: Wave 2 and 4 alternates in form (sharp vs sideways), retracement (shallow vs deep) and duration (long vs short) => checked
Guideline of Wave Equality: Two out of three waves (1,3 and 5) tend to be equal in length and duration, Wave 1 and 5 meeting this guideline => checked
Momentum is highest during end of wave 3, end of Wave 5 normally creates divergence with price => checked
Volume during Wave 3 is normally the highest amongst Wave 1,3 and 5
Relations with Fib ratios:
Wave 2 retraced Wave 1 by 78.6% (deep)
Wave 3 was equal to 261.8% of Wave 1 (longest)
Wave 4 retraced Wave 3 by 38.2% (shallow)
Wave 5 was equal to 100% of Wave 1 (Guideline of Wave equality)
#ALICE/USDT SHORT ENTRY#ALICE/USDT SHORT ENTRY
Leverage: 3x
Entries: $1.515
Take profit 1: $1.490
Take profit 2: $1.417
Take profit 3: $1.296
Stop Loss: $1.603
NOTE: This is just my prediction. Be sure to use STOPLOSS and remember that I am not a financial adviser. your money, your risk!
BINANCE:ALICEUSDT.P
Thanks
The sroced.
GBPNZD - Potential Perfect StormTaking a look at RSI on the 1 hour timeframe, it's obvious we are getting some bearish divergence after a strong week long rally.
This strong bullish price action was attributed to the RBNZ interest rate decesion last week where interest rates were left unchanges at 5.50%
However, later today we get the latest CPI data from New Zealand followed by UK's CPI data a few hours later. Could this be a potential perfect storm where New Zealand will show a surprise to the upside followed by a surprise to the downside with the UK?
If that happens, I would expect this ascending support trendline to break opening the doors for a reversal.
Time will tell but early clues are beginning to develop on the 1 hour timeframe with RSI.
That's it - That's all
Trade Safe.
Trading Idea: Shorting GBPJPY Amid Conflicting Signals from JapaThe recent statement from Japan's Finance Minister about possibly giving up FX intervention due to its ineffectiveness, which seems to suggest acceptance of the yen's continuous weakness, directly conflicts with recent BOJ communications.
Considering this, shorting GBPJPY becomes a highly volatile decision. Nonetheless, a trade is a trade. If this trade goes well, profits are expected within 2 hours. If not, that's part of the game.
Trade Setup:
Short GBPJPY
Entry : 202.97
Stop-Loss : 203.21
Target 1 : 202.60
Target 2 : Open
Strategy:
- Volatility Consideration : Acknowledge the high volatility due to conflicting statements from Japan’s Finance Minister and BOJ.
- Risk Management : Set stop-loss at 203.21 to manage potential losses.
Profit Targets :
Target 1 : 202.60
Target 2 : Keep open
Remember to breathe and prepare for the next trade. What’s your take on this situation? Do you see a different angle or strategy? Share your thoughts and insights below!
Natural Gas Prices Poised for New 2024 HighsAfter a poor start to the year, Natural Gas prices have surged in the current quarter, largely due to stronger fundamentals. Extending the advance this week, the commodity looks poised to set new 2024 highs (3.397), but it may be early to talk about further gains.
Key drillers have lowered their 2024 output guidance, while demand is expected to accelerate substantially, largely due to Asian industrial use. Adding to the optimistic outlook, the World Bank this week raised its growth forecast for the US and China and India, while the Europe exited its brief recession and the ECB slashed interest rates this month.
On the other hand, supply is expected to expand this year and producers could boost their activity as price rise. European countries have agreed to keep consumption low, while historically warm weather poses another threat to demand optimism. Natural gas is also used for electricity generation though, which can be a tailwind in the summer months.
On the technical front, the RSI has not followed prices higher, in a divergence that can limit the upside and fuel a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it would pause the bullish bias, but that would need strong catalyst.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
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Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Bitcoin Head and Shoulders dip to $60,500OKX:BTCUSDT has created a classic Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily timeframe. If it confirms below the neckline, we could see a pullback to $60,500 - the same distance from the peak of the Head to the neckline from the breakdown.
This is not actionable until it confirms, when a candle closes lower than the first candle closing below the breakdown.
Given the institutional interest and price manipulation, this could be turned around by market makers, so I won't be entering a short, or exiting my spot positions, until I see confirmation on the daily timeframe.
However, I could also see those who manipulate the markets wanting a lower entry for large amounts of institutional capital - so the price could likely be manipulated either way. What the chart tells us is this is a big bearish signal to be monitored.
There is also a Bearish Divergence on the RSI, which isn't actionable by itself, but does add a layer of confluence.
LINKUSDTHi guys
It seems that we have an upward channelized trend. And currently, the ceiling of the RSI negative divergence channel has also been issued.
The support area of $17.24 is still preserved.
Provided that this support area and the upward trend line are maintained, there is a high possibility of forming an upward trend similar to the drawn upward scenario.
in case of breaking the upward trend line and losing the support range of $17.24; The downside scenario is more likely.
What do you think?
DOGEHi guys
Considering the consumption of the specified range, the probability of reaction to the specified price range is very high.
On the higher time frame, the probability that a higher ceiling will be formed compared to the previous ceiling is very weak.
As a result, our bullish view is short-term for now.
What do you think?
GBPUSD - A Bullish Trend with a Cautionary NoteHey traders! Let's dive into the EUR/USD market analysis. While many are eyeing a shorting opportunity at 1.2743, leveraging RSI Divergence, it's crucial to acknowledge the overarching bullish trend on both daily and weekly charts.
Currently, the market is hovering around a critical support level at 1.2723. A 20-pip move might not be substantial, but it can be a telling sign. Here's what to watch out for:
If the market bounces from this support level, it could indicate a continued bullish trend.
A breakdown below 1.2723 might attract more sellers, potentially leading to a short-term correction.
Keep in mind that the bullish trend on higher time frames still holds sway. Let's monitor the market's reaction at this support level before making a move.
Stay vigilant, and let's trade wisely!
ADAUSDT - Possible breakout of resistence on 1h TFIf we close bullish candle above resistance, then successfully rest our resistend we can expect higher bullish movement, who can give us good opportunity to long position with reasonable RRR. But for this idea we need wait little bit for multiple confirmations as mentioned.
NAS100 Hits Record Ahead of NVIDIA but RSI DivergesThe tech-heavy index runs its best month of the year, extending the advance to new record highs. After last week’s CPI moderation, markets strengthened their bets for two rate cuts by the Fed this year, beginning in June. NAS100 now eyes the psychological 19K mark.
On the other hand, the disinflation process has slowed this year and Fed officials have turned cautious around a pivot, adopting a higher-for-longer narrative, while the hawkish commentary continued this week from various policymakers. On the technical side, the RSI did not follow prices higher, in a divergence that creates risk for a pullback towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it, would pause the bullish bias, but that would need strong catalyst.
Even if a pullback ensues, the path of least resistance is higher. NAS100 has looked past the Fed’s cautious shift, largely due to the generative AI boom and investors now await Wednesday’s results by NVIDIA, its enabler and main beneficiary. After February’s last report, the stock had jumped more than 12% and had lifted NAS100 with it, so there is potential for volatility.
NVIDIA expects new record revenues due to AI demand and growth to the tune of 235% y/y. This would mark a small slowdown in pace and markets will want to see if it can continue to post eyewatering numbers, or if cracks will begin to appear.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
BTC 4 time frame shows a good Bullish DivergenceAgain, the BTC 4 time frame shows a good Bullish Divergence, and if the above trendline breaks with good volume and the price trades above 63049.9$ and closes the candlestick, the price can break above the 64, 66, and 70k mark. Be patient until the RSI rises above the 50 level.
BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P
USDJPY Analysis: Bullish Flag Pattern PotentialTrade Strategy: Bullish Flag Pattern
Key Levels:
- Shorting Opportunity: 153.26
- Buying Opportunity: 152.84
Analysis:
- Importance: Identifies a potential Bullish Flag Pattern setup
- Technical Analysis: Signals a possible continuation of the bullish trend
- Fundamental Analysis: Supports the bullish bias for USDJPY
Trade Plan:
- Shorting Opportunity: Consider shorting at 153.26 with candlestick pattern confirmation and RSI Divergence
- Buying Opportunity: Look for buy entries near 152.84, targeting beyond the resistance line at 153.26
Insights:
The USDJPY chart shows signs of a Bullish Flag Pattern formation, indicating a potential bullish continuation. Traders can watch for opportunities to short or buy based on the identified key levels.
📈📉 Keep an eye on USDJPY for trading opportunities based on the Bullish Flag Pattern setup!
Copper RSI Divergence Threatens Bullish BiasTechnicals
Prices hit fifteen-month highs this week, extending the recent rally. Copper is on the verge of another breakout, eyeing the January 2023 highs (4.356), which could open the door for further gain towards 4.579.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) did not follow the price action and diverged lower on the H4 chart. This can lead to pullback, but the downside appears well-protected, starting with the EMA200 (at around 4.020). Daily closes below it are needed for the bullish momentum to pause, but that need strong catalyst.
Fundamentals
The improved supply-demand dynamics have fueled the rally and favor further upside. Optimism around China from recent data boost demand prospects midst the supportive green energy transition and the rebound of the chip industry that is largely fueled by the AI revolution. At the same time major mining companies have slashed their 2024 output outlook.
However, China’s recovery is bumpy and the critical property sector remains in distress. The US economy is performing very well, but along with sticky inflation and robust labor market, there is risk for fewer Fed rate cate cuts that could create headwinds.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website:
Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com
Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
USDJPY Analysis: Bearish Fib-3 Bat Retest Analysis:
- Trading Setup: Bearish Fib-3 Bat Retest
- Entry Zone: Identified at Bearish Bat Retest or Key Resistance Zone
- Signal Confirmation: Supported by RSI Divergence
- Trading Expectation: Expect potential stop-outs on lower time frames
Trade Plan:
- Short Opportunity: Aggressive traders may consider shorting USDJPY at the identified retest zone
- Risk Management: Plan trades in advance and adhere to rules that invalidate the setup
Your Thoughts?
Are you considering a short position on USDJPY? Share your insights and trade plans in the comments below!
📉 Remember to trade responsibly and manage your risks effectively! Trading involves inherent risks and requires careful analysis.
APTUSDTHi guys
It seems that the two price areas that we have identified are very low risk for buying.
According to the issued divergences, the possibility of a downward trend should be considered.
Interestingly, this cryptocurrency does not have any resistance range after the price area of $20.4!
What do you think?
USDJPY Analysis: Shorting Opportunity Ahead- Timeframe: Weekly chart shows RSI Divergence
- Trade Bias: Shorting opportunities favored
Analysis:
- Weekly Chart: RSI Divergence signals potential reversal
- 4-Hourly Chart: Waiting for retest of previous resistance at 151.74 for short entry
- Combo Trade Strategy: Stretching targets for lower risk and higher returns
Combo Trade Strategy Explained:
- Definition: Trade management system to extend targets for enhanced risk-reward ratio
- Benefits: Lower risk exposure, higher potential returns
Trade Plan:
- Shorting opportunities identified on USDJPY
- Entry upon retest of 151.74 resistance level on 4-hourly chart
- Utilize combo trade strategy for optimized risk management and profitability
Additional Insights:
- Trading strategy not limited to shorting USDJPY; open to opportunities aligning with trading strategy
- Flexibility in trading approach across multiple currency pairs
Final Thoughts:
- Market dynamics are not constrained by directional movements of specific currency pairs
- Focus on trading opportunities presented by price action and technical indicators
- Adaptability and versatility are key to successful trading in dynamic market conditions
💡 Your Thoughts?
What are your views on the potential shorting opportunity on USDJPY? Share your insights and trading strategies in the comments below!
👍 Like if you appreciate this analysis! Remember, always conduct your own analysis and manage risk responsibly. Trading involves risks.
Unveiling the Power of RSI's Hidden Bullish Divergence.Greetings, friends and speculators.
Let's take a moment to examine the Crypto King's relationship with the 2-month RSI indicator.
The RSI has proven itself as a powerful tool, accurately identifying the exact bottom on three separate occasions.
During the bear market lows of 2015, 2018, and 2022, a hidden bullish divergence emerged, signaling the conclusion of the downtrend and the initiation of a new "Mark Up" Phase.
Interestingly, there has been an approximately 20% increase in the duration between these hidden bullish divergences. If we extrapolate this trend to the current period, we might anticipate a market bottom around July 2027.
However, approach this prediction with caution, past performance does not guarantee future returns.
To confirm a valid Hidden Bullish Divergence, the bulls need to maintain the price above the 2022 lows while ensuring that the RSI makes a lower low.
Apart from indicating market bottoms, the RSI indicator also aids in pinpointing optimal exit points. Notably, RSI levels surpassing 90 historically denoted the conclusion of the bull run.
With the current RSI hovering around the 70 mark, it suggests that the bulls still possess plenty of ammunition as they advance further.
I should note that RSI has made a lower high during the last 2 market tops, one could assume that a lower high in this bull frenzy would fail to penetrate the 90+ level.
If you recall my BTC post from September 2021, I advised bulls to start dollar-cost averaging into positions. At that time, BTC was experiencing an "Accumulation" phase, and it's clear that we've transitioned into a "MarkUp" phase now.
As we approach the final Bitcoin halving, there is no doubt that an interesting time is upon us.
To all those who weathered the brutal bear market, I salute you.
Much Love & Good Luck!
SPECUALTIVE SETUP, DYOR + DD.
What is Hidden Bullish Divergence?
A hidden bullish divergence is a setup where the oscillator forms lower lows at the same time that the price is forming higher lows. This setup is frequently seen in situations where the price has been in consolidation or has performed a pullback from an uptrend.
What is RSI?
The Relative Strength Index, or RSI for short, is one of the most popular technical indicators among the trading community. It belongs to the family of oscillators, or technical tools used to determine overbought or oversold conditions. It’s used to gauge the market sentiment.
Developed by J. Welles Wilder, the RSI measures the speed and change of price movements.
A popular way of reading RSI values is to look for divergences that occur when a new high or a new low of the price isn’t confirmed by the RSI readings.
displays on a vertical range of 0 to 100.
Readings close to 0 are viewed as “oversold”, while those closer to 100 are a sign of “overbought” market conditions. Unlike some other momentum indicators, readings can’t go below 0 or higher than 100.