Trade Review: GBPAUD BatWell, this trade is already in the "Safe House", I've already shifted the stops to entry.
The recent bearish candle(black) has a break and close below the low, which was mention on the previous post(link at the bottom).
If the current candle has another break and close below the trendline and without touching the first target, I might able to plan for a second trade.
Let's see how this trade develop.
Rsidivergence
Trade Ideas Position: GBPJPY SharkA bearish shark setup that coincides with ABCD pattern formed as a counter-trend trade, conservative traders can wait for a confirmation candle to engage the trade.
The additional advantage of this setup is having an RSI divergence on this setup and on the higher timeframe, it is also within the sell zone that was formed by a bearish bat and a bearish crab pattern(link to the connecting chart at the bottom).
Beautiful setup and opportunity but it don't guarantee a fall of this pair, it's good to know that there are so many setups align at the same zone at the same time.
USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Feb20,Wk4Two trading scenario may develop from here.
1) The market may bounce off towards the upside after a bullish engulfing candle within the blue box(buy zone);
or
2) After bouncing within the box for the first time, the market may break and close below it and have a head and shoulder setup.
Personally based on the technical setup, it seems more likely for (2) to happen, but USDJPY has a notorious reputation of being influenced by news.
Trade Ideas Position: GBPUSD ButterflyA support level on the daily chart happens to be the Harmonic Optimal Price(HOP) of the bullish butterfly pattern on the 1-hourly chart, and it is set up for a countertrend trade.
It does provide a great reward: risk the only thing is that on the daily chart, it is also the consolidation of a bearish bat after Point D completion.
Just remember not to overtrade this, you should be fine.
BitFink's Trick For Finding TargetsBitFink posted a very clever way to use RSI divergence on long term BTC to find tops and bottoms of the macro 4 year structure:
I was looking at using this on shorter time frames and it seems like it's especially useful for finding the exit in conjunction with an elliot count. In this example once you have your 4 wave candidate you can look at the symmetry on RSI Divergence to find about where it's looking like wave 5 ends.
Targets are usually the hardest thing for me so this is very useful. It seems like using this for entries might be a little unclear since it's selecting the crossovers in the middle where RSI is the most choppy.
My favorite elliot location to enter is on the 4 wave anyway so this will be a great tool to use going forward.
Trade Ideas Positions: NZDJPY SharkMiss the bullish run on the bullish crab setup? Well don't be, right now there is a trend trading setup on a bearish shark setup check-back. You just have to wait for confirmation to engage the trade.
On the 4-hourly chart of the NZDJPY Bullish Crab also forms a sideway bounce which gives a potential for a shorting opportunity.
BTCUSD Short - Rising WedgeHi folks, I’m going to keep this one short and simple.
- There is this big rising wedge on Bitcoin that can be easily seen on the 12 hour time frame.
- Price is also at a critical resistance zone where I expect distribution.
- Bearish divergence can be seen on RSI and MACD.
- Market sentiment is starting to get overly bullish which typically leads to a correction.
I am looking to short from here with a stop loss just above 10,000.
1st target is at the 0.236 fib (around $9,000) but I am anticipating further retracement.
As you know I have been bullish since $6,500 and made the perfect call to go long in previous ideas seen below. I am still very bullish on the long term and I am prepared to close out my shorts as soon as it appears the downside is over.
Previous ideas:
Trade Ideas Analysis: USDJPY Double TopA double top setup with RSI Divergence gave an opportunity for traders to look in a potential counter-trend trade setup.
The red arrow is an indication of what my Harmonic Pattern Assistant software has spotted and is placed in for reference and for my viewer.
Trade has engaged, if you want to get hold of the software and my Entry, Stop and Targets, check out the (3)link on my signature.
See you guys soon in our community.
Bull break pending, ONTXIf this 4hr candle can close engulfing the doji on ONTX, it could mark the beginning of the bull break. There's also now a hidden RSI bullish divergence. That along with the decreasing volume and the equilibrium pattern I talked about in my last post are great bullish signs!
EURUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Jan20,Wk2A bullish Gartley pattern has formed up with a bullish engulfing candle, it sure does shows strength in the upward momentum for a longer-term trend trading setup.
I'm waiting for the market to have a check-back before engaging the trade and that will give me a better Reward: Risk.
What's your trade plan?
Comment down below.
WMT Walmart Distribution Sell SignalWalmart is a strong stock that has painted fresh ATH's in the past couple weeks. However, this recent price action has shown considerable weakness: lowered volume, bearish RSI divergences, and an inability to strongly breakout much higher. It seems to be sputtering and in danger of turning over in a rounded top fashion. Candlesticks and wicks on the daily, weekly, and monthly bars look like we're at a top.
GBPUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Dec19,Wk4After the UK General Election, UL Pound appreciates and have a massive slide off on Thursday night, in my opinion, that's because traders have taken profit and caused that to happen.
I do see the bull run to continue at the next buy zone. Waiting for market confirmation, at the minimum a double bottom with RSI Divergence.
EURUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Dec19,Wk4The daily chart on EURUSD is a bearish trend but on the 4-hourly it is a sideway market.
A bearish shark setup has trigger driving the movement past the 5-0 pattern. At this moment, I'm waiting for a double top on the 1-hourly timeframe with an RSI Divergence to engage a 5-0 buying opportunity.
Check the link on my signature to access all my trade ideas.
Gold Chart is like Pattern Lesson. 6-7 patterns in one graphWhen we look at XAUUSD 15 min chart, we can see 7 different pattern/formations.
From beginning in purple; we can see double bottom and than jump up.
Right after that in red; descending triangle forms and than decrease in price.
After one and a half day, bear flag forms in yellow.
When the bear flag completed, pink cup formation happens and price jumps to highest for the day.
By the time cup formation, RSI shows some tired moves. When the price increases RSI keeps descending and indicates bearish moves.
After two bullish formations, we can see the bearish flag in green. At the formation of bearish flag we can also spot the fake breakout in blue.