Sunrun (RUN) AnalysisCompany Overview: Sunrun is a leading U.S. residential solar energy company, providing solar panel installations and energy services across the country. The company's focus on sustainable energy solutions positions it to capitalize on the growing shift toward clean energy adoption.
Key Catalysts:
Rate-Cutting Cycle: A potential rate-cutting cycle by the Federal Reserve could make solar financing more affordable, increasing the economic appeal of residential solar projects. Lower interest rates would reduce borrowing costs for consumers, making Sunrun's solar installations more accessible and boosting sales.
Trade Policies: U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen's scrutiny of China's market practices, particularly regarding solar products, could mitigate low-cost competition from Chinese manufacturers. This would benefit domestic companies like Sunrun by leveling the playing field and potentially driving higher demand for U.S.-installed solar systems.
Federal Subsidies: Sunrun is well-positioned to benefit from federal clean energy subsidies provided by the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA). These subsidies are expected to reduce Sunrun's operating expenses and enhance profitability by offsetting costs associated with installations and energy storage solutions.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on NASDAQ:RUN if it holds above the $17.50-$18.00 range. Upside Potential: The upside target for Sunrun is set at $29.00-$30.00, driven by favorable interest rate conditions, supportive trade policies, and federal clean energy subsidies.
☀️ Sunrun—ready to shine with rate cuts, trade advantages, and clean energy subsidies! #RUN #SolarEnergy 🚀🌱
RUN
Kamala Leads, Solar Stocks Shine Again?I'm closely watching the solar sector again, especially stocks like NASDAQ:FSLR , NASDAQ:ENPH , and $RUN.
After the Trump/Biden debate, solar stocks plummeted because it looked like Trump might win. But now, with Kamala Harris running, the odds have shifted her way, and I'm optimistic about the sector since she's likely to support clean energy like Biden did.
These solar stocks have been stable over the last month compared to tech.
First Solar has strong financials, Enphase has solid earnings and big potential, and Sunrun just teamed up with Tesla.
Definitely worth watching all three, in my opinion.
Bull Run BitcoinWe can see that the price of bitcoin is lateralizing in the form of a 5-month bearish flag to liquidate Stop Loss. We may be on the verge of a bullish explosion in the price of bitcoin in the coming weeks as it has bounced off the weekly 50 EMA and the weekly, daily and 4-hour Squeeze Momentum is in red which tells us that it is possibly already at its peak. last bearish movements in the market, and then rise.
TAN - Invesco Solar ETFSimply go long, it's the future! If the USA doesn't want to increase this ETF by 20 or 30 or 40%, the world will end up on its last legs! NVDA won't save the planet!
ENPH
Enphase Energy, Inc. 10.11%
FSLR
First Solar, Inc. 8.64%
NXT
Nextracker Inc. 7.68%
RUN
Sunrun Inc. 7.10%
3800.HK
GCL Technology Holdings Limited 5.01%
0968.HK
Xinyi Solar Holdings Limited 4.45%
ECV.DE
Encavis AG 4.18%
HASI
HA Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. 3.71%
SEDG
SolarEdge Technologies, Inc. 3.47%
NEOEN.PA
Neoen S.A. 3.35%
BTC time to switch ?As things stand BTC will more likely break the ATH , been wrong past 6 months trying to catch a reversal , but i was playing also both sides.Half of my capital currently is invested.
I am still sitting on cash with more than 50% of my portofolio in usdt.
If we start breaking ATH first target is 86k based on fibonacci but also when looking at 2 previous highs there is a trendline that extends and it correlates with fib extension .
First fib extension is 86k , second one is 106k.
I still think a 30-40% drop has to occur.
If that happens ,buy the dip mode will be ON.
The Invesco Solar Etf TAN based on the Global Solar Energy IndexThe Invesco Solar ETF is based on the MAC Global Solar Energy Index (Index). The Index is comprised of companies in the solar energy industry.
Wall Street investors have only short-sold the future of the planet! They have shorted all the players that could be a solution to climate change (personal opinion).
With the upcoming U.S. presidential elections, I expect that new financial promises will be put forward, and this ETF will regain strength.
TAN etf, ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT $1.32B
ICLN etf, ASSETS UNDER MANAGEMENT$2.54B
TAN: Enphase, First Solar, SolarEdge, Sunrun, GCL Tech, Xinyi, Hannon Armstrong, Array, ...
ICLN: First Solar, Vestas, Enphase, China Yangtze, Orste, EDP Portugal, SolarEdge, Suzlon, ...
BTC be carefulBTC has respected this upwards sloping channel for three weeks now.
Should we break to the downside I see a retracement to two shown targets.
As of now we are of course still bullish on BTC and Crypto in the medium/long run, a pull back like this could be a great chance to long should an edge develop. If it does we will provide an update and a trade set up.
Our targets of 40-42k remains for now.
PROSBUSD - Bump and Run Reversal Bottom PatternThe bump-and-run reversal bottom is a chart pattern that is a surprisingly good performer in both bull (ranking best for performance) and bear markets (ranking second best). It has a low break even failure rate and high average rise after the breakout. Discovered by Thomas Bulkowski in 1999.
Reaction of Sunrun's against institutional traders
Executive Summary:
In Tuseday's market session, we observed a 5% increase in the price action of NASDAQ:RUN , which, as expected, triggered a minor retracement due to typical market dynamics. However, our focus today is on a highly significant order block zone, spanning from $14.13 to $14.90. After nearly a year of dedicated study into the behaviors of major institutional players in the market, we've uncovered a crucial aspect of their approach.
Understanding Institutional Strategies:
Institutional investors, in their quest to enter positions, follow a dual-pronged strategy. First, they aim to create adequate liquidity in the market to facilitate their trades. Second, they seek to initiate positions at the lowest possible prices, effectively maximizing their profit margins. It's important to note that their entry points often differ from those favored by retail traders, and herein lies the intriguing element of market dynamics.
Manipulating Retail Sentiment:
Institutional investors sometimes choose to exert selling pressure when the market approaches what appears to be a demand zone, a strategy designed to trigger stop losses placed by retail traders. This calculated move creates a cascade effect, further driving prices downward. As retail traders' stop losses are hit, the market sentiment shifts. What once seemed like a strong demand zone now appears fragile, causing retail participants to rethink their positions.
Conclusion and outlook
As we anticipate a continued retracement in the price action towards the demand zone, it becomes essential to employ a meticulous approach to risk management. Our objective is not only to align with institutional entry points but also to safeguard our positions against potential market volatility.
The Importance of Stop Loss Calculation:
In this endeavor, precise calculation of our stop loss assumes paramount significance. By leveraging historical market volatility data and average candle size, as represented by the Average True Range (ATR), we aim to strike an optimal balance between risk and reward.
Maximizing Position Security:
The crux of this methodology lies in maximizing the probability of maintaining open positions while positioning ourselves to capitalize on the forthcoming momentum instigated by institutional players.
Defining the Stop Loss:
For an entry price of $14.015, which closely aligns with the average demand zone valuation, we have determined that setting the stop loss at $13.77 provides an effective risk management strategy. This strategic adjustment substantially reduces the likelihood of liquidation in the face of adverse price movements.
Conclusion:
Incorporating these refined risk management techniques into our trading approach empowers us to align with institutional strategies while mitigating potential downside risks. As we move forward, we are well-equipped to not only participate in the anticipated upward momentum initiated by institutional entries but also to secure our positions, ensuring our trading endeavors remain both profitable and resilient.
The downfall of Sunrun : What next !
Ladies and gentlemen, in today's financial analysis, we focus on Sunrun, examining recent price movements and conducting a comprhensive outlook.
First, we notice something significant: the stock has dropped by 16% from its previous trading zone. This is noteworthy, especially if the stock shows signs of going up again.
Now, let's discuss what happened at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The Federal Reserve Chair, Jerome Powell, talked about raising interest rates, which is different from what other officials said. For example, Patrick Harker from the Philadelphia Fed thought we should keep interest rates as they are. Austan Goolsbee, the Chicago Fed President, was also cautious. He mentioned challenges like high inflation, problems in the supply chain, and the possibility of a big strike in the auto industry. Despite these challenges, he remained hopeful that we can control inflation without causing a recession. He also stressed the importance of using data to make decisions, especially the real interest rate. The stock market liked what he said, and the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust went up by 0.8%.
Now, let's look ahead. I believe things might change for $NASDAQ:RUN. This belief comes from seeing other companies in the alternative power generation sector, like NYSE:NEP , NYSE:NOVA , and NASDAQ:RNW , starting to do better based on their recent performance. We've also heard that inflation might not keep going up, which is good news for RUN. In this situation, my plan is to keep a close eye on the market and stay updated on the latest news. I'll make sure to update this report with any new information.
RUN has HUGE options activity, mostly short term callsSaw a notification yesterday on decent #option call buying & decided to look into NASDAQ:RUN , again, it's been a while.
Options are going off like crazy!!! Today too!
IMO risk reward is very good here. Long term support & the intraday charts look like they want to bottom.
#solarenergy
BIOL | Bull run starts here! | 8.8.23Waiting for #BIOLASE #BIOL #NDAQ #NASDAQ
NOT INVESTMENT OR FINANCIAL Advice!
RUN Sunrun Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of RUN Sunrun prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 17.50usd strike price In the money Calls with
an expiration date of 2023-9-15,
for a premium of approximately $2.51.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
The MA 20, The RSI, and Another Bull RunWelcome back to my new long-term analysis. After we called the exact bottom in our last analysis, I am now showing what might happen next with the BTC price.
Today, we are looking at the monthly BTC/USD Chart.
With every BTC halving (dashed vertical lines) the chart is above the orange line, the monthly MA20 . The monthly MA20 decides whether the overall sentiment can be seen as bearish or bullish. A break above the MA20 after a successful crossing of the RSI (purple line in the RSI chart) and the MA7 of the RSI (yellow line in the RSI chart), sets the start of a new bull run as seen in 2019 and 2015. I’ve marked these important points with green circles . For visibility reasons, I left out the example from 2015, but you can easily recreate and see that it applies to that year as well. Whenever the chart is above the MA20, it doesn’t fall below it again until the beginning of the next bear cycle (the Covid-Crash remains an exception, as always).
So, the logical summary to determine a new bull run is the following:
Initial position: Chart has bottomed out (see my last analysis to find out how to detect the BTC bottoms) but is still below the MA20.
Step 1. RSI crosses the MA7 RSI to the upside.
Step 2. Chart crosses the MA20 to the upside.
Et voilà, we found the new beginning of the next bull run.
But where do we close our long positions?
Again, with the help of the RSI crossing the MA7 RSI we can also determine not the exact cycle top, but a precise area where we should close our long positions. When the RSI is in the oversold area (RSI above 80) and also crosses the MA7 RSI, but this time to the downside, we can consider the bull run over. I’ve marked these important points with red circles .
And, what’ next?
I did a little forecast to show what I think the future price movement for BTC can look like. We are facing a small mini-bull-run up to ~45-50k (~Dec 2023). After that, the price gets rejected quite heavily and stays close to the MA20, but always remains above it, until BTC is ready to take off for the next bull run which I think, based on the past timings, is around December 2024. The bull run top can be reached within half a year and could bring the price up to 170k, if not even more.
Next Bitcoin bull run top - 2025Based on data from previous Bitcoin cycles, it is possible to make an educated guess based on the trend curves and previous cycle time stamps of when the bull run will conclude and how high we can expect to go. Given the fact that crypto marked has matured over the years it is wise to assume that the next top and next bottom will not be as extreme as with the previous cycles. The prediction is that the next top will be around 120k USD on 2025 September and the bottom will be around 28k USD on September 2026.