RTY Channel 7/18/2020This is the RTY at the 4 hour.
Which will the RTY do first? Fill the gap below or breakout to reach 1500?
The NQ has entered into a distribution phase. Tech stocks are going down and the money is heading to the non-tech stocks like financials and transportation. That's the RTY's bread of butter.
RTY may be getting reach for another surge. The question is: will it fill the gap first or go for 1500?
Personally, I would be happy to buy RTY at the 1420's.
Rty1
RTY Breakout 7/15/2020Investors and traders are leaving tech to go for better value stocks: financials and transportation.
RTY rallied big time due to this shift in breadth. I am expecting a small pullback for RTY. However, from the looks of it, financials and transportation have entered into an uptrend channel.
If you're going to short, short very, very carefully. It's probably safer to long from major supports. Stock breadth is strengthening. Liquidity is strengthening. That is all pretty bullish. RTY is known for bouncing unexpectedly.
RTY in a BoxThis is RTY at the 4 hour view. I just said screw it with the channels for now until RTY makes up its mind.
For now, RTY is stuck in a volatility box. The dotted lines are tier I support/resistance. The dashed lines are tier II support/resistance.
You can swing trade while the price goes back and forth. At URTY/SRTY, that's still a 3-7% profit per day.
The fate of RTY really rests on the decision that XLF/FAS and XTN/IYT make. Financials and transportation make a bull market. Why? Because every business needs a bank account and ways to ship/receive products. Even tech needs its semiconductors and a bank for venture capital.
RTY Channel 7/13/2020RTY broke below its upward channel again. It looks like the downward channel is taking over.
It seems the price action is coordinating with the downward channel's buy and sell zones. Banks' earnings are tomorrow. JP Morgan and Wells Fargo will set the tone for earnings season.
If RTY is indeed in the downward channel, then look to short the bounces. If RTY closes a day or two below 1354, then it's going to get ugly. That's why the buy zone is so large compared the sell zone.
The XLF/FAS and XTN/IYT will determine the fate of the RTY. If both cannot sustain a rally, the RTY will become my favorite short target.
If RTY is going to go up... It is in the right spot! +2,000 TickRTY is holding at the one hour up trend line. The market broke the counter trend line bullish and hit a down short term fib... If its going to go up, it is in the right place to do so.
If the market enters into the sell zone It will be a good idea to stay out of the market until it enters back into the buy zone.
Russell Bear Flag Breakdown and a Good Reversal FibMuch like the ES and NQ futures that I discussed tonight, the Russell futures may be rolling over as well. With this chart, there are two ways I see to interpret the "bear flag" formed from the March lows. As drawn now, more candles are captured by the lower channel, but to do that the flag has been violated three times, which is a little unorthodox.
The other way is to lower the lower channel to capture the three breakdowns, but in doing so, we might miss an important clue that faces us presently, so I have left it as it is.
In each of the first two breakdowns out of the flag (red arrows), the index was able to recapture the channel quickly, in a matter of a couple of days with a large green candle thrust.
The important matter I want to point out is the third breakdown (green arrow). It, too, tried to recapture the channel but ultimately failed do so and then backtested it from below and failed that too. This is why I prefer drawing this chart in this way, because it is then in alignment with the breakdowns we see in the NASDAQ and S&P 500.
And finally, this index is a bit unique in that it has a much cleaner fib retracement, having kissed the 78.6% fib before this last, and possibly final breakdown.
RUSSELL Wave A or wave 1?From my last RUSSELL analysis I was mentioning the eventuality of an end of W5. This seems to happen now.
I am now looking at this downward leg which could a simple ABC correction if A bounces back at the level of the previous 4 wave...
Or if it slips lower confirming my theory of a bear market complex correction.
RTY - Russell2000 e-mini s/r zonesHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
Trade what you understand, trade carefully and sparingly according to the business plan.
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund ($4.000.000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
Is RUT uptrend a ZZ correction? Please commentI am definitely not an expert in Elliott Waves but for the first time I kind of see some patterns in the RUT futures.
The uptrend seems like a ZZ 5-3-5 typical corrective wave. If this confirms, it would mean it is part of a bigger ZZ corrective wave.
I'd like to have some feedback on this...
Thanks in advance!!