such a big zone on ES here. 3910 - 3950 has been a pain for ES. same with NQ 12200 - 12270 been a pain on NQ. market internals are really strong for a push through this zone. we should see 3950 pretty fast if we break 3910 and then 3950 break will mostly depend on NFLX and TSLA ER's.
The SPY and QQQ look like they need a rest. However, the RTY looks ready for bullish continuation.
We're experiencing another Expansion zone as highlighted before. Market will be deciding on Trend. Under that average price will result in a down trend.
RTY - "everyone" (including me) was faked out by the false breakout. Now it's back into the long term wedge (also appears to really have been a large ending diagonal or Wyckoff Distribution pattern). With the breakdown of Crypto over the weekend, RTY is heading to back test some prior levels. This will be healthy in the long run, but painful for those heavily...
Volatility direction for a specific index can help your intraday analysis for an overall direction even if it minor within a range so you can take fast swings on the right side of the traffic.
Here are support and resistance levels. Close above 2292 would confirm it's intention to move higher. Initial target is overhead resistance trend line and then 2500. Close below 2161 could indicate short term trend change.
In this video, I discuss the different performance between leaders like the Russell 2000 + Nikkei 225 and laggards like the S&P 500 and German DAX, as well as what's driving it. I also update my thesis on the upside breakout on the S&P 500 and how I'm looking to trade it if/when we get a move above 3815-3817.
Elliott Wave View of Russell 2000 (RTY) suggests the rally from July 31,2020 low has ended at 1605.70 high as wave 3. Up from July 30 low, wave ((i)) ended at 1482.60 high and wave ((ii)) dips ended at 1467.80 low. Index then extended higher in wave ((iii)) towards 1552.60 high. The internal subdivision of wave ((iii)) unfolded as 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave...
Rejected off of 1560.9 after major sell off and broke above POC 2 1562.9 looking to long. ENTRY: 1562.6 Exit: 1566.0 Stop: 1562.6
$RTY_F: as absurd as it sounds from a fundamental point of view given that 40% of the companies in the index are unprofitable and it's carrying a 65x forward P/E, the technical picture is very clear: small caps are putting in a medium-term rounded bottom vs. $NQ_F.
Our swing trading algo just issued a sell signal for $RTY_F.
As a larger context, the rally in Russell 2000 (RTY) from 3.19.2020 low took the form of an impulsive structure. Up from there, wave (1) ended at 1180.3 and wave (2) pullback ended at 1029.7. Index then resumed higher in wave (3) and ended at 1265.6 and wave (4) pullback ended at 1148.5. The final leg wave (5) ended at 1374. This move also completed wave ((1)) in...
Short term Elliott wave view in Russell (RTY_F) suggests the Index ended the correction from January 17, 2020 high in wave (4) at 1609.56. It has since resumed higher in wave (5) and the internal subdivision is unfolding as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure, The Index still needs to break above wave (3) at 1715.1 to avoid a double correction in wave (4)....
A strong bullish daily candle confirms the breakout of the significant resistance level. The small caps entered a balance breakout mode. Usually, that would lead to continuation pattern until the projected area top is not reached. The bullish pattern would help the S&P to move higher or at least to remain at the current prices. The small caps offer better upside...
While the large-cap stock indexes like the $SPY $SPX $QQQ $DIA have been running higher, they are now at resistance and should stall out or at least slowdown. Small-cap stocks have been building a base for a mega rally that could make the large-cap run look like chump change! See more analysis on the small-cap sector: Click Here
Skilled traders watch all the charts to assist them in identifying characteristics that can assist them in understanding price moves, key support/resistance levels, and price patterns. This IWM chart should be on everyone’s radar at the moment. Where the IWM finds support, so will the other US stock market indexes. The IWM setup indicates we may only see a 5~7%...