EM Currencies vs. SPXTrying to assess risk aversion by plotting SPX - EM currencies (TRY MXN RUB) & DXY
Rub
USDRUB a perfect bounce at the 0.618 🦐USDRUB on the daily chart found a perfect bottom at the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
The price ends the retracement and started a new impulse.
According to Plancton's strategy, if the conditions will be satisfied, we can set a nice long order.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Russian ruble's depreciation continuesRussian ruble's tests at around 80 seems to support the idea of further supply at and above this level. A further move towards 90 and above can be expected though the trend may turn afterwards.
Russia is an important commodity exports based country and oil is an important component of country's revenues. However, oil market outlook is not bullish and not supporting ruble's prospects.
RUBPLN: RUSSIAN RUBLE / POLISH ZLOTYRUSSIAN RUBLE / POLISH ZLOTY
Buy in the area of 0.0498 - 0.0486
Goal 1 - 0.0508
Goal 2 - 0.0520
Goal 3 - 0.0538
Stop, fixing below 0.0484
✅ f you like what I do, put 👍 and subscribe
Waiting for your comment, what do you think about this?
USDRUB on a falling wedge? 🦐USDRUB after the long retracement move found support over the weekly structure where the price created a double bottom.
The market from there will possibly start a new impulse and break the long wedge formation.
IF the price will break above the 73.500 area and consequently break the structure and the trendline, we will set a nice long order according to Plancton's strategy.
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Sell USD & BUY High Interest Rate Currencies (RUB, BRL, MXN, ZARWe take a look at why the U.S Dollar is structurally on a bear trend against the High Yielding Emerging Market currencies.
Two factors are going against the U.S Dollar.
1.) Low-interest rate differentials
2.) Negative Current Account Balance + Increased Fiscal spending increasing this problem for USD.
These four setups are popular trades across investment bank trade recommendations, due to the carry trade attractiveness using the U.S Dollar and a funding currency to purchase and profit from these high yielding currencies.
Video cut out due to Tradingview's limit but you will fully understand the fundamentals driving these trades and then using technicals to time our entries.
CHFRUB FLAG PATTERNTIt looks like a flag pattern.
Green Line is resistance,
Red line is support.
Lets see if it can break the resistance and start the flag pattern?
These are my personal opinions, not investment advice.
USD:ZAR Wait for a reversal?USD/ZAR Analysis Based on price Action.
With Risk Management you will Never loss.
thank you
USDRUB testing a daily support 🦐USDRUB is still testing the support area at 76.000.
The price after a false breakout move upside until the minor resistance area at 76.600.
IF the price will break above the descending trendline, According to Plancton's strategy (check our Academy), we can set a nice long order
–––––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
USD/RUB Shoort opportunityPrice is forming a XABCD pattern in the weekly chart, touching for the second time in a major resistance, also forming a double top pattern or "M" as you want to call it. You will have more confirmations in favor or against the ideia in a few days. ;)
USDRUB retest the channel break 🦐USDRUB on the daily chart broke and retest the ascending channel.
The market after creating a double bottom over the support level at the 76 area went for a retest of the trendline.
On the 4h chart the pice is moving inside a minor channel and now tested the 0.382 over the trendline.
IF the price will break below the structure and consequently break the channel we will set a nice short order according to Plancton's strategy.
--––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
Leave a comment that is helpful or encouraging. Let's master the markets together.
USD/RUB: WAITING for long /section fast transactions/Hi everyone! I am going to open the long position from 75.42. With purpose 77.15. SL on 74.69. You watch the idea, I will act on a situation. In principle on the technical indicator everything is ready for the small movement up.
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the market.
This section is intended for short-term speculation. Be ready to leave a position at any time.
USD/RUB: The uptrend will continue.Three times consolidations have brought profit on the sale of the ruble for the dollar. Now the intervention of the Central Bank of Russia and state-owned companies will temporarily suspend the process of weakening the ruble. But this process will continue anyway, as investors are withdrawing money from Russia's bonds (the RGBI index goes down), the oil price goes down, and stock indices go down. The global trend of the US dollar strengthening is also possible.
USD/RUB longHi everyone! Couple of USD/RUB are in an upward trend long ago. Now there is the 3rd wave of an impulse. Purchase from the current values. Growth purposes: TP1 - 89.68, TP2 - 102.86. SL (cancellation) at the price lower than 74.50 as the kickback to the strong level of support 74.80-74.90 is possible.
The idea has information character.
Crude Oil w43 2020. Short 37 to 30 and 20$Motnhly
Bounce in downtrend
Weekly
Strong pullback in wave 4 elliot
Daily
Testing 42 from below
Open short at end of November when 38$ will be retested from below.
Open 37
TP1 30
SL 41$
Russian Ruble behaviour in the closest terms.As I drew on the graph, there is some probability that we could see growth to 85-90 rubles for 1 dollar in the nearest future.
Also I suppose we could see flat instead if growth. I don't see any positives in RU economics. Exchange rate could become better only if US dollar become weaker, which I doubt in.
How do you think?
TTLK- Moex. Long or Short.My opinion is long position. There is a stop loss for another opinion ^ -) . With a true breakdown of the (0.34-0.35 zone) .The negative scenario is a return to the support zone (0.29-0.275). PNL-1/3.
Still bearish on the Ruble (RU). RUBUSDNot a faint sight of correction finishing, despite the weakening dollar.
USDRUB Long term analysis for Russian Rouble !Russian rubble had a strong correction
to 68.25, but after that, formed the pattern
triangle with T2 and T3 trendlines (1,2,3,4
points). You can find expected movement
with green lines. In my opinion RUB will
stabilize a bit on christmas holidays, but
after, will decline up to 84.00, if CBR will
not take strong actions. Anyway CBR cann't
change the trend direction, but just hold
motivate the market for several months.
For long term strategy, fundamental changes
must be made in fiscal policy and in the
economy itself. If pandemic wil end in
December, this fact will not help currency,
there are other fundamental reasons why RUB
is declining
USDTHB BUY Trade Based on Fundamentals + Price ActionTrade based on Fundamentals and Price action. With Risk Management You will Never loss.
Order : Buy
Entry : 31.600
Target :32.280
Target :33
