Small Caps Russell 2000 Looks Attractive: Elliott WavesHello traders and investors, today we will talk about small caps Russell 2000, in which from Elliott wave perspective, we see a completed 7-swing complex correction from the highs.
Russell 2000 topped and completed its 5th wave of a five-wave bullish impulse already back in November 2021. Since then we can see slow, choppy and overlapped wave structure that we see it as a correction within uptrend. It's ideally a complex 7-swing A-B-C-X-A-B-C, called also a double three W-X-Y corrective pattern.
A Double three is a sideways combination of two corrective patterns. It's a complex Elliott wave that is subdivided into three minor waves W, X and Y. Its internal structure is (3, 3, 3). In effect, the number three relates to corrective waves, therefore the structure (3, 3, 3) indicates that the WXY wave pattern is composed of three distinctive corrective waves.
• A combination of two corrective structures labelled as WXY
• Wave W and wave Y subdivision can be zigzag , flat, double three of smaller degree, or triple three of smaller degree
• Wave X can be any corrective structure
Well, if we are on the right path and if Russell manages to recover back above 1920 region and resistance line of a corrective channel in current risk-on sentiment, then we can easily confirm support in place and bulls back in the game.
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Rty
Market Overview RTYMarket Overview RTY
We are at a critical area where the BULL's could take control to push the pair Bullish as we have Support area and Previous Resistance cross road where the Market normally U-turn from .
Long Term we Bullish on this pair with a long term target of 3245.6 .
Monthly Take Profit Target 1: 2751.5
Monthly Take Profit Target 2: 3245.6
Stoploss : 828.8
Elliott Wave View: Russell 2000 (RTY_F) Sellers Remain in ControRussell 2000 (RTY) broke below previous low on 5/12/2022 at 1698.3 and opens up a bearish sequence favoring further downside. The entire decline from 11/8/2021 high is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Double three structure is an 7 swing corrective structure where W, X, and Y subdivides into 3 waves. Down from 11/8/2021 high, wave ((W)) ended at 1892.4, and rally in wave ((X)) ended at 2137.7. Index then extended lower doing another double correction in wave ((Y)).
The 60 minutes chart below shows the decline from (X) on 6/7/2022 high is unfolding as an impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 1920.03, wave ((i)) ended at 1880.28 and rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 1905.50 Index then extended lower in wave ((iii)) towards 1690.14. Rally in wave ((iv)) finished at 1755.00 and last push lower to complete wave ((v)) and A ended at 1640.90. Then we are expecting a pullback in 3, 7, or 11 swing high in wave (B) before the decline resumes as far as 6/7/2022 pivot at 1920.03 stays intact. Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension from 11/9/2021 peak at 1217 – 1485.
Remember December 2018?5 year yields are even higher now, plus Powell is doing 3 rate increases in a row
- 0.5%
- 0.75% (yesterday)
- 0.5 or 0.75% July
I'll let you decide where small caps are going. My guess? Same level as December 2018, and that's if we don't wind up in a recession.
Close to oversold on the weekly though
RTY - Resistance (0.5) Turned Support0.5 is acting as a support now as price has moved way above it, prior to this it was a resistance point as price tested it
This bullish assumption is supported by the RSI, showing an Inverted H&S pattern, just completing the Right Shoulder
This 0.5 fib line should act as a support now
RTY Daily Support Shows it is holdingThe RTY Daily time frame is in a down channel. The
market hit the bottom of the channel and found
support. The market is now pushing bullish towards
the top of the channel price point 1936.2 about
+803 ticks above the market. It will be a good
idea to turn to the one hour time frame and to
look for long ideas in the buy zone.
RTY - JunkCo IndexIndependent Producers remain in implosion mode.
Bankrupt Companies feigning existence worthy of a Bid.
Chasers will be wrecked again 1610 fails and it's going
to lose 90%+ into 2023 October.
______________________________________________
For now - the Flamingo is having a bit of difficulty getting
gamblers back to the tables.
A complete horror show... this JUNK.
Elliott Wave View: Russell 2000 (RTY) Turning Lower post FOMCShort Term Elliott Wave View in Russell 2000 (RTY) suggests the decline from March 29, 2022 high is unfolding as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from March 29 peak, wave 1 ended at 1966.6 and rally in wave 2 ended at 2060.90. Index then resumes lower in wave 3 towards 1903.50 and rally in wave 4 ended at 1957.60. Final leg lower wave 5 ended at 1834.50 which ended wave (A).
Wave (B) rally is proposed complete at 1951.85. However, the Index still needs to break below ave (A) at 1834.50 to validate this view. Internal of wave (B) unfolded as a zigzag in lesser degree. Up from wave (A), wave A ended at 1908.20, pullback in wave B ended at 1867.80 and wave C higher ended at 1951.85. This completed wave (B) in higher degree. Index has turned lower in wave (C). Near term, expect wave 1 to end soon, then Index should rally in wave 2 to correct the decline from wave (B) before it resumes lower. As far as pivot at 1951.85 high stays intact in the first degree, expect rally to fail in the sequence of 3, 7, or 11 swing for further downside.
DOW / NASDAQBear Market signals persist.
When the DOW begins to outperform on the downside,
we have a clear indication of a lengthy BEAR Market.
It's just beginning.
Counter Trends are a normal course in prolonged Trends.
The ONLY real reversal... QE:
Global Central Banks began withdrawing Liquidity via RRP's since July of 2021.
The contraction made a controlled contraction below 0 into a negative range
well below the Peak Monthly $1.5T down to $300B and on down to 0 in January,
going - $250B during the 3rd week of January - they have maintained the drain
since this time... it is remained between -$180 to -$255B to the present.
Lows into October 2023 imho.
RTY +1,400 Ticks long ideaThe RTY one hour time frame is in a large side
ways range. The market is at the bottom of the
range. The market is below the short term down
trend line. It will be a good idea to wait for the
market to break and close above the short term
down trend line before looking for long ideas.
Entry: Counter trend line break bullish above
the bottom of the sideways range.
STOP: In the sell zone, below the low that
formed at the bottom of the range.
LIMIT: 2055.7
Once or if the market closes above the short
term down trend line. As long as the market
stays above the bottom of the range. It will
be a good idea to turn to the five minute time
frame and look for tunnel trader long /
destination trader long ideas towards 2055.7
Elliott Wave View: Rally in Russell 2000 (RTY) Expected to FailShort term Elliott Wave view in Russell 2000 (RTY) suggests that the decline from November 8, 2021 peak is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse structure. Down from November 8, wave (1) ended at 2136.8 and rally in wave (2) ended at 2288.60. Index then resumes lower in wave (3) towards 1892.40 and wave (4) ended at 2137.10. Wave (5) lower is in progress with the internal subdivision as another impulse in lesser degree. Down from wave (4), wave (i) ended at 2119.30 and wave (ii) rally ended at 2131.60. Index then resumes lower in wave (iii) towards 2079.10, wave (iv) ended at 2102.60, and final wave (v) ended at 2062.80. This completed wave ((i)) in higher degree. Rally in wave ((ii)) ended at 2107.90 with internal subdivision as a double there Elliott Wave structure.
Index then resumes lower in wave ((iii)). Down from wave ((ii)), wave (i) ended at 2055.20 and rally in wave (ii) ended at 2068.10. Index then resumes lower in wave (iii) towards 1999.50, and bounce in wave (iv) ended at 2031. Final leg lower wave (v) ended at 1978.80 which completed wave ((iii)). Bounce in wave ((iv)) ended at 2030.30 with internal subdivision as expanded flat. Up from wave ((iii)), wave (a) ended at 2015.90, wave (b) ended at 1966.60, and wave (c) ended at 2030.30. Expect the Index to extend lower in wave ((v)) before completing wave 1. Afterwards, it should rally in wave 2 to correct cycle from March 30 peak in 3, 7, or 11 swing before the next leg lower.
RTY UpdateIt appears the market has lost all appetite for money losing "growth" stocks that aren't growing. My trade strategy is still valid, short garbage on any pops, they can pump futures but they can't make people buy. Let the algos hold the bag.
I think every garbage stock is going to SFIX it's way to single digits, just gotta avoid the pumps, remember the 3 day short squeeze rule (today was the 4th day, lol)
Euros are bullish and could pump futures, but I don't think gap direction matters if today is any indication. I think the market will be oversold for the Fed press conf Wed, so avoid holding a position Wed afternoon regardless of trend pattern.
This drop has nothing to do with Russia, it was DOCU that caused it. I expect a follow through Monday, though it might reverse in the afternoon. Liquidity for crap stocks disappearing quick, look at AFRM, SMSI, DOCU, etc