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Rsioverbought

BTC Short Trade Opportunity and SetupBYBIT:BTCUSDT.P / BYBIT:BTCUSDT / CRYPTO:BTCUSD Bitcoin/BTCUSD has recently hit the resistance level of a pattern that has generally held true since mid March 24 (4 preceding resistance and support confirmations). Furthermore, it has started a return downward move following on from a 3 day filter for confirmation of the resistance level (an example of how a 3/5 day filter is an important tool for crypto trading). Additionally: The RSI resistance level of 70 has been recently reached and the RSI is trending downwards - a usually statistically significant indicator The downward return move is supported by reasonable (although not enough on it's own) volume A 3 bar pattern (downward move, pause, further downward move for confirmation) A rate of change approaching and trending negative A MACD also approaching negative It's always important to assess the risk that might prove the thesis wrong. And they are: Today's candlestick pattern is close to a dragonfly, i.e. there might be a return upwards move imminent (although this is unlikely to constitute a beginning of a move beyond the previous high as an actual dragonfly candlestick is at the end of a downtrend) The MACD is trending down but has not actually turned negative yet, i.e. it is a bit early to say this indicator is stating a downward trend The ROC hasn't turned negative yet either (but is trending downwards for sure) This all leads to the following conclusion: For those with a high enough risk appetite (and usually crypto traders are those with the highest :-)) this is a good entry point for a short trade. Using the (admittedly early but still reasonable) trend for the past three days to determine the final take profit point of 45500 (blue arrow) by approx. 19 Nov 24, the following can be set as a guide for a trade: Entry: Now or latest tomorrow in case today's candlestick is an indicator of a minor move upwards SL: $70,500 TP1: $63,450 - based on the first potential moving average being a resistance (200 MA) TP2: $60,500 - based on the previous move's consistent (and twice confirmed) low TP3: $54,500 -based on a previous historic low (i.e. psychologically important price point) which also acts as a confirmation of support to a previous move TP4: $45,500 - The approximate price point of an estimated downward trend Exit date (independent of TP level): 19 Nov 24 NOTE: the 19 Nov date here is important. It is the forecasted date by which the current downward price trend would linearly reach the support level. This date would be used as a checkpoint to exit the entire trade to safeguard against the normal, usually dramatic and beyond rational calculation price gyrations of crypto.
Short
by slip_stream
Hanging Man and Doji Patterns in Focus!XAUUSD 2H Chart Price: 2622.23 Hanging Man: The highlighted candle in the chart represents a Hanging Man pattern, which is a bearish reversal pattern typically found at the top of an uptrend. The long lower wick signifies that sellers pushed the price down during the session, but buyers managed to bring it back up close to the open price, though not with strong bullish conviction. The fact that this pattern appears after a sharp upward move signals a potential bearish reversal, especially if followed by a bearish confirmation candle. Doji: The Doji signals indecision, with buyers and sellers unable to gain control as the open and close prices are nearly the same. Following the Hanging Man and with an overbought RSI of 73.32, it suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential for a bearish reversal. Place a stop loss above the Hanging Man’s high and set take profit near the next key support at 2,613.732. These levels are derived from the Hanging Man, providing some bearish confirmation. However, traders should feel free to skip the trade if they aren’t confident with the setup, as prioritising risk management is crucial. Confirmation: A bearish candle closing below the low of the Doji would provide strong confirmation of a trend reversal. Good luck in the markets! 🔔 To stay updated, don’t hesitate to follow! 💡 Learn 💹 Trade 🤑 Grow
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by SpicyPips
1
Nifty RSI Super-Heated to 83% - Crash Coming ????On the Quarterly chart - the RSI indicator on Nifty is showing a value of 83% or more indicating it's in Over Bought Zone Back in Jan 2008, the RSI went to a high of 87% and Nifty subsequently crashed -52% from the Highs. After 16 years, the RSI on Nifty is climbing up beyond the 83% mark which indicates "Danger of a Correction" according to many Expert Analysts from Media Channels, Twitter and Telegram Please forward the below analysis to All those Pessimistic Technical Super-Zeroes -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- I say - What a "Ridiculous" Comparison of 2008 vs 2024??? The entire Technology world looks toward India as a Hub of Technical Brains, but those brains are just filled with Age-old Folklores and Pessimism. Technical Analysis is NOT a Geometry class to connect 2 dots from 20-30 years ago and say we had the similar situation back then and there was a Crash and the same thing will Repeat now. The entire market Dynamics has changed a lot. 1. First of all what's an Indicator? An Indicator is nothing but a Human written Algorithm (A Script) which consumes Buyers & Sellers Activity and volume of trades historically and does some simple "math". How does this Dumb Number Crunching algorithm understand external factors? 2. What Really Caused the fall in 2008? Think again closely - The 2008 crash was a Global Catastrophe caused by the Massive Conspiracy and Bankruptcy of Lehman "Buggers" (Brothers) in US which had a world wide impact. For those Technical Pundits who believe 2008 fall was due to RSI - read the Analysis below fully In this image - there is a comparison of Nasdaq Vs Nifty 50 between 2000 to 2008 and the RSI line is that of Nasdaq (not Nifty) In 2000, the market fell so badly in US and the RSI was around 98%. But in 2008, look at the RSI - it was hovering around the Healthy 60% mark which is treated as the Golden Levels of "Fresh Entry" by most technical analysts But US & the entire world crashed in 2008 due to Lehman Brothers issue - As the subprime mortgages underlying these securities began to default at alarming rates, investor confidence plummeted leading to a loss in trust in Lehman Brothers. Unable to fully recover all of their losses, Lehman Brothers were forced to file for bankruptcy Nifty was trading at RSI 90% back then, but US was trading at 60% RSI. So the fall here is NOT because of Indian RSI - but due to a Global event. RSI is like a Speedometer - it just indicates that you are driving at 80 / 100 and in every vehicle speedometer - there will be a RED zone which indicates Dangerous driving conditions. Does not mean, the Engine will fail. It just says that driving so fast is not safe. We should learn to do a Full Analysis - not just a Half-baked one connecting some dots with something else claiming Technical superiority Nothing is going to happen to US especially NOTHING will every happen to Indian Market until Apr 2028 where Nifty will face a 34 year long Parallel Channel Resistance as indicated in the main chart Disclaimer: Stocks-n-Trends is NOT registered with SEBI. We do not provide Buy / Sell recommendations - rather we provide detailed analysis of how to review a chart, explain multi-timeframe views purely for Educational Purposes. We strongly suggest our followers to "Learn to Ride the Tide" and consult your Financial Advisors before taking any positions. If you like our detailed analysis, please do rate us with your Likes, Boost and share your comments -Team Stocks-n-Trends
NSE:NIFTYLong
by Stocks-n-Trends
Top of the Band Top of the World Toppy TopYeahhh wowww... moved wayy beyond any expectations. So insanely booleesh, face-ripping bear-killing rally from Hell. How long can it go on? Double topped RSI at 80%, see arrows. Top of the Bolly Band. Explosive blow-off style rally to massive new ATH for SPX, NQ. Might have another day or two in it. Notice that DJI already topped at 40K and RTY has barely moved... divergence, goes back to Dow Theory, non-confirming. This rally is almost entirely driven by the Mag 7, tech and AI froth. Chasing it here is unlikely to be profitable IMO. Gonna get some kind of pullback in back half of July. Think about closing longs. Shorts might print finally. GLTA
TVC:SPXShort
by DaddySawbucks
4
USDCHF Tests Critical Resistance on Dovish SNBHaving pivoted away from its tightening cycle in March, the Swiss National Bank delivered the second straight rate cut last week, making it a frontrunner in the shift to monetary easing. Officials also lowered their inflation forecasts, creating scope for more moves ahead. Its US counterpart on the other hand, is reluctant to pivot due to stubborn inflation and Fed officials see just one cut this year. This monetary policy divergence is beneficial for USD/CHF, which surges after the SNB back-to-back rate cut. It now tries to take out a pivotal resistance cluster, comprising of the EMA200 (black line), the 38.2% Fibonacci of the last decline and the daily Ichimoku Cloud. Successful effort will give control back to the bulls and allow them to look towards the 2024 peak (0.9225-46), but this may prove elusive in the near term. On the other hand, with two rate cuts already under their belt, Swiss policymakers may become less bold. Furthermore, the Fed may have adopted a higher for longer stance, but still sees less restrictive stance ahead and markets are more optimistic, pricing in two rate cuts within the year. Overbought conditions indicated by the RSI and the aforementioned critical resistance confluence, can put pressure on USD/CHF. So a pullback that would challenge 0.8825 would not be surprising, but deeper losses towards and beyond 0.8730 are not compatible with the monetary policy dynamics. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Long
by FXCM
EURUSD Higher after US CPI but Policy Dynamics to WeighWednesday’s US CPI report showed a moderation in price pressures in April, following months of persistence, with headline inflation easing to 3.4% y/y and core to 3.6% y/y. Along with the miss in retail sales, markets strengthened their pricing for two rate cuts this year by the Fed, staring in September. The greenback fell as a result, sending EURUSD to the highest levels in nearly a month. this bring the March peak in the spotlight (1.0981), but we are cautious around the ascending prospects. US Inflation remains far from the 2% target, which along with strong economy and robust labor market have raised the bar for a Fed to pivot, leading policymakers to higher-for-longer narrative. Their European peers have made more progress on moderating price pressures and the economy struggles. As a result, the ECB looks more ready to lower rates, having hinted at a June pivot. The monetary policy differentially is likely to cap the upside and put pressure on EURUSD. Along with overbought RSI, there is scope for a retreat towards the EMA200 (black line). Daily closes below it would shift bias to the downside and make the common currency vulnerable to the 2024 lows (1.0600). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Short
by FXCM
Copper Rises to 2+ Year Highs on Improving Supply-Demand OutlookCopper prices have rallied more than 20% this year as the market is tightening, moving above 4.800 for the first time in more than two years. Improving supply-demand dynamics can drive further gains, with the March 2022 record peak now in the spotlight (5.041). Concerns around output are high, as key miners expect lower production this year. At the same time, demand optimism is on the rise, with the AI-driven recovery of the chip industry and the clean energy transition to support usage of the non-ferrous metal. On the other hand, production is still likely to grow this year and there are uncertainties around demand. A key source is China, due to its uneven post-pandemic recovery and the ailing real estate sector. Furthermore, the RSI points to overbought conditions and has not followed the price higher today, creating scope for a pullback. However, a strong catalyst would be needed to challenge the EMA200 (black line) and the bullish momentum. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:COPPERLong
by FXCM
1
TAP ( Coors Molson Miller ) Ready for Bullish Continuation?On the daily chart, TAP was on a good trend up heading into earnings which were favorable. It is consolidated since just after earnings in a " high tight bull flag pattern" Volume has been healthy with many buyers and seller trading shares in a tight range channel. The stochastic RSI is now at about 20% indicating TAP is in the oversold / undervalued area. The optimized artificial intelligence moving average indicator shows parallel rises in both the short and long MAs ( neither divergence nor convergence just consistent ). This is a minor healthy pullback and a good entry point. Fundamentally, the summer beer- drinking season will soon arrive. TAP may be benefitting from the BUD backlash over the Bud Lite endorsement controversy. My call options have been appreciated 50% in the past 2 1/2 weeks ( 4% per trading day ). I will roll them into the call options expiring 9/15/23. I consider TAP to be a steady consistent gainer and likely more or less recession-proof.
NYSE:TAPLong
by AwesomeAvani
Copper Extends Gains to Two Year Highs Prices rally around 15% this month and break another threshold, hitting the highest levels in two years. The advance brings the record peak of 2022 in the spotlight (5.041) and given the improved supply-demand dynamics, that level looks within reach. There is optimism around increased need for the non-ferrous metal due to the green energy transition and the recovery of the chip industry, largely fueled by the AI boom. The recent data from China – one of the world’s top consumers - also helped, as GDP rose more than expected in Q1. On the supply side, key mining companies have cut their 2024 production forecasts, while Chinese smelters have reportedly agreed to lower their output. On the other hand, China’s post-pandemic recovery is bumpy and its critical property sector still in distress. The US economy is strong, but the recent preliminary GDP offered a warning sign and sticky inflation raises the bar for looser monetary policy. On the technical front, the RSI is overbought and Copper may be ripe for a pullback. However, daily closes below the EMA200 would be required for the bullish bias to halt and that looks like a toll order, while the downside appears well-protected. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
FX:COPPERLong
by FXCM
CRYPTOHOPPER WEBHOOK PEPEUSDT 45MIN RSI WITH CONDITIONS STRATEGYRSI Strategy with EMA and VWMA Conditions Objective This trading strategy leverages the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in combination with the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) to identify potential buy and sell signals for trading cryptocurrencies on the Cryptohopper platform. How it works: Buy Signal: A buy signal is generated when the RSI crosses above the user-defined lower threshold and the EMA (9) is above the VWMA (20). Sell Signal: A sell signal is generated when the RSI crosses below the user-defined upper threshold. Indicators Used: RSI: A momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. EMA (9 period): A moving average that places a greater weight and significance on the most recent data points. VWMA (20 period): An average that also accounts for volume, giving more weight to periods with higher volume. How to Set Up Alerts for Webhooks: To create alerts that can be sent as webhooks to Cryptohopper, follow these steps: Apply the script to your TradingView chart. Click on the 'Alerts' icon on the right-hand side toolbar. Choose the script from the dropdown in the 'Condition' field. You will see two options: "Buy Alert for Webhooks" and "Sell Alert for Webhooks". Select the desired alert condition. In the 'Options' section, set the alert action to 'Webhook URL'. Enter your Cryptohopper webhook URL into the 'Webhook URL' field. Configure the alert message according to the format required by Cryptohopper. Save the alert. How Alerts Are Generated: The script will continuously monitor the chart based on the conditions you've set. When a condition for either a buy or sell signal is met, TradingView will trigger the alert. If set up for a webhook, TradingView will send an HTTP request to the specified webhook URL with the message payload. Disclaimer: This script is for educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies carries a high level of risk, and you should do your own research or consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Long
by PPonBIN
AUD/USD Rises on Hotter than Expected AU InflationAUD/USD rises today as inflation data from Australia came in higher than anticipated. March CPI accelerated for the first the first time in months (+3.5% y/y), Q1 rose 1% q/q (from +0.6% prior) and on a yearly basis it came in at 3.6%, which was above forecast. The Reserve Bank of Australia has refrained from raising rates for the past three meetings and has hinted at peak rates, but has not ruled out further hikes and seems far from cuts. Its US peer on the other hand, has pointed to multiple rate cuts this year, despite adopting a conservative approach. The hotter than expected inflation report makes an RBA pivot less likely and boosts AUD/USD further. It had already made a strong start to the week, since the contraction in US manufacturing activity offered a sign of weakness for the US economy that could help the Fed lower interest rates. The pair tries to take out the EMA200 that could pause the bearish bias and give it the opportunity to challenge the March highs (06668). However, the immediate upside appears unfriendly, with multiple roadblocks and the Relative Strength Index points to overbought conditions. Furthermore, the recent hawkish repricing around the Fed’s policy path will likely continue to weigh on the pair, while Australia’s Q1 y/y inflation showed further moderation. As such, AUD/USD is likely to face renewed pressure that can lead to new 2024 lows (0.6362), although sustained weakness towards and beyond 0.6269 does not look easy. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Short
by FXCM
1
AUDCHF 4H Analysis: Bearish DivergenceAUDCHF's recent trend exhibits bullish behavior with prices achieving higher highs above the R1 monthly pivot, suggesting strength. However, beneath the surface, signs of caution emerge. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) displays lower highs, creating a bearish divergence against the price's higher highs. This divergence hints at weakening upward momentum, urging traders to stay vigilant. Further signaling a potential shift, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) teeters on a bearish crossover . Such a move could forecast a momentum downturn. Additionally, an untouched monthly pivot at 0.58496 beckons, potentially drawing prices down in a correction. Compounding the cautious outlook, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) retreats from overbought territory , aligning with indicators suggesting a cooling phase may be on the horizon. In essence, while the bullish trend above the R1 pivot indicates strength, emerging signals from CCI, MACD, and RSI suggest a momentum shift, with a pullback to 0.58496 as a conceivable target. Traders should monitor these developments closely and adjust strategies accordingly.
Short
by TradingClue
Kiwi Upbeat after the RBNZ Hold but US CPI LoomsNZD/USD reacted positively as the RBNZ kept rates again at 5.5%, appeared a little more worried about inflation than the last time and said it is necessary to maintain a restrictive stance to reduce price pressures. The move above the EMA200 gives it the opportunity to take out the 38.2% Fibonacci, but does not yet inspire confidence for further gains that would challenge 0.6217. RBNZ appears further form a pivot than its US counterpart, but the Fed has turned cautious around lowering rates and the three cuts scenario is being questioned. The RSI points to overbought conditions that can contain the upside and a rejection of the 38.2% Fibo would keep new 2024 lows in play (0.5938). Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
by FXCM
Bitcoin Analysis: Waiting for Confirmation- Trade Strategy: Bearish Deep Gartley - Timeframe: 4-hourly chart Analysis: - Importance: Emphasizes the need for confirmation before entering a trade Trade Plan: - Entry Condition: Wait for candlestick confirmation - Confirmation Sign: Look for a Magic Candle indicating a qualifying trading setup - Engagement: Engage the trade only upon confirmation Insights: Trading requires plotting and planning a setup, followed by confirmation before entry. This cautious approach is favored by seasoned traders. 📉 Remember to exercise patience and diligence in waiting for confirmation before executing trades!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RaynLim
Tilray approaching a swing trade and/or shorting opportunityNASDAQ:TLRY is approaching a resistance range and is at the top of a W pattern. It's rsi is also overbought above the 70 level. Volume is also trending upwards and has reached the level where the previous volume high (and price trend reversal) was. The trading opportunity is around the 3 scenarios shown in the chart, with, due to the technical indicators mentioned above, scenario 2 and then 3 being the most likely. Trading approach would be to wait until after the quarterly earnings are released and see if: Scenario 1 The price breaks above the resitance range, apply a 3 day filter to ensure it's not a fakeout, and swing trade upwards to approx. $3. Scenario 2 A more likely scenario, the price starts to decline and enter then enter into a short with a take profit at $1.60. Exact entry point for the trade might be difficult to determine, especially as the previous moves in price have been so explosive that there may not be an optimum tim eto enter, thus shorting would be a higher risk trade. Scenario 3 Wait until the price reaches the support level since November 2023 (approx. $1.6) and enter a swing trade back up to the resistance range with an exit at approx. $2.5. To reduce risk, enter the swing with a combination of the RSI being at 30 and/or a 3 day filter to reduce the risk of the price breaking down from $1.6 to a new low. Scenario 3.5 Same as scenario 3 but with the support level being around the DMAs and price range where the price movement faced some resistance on it's way up during mid-March 2024. A more likely scenario, the price starts to decline and enter then enter into a short with a take profit at $1.60. Exact entry point for the trade might be difficult to determine, especially as the previous moves in price have been so explosive that there may not be an optimum time to enter, thus shorting would be a higher risk trade. NOTE: Those with a risk appetite large enough may use the technical indicators mentioned in the first paragraph as enough of a comfirmation to enter a risky short trade: Entry point: Now ($2.45) Stop Loss: $2.70 Take Profit: $1.60 Risk:Reward ratio: 1:3
NASDAQ:TLRYShort
by slip_stream
5
BAT Weekly Analysis: Seizing Entry Opportunities🔍In the weekly timeframe, BAT has broken its trend line, with the trigger at 0.3159 confirming the breakout convincingly. The notable volume surge since early February 2024 suggests increasing interest from market whales and participants, likely indicating significant buy-side activity. ✅Additionally, the presence of a curvature line suggests a diminishing bearish trend, ultimately breaking the upward support, further bolstering the bullish sentiment. 🛒However, it's essential to acknowledge that the primary trend trigger rests at 0.4522. Although entering trades with the current candle presents an enticing opportunity, it also carries elevated risk, potentially exceeding acceptable loss thresholds. Nevertheless, capitalizing on the strength of this candle for buying purposes is a viable strategy. 🛑Setting a maximum of 1% capital allocation for trades without stop-loss and considering a range of 0.2 for stop-loss trades is advisable to manage risk effectively. 💥RSI resistance at 61.24 has been breached, confirming overbought conditions and supporting the bullish bias. 📰Fundamentally, BAT is the token associated with the Brave browser. Considering the browser's potential for growth, investing in its token could be lucrative. 🧠💼Just remember, jumping into trades too quickly before the main trigger can be risky. Always manage your money wisely and be aware of the risks involved.
Long
by itsparham96
SHIB Analysis: Breakout Confirmation and Potential UpsurgeThis analysis examines the recent breakout of Shiba Inu (SHIB) and assesses its potential for further upward movement. Previous Analysis Validation:🫶🏻💪🏻 The previous analysis successfully predicted the price reaching the anticipated weekly resistance level. Breakout Confirmation:📊📈 The recent breakout above the weekly resistance level confirms the bullish trend reversal. Breakout Confirmation: The recent breakout above the weekly resistance level confirms the bullish trend reversal. 4-Hour Trendline and Triangle Pattern:✅ A breakout above the current 4-hour trendline is expected to further validate the uptrend. A successful breakout from the triangle pattern also indicates a continuation of the upward momentum. RSI and Risk Considerations:⛔ The RSI indicator is not yet in the overbought zone, suggesting that there is room for further growth. However, the lack of strong momentum warrants a cautious approach to entering new positions. Conclusion: The successful breakout of Shiba Inu BINANCE:SHIBUSDT and the bullish technical indicators suggest a potential for further upward movement. However, traders should exercise caution due to the absence of strong momentum. This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct your own research and employ sound risk management practices before trading.
Long
by solinash1
📈DYDX: Is it finally breaking out?🔥🔔🔍DYDX is finally breaking out of its consolidation range after 672 days. The price is currently trading above the supply zone and is supported by a well-defined curve. This could be the start of a parabolic move. ✅The fixed range volume profile indicator shows that we have broken out of the high-volume zone and are ready to start moving. The SMA25 indicator is also confirming the move and is moving along with the price. 🛒The current candle is a good opportunity to buy spot. We can enter after the candle closes. The stop-loss should be placed at $2.5, which is the previous low and the POC of the fixed range volume profile. 🚀For targets, I am looking at $7.8 and then $23.7 (ATH). However, I will not place sell orders now. I will wait and see how the price reacts to these levels. 📊One positive thing about this coin is that the volume has increased significantly during the recent move. This shows that traders are paying more attention to this coin. 💥The RSI oscillator is also entering the overbought zone. This increases the chances of a parabolic move. However, with the high buying volume, we can expect this move to be upwards. 🧠💼This is not financial advice, and it is only my personal opinion on this cryptocurrency. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Long
by itsparham96
1
📈Cardano (ADA): Bullish Breakout & Potential Targets💸💎🔍Cardano (ADA) has broken above its previous resistance level and formed a higher high on the weekly timeframe. The coin has also successfully broken through the supply zone at $0.6 and activated a rounding bottom pattern. 🛒Currently, ADA is in a good position for a long trade. However, if you want to be more conservative, you can wait for a pullback to the $0.65 zone before entering a trade. 🚀The next resistance level for ADA is between $1.1 and $1.2. We can expect the price to at least touch this level, making it our first target. The next resistance level is at $3, which is the coin's all-time high (ATH). This level is likely to hold the price for some time and could be a good area to take profits. 📊On the positive side, volume has been perfectly in line with the trend since October 2023, confirming the uptrend. There is no bearish divergence on the volume indicator. The breakout candle also had high volume, which could be the start of a new uptrend. 🗯The RSI oscillator has recently entered overbought territory, which could lead to increased market volatility. The RSI could rise to a resistance level of 81.99, in which case our first target is likely to be hit. 🛑I recommend placing a stop-loss below the previous low of $0.45. This would give you a slightly tighter risk tolerance compared to the previous recommendation, while still maintaining a reasonable risk-to-reward ratio. 🧠💼This is not financial advice, and it is only my personal opinion on this cryptocurrency. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Long
by itsparham96
Bitcoin Analysis: Correction or Continuation?📈✅Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. It has been on a bullish trend since the beginning of the year. 🔍Bitcoin has broken out of the primary resistance at $30,750 and has started a new primary trend. The price is currently in a very important supply zone near the ATH and we can expect a correction or pullback. 🚀The ascending channel has been broken from above and the price is continuing its movement with a curved trendline. The target of the channel is between $85,000 and $90,000. 🛒If the price starts to correct from here, we can wait for confirmation of the price for buying in the ranges of $42,500 to $45,000 and $35,000 to $37,000.However, if the resistance at $69,000 is broken, we should wait for it to start correcting and enter the correction. 🗯The RSI oscillator is also in the overbought zone and is facing resistance at 88. It may come out of the overbought zone, however, if it can break its resistance, it can move up to 95, in which case the price is likely to hit the channel target. 📊In terms of volume, it has increased after breaking $30,750 and is confirming the trend. 💎If you have bought Bitcoin from the lower levels, I suggest you wait for it to react to the resistance and if it rejects and makes a heavy red candle, you can take profit. If the supply zone is also lost, you can still hold. 🧠💼 This is not financial advice, and it is only my personal opinion on this cryptocurrency. Please do your own research before making any investment decisions.
Long
by itsparham96
ETH Renko (Daily 14pd ATR block size), Potential Reversal @$3k My recent idea of a rising wedge bearish continuation pattern may be invalidated at this point because of ETH's pop up the 3k (unless i'm willing to accept the blemish of a large fakeout breakout). However, it still remains that things are looking overheated on multiple time-frames (w.r.t regular candles). Moreover, volume has been decreasing throughout this entire extended uptrend. So I took a step back and tried to see if renko bars could off a clearer view of that's going on with ETH. Looking at fib lines, there appears to be confluence around the $3000 level where ETH is currently meeting short term resistance. To a naive eye like mine, stoch rsi (14) and regular rsi (14 & 7) appear to be in a slowing/coiling uptrend. Perhaps a trend reversal is due assuming assuming the $3000 level holds as a stiff resistance and we get a legit bearish cross on the stoch. In the event of reversal, i'll be looking at $2500 and $2100 as the first levels levels to add. However i'm aware that we could go quite a bit lower if we actually reverse trend. Full disclosure, I sold around $2650 so yes i'm a little salty that we popped up to 3k haha.
INDEX:ETHUSD
by rlando