RTY1! - Weekly Market Update, 10/17The indices had a rather wild week, the technicals are approaching being oversold. A bounce from here would not be unexpected as there is some consolidation occurring as price is currently hovering around the June low's area.
I'd like to see the market cycle back to an area of being overbought and finding a low risk confirmed area to short from. At this time I'm looking for thing's to setup again for a desirable entry.
I've adjusted support and resistance structures accordingly.
Rty1
RTY1!HELLO GUYS THIS MY IDEA 💡ABOUT RTY1! is nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated..
I thing that the Seller from this area will be defend this SHORT position..
and when the price come back to this area, strong SELLER will be push down the market again..
DOWNTREND + Support from the past + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade..
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TURTLE TRADER 🐢
RTY - Reason Why I didn't short yesterdayFirst of all, I should've known EUro PMI was coming out, oops.
Anyways, I didn't short yesterday because RSI was touching oversold and this drop was already the same size as the previous drop. (Two red arrows) The fact that the drop is accelerating is bad news.
RTY Daily in up channelThe RTY daily time frame is in an up channel. The
market is near the bottom of the channel. If
support holds. It is expected the market to push
bullish towards the top of the channel price point
2076.3 about +2,840 ticks above the market. It
will be a good idea to turn to the one hour time
frame and to look for low prices in the buy zone.
RTY Almost oversoldI still don't think that was the top, looks to me like we get another pump when RTY MFI gets oversold.
Was busy timing my AMC play, lol. Dumped on the gap fill overshoot and just re-entered, figured it wasn't gonna go down more than a buck. Might wind up being a day trade, planning on bailing if teh market doesn;t kick up after the Euro markets close.
Seems to me like small caps went a little overboard on sell, but the Euros finally dumped so there could be another gap down tomorrow.
RTY UpdateThe melt up and short squeeze continues. I have it continuing until next Tuesday when RTY hits the resistance zone.
I don't normally play melt ups but bought some AMC calls for kicks and giggles on the dips this morning. If the market is acting stupid, then you need to be stupid too, lol. The only way to make money is to go with the flow.
Prediction is up tomorrow, a dip Thu and Friday open, then full pumptardedness until Tuesday.
RTY not much to add since my last updateWe are at the first maj resistance - 110MA Weekly magnet.
RTY hit 200MA on daily, while others are lagging behind.
- 2032-85 is where I think this move will be capped, if we actually extend above 110MA.
It can still extend up to 2084-2108
I expect tomorrow red close
RTY1!8.14.22 Yesterday I gave you my overview of the Russell and the es mini from a longer timeframe perspective. I went back and took a shorter timeframe perspective on the Russell, and compare it to the longer time frame thinking. I tried to discuss the advantages and disadvantages. I tried to describe a psychological aspect from my point of view, and I'm very much aware in my own trade decisions what the triggers are for my stress. Most of the time I would say that you should look at the Behavior of the market in an "objective "way...based on your observations of market behavior...which can definitely be done, but not all the time. The example I pointed to in this video found the reversal point, but the market came back close to it without making a new low 4 weeks, and from my point of view that's going to be a tough trade for me... and explain why. It doesn't matter if the market never goes below my entry, It doesn't really appeal to me to stay long in a market that doesn't move any significant range off the bottom and for three or four weeks it keeps on coming down to my entry. That is not my concept of Joyful Trading index futures. That's a function of me, not the market. Take a look at it and see what you think as it pertains to you.
RTY is overextending on the upside and downsideI haven't look at RTY for a while now, till the Fri close where I shorted it at 2015.50, willing to add if we stretch into the maj resistance zone right where the upper Bollinger is, that is also a 2.618 extension off the lows
RTY is overextending on the upside and downside compare to SPX .
We hit 50% retracement off 2020 lows in June and I see the whole way as 5 down and 3 up here.
We hit 110MA on Weekly as well as 200MA on Daily. If it's acting as it was on the way lower, SPX might not even reach 200MA in this case.
We are at the very top for this bear market rally, it can still extend up to 2084-2108
We are also at/near 61.8 off Mar high and Jun low as well as near 50% off the ATH and Jun low retraement
I will update the target for the Oct low after I see confirmations of the top.
Rty1! ES8.13.22 The Russell and the ES have foolish Swings, but the bigger pattern suggests that these markets will move lower and possibly make new lows. The bigger picture is that we are probably in a significant bear market....And I would be waiting for my trigger too short....As well as taking profits on the swing higher.
Will RTY Daily Resistance Hold?The RTY daily time frame is in a down trend. The
market is hitting the down trend line. At the same
time the market is hitting an up Fibonacci
extension price point 1890.50. Usually when this
happens. The market has a bearish reaction. If the
market continues to push bullish and breaks the
down trend line. It will be a strong sign the buyers
are taking control. If the market cannot break and
close above the down trend line. It is expected
the sellers are taking control and will push the
market back down.
As long as the market stays below the daily
down trend line. It will be a good idea to turn
to the one hour time frame and to look for
high prices in the sell zone.