How do you feel?If you check at least 3/5 on the below we might be in the right place.
1. Depressed
2. Tired
3. Stressed
4. Scared
5. Out of money to buy more
I do not know about you but I have been through all of the above over the last 12 months! I made tons of mistakes no doubt about that! BUT i wIll not make the biggest one, panic sell at the bottom or in the first rally!
Some things to consider when you try to draw the picture of the next 6-12months
1. Advertising Costs or User Acquisition Costs ⬇ + NPS ⬆ ( What's doing Meow Meow on the roof???)
2. Shipping Costs + Shipping time ⬇
3. West Disposable Income ⬇
Why is Peter Selling? well, for a buyout to take place at least >50% of shareholders must agree! Now retail holds 39% + the previous 10% of Peter before starting selling makes 49%! you understand how dangerous that was for the Funds that they wanted to take over right? Probably the price is already set! nobody else besides peter is selling here! Now have a look here:
Vijay's Contract
"Restricted Stock Units. Subject to the approval of the Company’s Board of Directors or its Compensation Committee, you will be granted
an award of Restricted Stock Units (“RSUs”) for that number of shares of the Company’s Common Stock equal to $12,000,000 divided by
the average closing price of a share of the Company’s Common Stock as reported on Nasdaq during the full calendar month prior to your
Start Date, rounded down to the nearest whole share
+
"Stock Options. Subject to the approval of the Company’s Board of Directors or its Compensation Committee, you will be granted an
option to purchase that number of shares of the Company’s Class A Common Stock equal to $16,800,000 divided by the average closing
price of a share of the Company’s Common Stock as reported on Nasdaq during the full calendar month prior to your Start Date, rounded
down to the nearest whole share (the “Option”)"
The average closing price prior to the Start Date meaning Dec 21 was around $3.2 giving to Vijay the option in case he would stay with the company to hold around 9m shares or 1.3%.
So Peter's 10% + Vijay 1.3% + Retail 39% or more at the time since many got liquidated gives us >50%, if one of the funds holding 3-4% could be on their side the acquisition would be even harder to take place. Imo this is an ordered acquisition and Retail will pay for it! What a beautiful game!
Based on 670m shares float here are the % based on (simplywallst.com data and fintle.io)
Holders >1%
1. Vanguard together with its passive funds holds 84,819,961 or 12.65%
2. Blackrock together with its passive funds holds 37,909,425 or 5.65% + iShares (owned by Blackrock) 20,564,283 or 3.069%
3. Formation8 Partners 42,192,476 or 6.29%
4. DST Global 38,301,392 or 5.71%
5. GGV Capital, LLC 25,707,499 or 3,83%
6. General Atlantic Llc 16,888,478 or 2.52%
7. Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. 13,519,000 or 2.01% +5m call option + potential 0.74%
8. State Street Corp 13,349,046 or 1.99%
9. Geode Capital Management, Llc 8,442,463 or 1.26%
10. Comprehensive Financial Management LLC 8,406,736 or 1.25%
11. Renaissance Technologies Llc 8,264,800 or 1.23%
All of the above players hold together 47.45%! Peter already sold 3.63% and probably going for >5%, when we learn who bought in i think the price would not be where it is now!
From the 2021 Annual Report
"In addition, in July 2017, FTSE Russell and Standard & Poor’s announced that they would cease to allow most
newly public companies utilizing dual or multi-class capital structures to be included in their indices. Affected indices
include the Russell 2000 and the S&P 500, S&P MidCap 400, and S&P SmallCap 600, which together make up the S&P
Composite 1500. Under the announced policies, our multi-class capital structure would make us ineligible for inclusion in
any of these indices, and as a result, mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, and other investment vehicles that attempt to
passively track these indices will not be investing in our stock."
IMO Peter's conversion from B to A opened the door for the acquisition ! Since they will scoop everything from their passive funds!
What's the price????
If the deal is done and you are the SMART MONEY wouldn't you like to purchase all the stock available??? I mean look at that depressed 39% that sits there! IMO 2 paths are possible depending on how the markets will do over the next 6-12months
1. If markets do well there will be an explosive rally to $3-5 towards the EoY, I bet most of you will take your money and leave at that point, the volatility (shaking) is going to be insane! RSI constantly overbought on divergence the opposite of what's happening now!
2. If markets do bad then 0.90-0.70 will do. I think a big % of retail will give up on new lows or on the first 100-300% rally.
Now IF and i say IF there is a buyout what would be the price? I would like to think of a price higher than the institution's average. Wish right now has no major shareholder (Peter is gone) I think VC's will likely dictate the price.
My guess would be something around 4-6x FY23 sales if markets go well! That should be in the range of 4-6b maybe a little higher depending on how sales would look in 23. That translates to a price of more or less $7-9 or Inside the GAP!!!
*Peter's Thiel Fund sold all of it's shares on the WSB frenzy for an average of $12 i think in the best best best case scenario that's the ceiling!
Do your own research and do not listen and trust nobody! In the end, we are all alone in this game!
Keep calm WGMI!
Rumor
PLTR last prediction was damn right and now ?PLTR dissapointed beginning of the year, but as always trading is sometime sjust a matter of time.
25$ is a hard resistance for the stock, but I expect a break in the next weeks to scratch the 30$ again.
The upcoming earning on the 8th of june will trigger a bull due the rumor.
BTC - Worst Case Scenario - BearishIf we look at the worst-case scenario for BTC, it would be to measure the potential maximum drop from this short term bear flag/rising wedge based on the depth of the opening of the pattern- we would see around 35% drop. This will land us at the next lower support, ranging between 25k and 23k.
I personally feel this scenario is unlikely, but we have to consider that a MM might not want to let the opportunity pass to potentially drive the market down while fear is still high and hands are growing weak. I think there is conflict between groups of MM and whales, some who want to see the bull market continuation and others who want to dump it more for cheaper Bitcoin.
$RETO Stock surged on Two RumorsWhile the stock is running for the top, there has been nothing by way of press releases or SEC filings. So, what’s the deal?
- ReTo Eco-Solutions May Be an Olympic Provider. According to various social media posts, investors are awaiting an announcement surrounding involvement in the Olympic Games in Beijing. The rumor suggests that the company’s work with the 2022 Olympics in Beijing will be expanded, exciting investors.
- Merger With Apple Rumor. There’s another rumor hitting the tape too, and this one’s the big one. According to various social media posts, investors are awaiting the announcement of a merger. According to these rumors Apple is interested in merging with RETO.
- The Short Squeeze. the heavy short interest on the stock, combined with the ultra-tiny public float of under 15 million shares could lead to supply and demand related jumps in value. Ultimately, as the shorts race to cover their positions, demand for shares rockets, but with only under 15 million shares available to the public, the demand increase for RETO shares could lead to tremendous gains.
cnafinance.com
$WATT Shares Skyrocket on Apple Battery RumorsEnergous Shares Skyrocket on Apple Battery Rumors
Energous jumps on news that Apple is working on a wireless charging attachment for the newest iPhones.
The battery pack would attach to the back of an iPhone 12 using the MagSafe system, which all the new iPhones use for charging and pairing other accessories such as cases and wallets.
Energous develops WattUp wireless power technology that consists of semiconductor chipsets, software controls, hardware designs, and antennas that enables radio frequency based wire-free charging for electronic devices.
Energous had said in a regulatory filing that its WattUp product will undergo compliance testing with Apple, according to CNA Finance, but there was no reference to a partnership.
www.thestreet.com
Churchill Capital Corp IV (CCIV) following an old pattern?I was right about a possible drop of CCIV.
I would buy this stock in the range of $23-$26, not more. I don't want to FOMO. It's ok if the merge happens.
You can always make money with stocks. It's never late! Don't FOMO!!
What's your opinion? Your comments are welcome.
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Take into account that fundamentals (news) supplement technical analysis . A trader does not use a crystal ball to predict the future (news and people's reactions). Additionally technical analysis is not an exact science. It involves a degree of subjectivity.
Legal disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. The advice here given is not a financial advice even though my excitement might make it look like such. This account shouldn't be followed by anyone expecting something from me. You trade at your own risk and nobody can guarantee you results. Even if someone could, I don't.
MARK Another Move Higher Or Lower?MARK made a tweet with a video on Friday all in a foreign language. Tagged Intel. No PR (yet) so is it real or is it another hype play like it's done before?
"This would obviously be big news for any company of Remark’s size. However, it’s important to remember that a deal might also correspond with a filing and/or press release. So far, since the tweet came out on at 2:53 PM on Friday, nothing new has come from the company with regard to either a PR or filing. Is this a move based on hype alone or will Remark confirm more details of this tweet?"
Original Quote Source: 5 Penny Stocks On Robinhood To Buy Under $2; Are They Too Risky?
Next big pump for SOLVE? Hello, it has been quite steady-going for solve, not much volume still.
It has been making higher lows and could be ready for the next big pump.
There have been some rumors in the telegram group that solve is talking with the big exchanges, but this is still a rumor.
Buy now while you can still afford it.
Trade safe!
CHINA VIRUS IS FAKE NEWS! - READ WHY...BUY THE DIPSFolks, and our followers...
The Chinese flue is "FAKE NEWS" only meant to cast a shadow over the BOOMING USA Economy and scare the public around the world...!
The SICK Liberals and Dirty Democrats want the USA stock market and stock markets around the world to crash and the USA economy to sink! These people are SICK..!!!
The real statistics you need to know about before selling into this FAKE NEWS China Flu Scam ...
Each year, over 600,000 people die from the FLU...
In 2018 alone, over 80,000 people died from the FLU...
Did we see the market crash in 2018..? NO NO NO..!!!
As of this post, there are ONLY 8 CASES in the USA...The FAKE NEWS continues their SICK agenda to try and crash the USA Economy before the 2020 election...!!!
CDC Link...
www.cdc.gov
Public Companies are reporting ROBUST Revenues and Profits, the China Flue is a SCAM...!
BUY THE DIPS BECAUSE UNTIL WE SEE THE DEATH TOLL IN THE USA COME CLOSE, OR PASS 60,000 TO 80,000 DEATHS FROM THE CHINA FLUE, IT'S FAKE NEWS!!!
DO NOT LET THE FAKE NEWS SCARE YOU INTO SELLING.
BUY BUY BUY
90 Day Forecast, APPC/USD, Buy the Rumor, Sell the NewsAfter implementing some drawings and sketches in my chart, I will try to play with some of the fundamentals occurring with Appcoins.
Before jumping into the analysis and forecast, I want to introduce the reader some APPC facts.
1 - Appcoins is currently focused on disrupting the App Economy by giving more power to app developers & smartphone users.
2 - Appcoins is an ERC-20 Token listed in one of the biggest and most known exchange AKA Binance, Huobi... Therefore there will be always speculation with this type of assets.
3 - The core proposition value for this token is to serve as a payment method for In-App-Purchases and user acquisition. Provides full transparency between ecosystem participants through blockchain.
4 - The first and only cryptocurrency integrated inside App Stores (so far Aptoide, Multilaser, Cherry Mobile) creating a completely new environment and generating a better yield to every participant agent.
5 - Proactive and creative team behind the project, continuously GitHub development commits, always stood ahead of current roadmap.
Diving into some fundamentals facts:
1 - Appcoins reacted positively to Trump's Google Sanction in cooperating with Chinese tech companies, creating an opportunity to Aptoide (first AppStore integrating Appcoins billing) <---- Here is the Rumor
2 - Google has 90 days since Trump's announcement to decide if it will obey to its sanction. Currently, there are 2 different outputs, 1) Huawei loses GP services generating a great opportunity to Aptoide and consequently to Appcoins, 2) Somehow sanction got lifted and no further possible collaboration between Aptoide/Appcoins & Huawei will be needed. <---- Here is the News
As mentioned in the title, this forecast isn't intended to predict the outcome of future partnerships between these companies but to play with potential news and the potential increase in volatility .
Safe trades for all folks.
Sell Broadcom on this Symantec Acquisition, $20B Down The TubesBloomberg broke the news on Wednesday July 3rd, 2019 that Broadcom is in talks to buy struggling Symantec. This is a terrible idea on many fronts and $AVGO closed down 3% on the news. I believe that investors do not want this semiconductor company to waste $20 billion on a cybersecurity company (and why pick the one that seems to be struggling the most?). Certainly makes sense that we head lower over the next few days/weeks.
A few references:
AbbVie buying Allergan - stock closed down 15%
Salesforce buying Tableau - stock closed down 3% (but it hasn't dropped further)
Basic Attention Token (BAT) will be added to Coinbase?Recent rumors are that BAT might get listed on Coinbase, as was mention in the Coinbase report. In the report, it was mentioned that some cryptocurrencies like Basic Attention Token, Stellar and Cardano might be considered for addition in the Coinbase listings.
On the 11 October, 0X has been added to the Coinbase and since then price is up by over 30% against the Bitcoin ( the link to our 0X idea is down below) While the BAT addition remains just rumors, market has already reacted and today price already went up by over 20%, hitting 3.8k satoshis high.
This week trade volume has remain at a steady high rate, as the price was producing higher highs and higher lows. Today it broke above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, and seems BAT is heading towards the next Fibs near 4k satoshis area.
The resistance is confirmed by 50% Fibs along with the upper trendline of the extended descending channel. If broken there should be more upside potential, but upon rejection price should correct down. The correction could end either at 3.5k or 3.2k support levels.
Support:
1. 0.00003500
2. 0.00003200
Resistance:
1. 0.00003940
2. 0.00004380
3. 0.00005015
Chinese rumors confirmed.A new, bigger bullish triangle pattern developed over the last few weeks. We can expect an outbreak on the upper side end of this week or beginning of next week. Until then, only small price moves within the triangle pattern will happen. An outbreak on the upper side will open new targets at 22500 and 24000.
However, we shall not forget that the US-government and the Bulgarian government own seized Bitcoins worth more than 3 billion US-Dollars and they want to sell them. We have to expect many major setbacks of the price of the Bitcoin at any time and this will make trading the Bitcoin much more volatile and risky in the future.
Alternative scenario:
We shall not forget that minor triangle patterns did not behave as expected during the last few weeks. As I already mentioned in my analysis from January 10, 2018, we cannot expect that chart signals will always work the traditional way for the months to come.
I could confirm the Chinese rumors on Bitcoin. The Chinese government is now having its eyes on local bitcoin miners present in the country. A huge number of miners has set their operations at some places in China, where electricity is available at low cost. With the Chinese government getting involved in control over these activities, it could possibly have a massive impact on the price of Bitcoin. According to some Twitter messages, the Chinese government is planning for an “orderly exit” for Bitcoin mining operations because the miners have consumed “huge amounts of resources.” - www.coinspeaker.com
We expect official news about this matter today. Depending on the conditions of this "orderly exit", the price of the Bitcoin could fall into nowhere. If Bitcoin mining becomes much more expensive, it could also have the opposite effect and skyrocket the price of the Bitcoin. I stay on the sideline, ready to act on the news.
Neo - Matrix action News or Rumors, NEO will be in it's Matrix trend for long gain with correction.
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There's so much confusion and a neutral response over the news which is usually start of a bull or bearish rally ? judge by yourself looking at charts and match the dates of the news.
First there was a News but the price was jumped upto $48 but then there's a rumor that NEO is FUD.
news.bitcoin.com
cointelegraph.com
Please check out following Neo decentralized exchange whitepaper. Read white paper before buying NEO.
neonexchange.org
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Golden rule " Sell the news and buy the rumor ".
Diamond rule " Buy almost at trend line, wait for the news to sell then again buy if there's a rumor " ;)
Rumored big announcement tomorrow (5/24/2017) by XMRRumor has it tomorrow Monero will make a significant announcement tomorrow that will be very bullish. Volume is consistent, Price action seems to be insider buying. Looks like it could go much higher. Normally I would examine fundamentals as well, but in this case I do not believe it is the basis for the trade.. expecting 60+
BLACKBERRY - Meet Me At "The Wedge"You are looking at a WEEKLY chart of BBRY. Since my last published idea on this stock I made a couple slight adjustments to the chart.
1) I added "many false breakouts" to the Recent Resistance label
2) I added another uptrend line and adjusted the one that was originally there
3) I removed all the "mystery chart" stuff since the game was over as quickly as I posted the chart
Lets talk about the wedge that has been forming for almost 2 years now...
You will notice that the resistance line is just where it has always been. BBRY can't seem to get ( & stay ) above the $11 ish level. I guess the market doesn't think it is worth $11 at this point in time.
You will also notice there are two uptrend lines on the bottom of the wedge. The lowest one just represents worst case scenario lows while still being in an uptrend. If BBRY closes and stays below this lowest uptrend line I would be out of the stock. I may even consider a short position.
BBRY recently dropped to the mid $8 range. It turned out to be a great place to buy the stock. Notice the horizontal line labeled "Resistance becomes Support"? Yea, it happened again. BBRY came right down to that support and turned higher.
The higher of the two uptrend lines is a much more common support level. I consider this the actual bottom of the wedge. When BBRY touches this line it is like getting a green light to try a long postion with a comfortable stop. More times than not it goes up after touching this line.
Now remember, when BBRY closes above (and stays above) the wedge you can expect it to go higher. Or if BBRY closes below (and stays below) the wedge you can expect it to go lower. This is not a guarantee. It is just a general guide.
Let me give just one quick comment about the "rumors" swirling about BBRY's future. DON'T LET RUMORS INFLUENCE YOUR INVESTING...
Why? Because by the time you hear about the rumor, "the big boys" have already begun purchasing shares and pushed the price up. It the rumor turns out to be false, they will get out before you do. What does that mean? They will lose a little money but you may lose a lot of money. Rumors = Risk. Limit your risk.
Technical analysis gives us "little guys" an opportunity to play the market on a more level playing field. This wedge formation is technical analysis. If you saw the wedge when I posted my "mystery idea" about BBRY and decided to invest back then, you would already be in the stock.
Tesla: Negative reports exaggerated, positive news ignored.Recently with Tesla, Positive news has been ignored and negative news has been exaggerated. This irrational pessimism, combined with high short interest might indicate a rapid momentum upwards swing is in order. This is especially true if Tesla chooses to announce their CPO program or their stationary storage product soon.
Another classic example of buy the rumor, sell the news.Sometimes knowing the general direction of fundamentals will be more than enough in trading, the charts says everything of what the market intended.
News are just meant for distribution of expensive stocks to the average joe.
Had a pretty good trade from this :)
Who in the right mind is buying Apple here?-because Carl Icahn says Apple is underpriced by 2x?
-because AppleWatch is launching soon?
-because of iCar rumors?
Firstly, Carl Icahn as an activist investor himself and having invested into Apple shares himself makes his credibility zero. Can you really take this guy's words for real? When is he going to dump on you?
Second, will Apple Watch really take off like what many claims it will be?
Third, people are buying into the rumor of Apple developing a car and that might bring in a potential 100b + revenue? what? Sure if you're speculating on Tesla, but Apple Car isn't even out to date.
Buy the rumor, sell the news. (See: )
To sum things up, there's simply so much more to lose than to gain from buying here. The market will always be there, sometimes you're better off not trading and wait for an opportunity.
Patience is the word.
Sure if you've already bought Apple at a low price, its still worth holding it over long term.