Rty1
GROWTH vs VALUE“The big talking point in US equities circles of the past week has been the extreme mega-cap outperformance over small-cap”, he says, noting that Nomura’s US equities “size” factor market-neutral strategy has suffered the biggest four-day rout in the past 10 years.
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The explanation is simple. “Investors are in the liquidity and ‘safety’ of the mega-caps right now, on top of the obvious cyclicality and balance sheet dynamics of US small-cap equities as their negative feature, with those companies being the most negatively exposed to the downside of the coronavirus recession from a cash flow- / access to funding- perspective”
-- Nomura’s McElligott
I made a chart showing historical levels of Growth/value ratio.
Higher the ratio, bigger the tech bubble
RTY - e-mini Russell2000 main S/R levelsHello traders,
Description of the analysis:
I have identified important s/r levels that the market should respect and respond to. Currently, the market is undergoing rotations with possible declines as the VIX index is still in extreme bands.
Be careful to trade and invest sparingly!
About me:
Hi, my name is Jacob Kovarik and I´m trading on stock exchange since 2008. I started with a capital of 3000 USD. My first strategy was based on OTM options. (American stock index and their ETF ). I´ve learnt on my path that professional trading is based on two main fundaments which have to complement each other, to make a bussiness attitude profitable. I´ve tried a lot of techniques and many manners how to analyze the market. From basic technical analysis to fundamental analysis of single title. My analytics gradually changed into professional attitude. I work with logical advantages of stock exchange (return of value back to average, volume , expected volatility , advantage of high stop-loss, the breakdown of time in options, statistics and cosistent thorough control of risk). At the moment, my main target is ITM on SPM index. Biggest part of my current bussiness activity comes from e mini futures (NQ, ES). I´m trader of positions. I´m from Czech republic and I take care of a private fund (700 000 USD). During my career I´ve earned a lot of valuable experience, such as functionality of strategies and what is more important, control of emotions. Professional trading is, in my opinion, certain kind of mental training and if we are able to control our emotions, accomplishment will show up. I will share with you my analysis and trades on my profile. I wish to all of you successul trades.
Jacob
Looking for breakout on RTY one hourRTY one hour time frame is on the up trend line, if support holds I am expecting the market to push up +1,200 ticks bullish towards resistance. If support fails, I am expecting a +700 tick bearish push towards support. I am expecting the breakout to take place at the 9:30 AM ET U.S. Open
IWM about to make a critical desision.
Technically IWM is at a critical juncture. It pivoted, flagged for a few days and tried to continue. It did show relative strength yesterday but on the daily it did not close back above the trendline from the ascending wedge it broke out of a week or two ago. On the daily for RTY it bounced off a separate top of trend line and also closed inside the ascending triangle. On monday it'll be a jump ball to see if the bulls or bears get possession to close back up outside of the ascending triangle or further reverse downwards. Fibs are roughly where i had support and resistance plotted. First resistance is $162 area.
RTY at HTF Supply - Could lead to drop in EquitiesRTY is the only Equity market that currently has supply zones. Its just reached a HTF Supply on the Daily chart. This means we could start to see pull backs in ALL Equity markets, as the Russell tends to lead the pack. This also correlates with the VIX being at demand which is an inverse market. See my VIX analysis on my profile. I'll be watching NQ and ES very closely for the next few days to capitalize on a pull back to demand.
How the Russell 2000 indicates a correction in the S&P 500The Russell 2000 small cap index has been a prevalent lagger throughout the whole US equity rally into all-time highs. This is of concern for the health of the economy and the health of the S&P 500 index. The small-cap sector reacts the most to economic conditions and monetary policy, being the most affected if they cannot make new highs and are over 8.5% away from all-time highs we can infer that a stronger correction of 8-10% may occur in the S&P 500.
The S&P 500 is full of companies that have been artificially inflated by stock buy-backs and also monetary policy allowing for cheaper borrowing. There is a healthy retrace coming out to catch down to small caps since they have not relished in the strong economic conditions. Which presents another concern, is the economy that strong to begin with? If there is a correction, there could be more buyers in both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000 companies to help markets reach all-time highs yet again.