RUSSELL 2000 Bottom of Channel Up. Buy signal.Russell 2000 reached the bottom of the (1d) Channel Up on a symmetric -9.20% bearish leg, like the one before.
It is holding above the MA100 (1d), same with August 25th 2023, which was also a -9.15% decline but the rebound failed to close over the MA50 (1d) and resumed the downtrend.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price and as long as daily candles are closed over the MA100 (1d).
2. Sell if a daily candle gets closed under the MA100 (1d).
Targets:
1. 2230 (+13.61% rise like the bullish leg before).
2. 1830 (-15.63% decline from the top, like the March 24th 2023 low).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is on a pattern consistent with -9.20% declines. It is approaching the 30.00 oversold limit.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Rty1
RUSSELL 2000 Testing key 2022 Resistance. Rejection or breakout?Russell 2000 (RUT) finally hit our 2140 Target, which we called for on our last pull-back and buy signal (December 28 2023, see chart below):
Even before that signal, we caught the ideal bottom buy for a full bullish swing:
At the moment the situation is different as the index is on full bullish technicals, having hit the 2140 Resistance which was formed by the March 28 2022 High. Needless to say, breaking above this 2-year Resistance opens the way for a Resistance 2 (2293) test.
We believe the key here lies on the 1W (weekly) closing. As long as Russell fails to close a 1W candle above Resistance 1, we will wait for a buy on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). If it falls and closes even below the 1D MA50, we will add a last buy on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and the top of the Symmetrical Support Zone, where all candles of the Jan - March 2022 Bear Flag closed.
Our expectation is that this uptrend will form a Bull Flag, in similar fashion as the 2021/22 downtrend formed a Bear Flag. If on the other hand the index does close a 1W candle above Resistance 1, we will have a technical bullish break-out and on that occasion, we will buy on the spot. In all cases our medium-term Target will be 2293 (Resistance 2).
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RUSSELL 2000 on a 20 month High! Is it sustainable?Russell 2000 (RUT) gave us an excellent buy entry on our last call (see chart below), as we achieved the most optimal buy near Support 2 and rallied all the way to our 2000 Target:
The Resistance Zone broke and this delivered a new 20-month High on the index, the effect of which is more accurately seen on the 1W time-frame. The question is, how sustainable can this rally be?
Well as the 1W RSI is only 3 points away from getting overbought (70.00) for the first time since March 2021, having also entered the 2 year Higher Highs Zone, it becomes less and less sustainable. In fact a less risky medium-term strategy would be to start selling and target the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). That is where we will reverse to a buy and target Resistance 1 at 2140.
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Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) ~ December 4H SwingAMEX:IWM chart analysis/mapping.
IWM ETF rally off late October lows on market expectations of the end to Fed rate hikes.
Trading scenarios:
Continuation rally #1 = multiple gap fill / 38.2% Fib / upper range of parallel channel (green) confluence zone.
Shallow pullback #1 = 23.6% Fib / horizontal line (light blue dashed) confluence zone.
Deeper pullback #1 = lower range of parallel channel (green) / 200MA confluence zone.
Capitulation #1 = re-test ~163 bottom.
RUSSELL 2000: Short term pullback possible but buy for 1910.Russell 2000 crossed again today overo the 1D MA200 and it remains to be seen if it succeeds at closing above it. After the November 15th crossing but failure to close over it, a repeat may materialize a pullback of at least -4.50%, in similar fashion as the 1D MA200 rejections of May 23rd 2023 and November 1st 2022.
Technically that's possible as on the greater picture, the index is still neutral on the 1W technical outlook (RSI = 50.610, MACD = -19.910, ADX = 34.284) sitting almost halfway of the giant consolidation/ Rectangle pattern of the past year and a half.
Consequently, we will welcome any pullback as a buy opportunity, but we are already bullish, aiming at the R1 level (TP = 1,910).
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Russell 2000 (RTY, M2K) Low-Timeframe ShortQuick idea here as we look to get back in a groove with analysis/posts after a very light October. Not going to include a lot of elaboration, but we're looking to take advantage of a swing short (price depending) via a low timeframe (5-minute) RTY supply zone (defining candles not pictured here since sub-15-minute charts cannot be posted). If price approaches the zone hot (expanded range candle vs. grinding action), look to take the trade outright upon penetration of the lower bound (1795.4). If RTY stair-steps higher, forming new pockets of demand between current price and supply, consider taking a confirmation entry (price exit from zone). Stop should be placed a bit above the zone's upper bound. Keep in mind round # psych @ 1800. Targets are 2:1 and 5:1 (look for a fall back to origin of CPI breakout). Finally, US stocks have been very bullish as of late, so shorts fly in the face of current momentum. That said, RTY has consistently been the weakest of the 4 US equity indexes, so if you're going to short one, it's probably your best bet. Have to run, but good luck!
Stay tuned b/c a LOT more ideas are coming soon!
Jon @ LionHart Trading
US Russell 2000 RTY ~ Ping Pong Perpetuity (Daily Chart)CAPITALCOM:RTY chart mapping/analysis.
Russell 2000 still stuck within trading range despite recent rallies across major US indices.
What's on the chart:
Ascending parallel channel (light blue) captures upward trend over multi-decade timeframe
Descending parallel channel (white) frames downward trend from upper to lower range (multi-decade) parallel channel
Horizontal lines (yellow dashed) locks in trading range (June 2022 to present)
Descending trend-line (light blue dotted) highlights pivot support points
Fibonnaci levels establishes key supply/demand zones
Short-medium term outlook:
Neutral-bearish
RTY remains in " Ping Pong Perpetuity " until breakout on either side of trading range
200DMA acting as dynamic resistance, exerting downward pressure
Bullish reversal = rally above 200DMA to switch trend & test upper trading range
RUSSELL 2000 Spearheading the next stock market run?Russell 2000 / RUT closed the 3rd green day after hitting the Support A Zone that is holding since June 16th 2022.
This is turning into a major long term buy signal and will be validated when tomorrow the 1day MACD forms the lowest Bullish Cross since March.
Technically the bullish break out happens after the price crosses over the 1day MA50, but on a broader horizon, the current level is low enough to attempt a buy.
Target 2000 (bottom of Resistance Zone A).
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RUSSELL 2000 Support Zone rebound?Russell 2000 (RUT) entered on Friday the wide Support Zone (1700 - 1630) that was formed on the May 12 2022 Low. The 1D candle closed inside it so unlike the bottoms that had wicks that recovered and closed above the Zone, this is most likely similar to the June 16 2022 and September 23 2022 breaches.
A low is to be expected around 1640 but the index is already a strong long-term buy, as the cyclical behavior of the Sine Waves suggests. The tops match perfectly with the Waves. In any case, from now on the first sign of 1D RSI Higher Lows (Bullish Divergence if the candles are on Lower Lows), will be the last confirmation we need of an upcoming bullish leg, which was the characteristic of all previous 3 bottoms.
On top of that, 10 days ago a 1D Death Cross was formed and even though that's a technical bearish pattern, last time it signalled the bottom. Our target is 2000, just below the 2008 - 2027 Resistance Zone.
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RUSSELL 2000: Can drop more before an end-of-year rebound.Russell 2000 broke again today under the 1D MA200 after failing to close over the 1D MA50 on September 1st. Despite numerous breaks under the 1D MA200, all candles managed to close over it. If today's close under it (first time since June 5th) along with the bearish 1D technicals (RSI = 35.725, MACD = -19.100, ADX = 32.380), we expect the price to drop more inside the HL Zone. Then it will become a buy opportunity again and we estimate an end of the year rally towards the R1 Zone again (TP = 2,015).
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SPY SPX NASDAQ S&P500 ES are not going to dumpA "head and shoulders" pattern is a technical analysis chart pattern that can indicate a potential reversal in a stock's price trend. It consists of three peaks: a higher peak (the head) between two lower peaks (the shoulders). The pattern suggests a potential shift from an upward trend to a downward trend.
However, the effectiveness of technical patterns like head and shoulders can vary, and they don't always accurately predict market movements. Market behavior is influenced by a multitude of factors including economic indicators, company performance, geopolitical events, investor sentiment, and more.
"Complex correction" typically refers to a more intricate and prolonged market correction, which is a decline in stock prices from recent highs. Corrections are a natural part of market cycles and can be caused by various factors like overvaluation, economic downturns, or other negative events.
It's important to note that making accurate predictions about market movements is extremely challenging, even for experts. If you're considering investing or making financial decisions, it's advisable to do thorough research, consider a diversified approach, and consult with financial professionals who can provide tailored advice based on your individual circumstances and risk tolerance.
SPY divided by IWM, monthly Long term perspective.
Monthly and weekly charts showing a bull flag on this ratio chart with steep hidden bull divergence on monthly especially.
If we breakout of the flag it means IWM in general will start to lose much more value than SPY.
2.85 is the bull flag target but it could exceed that. Keep in mind this is a monthly chart so we're talking months and years of deterioration between these two etf's.
Good luck!
LONG opportunity in Russel (RTY)Context:
Weekly - uptrend (UT)
Daily - downtrend (DT)
Last day:
Value moved down but left very poor and weak high
Special notes:
Daily RSI is in oversold. Price at DMA200 support
Conclusion:
A lot of selling in the last 10 days. Market is getting too short and needs to cover those shorts before moving further down. Last day indicates lack of strong sellers, which creates opportunity for short-term bull bounce. DMA200 provides logical support
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advices, just sharing my thoughts
Potential upsides on RTYWe tried to reject the Weekly trend line but looks like it was a fake out and we might see a breakout.
We are sitting right at the weekly trend line with a bull flag on the daily timeframe
Entry - 1990
Stop - 1960 (I would like to see a daily close below this level)
First target - 2050
Final Target - 2100
Please share your views. Happy trading!
Potential downside on US2000, RTY - SHORTLooks like we have a good opportunity to go short on RTY.
Rejected the weekly trend line and looks like we are forming a double top pattern in the 4 hr timeframe.
Entry - 1980
Stop - 1795 ( I would like to see a 4 hr close over this level or the red sell zone)
First target - 1960
Final target - 1930
Let me know your inputs. Happy trading!
RTY | IWM | InformativeCME_MINI:RTYU2023
If the price of RTY breaks above the bullish line of 1947.4, it may indicate a bullish signal, suggesting potential upward price movement. In this scenario, the target price could be set at 1964.5.
Conversely, if the price of RTY breaks below the bearish line of 1937.5, it may suggest a bearish signal, implying potential downward price movement. In this case, the target prices could be set at 1932 and 1919.
RTY MFI OversoldThe least reliable of the indices, but RTY MFI is oversold. ES and NQ aren't even close, but they aren't moving much. Flipped my shitcoin (BITO) puts at open which is why I was late to post. Too bad I shorted BITO instead of COIN, that would have been some serious money. Disappointed in the gap down, much smaller than I hoped for.
Staying cash today unless I see a good trade, not expecting the market to do much today.
RTY UpdateCryptos and small caps pulled back, Europe and China were red this morning. ES and NQ are still overbought though with no pullback.
Could very well be a melt up, still short on shitcoin through BITO puts. Nothing else, don't feel much like trading this week. Made decent money last week despite closing early on Friday, seems every time I make money I give it back to the market, lol. Might be easier to wait until MFI indicator goes oversold again and snag the next pump.
Bearish on crypto because it looks like Asia and Europe are throwing in the towel, garbage trades 24 hours and the Asians own a lot of crypto. 3hr indicators are oversold though, not sure I'd recommend opening a new short position.
RTY UpdateMFI hit oversold. NQ RSI is almost overbought on this huge pump. Remember ES is in the whipsaw zone again.
I'm probably not trading today or tomorrow. Reducing the number of trades I make since the market is going sideways, and I'm not really making much money.... I'll put up a post, but it's still tracking that big blue arrow, lol.
Since I'm expecting sideways whipsaw, no daily update unless indicators hit oversold or overbought.
RTY UpdateHit overbought on RSI and MFI, but I think it's a pump and dump. Expecting a gap up tomorrow, maybe dump on Fed minutes?
Keep in mind RTY can go way overbought or oversold, least reliable of the index indicators. TLT already looks like it's hit bottom, so I don't see a tank coming either way.
5.15.23 RTYM23 Long RTY has been strong recovering from the recent banking sell-off (for the time being).
Looking at a few demand areas for longs. The first zone is mean to be an overnight set and forget.
The closer the zone to the origin of the move the better the chance of it working so the lower DZs are likely stronger.
Watch for tomorrow's 8:30am Retail Sales reports as they could add volatility to the markets. If reports produce worse than expected numbers, market sentiment may shift in the short-term.
- Trades taken using confirmation entires have a higher probability for sucess.
- Using an initial 1:1 target is recommended for reducing risk.
- Short-term income trade ideas are good for the day unless otherwise stated.
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