EURUSD-Weekly Market Analysis-Mar20,Wk4With coronavirus pandemic, it has caused great damage to Europe, thus causing one of the greatest depreciation that we have lived to witness.
Right now, the market double bottomed with RSI Divergence on EURUSD at the HOP level. It might be a great opportunity for bold countertrend trade to head in for a shot.
Rsidivergence
RSI Bullish Divergence on QTUM BTC [QUICK UPDATES]Hey all, the Trading Guru is back with another entry on a new series called 'Quick Updates'.
We can see the RSI here making a higher low, while the price is making a lower low. This is an indication of reduced momentum, showing that bears are struggling to push the price down. This unsustainable push will lead to an increase in price by creating more momentum for the bulls.
At the same time, the price is hitting a place of horizontal support. This confluence of two signals at the same time make this signal very strong. I am feeling very bullish on this one, as we got an even stronger signal on an already positive streak.
This can lead to a great scalping opportunity. Don't expect huge gains here, but use it as a way to identify a short term reversal. You have to take into account that we're on the 15m timeframe.
--- What is The Quick Update Series All About? ---
I am starting a new tag (quickupdates) where I quickly share great opportunities based on TA for shorter timeframes, such as 4h, 1h, and 15m. It will not contain just a short explanation, in order to keep the velocity up and make sure you get to see the opportunities as fast as possible.
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Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only!
About the links below:
20% Discount on Binance: Did you know that Binance introduced a new system where you can get 20% discount on your fees? Find the step-by-step guide on how to add it to your account on the website of 100eyes
Forex & Crypto Scanner: Nobody can keep track of all the pairs on all timeframes. This scanner works on Telegram and sends an automated message including a chart every time something happens to a coin. E.g. it can automatically detect areas of support and resistance, RSI Divergences, Fib Retracements, and more.
Trade Ideas Educator: AUDUSD ButterflyA break of the trendline(daily chart) may be a sign for a potential change of trend. In this situation, an appreciation is seen as a false recovery before a significant dip in this currency.
I will be watching closely to see if the check-back of this butterfly pattern provide an opportunity to engage this trade.
Trade Ideas Position: USDJPY CrabA bullish deep crab setup as a counter-trend trade on the 4-hourly chart but it is also a trend trading setup on the daily chart as market reverse at a well-supported level.
Interesting to know the reversal point on the daily chart happens to be the second target for the bearish bat on the daily chart.
Trade Review: GBPAUD BatWell, this trade is already in the "Safe House", I've already shifted the stops to entry.
The recent bearish candle(black) has a break and close below the low, which was mention on the previous post(link at the bottom).
If the current candle has another break and close below the trendline and without touching the first target, I might able to plan for a second trade.
Let's see how this trade develop.
Trade Ideas Position: GBPJPY SharkA bearish shark setup that coincides with ABCD pattern formed as a counter-trend trade, conservative traders can wait for a confirmation candle to engage the trade.
The additional advantage of this setup is having an RSI divergence on this setup and on the higher timeframe, it is also within the sell zone that was formed by a bearish bat and a bearish crab pattern(link to the connecting chart at the bottom).
Beautiful setup and opportunity but it don't guarantee a fall of this pair, it's good to know that there are so many setups align at the same zone at the same time.
USDJPY-Weekly Market Analysis-Feb20,Wk4Two trading scenario may develop from here.
1) The market may bounce off towards the upside after a bullish engulfing candle within the blue box(buy zone);
or
2) After bouncing within the box for the first time, the market may break and close below it and have a head and shoulder setup.
Personally based on the technical setup, it seems more likely for (2) to happen, but USDJPY has a notorious reputation of being influenced by news.
Trade Ideas Position: GBPUSD ButterflyA support level on the daily chart happens to be the Harmonic Optimal Price(HOP) of the bullish butterfly pattern on the 1-hourly chart, and it is set up for a countertrend trade.
It does provide a great reward: risk the only thing is that on the daily chart, it is also the consolidation of a bearish bat after Point D completion.
Just remember not to overtrade this, you should be fine.
BitFink's Trick For Finding TargetsBitFink posted a very clever way to use RSI divergence on long term BTC to find tops and bottoms of the macro 4 year structure:
I was looking at using this on shorter time frames and it seems like it's especially useful for finding the exit in conjunction with an elliot count. In this example once you have your 4 wave candidate you can look at the symmetry on RSI Divergence to find about where it's looking like wave 5 ends.
Targets are usually the hardest thing for me so this is very useful. It seems like using this for entries might be a little unclear since it's selecting the crossovers in the middle where RSI is the most choppy.
My favorite elliot location to enter is on the 4 wave anyway so this will be a great tool to use going forward.
Trade Ideas Positions: NZDJPY SharkMiss the bullish run on the bullish crab setup? Well don't be, right now there is a trend trading setup on a bearish shark setup check-back. You just have to wait for confirmation to engage the trade.
On the 4-hourly chart of the NZDJPY Bullish Crab also forms a sideway bounce which gives a potential for a shorting opportunity.
BTCUSD Short - Rising WedgeHi folks, I’m going to keep this one short and simple.
- There is this big rising wedge on Bitcoin that can be easily seen on the 12 hour time frame.
- Price is also at a critical resistance zone where I expect distribution.
- Bearish divergence can be seen on RSI and MACD.
- Market sentiment is starting to get overly bullish which typically leads to a correction.
I am looking to short from here with a stop loss just above 10,000.
1st target is at the 0.236 fib (around $9,000) but I am anticipating further retracement.
As you know I have been bullish since $6,500 and made the perfect call to go long in previous ideas seen below. I am still very bullish on the long term and I am prepared to close out my shorts as soon as it appears the downside is over.
Previous ideas: