USDIDR Buy On WeaknessThis chart shows the USD/IDR pair (U.S. Dollar/Indonesian Rupiah) on a weekly timeframe. Below is the analysis based on the visible trend lines, price action, and channels:
1. Ascending Channel:
The chart illustrates a clear upward channel that has been maintained since 2017, suggesting a long-term bullish trend in the USDIDR pair.
The price has bounced from the lower bound of the channel, which indicates that the support line around the 15,200 region is holding well.
2. Support and Resistance:
Support: The price is currently hovering around 15,459. The nearest strong support zone is at 15,200 as it coincides with both historical price levels and the lower bound of the upward channel.
Resistance: There are several resistance levels ahead:
16,400 (the dotted line): This seems to be a mid-level resistance line within the channel.
16,600: This appears to be the next major resistance, as indicated by the chart and could represent a key decision zone.
3. Possible Future Movement:
The chart suggests a bullish bias in the future, as indicated by the projected zigzag path. The price is expected to bounce between resistance and support lines before possibly reaching towards the upper boundary of the channel near 16,600.
Short-term correction: Before further bullish movement, the price might dip slightly towards the 15,400 or 15,200 support levels.
4. Long-Term Outlook:
The price trend continues to suggest an upward movement in the long term, as the channel is clearly moving upwards. A breakout above the 16,400–16,600 resistance zone could accelerate the USDIDR towards new highs.
Conclusion :
Bullish Outlook: The USDIDR seems to be in a long-term bullish channel. After potentially testing support at 15,200, the price may resume its upward trajectory, targeting 16,400 and possibly 16,600 in the coming months.
Rupiahdolar
Bullish Bias on USDIDRIndonesia rupiah would like to weakening since we've got a pennant pattern on this market as their bullish continuation signal. Buy on break should be your consideration with the supply area as price target and 14300 as a bullish invalidation if the price goes down and close below it
USD losing its value!!!Well... as I charted before (months ago), we will see a break down of USD, but still, if U zoom it out, it still in the up-trend!!!
My worst-case level for USD-IDR pair would be at 14,000 which align with my trending up blue line!!!
It may not even reach that point, as USD itself has many supports line before breaks and touch the 14,000 area!!!
#not financial advice
#Personal View
usd idr pullback area 15600 - 15400 rupiahOverall bisa dilihat usd idr ada didalam formasi big triangle dengan retest ath sebelumnya di area 6700 rupiah, kemungkinan pullback dalam beberapa minggu kedepan ada di area 15600 - 15400 rupiah atau line 0.786 area fibonacci retracement . Perhatikan faktor fundamental khususnya terkait krisis yg sedang terjadi, jika usd mampu menembus area 17000 rupiah per dollar, siap siap tampung dollar ya guys.
Di sisi lain usd idr juga membentuk ascending wedge (trend garis biru) dengan harga puncak di area 18000 rupiah per dollar, estimasi mencapai target wedge dalam 4 tahun kedepan berdasar perhitungan bagan, tepat dengan siklus krisis global /8tahun.
So...bukan harga barang yang turun, rupiahmu lemah!
Stay safe stay at home. Dirumah doeloe !!!!
Further IDR Depreciation?This has been a tough one to make a prediction because it is at the same level during the crisis in 1998, but notice it is the new normal for Rupiah, even though nominal term seems horrifying, but in terms of percentage it is tamer than of that in 1998, 2008/2009 and 2015. Looking at the 3 flags pattern there are probability that IDR may hit 15k in the near term.
The low inflation in Indonesia (2.88% in September 2018) will hopefully control the IDR movement against the USD because considering a higher real yield from IDR bonds will invite foreign investors to buy in and creating a higher demand for IDR bonds and of course it will appreciate the IDR as well.
USDIDR will definitely determined by 2019 next electionI'm betting on Rupiah strengthened against dollar if Mr. Prabowo being elected in next 2019 president election and predicting Rupiah will go straight above 15K-ish if Mr. Jokowi continue to the second period.
My ressistant and support is above.
Mr. Prabowo x Mr. Sandi = Military x Businessman = IDR will be strengthened to 12K-ish
Mr. Jokowi x Mr. Ma'aruf Amin = Businessman x Religious Leader = IDR will be weakened to 15K-ish
Tradingview,
Blockchaindedi
2:20 P.M - 1 September 2018, Indonesia.