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THORChain Convert Debt into Equity: What about RUNE Holders FateTHORChain ( CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ) has taken a bold step to address its $200 million debt crisis by converting unserviceable debt into equity through a new token, TCY (Thorchain Yield). This strategic move follows the suspension of THORFi services on January 23, 2025, due to financial instability. While this decision aims to stabilize the ecosystem, the market response has been mixed, with CRYPTOCAP:RUNE experiencing sharp volatility. THORChain’s Debt-to-Equity Move The newly introduced TCY token will be issued at a rate of 1 TCY per dollar of defaulted debt, effectively turning affected lenders and savers into equity holders. To further support this transition, THORChain plans to create a RUNE/TCY liquidity pool with an initial $500,000 backing, pricing TCY at $0.10 per token. Additionally, TCY holders will receive 10% of THORChain’s revenue indefinitely, providing a long-term recovery mechanism. Despite these efforts, concerns linger regarding the timeline for full financial recovery. However, THORChain’s core functionality—cross-chain swaps—remains intact, ensuring continued utility for its users. Market sentiment, however, reflects uncertainty, as seen in CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price action. Technical Outlook: Can CRYPTOCAP:RUNE Recover? Following the debt-to-equity announcement, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE has exhibited mixed performance. Initially, it plunged 10% within 24 hours, extending its 30-day decline to nearly 50%, in line with the broader market downturn. However, as of the latest data, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE is showing signs of recovery, posting an 11% gain and trading within a moderate zone. Key Levels to Watch: - Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently at 38, indicating potential oversold conditions and a buying opportunity. - 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Level: The $3.58 price mark aligns with this critical resistance; a breakout above this level could fuel a bullish rally. - 1-Month High Target: If momentum sustains, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE could push towards $5, the next major resistance level. Conclusion THORChain’s move to convert debt into equity is a double-edged sword. While it provides a structured approach to managing financial challenges, investor confidence remains uncertain. The success of the TCY token will heavily influence market sentiment around CRYPTOCAP:RUNE in the coming weeks. As the market digests this pivotal restructuring, all eyes remain on CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price action and the effectiveness of THORChain’s recovery strategy.
Long
by DEXWireNews
$RUNE is crashing. What is the consequence for Defi?This idea focuses more on DeFi and Web3 as a whole rather than the specific case of $RUNE. What is happening to CRYPTOCAP:RUNE can happen to any other DeFi protocol, so it’s crucial to analyze how these protocols work, identify the risks, and explore how to mitigate them. ### How DeFi Protocols Work CRYPTOCAP:RUNE , like many other protocols, is powered by smart contracts. These are small programs that execute tasks like lending, swapping, and other DeFi functions automatically and without human intervention. Investors love these protocols for their decentralized nature and trustless execution, enabled by blockchain technology. CRYPTOCAP:RUNE gained popularity because its decentralized protocol allowed its price to be tied to factors like its total value locked (TVL) and fee earnings. The more people staked, provided liquidity, or used its lending services, the more CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price increased. For instance, we saw CRYPTOCAP:RUNE rise from $3 to $12 last year as people used the protocol to loan CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH during their price surges. ### The Mechanism Behind CRYPTOCAP:RUNE DeFi protocols like CRYPTOCAP:RUNE rely on the token itself as collateral. For example: - When users send CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH to the protocol, it automatically buys and sells CRYPTOCAP:RUNE , which drives its price up. - Conversely, when users withdraw CRYPTOCAP:BTC or CRYPTOCAP:ETH , the protocol sells CRYPTOCAP:RUNE to repay those users, which puts downward pressure on its price. This mechanism can create vulnerabilities, as we’ve seen with $RUNE. ### What Went Wrong? While all altcoins were losing value, CRYPTOCAP:BTC outperformed to the point where the total value of CRYPTOCAP:BTC being staked and loaned on the protocol exceeded the total value of $RUNE. In simple terms, if everyone requested their CRYPTOCAP:BTC and CRYPTOCAP:ETH back, the protocol would not have enough CRYPTOCAP:RUNE to sell and repay them. This is known as **insolvency**. Last year, when authorities paused Rune Swap for a week to investigate criminal activity, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price plummeted from $2.2 to $1.3 as smart contracts automatically compensated for reduced earnings and people redeemed their staked assets, forcing the protocol to sell $RUNE. ### The Catastrophic Validator Decision This month, with the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC surging, some inverstors decided to cash out from CRYPTOCAP:RUNE and that is when they realized that the price of CRYPTOCAP:RUNE was so underperforming CRYPTOCAP:BTC that the protocol might be insolvent. They createed a "bank run" and an avalanche of investors lost their trust and asked their coins back. To prevent a complete collapse, validators—who are essential for running the blockchain—used a private key to manually stop the protocol. This halted the smart contracts from continuing to sell $RUNE. However, this move backfired. Observers saw the protocol being manually interfered with, highlighting its insolvency and raising serious concerns. This decision led to even more fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD). It became clear that DeFi’s lack of flexibility and inability to adapt to emergencies can create destructive outcomes. ### Broader Implications for DeFi Protocols This exposes a significant vulnerability in all DeFi protocols. Many rely on their own coin as collateral, but if CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues to rise in value and users decide to withdraw their CRYPTOCAP:BTC , the protocols could face the same insolvency issue. In some cases, the amount required to repay users may exceed the protocol’s total collateral—or even the market cap of the altcoin itself. ### The Potential Domino Effect If platforms like Uniswap, PancakeSwap, Hyperliquid, and others fail to address this issue, we could see a domino effect: - Investors may withdraw their funds from DeFi protocols, leading to a collapse of the entire DeFi ecosystem. - Such an event would have dire consequences for the broader altcoin market. ### The Solution If CRYPTOCAP:BTC continues its bull run alone, DeFi platforms may need to reconsider their reliance on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and stop lending/staking and swapping to $BTC. Failure to adapt could render many protocols insolvent, triggering unprecedented FUD and potentially causing the crypto market to crash. ### Conclusion The current situation with CRYPTOCAP:RUNE is a cautionary tale for the entire DeFi industry. Without proactive measures, the very mechanisms that make DeFi appealing—decentralization and automation—could become its greatest weaknesses.
Short
by CryptoNikkoid
24
RUNEUSDT: Is This Falling Wedge About to Trigger a Major Move?Yello, Paradisers! Have you been keeping an eye on RUNEUSDT? The price is following a textbook falling wedge pattern—a bullish formation that’s caught our attention after a healthy retracement. But here’s the main question: Will this breakout bring the pump we’re all waiting for, or is more pain on the horizon? Let’s dive in. 💎If RUNEUSDT breaks out of the falling wedge, the probabilities for a bullish move will significantly increase. However, don’t jump the gun—confirmation is key! Look for big volume spikes accompanying the breakout to validate the move. Without sufficient volume, it’s just a fake-out waiting to trap impatient traders. 💎On the other hand, if we see more retracement or even panic selling, the price could dip below the current inducement levels. In this scenario, we’d expect a bounce from the strong support zone, which is sitting at a crucial level. To improve the odds in our favor, keep a close eye on bullish I-CHoCH (Internal Change of Character) forming on lower timeframes. This will provide an early signal for potential trend reversal. 💎Now, let’s address the flip side. If the price breaks down and closes below the strong support zone, it will completely invalidate our bullish idea. In such a case, the smart move is to exercise patience and wait for better price action to develop. There’s no need to rush when the market isn’t showing clear opportunities! 🎖 As always, Paradisers, discipline is your greatest trading edge. Don’t act on emotions or rush into trades without proper confirmation. Only the patient and strategic will profit in the long run. Stay focused, stay smart, and play this game like a pro! MyCryptoParadise iFeel the success🌴
Long
by MyCryptoParadise
5
Alikze »» RUNE | Head and shoulders pattern scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Head and shoulders pattern scenario - According to the analysis presented in the previous post, he retested the supply area after exiting the congestion, but failed to break it. - It is currently moving in an ascending channel in the weekly and daily time frames, which has broken the dynamic trigger. - A head and shoulder pattern has formed in the weekly time frame. 💎 If after retesting the dynamic trigger fails to break it and breaks the neckline, it can confirm the head and shoulder pattern for a downward trend to the origin of the movement, which can have downward targets near 3.13 and 2.35 and a green box. 💎 Alternative scenario: if the dynamic trigger is broken, its first target will be $6.25 and then it can be offered after the pullback to the successful structure of breaking the zone, it can have the next targets of $9.38 and $12.5. 🛑 Resistance range: 6.25 - 9.38 - 12.5 🟩 Support range: 3.13 -2.35 »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»«««
Short
by alikze
1
THORChain Drops Nearly 30% Amidst 90-day Suspension of THORFiTHORChain ( CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ), a leading cross-chain liquidity protocol, has taken a severe hit, tumbling nearly 30% in 24 hours. This sharp decline follows the announcement of a 90-day suspension of THORFi lending services, igniting fears about the project’s financial stability. Let’s dive into the technical and fundamental aspects to understand the implications. What Happened? THORChain’s decision to pause THORFi lending services comes amid mounting financial uncertainties. Developers have initiated a 90-day restructuring plan aimed at stabilizing the platform. Key issues include: 1. Debt Overload: - THORFi’s "Savers and Lending" programs accumulated significant unserviceable debt. - Borrowings during lower BTC price levels created a shortfall, requiring the minting of CRYPTOCAP:RUNE to cover obligations. 2. Liquidity Concerns: - Allegations of insolvency stem from insufficient Bitcoin reserves in lending pools. - The lack of liquidation mechanisms worsened the financial strain. 3. Market Perception: - Community members fear parallels with Terra/Luna’s infamous collapse in 2022. - Synthetic assets backed by CRYPTOCAP:RUNE face increased scrutiny due to their reliance on liquidity pools for collateralization. Despite these challenges, THORChain’s founder remains optimistic, stating that restructuring will allow the protocol to service its debt and restore stability. Technical Outlook: What’s Next for CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ? At the time of writing, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE is trading at $2.01, down 21% in the last 24 hours, with an RSI of 28.61, signaling oversold conditions. Key Levels to Watch: - Support: The 1-month low of $1.93 serves as critical support. A breach below this level could trigger a selling spree, pushing CRYPTOCAP:RUNE further down. - Resistance: The nearest pivot point lies at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a potential target for recovery if market sentiment improves. Trading Opportunities: - Short-Term: Traders may capitalize on the oversold conditions for a potential bounce, especially as CRYPTOCAP:RUNE attempts to recover from the sharp decline. - Long-Term: With the altcoin season expected in early March, analysts view this dip as an entry point for investors with a high-risk appetite. Is This a Buying Opportunity? While the current situation paints a grim picture, it also presents a window for traders to enter at discounted levels. The ongoing restructuring plan and the anticipated altcoin season could drive a recovery in CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s price. However, caution is advised. The protocol’s financial health remains uncertain, and any further negative developments could exacerbate the decline. Conclusion THORChain’s current turmoil underscores the challenges faced by DeFi projects relying heavily on native tokens for collateralization. While the 90-day suspension of THORFi services aims to stabilize the platform, the road to recovery will depend on successful restructuring and improved market confidence. For now, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE ’s oversold status and support at $1.93 offer short-term trading opportunities, but long-term investors should remain vigilant. The next few months will be critical in determining whether THORChain can emerge stronger or succumb to its financial woes.
by DEXWireNews
How far will RUNE drop? (3D)As you have seen and know, the RUNE token is currently in freefall and has experienced a sharp drop compared to other altcoins. Upon analyzing the chart, we identified a fresh weekly order block. Considering the strength of the momentum, the freshness of this order block, and the fact that it belongs to a higher time frame, it is expected that this order block could halt the drop and push the price back toward higher levels. However, if this order block is breached without any reaction and a daily candle closes below the invalidation level, it might indicate that negative fundamental factors are at play for this token, potentially unknown to the public, raising concerns about a scenario similar to the Luna incident. For now, though, such a situation seems unlikely. The price appears to be in an ABC correction, currently within wave C of this correction. For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management Comment if you have any questions Thank You
by behdark
1
RUNEUSD: Rebound at the bottom of the Channel UpTHORChain is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.391, MACD = -0.566, ADX = 34.736) as it recovered the bearish action of Wednesday. That was straight after the price made a new HL at the bottom of the long term Channel Up. The 1D RSI is rebounding in the exact same way as the August 5th 2024 HL. We are bullish, aiming for the 0.618 Fibonacci level (TP = 5.8300). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:RUNEUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
Skyrexio | Thorchain RUNE Is About To Explode!Hello, Skyrexians! Recent month was difficult for cryptocurrencies, but BINANCE:RUNEUSDT was one the top losers. It was able to drop to almost the 2024 lowest price. Holders are scared, but Elliott waves power make us sure that this asset will explode significantly in 2025. Let's take a look at weekly time frame. Previous bull run was huge and impulsive. The bear market did not overlap the bottom, it means that now price is in global wave 3. Recent dump is just the correction which reached the 0.5 Fibonacci level. We have already seen the green dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator inside this zone. Now price is about to print another one. As always, alerts from this indicator are automatically replicated on my accounts. You can find the information in our article on TradingView . If this analysis is right, now price is about to show the most significant growth to $35-50. Best regards, Skyrexio Team ___________________________________________________________ Please, boost this article and subscribe our page if you like analysis!
Long
by Skyrexio
4
$RUNE is in my buying zoneCRYPTOCAP:RUNE has once again re-entered my buying zone, which I believe presents a buying opportunity. The team is rolling out their next update, causing a temporary slowdown. As you know, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE 's price is closely tied to the number and volume of transactions on the network. Since the new version hasn’t been fully deployed across all nodes yet, it’s impacting both the volume and the price. Once the update is complete, CRYPTOCAP:RUNE should recover. DYOR, of course. Keep in mind that if BTC crashes, all altcoins will likely crash too, regardless of their fundamentals.
by CryptoNikkoid
1