USDCAD - Bullish Divergence Heading into PCETaking a look at the 1 hour timeframe, we have some clear bullish divergence with RSI and price-action. Whenever we get a setup like this, price-action does tend to bottom out and is likely to push higher.
The question now is "Will PCE come in better than expected?" As of right now, the economic calendar forecasts for weaker than previous figures. This may leave room for a surprise to the upside and thus in fact bottom out USDCAD at least on the 1 hour timeframe.
Rsidivergence
TSLA's Fight the Falling Resistance 🧠 Rejection or BreakoutDear Esteemed Members,
TSLA is mostly bearish within the resistance of the red triangle. As long as it remains below the trendline, bears can enjoy better risk-reward ratios. Some traders wait out the price's rejection at the falling line to open their short positions. Others wait for a confirmed breakout through the resistance to open a long position. Now, both sides have a significant chance because the pattern is usually bearish, but TSLA reclaimed the EMAs in a convincing manner. I've got a short, but I opened it above the resistance. So, I can close it in profit at the resistance. I wouldn't open a new short until I see the price action around the trendline. The white arrows mark the scenarios I mentioned. I also placed two positions on the chart that one could make depending on TSLA's behavior around the falling level.
Disclaimer:
It's not an investment advice. My analytics serve only entertainment purposes. Do your research. Historic results don't guarantee future outcomes.
Kind regards,
Ely
News Analytics Align with Technicals' Slight Bearish Momentum ☄️Dear Investors,
Chart Explanation
I believe if Tesla doesn't break out from the bearish triangle, it could downtrend to $225. This is the target price of multiple scenarios. The stock is volatile enough to fall to this price without additional confirmation. However, if the price meets the resistance trendline I marked with red, it can still spiral into the mentioned target zone. The chart shows how this resistance indeed rejected rallies many times over the previous months. I drew red arrows where I believe the resistance rejected the price. If the price breaks up this resistance, bullish scenarios will become more probable and Tesla will prepare for the moon. At the moment, however, the number of bearish scenarios suggests a better risk-reward ratio for shorts with losing the EMAs today. I've got a short myself from $251, and I'd consider increasing this position size if I see another rejection near the resistance. On the other hand, a breakup of the resistance would mean taking profits from these positions and preparing for a long setup. The $225 target aligns with multiple historical gaps that the stock is yet to fulfill. From that level, it can either break down or reverse up. There are possible targets on both sides. So, I think, it's important to monitor news and technicals alike. In this idea, I'd like to give you some news trading insights and how I see the technical indicators.
News Trading - Natural Language Processing
☄️ Tesla's production and delivery growth has slowed in recent quarters. The company's production growth slowed to 54% in the fourth quarter of 2022, from 119% in the third quarter. Deliveries also slowed to 936,000 in the fourth quarter, from 1.39 million in the third quarter. This slowdown could be a sign that Tesla is facing production bottlenecks or supply chain disruptions.
☄️ Tesla's gross margin has declined. The company's gross margin was 27.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022, down from 30.6% in the third quarter. This decline could be a sign that Tesla is facing higher costs or that it is discounting its cars more heavily to boost sales.
☄️ Tesla's stock price has been volatile in recent months. The stock price has fallen by more than 40% from its all-time high in November 2021. This volatility could be a sign that investors are uncertain about Tesla's future.
☄️ There are concerns about Tesla's ability to scale production efficiently. The company has ambitious plans to produce 20 million vehicles per year by 2030, but analysts have questioned whether Tesla can achieve this goal without facing significant production bottlenecks.
☄️ Tesla's competitive landscape is becoming more crowded. The electric vehicle market is becoming increasingly crowded, with new entrants from established automakers and startups alike. This could put pressure on Tesla's market share and pricing power.
Technical Indicators
MACD has been bearish since 29 November as the bottom indicator shows. The bearish momentum isn't too strong, but it's been consistent over the last week. On the RSI, above the MACD indicator, I can see a bullish RSI cross attempt, but this cross failed and became a bearish indication. The volume bars have been somewhat stable over this time, which might not enforce a strong bearish momentum, but it shows a lack of volume necessary for reversal.
Disclaimer
It's not an investment advice. Do your research. Your funds are your responsibility. This speculation serves only entertainment purposes.
Kind regards,
Ely
Integrated Analytics 💲 Unveil Dollar TrendsIntegrated Analytics 💲 Unveil Dollar Trends
Dear Respected Members, Speculators, and Traders,
My AI's advanced pattern recognition detected the green rising channel chart pattern, concealing a potential bearish retracement signaled by the bearish MACD and negative RSI with a bearish cross below. Ensembling predicts a retracement to 103.78, the channel's support. Multiple scenarios may unfold, with DXY rallying to the 104.27 resistance or continuing a bearish trend if the support breaks. News Trading Strategies, aided by AI's Neural Language Processing bots, align with recent reports:
Dollar weakens as Fed rate cut view weighs: DXY fell 0.2% to 103.20, anticipating a monthly loss exceeding 3%, attributed to expected Federal Reserve rate cuts.
Crack in US dollar strength to spread as economy slows: FX strategists foresee continued dollar weakening amid a slowing US economy, reflecting global concerns (Reuters, Nov 8, 2023).
U.S. Dollar Index weakens post 20-year high: A decline of over 8% from its September peak is attributed to factors like a stronger euro and a sluggish US economy (Axios, Dec 9, 2023).
These align with sentiment analytics (DSI/DSIE), emphasizing a holistic approach merging AI with news and sentiment tools for enhanced insights.
Disclaimer: Not investment advice; analytics for entertainment. Keep speculation separate from investments.
Best regards,
Ely
December E-Mini Dow Jones Index Futures Weekly ChartDecember E-mini Dow Jones Index futures continued the uptrend that saw a break above the resistance line formed by connecting the high in January 2022 with the high in July 2023. With CPI, PPI, and a Fed announcement this week, there are certainly enough possible catalysts to turn this market to the bearish side. The MACD showed a bullish cross about a month ago and is not indicating a slowdown in momentum. The RSI at 62 on 12/8 indicates that there still may be room for price to continue bullish. Should the uptrend continue, a possible target (and resistance is the previous high of 37,906. A reverse to the downside might see the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (34,790) as support.
Please Note:
Commentary and charts reflect data at the time of analysis (12/08/23). Market conditions are subject to change and may not reflect all market activity.
Bitcoin RSI DivergencesWhat is a Regular bearish divergence?
A Regular bearish divergence is the pattern that occurs when the price reaches higher highs, while the technical indicator makes lower highs.
What is a Hidden bearish divergence?
This occurs when price makes a lower high (LH), but the oscillator is making a higher high (HH).
What is a Regular Bullish divergence?
A bullish divergence occurs when prices fall to a new low while an oscillator fails to reach a new low.
What is a Hidden bullish divergence?
A hidden bullish divergence is a setup where the oscillator forms progressively lower lows at the same time that the price is forming higher lows.
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We are not registered or licensed in any jurisdiction whatsoever to provide investing advice or anything of an advisory or consultancy nature.
and are therefore are unqualified to give investment recommendations.
Always do your own research and consult with a licensed investment professional before investing.
This communication is never to be used as the basis of making investment decisions, and it is for entertainment purposes only.
Profitable Moves, Stop Loss Placement, and Shorting OpportunitieReady to embark on the hunt for the next trading ventures?
AUDCAD offers an array of possibilities to satisfy that desire.
For those eyeing buying opportunities, the 4-hourly chart displays a potential Double Bottom retest around 0.8922.
Alternatively, a Bullish Shark Pattern might complete around 0.8878, presenting another entry possibility.
On the flip side, for traders seeking shorting opportunities, the 1-hourly chart indicates a potential Double Top Retest completing at 0.8963.
Alternatively, keep an eye out for a Bearish Shark Pattern completing around 0.9006.
What's your strategy for AUDCAD? Share your thoughts or trade plans in the comments below!
Let's explore these potential setups together. 💬📈
Potential Trend Trading Opportunity with Bullish Shark PatternNZDJPY reveals a promising Bullish Shark Pattern, presenting a potential trend trading opportunity.
While waiting for a 3-bar reversal offers further confirmation, it's prudent to engage post a weakening of the bearish move.
For aggressive traders, immediate entry might be considered, with a crucial emphasis on identifying stop levels to mitigate risk.
What are your insights or strategies on NZDJPY? Feel free to share your thoughts below!
Navigating Contrasting Trends for Optimal Trading StrategiesThe 4-hourly chart showcases a compelling Bullish 5-0 Pattern retest accompanied by an RSI Divergence.
While direct engagement in the trade is an option, I'm personally inclined towards waiting for a Bullish Gartley Pattern retest around 186.39.
This approach significantly mitigates risk while still allowing for favorable profit potential—a strategy centered on lower risk for higher returns.
What are your thoughts or trade plans on this opportunity?
Feel free to share below!
Balancing Bullish Signals And Counter-Trend StrategiesDespite GBPUSD showcasing a bullish trend, I'm eyeing a shorting opportunity on this pair. The daily chart signals the completion of a Bearish Bat Pattern, yet a direct engagement at this level poses considerable risk.
To mitigate this, my strategy involves patience, awaiting a market retest on the 1-hourly chart. Coincidentally, this timeframe also displays a Bearish Bat Pattern, offering a more favourable risk-reward ratio with reduced exposure.
Share your thoughts or strategies on GBPUSD below!
Interpreting RSI (Relative Strength Index)The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of price movements. It is a versatile tool that can be used to identify overbought and oversold conditions, as well as divergences and trend strength.
Overbought and Oversold Conditions
The RSI oscillates between 0 and 100. Traditionally, the RSI is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30. These levels are not set in stone, and they can vary depending on the security and the market conditions. However, they are a good starting point for identifying potential buying and selling opportunities.
Overbought:
An RSI reading above 70 indicates that the security is overbought, which means that it has been trading up rapidly and may be due for a correction. However, it is important to note that the RSI can stay in overbought territory for an extended period of time before a correction occurs.
Overbought RSI indicator
ETHUSD(Day Chart)
As you can see in the chart, when the RSI indicator hit the 70 level, the price started dropping continuously.
Oversold:
An RSI reading below 30 indicates that the security is oversold, which means that it has been trading down rapidly and may be due for a bounce. However, like with overbought conditions, the RSI can stay in oversold territory for an extended period of time before a bounce occurs.
Oversold RSI indicator
BTCUSD (weekly Chart)
As you can see in the chart, when the RSI indicator hit the 30 level, the price started bouncing from the bottom level.
The RSI indicator has accurately predicted the bottoms of Bitcoin's major bear markets in 2015, 2018, and 2022.
Stay tuned for more updates on this topic.
Regards
Hexa
$SOL Next stop is $60.50
CRYPTOCAP:SOL moving toward approximately $60.50. The precision of its recent respect for the 0.786 Fibonacci retrace level is phenomenal. See the touch down at three points marked with the yellow trend line. It literally closed on the daily candle a mere $0.20 from the level two nights ago. Also see the trend intact as this recent price action aims for $60.50. Almost as good as a crystal ball! 🔮
Its recent correction has reset the RSI. See the "bull" green marker on the RSI indicator below the chart. 🟩
CRYPTOCAP:SOL will be a winner. Excuse me, CRYPTOCAP:SOL is a winner. 🥇
Do your own research. My chart is for entertainment only. Never financial advice. I am not a professional in any regard. Well, maybe I'm a professional dharma bum. 🪷 Peace.
Potential Bearish Moves Amidst Bullish SignalsNZDJPY presents an intriguing trading setup despite being a counter-trend trade.
The observation of a Bearish Shark Pattern checkback on the Weekly Chart , along with RSI Divergence , adds weight to this potential trade opportunity.
I'm waiting for a shorting opportunity on lower timeframes and, specifically, looking for a 1-1 trading setup , intending to initiate a short position at 91.99 on the Daily Chart.
Trade plans can vary among traders based on their analysis and risk management approach.
What's your trade plan or strategy for NZDJPY?
Feel free to share your insights or plans below!
Navigating Bullish Trends Amidst Retracement SignalsUSDJPY is currently demonstrating a Bullish Trend .
For traders preferring long positions, the Bullish Deep Gartley Pattern on the 4-hourly chart might serve as an attractive opportunity for going long.
As part of the strategy, waiting for the market to retest the support level on the 1-hourly chart at 149.26 before entering could be a wise move.
Each trader may have a different approach or perspective based on their analysis and risk appetite.
Feel free to share your trade plan or insights on how you intend to approach USDJPY!
Other see this as Coal, I see this as DiamondA retest of previous resistance on the daily chart combined with a strong bullish candle movement (an engulfing candle) is an intriguing setup. The observation of RSI Divergence at these levels serves as a significant indicator for a potential reversal.
Regarding the recent deviation from the PRZ zone of the crab pattern on AUDUSD, it seems it hasn't reached the HOP (Harmonic Optimal Price) level before reversing. This deviation could be a point of interest for observation on the H4 chart.
Your decision to take an aggressive shorting opportunity due to the attractive profit factor is noted. However, as you rightly mentioned, managing risk is crucial in such trades. Wishing you success in your trade management and strategy execution!
Potential Bullish and Bearish SetupsThis week, GBPAUD introduces an element of confusion into the FX market.
On the Daily Chart, two opposing trading setups vie for attention. There's the Bearish Flag Pattern, offering a shorting opportunity, yet simultaneously, a Type2 Bullish Fib3 Bat Pattern emerges. With the right filter, one can discern which trading setup is likely to be the more profitable choice.
For those inclined towards a shorting opportunity, the Bearish Bat Pattern on the 1-hourly chart presents a viable trading opportunity.
Now, it's decision time. What's your pick? Your insights matter. Please share your perspective below!
Bullish divergence on TLT HEYYYY
I like bullish divergence.
The SAFEST Way to play this is to buy shares and do some covered calls.
It will chop around a bit. In STRONG power down-trends; you want to be really careful selling puts or doing bull put spreads. But - as long as you are comfortable with the risk.
I do not buy call options on stocks that are in strong downtrends. Unless I'm day trading.
Either way, I love the bullish divergence on the multiple RSI timeframes.