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Russell2000

that's what SL is for.recently russel broke the ceiling that was holding it for almost a year. now it would be interesting entering a long during the retest. placing the SL just bellow last low made the 27th of october. not because it's a safe trade but becasuse of the RR involved, since that the range has been broken, this leaves us with a proyection to the up side equivalent to the range it selve, wich is also the 1.6fib proyection of the recent impulse after the lst corrective phase. currently the price is sitting on the 50% retracement of the move done until now. on daily there are clear signs of a correction in act, volume is not as high as during the ceiling break and tho it made almost the sale movement. on 4htf stochastic is starting to cross to the upside, i find stochastic the best indicator to trade russel's mid high tf, since it's a "range indicator", and in a range is where rus has been for almost a year. on the 1H ft, there are divergences on stoch and rsi. this doesn't mean that the divergence can't follow forming. in the end, it's a nice RR trade of 4:1, in'm already booked in at the 50%fib, and if goes to 38% i will think about adding contracts, using the same sl. take in count that trading is not about having a 80% hit rate, that's impossible, and if some one says he does...well he was probably long during 2020/21. i mean, it doesn't surprise me that people will have had great RR these 2 years, but that shouldn't be taken as reference. the normal hit rate should be around 50% and risk managing like if your life depended on it makes your account grow steadily and constantly. use the power of a steady compound growth rather than a yolo and use SL, que pa' eso estàn Ramon
AMEX:IWMLong
by warrenbuffettdemicasa
3
20 year elliott wave analysis ($iwm)someone asked me this evening if i thought iwm was in a phase of distribution right now- so i decided to take a deep dive into the entire history of this chart, and here's what i've come up with. no, i do not think it is in a phase of distribution, instead it actually looks like a massive bull flag - in elliott wave theory terms, i'll call it a double or triple three - hard to say for now, since it is only halfway through this flat corrective phase. my low ball long term upside target for iwm is at $335, high ball would be $375 this is in confluence with my 12 year spy analysis, you can view it down below: ps. flat corrections can take a really long time to resolve, so i'd wait for a definitive break out, and a retest of the entire channel that it's in right now before attempting to play that upside swing.
AMEX:IWM
by notoriousbids
6
S&P 5,000,000The talk of the town is the Market is overdue for a plummet! Fun fact: This has been the narrative for the last decade as far as I am aware. It's more likely that the major indicies will continue grinding up or even go sideways a bit. This chart certainly appears to signal "euphoria". It looks overextended, parabolic, intimidating, right? Now if we press the reality button labeled "log" it will adjust the chart based on percentage change. Then like magic, we can adjust the visual scale and BOOM, it's all gone. Of course the ideal chart to use lies somewhere in the middle. But when looking at a long term chart with large numbers, always use log scale. (Try it on Bitcoin) What are we even worried about? Suppose we do get a sell off. Let's measure out the damage from the Global Financial Crisis. We find more number magic with the percentage gains going up are far greater than while going down. What about the looming Solvency Crisis? "What if's" are not going to make anyone money unless you're the one selling click bait articles. But there is a way to trade this and still feel safe. Here are the conditions... Put on a 1 Hour chart, buy dips, sell rallies. Each short term rally is about $50-$100 on the S&P500 and the benefit of short term trades under the conditions below helps steer clear of "crisis" danger. 1. (Daily) MACD is above zero 2. (Daily) EMA is acting as support 3. (1 Hour) RSI dips to bottom channel There you have it. Feel free to stay on the sidelines with Peter Schiff and Steve Van Metere but this is my strategy for trading micro ES futures up until September 2021. Will post active trades below. Trading is risky. Don't do it.
CME_MINI:ES1!Long
by trade-God
5