RTY1!
RTY New OverlayMarket tanked today on Consumer Confidence numbers released at 10am. Wasn't paying attention to the news since I flipped my calls at 9:45.
RTY didn't get the gap fill so you know it has to try again, lol. I overlaid the last gap fill pattern, down tomorrow, more whipsaw this week then another gap fill attempt next week.
Bad news won't keep the market from getting the gap fill, heck, they tried to pump it a week after the Fed said possible .75 hike in July.
We might see some serious whipsaw for the rest of the week, I wouldn't chase the market. 4th of July week is usually pretty bullish, but then again this market isn't following any rules.
Might roll into some calls again when RSI gets oversold, we'll see.
Russell 2000 Futures Next Leg Down -10%Russell 2k $RTY1! broke below the 200 EMA on weekly and failed to regain 1800 as support.
As the canary in the coal mine, the Russell 2000 comprises of the 2000 smallest stocks of the Russell 3000 (broad capitalization-weighted stock market index that seeks to be a benchmark of the entire U.S stock market) and provides a solid bellwether for forward facing trends.
Next move is a 10% markdown from 1700 to 1550. From there we will likely see a failure to regain 1600. With Q2 earnings coming and early signs of margin compression in the face of rampant inflation ($NKE earnings revealing some weakness), expecting to see 20 EMA crash below the 200 EMA with the 50 EMA following closely behind.
On balance volume reflecting a downtrend that really gained momentum in late March / early April with no sign of reversing in the near-term.
RTY UpdateRTY still hasn't filled the gap.
Just like yesterday there's a rotation from tech to small caps since it needs the gap fill. I just don't see the market tanking until this fills but i could be wrong. It has happened, lol. I was thinking about shorting retail as soon as RTY filled the gap, will be a bit disappointed if I missed teh boat here.
I'm all cash anyways after flipping my calls 15 minutes after open. Apparently that was a very wise decision.
RTY UpdateMFI keeps going overbought without dropping which is usually an indicator of a melt up about to happen
NQ is already pretty close to filling the gap, but RTY needs to go pumptarded to fill its gap. I think garbage stocks are going to pop before end of next week, because there's another Fed meeting in July so they go to get that gap fill sooner than later.
Might seem odd coming out of my mouth, but go long on your favorite garbage stock, lol. BTFD!
RTY1! - Weekly Market Update, 6/20/22Russell Futures have triggered a short opportunity based upon last week's price settlement. I've detailed my ideal entry, stop loss and targeted areas on the chart.
I've also updated support and resistance structures for your reference. Wishing you a blessed and profitable week ahead!
RTY MFI almost overboughtGeez, it would have been an easier trade if they left everything oversold until the Fed meeting.
All indicators neutral except RTY MFI is almost overbought. ES overlay suggests we could see another dip before the meeting tomorrow.
Flipped my COIN puts on open for a wash this time because I saw the Euros were pumping futures. Staying cash until tomorrow morning, might just wait until after the press conf to confirm the next pump, lol.
Keep in mind there is still a gap above.
Russell 2000 Bear Trend
Well.
1) Macro bullish symmetrical triangle fakeout leading to top signal.
2) Low volume on bullish break, High volume on reversal confirming fakeout.
3) Omicron Variant market reaction =~= Covid-19 market reaction
See SPY fakeout before March 2020 Covid-19 crash. (right)
Lastly, see bearish divergence between index and % of stocks above 200 ma (orange).
RTY - Resistance (0.5) Turned Support0.5 is acting as a support now as price has moved way above it, prior to this it was a resistance point as price tested it
This bullish assumption is supported by the RSI, showing an Inverted H&S pattern, just completing the Right Shoulder
This 0.5 fib line should act as a support now
RTY UpdateChart pattern and indicator directions looks bearish.
NQ MFI is oversold though, which is why I didn't comment earlier, was expecting a sector rotation day. Now NQ looks weak despite being oversold.
Looks to me like strictly an Euro futures pump, if futures sell off then garbage stocks are toast. They didn;t rally with the market at all.
Indices forming an intraday pennantAppears to be an intraday pennant on the 4 major indices (SPX, NDX, DJI, Small Caps). Could go either way either way Monday.
I just have some PTON puts because it's total garbage, but even garbage will float on a rising tide. just a small play.
In any case, I don;t expect the market to do anything in the last hour, but we'll see. My futures indicators are still trending bearish.
RTY Daily Support Shows it is holdingThe RTY Daily time frame is in a down channel. The
market hit the bottom of the channel and found
support. The market is now pushing bullish towards
the top of the channel price point 1936.2 about
+803 ticks above the market. It will be a good
idea to turn to the one hour time frame and to
look for long ideas in the buy zone.